02/17/2016 8:01PM

Huge inner dirt Beyer

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Who is the fastest filly or mare on the Beyer scale thus far in 2016?

Lady Shipman?

Tepin?

La Verdad?

Sunday Rules?

All of those horses have run fast races this year, but PAULASSILVERLINING topped them all with a visually-impressive 106-Beyer romp last week in a six-furlong optional claimer over the Aqueduct inner track.

Paulassilverlining broke nicely from the outside post in the six-horse field and settled just off the 23.29 opening quarter set by MOMAMEAMARIA, a filly that had won her last two starts. Jockey Jose Ortiz pushed the button on the turn and Paulassilverlining took off. She blew past Momameamaria without much effort, completed a half in 46.75, opened up at will turning for home and cruised home 9 1/4 lengths better than even-money favorite ELOQUENT TRIBUTE, a Tapit filly that was second in the Cicada Stakes last year. SUN AND MOON was third followed by Momameamaria, multiple stakes-winner MISS DA POINT and multiple stakes-placed SUSTAINABLE. Paulassilverlining completed the distance in 1:10.59.

This was Paulassilverlining's tenth lifetime start for trainer Michelle Nevin. Her previous Beyer top was the 82 she earned when beaten in both the Busher Stakes and Thirty Eight Go Go Stakes last year.

Can we believe this gigantic number? Was it a one-off occurrence? Or, perhaps, is Paulassilverlining ready to take her game to the next level?

A homebred owned by Vincent Scuderi, Paulassilverlining was foaled in Kentucky on March 21, 2012. She is by Horse of the Year Ghostzapper, one of the fastest horses we've seen in the past 20 years and sire of Grade 1 winners Judy the Beauty, Moreno, Better Lucky, Stately Victor, Molly Morgan, Contested and Starship Truffles.

Paulassilverlining's dam, Seeking the Silver (by Grindstone), was a four-time sprint winner and an extremely successful broodmare. A full sister to stakes-winning sprinter Choctaw Ridge, Seeking the Silver has also foaled two-time Grade 1 Carter Handicap winner Dads Caps and stakes-placed sprinter Liza Too.

Paulassilverlining had a nice 2-year-old campaign in 2014. A second-out maiden winner at Saratoga, she then grabbed the Grade 2 Matron Stakes traveling six furlongs at Belmont. After the Matron, Ortiz told track publicity, "She's a great filly for sprints." Paulassilverlining completed her season with a second-place finish in the Grade 3 Tempted Stakes over a one-turn mile at Aqueduct.

She began her 3-year-old year on the right foot with a game nose win in the $98,000 Ruthless Stakes at six furlongs. "She wants to win," Nevin told track publicity following the race. "She's not very big - she's small, she's stocky, and she's got that little attitude about her. We'd love to try and stretch her out, to see if she can handle it, but right now she seems to have an affinity for sprinting. We'll think things over."

Paulassilverlining did stretch out again and she finished second behind the razor-sharp Condo Commando in the $100,000 Busher Stakes at 1 1/16 Miles. Freshened after that race, she then placed a troubled fourth in the $98,000 Belle Harbor Stakes at Aqueduct on April 26.

Paulassilverlining was sent to the sidelines until mid-November and she couldn't overcome the fleet Hot City Girl's tactical advantage over a speed-friendly Laurel course when third in the $100,000 Safely Kept Stakes at seven furlongs. In her final start of 2015, she failed to see out the one-turn mile in the Thirty Eight Go Go at Laurel, blowing a clear stretch lead and finishing third.

Considering her excellent pedigree and the potential she showed earlier in her career, I'll gamble that Paulassilverlining will become a very useful six-furlong sprinter. She'll likely start next in the $125,000 Correction Stakes at Aqueduct on March 19.

***


Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures from 2/9/16 - 2/15/16:

