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I'll Have One More...Please! D. Wayne Off the Schneid!
I'LL HAVE ANOTHER's gritty victory in the Preakness places him one step closer to racing immortality.
Hopefully, this talented son of Flower All finally receives the respect he deserves. Here's what I wrote about him in the latest "Performance of the Week" column for National Simulcast Weekly:
I'll Have Another has made a career out of defying the critics.
Despite a game and genuine victory in the Kentucky Derby, the world's most famous horse race, I'll Have Another shipped to Baltimore for the Preakness partially obscured by the shadow of Bodemeister, a horse he conquered at Churchill Downs.
Bodemeister, many reasoned, was the best horse in the Derby. It was Bodemeister who set the hot pace and was still standing until the final 100 yards. To some onlookers, I'll Have Another was a vulture that merely picked the bones of an exhausted front-runner.
Given a more honest pace in Baltimore, Bodemeister was expected to definitively turn the tables.
Yet it was I'll Have Another who was standing tall after the 1 3/16 miles of the Preakness. Under another wonderfully patient ride by jockey Mario Gutierrez, I'll Have Another tracked the pace while three paths off the rail. Meanwhile, Bodemeister sailed along on the lead, setting fractions that were much less demanding than the ones he scorched in the Derby. Turning for home, Bodemeister, sent away as the 8-5 Preakness favorite, was in command but I'll Have Another would not be deterred. The Derby winner took Bodemeister's best blows and kept on coming. Slowly but surely, as in the Derby, I'll Have Another began chipping away at Bodemeister's late lead. Inside the sixteenth pole, the rivals were dead even. At the wire, it was I'll Have Another by a neck, the chestnut colt completing the distance in 1:55.94, good enough for a 109 Beyer Speed Figure.
Bred by Harvey Clarke, I'll Have Another was foaled on April 1, 2009 in Kentucky.
His sire, Flower Alley, finished ninth in the 2005 Kentucky Derby but rebounded to take the Grade 1 Travers at 10 furlongs with a 110 Beyer. That season, he placed second in the Breeders' Cup Classic, finishing a length short of the winner, Saint Liam. Flower Alley also won a pair of Grade 2 races at nine furlongs. In one of those victories, the Jim Dandy Stakes at Saratoga, he earned a career-best 112 Beyer.
The dam, Arch's Gal Edith (by Arch), raced only once, but she made it count. Running six furlongs on dirt in a maiden special weight at Belmont, she pressed the pace en route to a win at 27-1 odds.
The second dam, Force Five Gal (by Pleasant Tap), was stakes placed at 1 1/16 miles on turf at Fort Erie. She also won twice at nine furlongs on grass. The third dam finished third in the Grade 3 Miss Grillo Stakes at nine furlongs on turf. This is the female family of Grade 1 route winner Roanoke.
I'll Have Another was purchased for $11,000 at the 2010 Keeneland September yearling auction before being sold to J. Paul Reddam for $35,000 at the 2011 OBS spring auction. I'll Have Another breezed a furlong in 10.2 seconds prior to the OBS sale, but was considered "weak behind" and that may have contributed to the bargain price.
The colt was sent to trainer Doug O'Neill and made his career debut on July 3, 2011 in a 5 1/2-furlong maiden special weight over the Hollywood Cushion Track. I'll Have Another made all the running that day and held on in the stretch to prevail by three-quarters of a length over 2-5 favorite Scorpion Warrior. The race was the faster division of juvenile maiden special weights at the distance that afternoon.
Hiked into graded stakes company for his initial try against winners, I'll Have Another dueled early with Brigand through fractions of 22.55 and 45.15 seconds in the 6 1/2-furlong Best Pal on Aug. 7 over the Del Mar Polytrack. I'll Have Another won the pace duel as Brigand faded to fourth, but didn't have enough in the tank to fend off odds-on favorite Creative Cause. Still, he ran well, finishing 3 1/4 lengths ahead of third finisher Mighty Monsoon.
Shipped to Saratoga for the Grade 1 Hopeful Stakes on Sept. 5, I'll Have Another had the misfortune to catch a very sloppy track. He raced wide in the opening stages, but never seemed comfortable with the footing. After dropping back to last after a half-mile, I'll Have Another passed tired horse to finish sixth, beaten 19 lengths by Currency Swap.
The colt emerged from the Hopeful with sore shins and O'Neill put him away for the rest of his juvenile season.
