02/17/2016 8:01PM

Huge inner dirt Beyer

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Who is the fastest filly or mare on the Beyer scale thus far in 2016?

Lady Shipman?

Tepin?

La Verdad?

Sunday Rules?

All of those horses have run fast races this year, but PAULASSILVERLINING topped them all with a visually-impressive 106-Beyer romp last week in a six-furlong optional claimer over the Aqueduct inner track.

Paulassilverlining broke nicely from the outside post in the six-horse field and settled just off the 23.29 opening quarter set by MOMAMEAMARIA, a filly that had won her last two starts. Jockey Jose Ortiz pushed the button on the turn and Paulassilverlining took off. She blew past Momameamaria without much effort, completed a half in 46.75, opened up at will turning for home and cruised home 9 1/4 lengths better than even-money favorite ELOQUENT TRIBUTE, a Tapit filly that was second in the Cicada Stakes last year. SUN AND MOON was third followed by Momameamaria, multiple stakes-winner MISS DA POINT and multiple stakes-placed SUSTAINABLE. Paulassilverlining completed the distance in 1:10.59.

This was Paulassilverlining's tenth lifetime start for trainer Michelle Nevin. Her previous Beyer top was the 82 she earned when beaten in both the Busher Stakes and Thirty Eight Go Go Stakes last year.

Can we believe this gigantic number? Was it a one-off occurrence? Or, perhaps, is Paulassilverlining ready to take her game to the next level?

A homebred owned by Vincent Scuderi, Paulassilverlining was foaled in Kentucky on March 21, 2012. She is by Horse of the Year Ghostzapper, one of the fastest horses we've seen in the past 20 years and sire of Grade 1 winners Judy the Beauty, Moreno, Better Lucky, Stately Victor, Molly Morgan, Contested and Starship Truffles.

Paulassilverlining's dam, Seeking the Silver (by Grindstone), was a four-time sprint winner and an extremely successful broodmare. A full sister to stakes-winning sprinter Choctaw Ridge, Seeking the Silver has also foaled two-time Grade 1 Carter Handicap winner Dads Caps and stakes-placed sprinter Liza Too.

Paulassilverlining had a nice 2-year-old campaign in 2014. A second-out maiden winner at Saratoga, she then grabbed the Grade 2 Matron Stakes traveling six furlongs at Belmont. After the Matron, Ortiz told track publicity, "She's a great filly for sprints." Paulassilverlining completed her season with a second-place finish in the Grade 3 Tempted Stakes over a one-turn mile at Aqueduct.

She began her 3-year-old year on the right foot with a game nose win in the $98,000 Ruthless Stakes at six furlongs. "She wants to win," Nevin told track publicity following the race. "She's not very big - she's small, she's stocky, and she's got that little attitude about her. We'd love to try and stretch her out, to see if she can handle it, but right now she seems to have an affinity for sprinting. We'll think things over."

Paulassilverlining did stretch out again and she finished second behind the razor-sharp Condo Commando in the $100,000 Busher Stakes at 1 1/16 Miles. Freshened after that race, she then placed a troubled fourth in the $98,000 Belle Harbor Stakes at Aqueduct on April 26.

Paulassilverlining was sent to the sidelines until mid-November and she couldn't overcome the fleet Hot City Girl's tactical advantage over a speed-friendly Laurel course when third in the $100,000 Safely Kept Stakes at seven furlongs. In her final start of 2015, she failed to see out the one-turn mile in the Thirty Eight Go Go at Laurel, blowing a clear stretch lead and finishing third.

Considering her excellent pedigree and the potential she showed earlier in her career, I'll gamble that Paulassilverlining will become a very useful six-furlong sprinter. She'll likely start next in the $125,000 Correction Stakes at Aqueduct on March 19.

***


Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures from 2/9/16 - 2/15/16:

1. PAULASSILVERLINING - 106 - OC 100k/C -N - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - 11Feb16-8AQU
2. BOLO - 105 - Arcadia Stakes (G2) - 1 Mile (Turf) - 13Feb16-3SA
3. EARLY ENTRY - 104 - Rail Splitter Stakes - 6 1/2 Furlongs - 15Feb16-8GP
4. KID CRUZ - 102 - John B. Campbell Stakes - 1 1/8 Miles - 13Feb16-7LRL
4. SUBTLE INDIAN - 102 - OC 62k/C -N - 6 Furlongs - 13Feb16-5OP
6. PAGE MCKENNEY - 101 - General George Stakes (G3) - 7 Furlongs - 15Feb16-8LRL
6. RELOAD - 101 - Tampa Bay Stakes (G3) - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 13Feb16-10TAM
8. NYQUIST - 100 - San Vicente Stakes (G2) - 7 Furlongs - 15Feb16-5SA
9. DEFER HEAVEN - 99 - Trust Buster Stakes - 7 Furlongs - 15Feb16-4GP
9. TEPIN - 99 - Endeavour Stakes (G3) - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 13Feb16-8TAM
11. FOLLOW ME CREV - 98 - OC 80k/C -N - 1 1/16 Miles - 14Feb16-3SA
11. GRAND TITO - 98 - OC 100k/C -N - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 13Feb16-9GP
13. PENWITH - 97 - Royal Delta Stakes (G2) - 1 1/16 Miles - 13Feb16-4GP
13. WITH EXULTATION - 97 - Old Man Eloquent Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 15Feb16-9GP
15. STONETASTIC - 96 - Miami Shores Handicap - 6 1/2 Furlongs - 14Feb16-11GP
16. DANCING HOUSE - 95 - Barbara Fritchie Stakes (G2) - 7 Furlongs - 13Feb16-8LRL
16. JAMAICAN MEMORIES - 95 - Phoenix Gold Cup Handicap - 6 Furlongs - 13Feb16-8TUP
16. OUTSIDE NASHVILLE - 95 - Lost in the Fog Stakes - 6 Furlongs (Tapeta) - 15Feb16-7GG
16. ROCKED TWICE - 95 - Turf Paradise Handicap - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 13Feb16-4TUP
16. SENSITIVELY - 95 - OC 40k/N1X -N - 6 Furlongs - 13Feb16-4SA
21. DADDY'S BOO - 94 - Mary Todd Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 15Feb16-2GP
22. SPLENDID GOLD - 93 - Alw 57000N1X - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - 12Feb16-6AQU
22. SUDDENBREAKINGNEWS - 93 - Southwest Stakes (G3) - 1 1/16 Miles - 15Feb16-9OP
22. TARA'S TANGO - 93 - Santa Maria Stakes (G2) - 1 1/16 Miles - 13Feb16-8SA
25. JUANSAGAIN - 92 - Clm 16000N3L - 6 Furlongs - 12Feb16-6SA
25. NASA - 92 - OC 35k/N2X -N - 1 1/16 Miles - 11Feb16-8OP