1. PAULASSILVERLINING - 106 - OC 100k/C -N - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - 11Feb16-8AQU
2. BOLO - 105 - Arcadia Stakes (G2) - 1 Mile (Turf) - 13Feb16-3SA
3. EARLY ENTRY - 104 - Rail Splitter Stakes - 6 1/2 Furlongs - 15Feb16-8GP
4. KID CRUZ - 102 - John B. Campbell Stakes - 1 1/8 Miles - 13Feb16-7LRL
4. SUBTLE INDIAN - 102 - OC 62k/C -N - 6 Furlongs - 13Feb16-5OP
6. PAGE MCKENNEY - 101 - General George Stakes (G3) - 7 Furlongs - 15Feb16-8LRL
6. RELOAD - 101 - Tampa Bay Stakes (G3) - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 13Feb16-10TAM
8. NYQUIST - 100 - San Vicente Stakes (G2) - 7 Furlongs - 15Feb16-5SA
9. DEFER HEAVEN - 99 - Trust Buster Stakes - 7 Furlongs - 15Feb16-4GP
9. TEPIN - 99 - Endeavour Stakes (G3) - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 13Feb16-8TAM
11. FOLLOW ME CREV - 98 - OC 80k/C -N - 1 1/16 Miles - 14Feb16-3SA
11. GRAND TITO - 98 - OC 100k/C -N - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 13Feb16-9GP
13. PENWITH - 97 - Royal Delta Stakes (G2) - 1 1/16 Miles - 13Feb16-4GP
13. WITH EXULTATION - 97 - Old Man Eloquent Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 15Feb16-9GP
15. STONETASTIC - 96 - Miami Shores Handicap - 6 1/2 Furlongs - 14Feb16-11GP
16. DANCING HOUSE - 95 - Barbara Fritchie Stakes (G2) - 7 Furlongs - 13Feb16-8LRL
16. JAMAICAN MEMORIES - 95 - Phoenix Gold Cup Handicap - 6 Furlongs - 13Feb16-8TUP
16. OUTSIDE NASHVILLE - 95 - Lost in the Fog Stakes - 6 Furlongs (Tapeta) - 15Feb16-7GG
16. ROCKED TWICE - 95 - Turf Paradise Handicap - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 13Feb16-4TUP
16. SENSITIVELY - 95 - OC 40k/N1X -N - 6 Furlongs - 13Feb16-4SA
21. DADDY'S BOO - 94 - Mary Todd Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 15Feb16-2GP
22. SPLENDID GOLD - 93 - Alw 57000N1X - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - 12Feb16-6AQU
22. SUDDENBREAKINGNEWS - 93 - Southwest Stakes (G3) - 1 1/16 Miles - 15Feb16-9OP
22. TARA'S TANGO - 93 - Santa Maria Stakes (G2) - 1 1/16 Miles - 13Feb16-8SA
25. JUANSAGAIN - 92 - Clm 16000N3L - 6 Furlongs - 12Feb16-6SA
25. NASA - 92 - OC 35k/N2X -N - 1 1/16 Miles - 11Feb16-8OP

*The lifetime past performances for Paulassilverlining are available at the bottom of this blog post.

***

Video stakes analyses for many of the weekend's major stakes will be available later this week at http://www.drf.com/videos

You can follow me on Twitter @DRF_DanIllman.

Matt Bernier and Mike Beer will be on for free and fun live handicapping analysis for Gulfstream, Fair Grounds, Aqueduct, Santa Anita, Oaklawn and Tampa beginning at 3pm ET on live.drf.com.

***

Here's a message from Laura regarding our 2016 FormBlog Convention at Gulfstream Park:


Last Chance for Hotel Reservations!! 
The Formblog/ThoroFan Convention is on February 19 - 21, less than a month away!  If you want to attend, please contact Laura at lross@imtbreds.com

As usual, our generous benefactor Mike Nyman is giving us a suite complete with temperamental betting machine.  There will be a race named for our group with photo ops in the paddock and winners circle.  Laura will pick up/drop off at the Ft. Lauderdale Airport if you don't want to rent a car.  So far, nobody has been killed or injured during the drive.  Can't decide if you want to attend?  Ask other formbloggers what a great time they had! Most are coming back for more!


***

Congrats to Kenny G. for winning last week's HandiGambling challenge.

We'll go with Saturday's Risen Star Stakes at Fair Grounds for this week's exercise.

PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.

Rick M and SR VEGAS' HG scoreboard spreadsheet is available at the bottom of this blog post.

SR Vegas and Rick M. have graciously decided to update all of the HG rules in order to make them an easier read for everyone...

HANDIGAMBLING version 2016:

Let's remember WHY we began the HandiGambling races in the first place.

The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses and why we're betting them the way we are. We are not asking for a novel but SPARE A SENTENCE OR TWO outlining your HANDICAPPING ANGLES and/or THOUGHT PROCESSES about WAGERING .

1. Start your post with HG or HANDIGAMBLING to find your entry in a thread.

2. You have a mythical $100 to wager in whatever format you choose that is available for that HG race. Anyone going over the $100 limit will be DISQUALIFIED.