Since his return to the races earlier this year, I'll Have Another has been unstoppable.
Partnered with Gutierrez for the first time in the Grade 2 Robert B. Lewis Stakes at Santa Anita on Feb. 4, I'll Have Another overcame many obstacles at 43-1 odds. It was the colt's first start since the injury-induced layoff, his first race around two turns and he still had to prove his mettle on dirt. Rating in second behind pacesetter Isn't He Clever, I'll Have Another took control turning for home and never looked back, scoring by 2 3/4 lengths over two next-out winners.
In the Grade 1 Santa Anita Derby at nine furlongs on April 7, I'll Have Another calmly stalked longshot Blueskiesnrainbows from second and attacked the leader in tandem with favored Creative Cause in the stretch. It was a pitched battle but I'll Have Another, showing the grit he would display in both Louisville and Baltimore, outgamed his more experienced rival by a nose.
Some criticized Reddam and O'Neill for waiting two months between the Lewis and Santa Anita Derby. Surely, the grumblers reasoned, the colt wouldn't have enough foundation to succeed in a race like the Kentucky Derby with only two well-spaced seasonal starts under his belt. But, the connections understood that I'll Have Another flourished when given time between races and wanted a fresh horse going into Louisville
The Derby has been well documented. Gutierrez gave I'll Have Another a perfect ride from post 19 and the duo ran down Bodemeister in the final sixteenth of a mile.
Never favored in any of his races, I'll Have Another one would think has finally won over the naysayers. Barring unforeseen circumstances, he will start as the prohibitive favorite at Belmont Park as he bids to become the first Triple Crown winner since Affirmed in 1978.
BODEMEISTER gave it his best shot on two occasions, but failed to fend off I'll Have Another in either the Kentucky Derby or the Preakness. Now, it seems as if owner Ahmed Zayat and trainer Bob Baffert will take aim at the Belmont with PAYNTER, a 106-Beyer winner in an allowance race on the Preakness undercard. Paynter, a $325,000 yearling purchase, is lightly-raced with a good amount of upside potential. He won his career debut at 5 1/2 furlongs at Santa Anita, then wasn't disgraced when fourth in the Santa Anita Derby, his initial route attempt and his first start against winners. In his last race prior to Saturday's allowance, Paynter finished second as the favorite over very sloppy going in the Grade 3 Derby Trial. Perhaps Paynter's most intiguing asset is his pedigree. He is by Breeders' Cup Classic winner Awesome Again out of a full sister to two-time Breeders' Cup Classic hero Tiznow. It's distance over distance.
If you haven't done so already, then it's finally time to give some props to AGAVE KISS. The speedy New York-bred, trained by Rudy Rodriguez, has never been headed in six lifetime starts and she ran away and hid from six overmatched opponents in the Miss Preakness Stakes on the Black-Eyed Susan undercard. Agave Kiss received a career-best 106 Beyer Speed Figure and looks ready for Grade 1 competition.
It's nice to see a couple of familiar faces back on the work tab. ACCLAMATION, sidelined since last October with foot and ankle problems, drilled six furlongs in 1:14.20 over the Santa Anita training track on May 19. Undefeated champion MY MISS AURELIA, unraced since her Breeders' Cup Juvenile Filly victory at Churchill Downs due to shin issues, breezed three furlongs in 39.00 at Vinery Stables on May 15. POOL PLAY, unraced since his shocking upset win in last June's Stephen Foster Handicap due to a torn tendon, breezed a half-mile in 49.20 at the Ocala Training Center on May 19.
While I'll Have Another's Preakness victory was heartwarming for racing fans, it was doubly nice to see Wayne Lukas get back into the winner's circle following a graded stakes. The legendary horseman sent out favored HAMAZING DESTINY to win the Grade 3 Maryland Sprint Handicap on the Preakness undercard. It was Lukas' first graded victory since Dublin won the Hopeful in 2009, breaking a streak of 119 consecutive losses in such races.
Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures from last week's races (5/14/12 - 5/20/12):
1. I'LL HAVE ANOTHER - 109 - Preakness Stakes (G1) - 1 3/16 Miles - Pimlico
1. SAGINAW - 109 - Affirmed Success Stakes - 7 Furlongs - Belmont
3. AGAVE KISS - 106 - Miss Preakness Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Pimlico
3. PAYNTER - 106 - Alw 50000NC - 1 1/16 Miles - Pimlico
5. ALTERNATION - 101 - Pimlico Special (G3) - 1 3/16 Miles - Pimlico
5. HARDSHELL - 101 - Alw 5000s - 6 Furlongs - Finger Lakes
7. TRICKMEISTER - 100 - Vanlandingham Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - Belmont
7. W. W.'S LADY'S MAN - 100 - Cannon Shell Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Belmont
9. HUDSON STEELE - 99 - Dixie Stakes (G2) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Pimlico
9. I'LL SHOW THEM - 99 - OC 16k/N2X -N - 6 Furlongs - Canterbury
9. IL VILLANO - 99 - Chick Lang Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Pimlico
12. HAMAZING DESTINY - 98 - Maryland Sprint Handicap (G3) - 6 Furlongs - Pimlico
12. NOT ABROAD - 98 - Joseph French Memorial Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - Delaware
12. SKY BLAZER - 98 - OC 75k/N3X -N - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Belmont
15. ANGELICA ZAPATA - 97 - Sara's Success Stakes - 1 Mile - Calder
15. FIDDLERS PATRIOT - 97 - Jim McKay Turf Sprint - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - Pimlico
15. HAVELOCK - 97 - Hanshin Cup Stakes (G3) - 1 Mile (Polytrack) - Arlington
15. SENSIBLE LADY - 97 - The Very One Stakes - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - Pimlico
19. LATIGO SHORE - 96 - Alw 57224N2X - 5 Furlongs - Churchill
19. ROXY GAP - 96 - Hendrie Stakes (G2-C) - 6 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Woodbine
19. SAHARA SKY - 96 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 7 Furlongs (Cushion Track) - Hollywood
22. BEAR'S PROSPECTOR - 95 - Clm 6250N1X - 6 Furlongs - Delaware
22. DONOHARM - 95 - Md 50000(50-45) - 1 Mile - Churchill Downs
22. GUAM TYPHOON - 95 - OC 65k/C - 6 Furlongs - Delaware
22. LEAVING NEW YORK - 95 - Clm 50000(50-45) - 1 Mile (Turf) - Hollywood
22. MAKE MUSIC FOR ME - 95 - Alw 62000C - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Hollywood
The lifetime past performances for I'LL HAVE ANOTHER and SAGINAW are available at the bottom of this blog post.
NOTABLES ON THE WORKTAB (5/14/12 - 5/20/12):
*ACCLAMATION (Bruised right front foot + Signs of unsoundness in ankle) - 6F - 1:14.20H - Santa Anita (training track) - May 19
*ALL STAR HEART (Splint right front leg) - 7F - 1:29.00H - Betfair Hollywood (turf, dogs) - May 20
*BANNER BILL (sick, spent two weeks in clinic) - 3F - 37.00B - Crupi's New Castle Farm - May 19
*CELTIC PRINCESS (Temperature + Splint bone foreleg - surgery) - 4F - 50.40H - - Santa Anita - May 19
*FREEDOMS TRAVELLER (hairline fracture left front ankle) - 4F - 49.80H - Northlands - May 19
*EXCAPER (EPM) - 5F - 1:02.00B - Woodbine - May 19
*JOHN JOHNY JAK (Colic surgery) - 4F - 47.00H - Betfair Hollywood - May 17
*MY MISS AURELIA (Sore shin) - 3F - 39.00B - Vinery Stable - May 15
*OPEN WATER (bone crack shin) - 4F - 51.00H - Santa Anita - May 19
*PACIFIC OCEAN (undisclosed) - 6F - 1:13.03B - Aqueduct - May 17
*POOL PLAY (Torn tendon) - 4F - 49.20B - Ocala Training Center - May 19
*RECKLESS JERRY (lung infection) - 4F - 48.20B - Delaware - May 17
*RAIL TRIP (Grabbed quarter - stitches) - 7F - 1:28.20H - Betfair Hollywood Park - May 15
*RICHARD'S KID (shockwave therpary, CHRB Vet's List) - 4F - 48.40H - Santa Anita - May 16
*STARS TO SHINE (condylar fracture) - 5F - 1:02.00B - Woodbine (training track) - May 17
*SURREY STAR (heat in suspensory ligaments right front leg) - 6F - 1:14.80H - Santa Anita - May 18
P.S. Does anyone know what price Dancing Brave started his Breeders Cup race? I can't find the info. My old memory plays tricks, but I seem to remember that at one time early in the afternoon, I believe he went to 1/5 after one unfortunate Brit bet $350,000 on him. And no, it wasn't me. My loss was rather less.