*The lifetime past performances for Paulassilverlining are available at the bottom of this blog post.

***

Video stakes analyses for many of the weekend's major stakes will be available later this week at http://www.drf.com/videos

You can follow me on Twitter @DRF_DanIllman.

Matt Bernier and Mike Beer will be on for free and fun live handicapping analysis for Gulfstream, Fair Grounds, Aqueduct, Santa Anita, Oaklawn and Tampa beginning at 3pm ET on live.drf.com.

***

Here's a message from Laura regarding our 2016 FormBlog Convention at Gulfstream Park:


Last Chance for Hotel Reservations!! 
The Formblog/ThoroFan Convention is on February 19 - 21, less than a month away!  If you want to attend, please contact Laura at lross@imtbreds.com

As usual, our generous benefactor Mike Nyman is giving us a suite complete with temperamental betting machine.  There will be a race named for our group with photo ops in the paddock and winners circle.  Laura will pick up/drop off at the Ft. Lauderdale Airport if you don't want to rent a car.  So far, nobody has been killed or injured during the drive.  Can't decide if you want to attend?  Ask other formbloggers what a great time they had! Most are coming back for more!


***

Congrats to Kenny G. for winning last week's HandiGambling challenge.

We'll go with Saturday's Risen Star Stakes at Fair Grounds for this week's exercise.

PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.

Rick M and SR VEGAS' HG scoreboard spreadsheet is available at the bottom of this blog post.

SR Vegas and Rick M. have graciously decided to update all of the HG rules in order to make them an easier read for everyone...

HANDIGAMBLING version 2016:

Let's remember WHY we began the HandiGambling races in the first place.

The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses and why we're betting them the way we are. We are not asking for a novel but SPARE A SENTENCE OR TWO outlining your HANDICAPPING ANGLES and/or THOUGHT PROCESSES about WAGERING .

1. Start your post with HG or HANDIGAMBLING to find your entry in a thread.

2. You have a mythical $100 to wager in whatever format you choose that is available for that HG race. Anyone going over the $100 limit will be DISQUALIFIED.

3. Post your WAGER and ANALYSIS to the blog prior to the start of the designated race. SIGN OFF WITH YOUR NAME/OR MONIKER AT THE END OF YOUR POST. Remember that posts may start as 'anonymous' or an 'alternate name'. You MUST SIGN YOURSELF AT THE END (even if it is the same) This enables the scorekeeper to identify who you are.

4. (1) ONE ENTRY per person for the Handigambling contest. If you have multiple email addresses, use just ONE for contest purposes. Multiple entries will be cause for disqualification.

5. Separate your analysis from the wager and use the PROGRAM # in your wager. Just like you would do in a real wager. No horse names.

**  In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. Dan reserves the right to approve or deny any entries.

** The winner will receive a "60-Card Quarterly Formulator Past Performance Plan"

As an example :

HG 2016
The speed in this race are #1 Alpha, #2 Beta, and #8 Ocho. I like the works for layoff horse #5 Cinco who can sit off the pace. Lots of speed in here, so this could set up for a closer like  #6 Six Flags and I like the trainer's stats in these conditions. I’ll put the closer over the speed.

HG wager:
$10 EX   6 /   1,2,5, 8  = $40
$5 TRI   6 /   1,2,5,8  /  1,2,5,8  =  $60
Total $100

Thanks Dan!
Harpo

A MORE DETAILED ANALYSIS  IS  ALWAYS  APPRECIATED !

REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.

ALSO, IF THE WINNER WOULD LIKE TO SELECT THE FOLLOWING WEEK'S RACE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM NO LATER THAN THE FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY MORNING (A SATURDAY RACE IS MOST IDEAL)

AttachmentSize
PAULASSILVERLINING.pdf652.52 KB
Copy of HG Campbell 2 13 16.xls50.5 KB
HGRISENSTAR.pdf176.58 KB