3. Post your WAGER and ANALYSIS to the blog prior to the start of the designated race. SIGN OFF WITH YOUR NAME/OR MONIKER AT THE END OF YOUR POST. Remember that posts may start as 'anonymous' or an 'alternate name'. You MUST SIGN YOURSELF AT THE END (even if it is the same) This enables the scorekeeper to identify who you are.

4. (1) ONE ENTRY per person for the Handigambling contest. If you have multiple email addresses, use just ONE for contest purposes. Multiple entries will be cause for disqualification.

5. Separate your analysis from the wager and use the PROGRAM # in your wager. Just like you would do in a real wager. No horse names.

**  In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. Dan reserves the right to approve or deny any entries.

** The winner will receive a "60-Card Quarterly Formulator Past Performance Plan"

As an example :

HG 2016
The speed in this race are #1 Alpha, #2 Beta, and #8 Ocho. I like the works for layoff horse #5 Cinco who can sit off the pace. Lots of speed in here, so this could set up for a closer like  #6 Six Flags and I like the trainer's stats in these conditions. I’ll put the closer over the speed.

HG wager:
$10 EX   6 /   1,2,5, 8  = $40
$5 TRI   6 /   1,2,5,8  /  1,2,5,8  =  $60
Total $100

Thanks Dan!
Harpo

A MORE DETAILED ANALYSIS  IS  ALWAYS  APPRECIATED !

REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.

ALSO, IF THE WINNER WOULD LIKE TO SELECT THE FOLLOWING WEEK'S RACE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM NO LATER THAN THE FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY MORNING (A SATURDAY RACE IS MOST IDEAL)