DANCING BRAVE was sent off the 1-2 favorite in the 1986 Breeders' Cup Turf.
Congrats to Okiesharp for finishing first in last week's HandiGambling exercise.
Penn National Rick's results spreadsheet from last week is available at the bottom of this blog post.
Let's go with Thursday's eighth race at Prairie Meadows for this week's race.
REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.
PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.
Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.
Please post your plays and analysis to the blog.
PLEASE GIVE YOUR NAME OR BLOG MONIKER AT THE END OF THE HG PLAY AND/OR ANALYSIS.
Please separate the play from the analysis and label the play "HG" with the program numbers (instead of the horse's name) for easier scoring.
In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. One entry per person please.
I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.
I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.
Best of luck to all.
|Ill Have AnotherSaginaw.pdf||94.74 KB|
|Copy of Formblog Contest Preakness.xls||26.5 KB|
HG Best early speed-Diesels Pride/Gold Cielo Best closer-Winter Climax $16 Tri Box $96 $1 Super 2-7/2-7/3-6/3-6 $4 Kelley_Belles
REVISED HGPRM: I meant $4 dollars to win on the ten not the 4. Here's the corrected version. 10- Raging Gold- 3rd Race for MSW winner in last. 2- Diesel’s Pride- Trainer is 17% with sprint to route. 3- Gold Cielo- Won MSW in last outing at Prarie Meadow 5- Bogie Boy- Went 4-wide and still placed in last at Prarie Meadow HGPRM $2 dollar Exacta 10/2,3,5 and 2,3,5/ 10 $12 dollars $2 dollar Trifecta 10/2,3,5/2,3,5 and 2,3,5/10/2,3,5 and 2,3,5/2,3,5/10 $36 dollars $2 dollar Superfecta 10/2,3,5 /2,3,5/2,3,5 and 2,3,5/10/ 2,3,5/2,3,5 and 2,3,5/ 2,3,5/ 10/ 2,3,5 and 2,3,5/ 2,3,5/2,3,5/10 $48 dollars $4 dollar Win on 10 Born Star
10- Raging Gold- 3rd Race for MSW winner in last. 2- Diesel’s Pride- Trainer is 17% with sprint to route. 3- Gold Cielo- Won MSW in last outing at Prarie Meadow 5- Bogie Boy- Went 4-wide and still placed in last at Prarie Meadow HGPRM $2 dollar Exacta 10/2,3,5 and 2,3,5/ 10 $12 dollars $2 dollar Trifecta 10/2,3,5/2,3,5 and 2,3,5/10/2,3,5 and 2,3,5/2,3,5/10 $36 dollars $2 dollar Superfecta 10/2,3,5 /2,3,5/2,3,5 and 2,3,5/10/ 2,3,5/2,3,5 and 2,3,5/ 2,3,5/ 10/ 2,3,5 and 2,3,5/ 2,3,5/2,3,5/10 $48 dollars $4 dollar Win on 4 Born Star
hgprm # 2 benefits from last $30 triple key 2 w/ 8 7 3 $ 10 ex 2 7
edit... meant that #8 faltered as a fav last time and can improve not #6 bets remain the same of course
Late to the party, was waiting to see if there were any scratches to the engagement. #2 - Great tactical speed, and high percentage jockey add to the appeal. #7 Nice outside position off of the speed should help closing kick. #6 Didn't fire last time as odds on fav, can atone. #3 the speed might hold on to claim a piece of the exotics. HGPRM $1 super 2,7/2,5,7,8/1,2,3,5,7,8/1,2,3,5,7,8 $1 super box 2,5,7,8 $1 triple 7,8/2,7,8/2,7,8 Track Guru
hgprairie. 2= trainers route and allowance #'s good. 5= decent route record for trainer. 7= trainer 30f 9 in allowance conditions. the picks. $76.00 win #2. $2.00 tri box 2-5-7. $2.00 exacta box 2-5-7. Good luck to all.
Afternoon all... Taking off this week... holding onto my $$ until the weekend. going to work on the garden and take a little break. Good luck to all... Whackymacky Out
HGPRM 50 tri 2-7-5 50 super 2-7-5-8
HG- I like the 7 -somewhat under the radar $50 win #7 $8 tri 7w/ 2,3,5/ 2,3,5 Theo