AttachmentSize
PAULASSILVERLINING.pdf652.52 KB
Copy of HG Campbell 2 13 16.xls50.5 KB
HGRISENSTAR.pdf176.58 KB
SR Vegas More than 1 year ago
MKB Looks like Joe L's CREATOR is back: Saturday 2/27/16 Oaklawn Park race # 9 70K MSW 1 1/16 mile Maybe Asmussen has worked out his 'seconditis syndrome' and he is ready to score:) Good Luck! SR Vegas
SR Vegas More than 1 year ago
bobc ZULU futures ...what was his ? 50-1 ? Good Luck on your new Ky Derby prospect !! SR Vegas
SR Vegas More than 1 year ago
Formblog Convention Bob what a great weekend ! Thank you for sharing all the fun. I'm going to have to seriously start looking at #8 horses, lol! I'm sure there must be a picture of that iguana critter somewhere? maybe Dan will post it in the next thread...Chalky would gladly share her mascot duties with another race loving critter from formblog, lol! You said he may need a name? Here's my thought. Since the iguana was around Dan for so long and he was never noticed..I suggest ' Dan-Who?' :) SR Vegas
Anonymous More than 1 year ago
Names for the iguana: IGGY DANZILLA MONSTRO Annie
Anonymous More than 1 year ago
Bob, So you got ZULU for the Derby Futures. That is RANDO'S MKB. You should get to see him on Sat. in the FOY, right there at GP! You'll have to let us know how he looks. :) BTW, who got MOHAYMEN? Annie
Ned Daly More than 1 year ago
Bernard Suffolk Downs would remind you of Suffolk, England only if there were a big airport adjacent, a large oil storage tank farm on the other side, a rapid transit line along the backstretch and a large council estate on the hillside overlooking the first turn. It also has the oldest concrete grandstand of any sports venue in the US, and it looks it. I love the place and hope it can be saved. They only ran three "festival" days last year. Made them all. This year the state granted six racing days to keep the simulcasting license alive for betting other tracks. The irony is, that Suffolk's demise is linked to a failed bid for a casino license. The same law allowing casinos established a slots-only parlor whose payments to the state include a fair amount of money dedicated to purses. We may well wind up with purse money and no races to fund. Love to have you in Boston, with or without the races. Only 3 1/2 hours to Saratoga in the summer!
Anonymous More than 1 year ago
Bernard, Well thank you. You are very nice, yourself. And fearless to go after those big price horses. :) CHROME has to carry 15 pounds more? How many stones does he have to carry in his saddle? :) He sure is a handsome, regal looking animal. (See picture on home page). That seems like an awful lot though. I'm sure you're looking forward to seeing your MATT KING COAL run in the Gotham on March 5th. Will you get to see the race? Good luck!!! Annie
Anonymous More than 1 year ago
Bob, Fabulous recap as always!!! I did enjoy reading it all. You really do make it feel as if I was there experiencing the fun and excitement myself. The iguana thing was clever. I do remember the picture, and that thing was huge. I would have been scared too. :) Looks like we will have another mascot. Annie
bobc More than 1 year ago
Sunday At the end of our dinner last night, Annette, who had won some prizes for her finish in the Ladies Only Tournament, gave one of them to Dan for his daughter. It was an ever so cute stuffed horse and ironically the saddle cloth number was 8. The number of the winner of Saturday's last race, that three incredibly inept?? err I meant astute handicappers failed to select. The ribbing was in Good Taste and We All Toasted to an Incredible Day!!! As I always start my Sundays by going to Mass, I am inevitably late to the track. This year I was very tardy as I had to take Dan to the Airport. He had an early afternoon flight back home. When I picked him up, we were both in Good Humor but there was a bittersweet feeling as well. The time had gone by much too fast. We naturally discussed Saturday's Results and Vowed to Get It Right Next Year. While driving to the Airport, I noticed a sign with a Big 8 printed on it, I pointed it out to Dan and we both let out an audible Groan followed by Laughter. I asked Dan if he had given any thought to what he might say when confronted with Airport Security asking why he had an Iguana and a Horse with Him. Dan just stared back at me. Enough said. We said our Goodbyes at the Airport, wishing each other well, and I headed off to the track. On my way to the track the Sun finally came out. Dan, I state this only as fact, not to imply that you had anything to do with the cloudy skies. LOL I arrived at the track just prior to the 6th race. The usual suspects were hard at work selecting winners. Naturally we began discussing the previous day. One thing about horse players, they may toss their tickets away, but the stories of victories, losses and what might have been only grow with time. It is a beautiful trait. I had not handicapped anything prior to arriving at the track. I was not planning on betting, but strictly going to socialize. I did however decide to purchase a $20 voucher to have a little rooting interest. Juanita, Ernie, Dennis and Laura were all making up for some losses on Saturday. They all nailed the sixth and seventh races. I, on the other hand, just tore up my tickets. Juanita and Ernie had not joined us for dinner the previous night, so I began telling them the story about Annette giving Dan a horse with the number Eight and how ironic it was that we saw a large number Eight on the way to the airport. I happened to glance at the TV and noticed the Eighth race was coming up. I stated maybe the Eight would be a good Hunch bet. As I noted earlier in Friday's recap, I am not much of a hunch player but after looking at my voucher which had $8 left on it, it was a no brainer, which works perfectly for someone in need of a brain. Junita noted that Castellano was on board and so were we. The race went off, Castellano put the horse in a position to Win and Win he did. Boy this is an Easy Game. By the way he paid Eight Dollars and change to win. A little bit eerie if you believe in such things. Laura tried to continue the Hunch success by betting on a Horse named Steve in the next race. He made a big move on the turn but flattened out. Watch for him next out. Just prior to the last race, Laura had the final derby Future Drawing, My Horse and the 2016 Derby Winner is ZULU!!!!!! Thanks again Sharon. As the final race ended, it was time for more Hugs and Kisses. We begin and end our Conventions in the best of ways. Whoever said "Parting is Such Sweet Sorrow" knew what they were talking about. But in reality, it's just closing the chapter on one story and waiting for the next story to begin. I want to Thank Dan and Laura for making this Gathering possible and express my Gratitude to all that attended this years Convention and made this Weekend so Memorable for me. I also want to thank All the Formbloggers out there who could not attend. If not for your posts, Formblog and the Convention would not exist. You all contribute to making Horse Racing much more pleasurable for me. I look forward to meeting you sometime in the future. Until then Remember: FORMBLOGGERS RULE!!!!!!! bobc
mike turfmonstr More than 1 year ago
David mentioned the price increases at DRF.....True enough single copies of formulator are up 45 cents a "copy"....I believe the single copy price is up 45 cents regardless of what you download. For me I don't care.....45 cents is just 45 cents and I don't dowload in chunks, I only download cards I'm interested in beforehand. I stick with one or two tracks.keeps me focused. I don't care about saving money by buying in "blocks". I'd only waste them anyway looking at races I neither care about or intend to bet, boredom can be non profitable. But what I do care about is getting my monies worth. Since the price increase two of the functions of Formulator, giving the scratches and up dated odds have not worked. Scratches I'm not all that concerned with, I mean everyone should know who is running and who isn't regardless, but I do like not having to go back and forth from the betting website to the pp's just to see the odds board. This has been going on threeweeks now. The price increase is what it is and the DRF does not ask me to split my winnings with them so I don't care, but "guys" give me what I pay for....that's all I ask...you can keep the articles I'd rather read Bloodhorse anyway...just give me what I pay for....Mike A