07/01/2010 12:41PM

HG 192 (Belmont turf), Top Beyers

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Today's HandiGambling 192 exercise is the sixth race from Belmont Park, a $60,000 maiden claimer for three-year-old fillies at 1 1/16 miles on the inner turf course.

Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."   Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.  Please post your plays and analysis to the blog.  Past performances are available on the previous blog entry.  In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference.  One entry per person please.  I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.

I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place.  The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are.  I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

The turf course is listed as "Firm" and the portable rail is out 18 feet. 

Let's scratch #8 CURLINA and #9 CAT BE NIMBLE.

Please note that #3 CHARMED will race with Blinkers On.

I like #5 THE WEST RIM, a half-sister to Ainamaa (4-20 for 219K, multiple stakes-placed on turf) out of a dam that won a stakes on turf in Ireland.  Last time out, The West Rim showed speed, but was pressured by a 63-1 shot up front.  She put away that foe as well as another pace challenger before ultimately being passed by a rail-skimming rallier.  The sixth-place finisher from that race came back to win a $35,000 maiden claimer on the turf. 
The West Rim figures to be close to another moderate pace in this spot and could sit just off SMARTIE BOBBI's flank going into the turn.  This could be a now-or-never race for The West Rim, a seven-time loser that has gone down to defeat at 7-2 or less in her last five races.  Although perhaps not the most reliable sort in the world, I'll give her the nod.

#4 WON HOT KITTY may be the horse to beat.  She adds blinkers while dropping into a maiden claimer for the first time and she is bred to appreciate the added distance (by Kitten's Joy out of a half-sister to multiple Grade 3 turf winner Sharp Performance).  She exits a key race (second-finisher returned to beat special weights on turf with an 82 Beyer, fourth-finisher beat special weights on grass with an 80), switches to Ramon Dominguez, and looks like she's ideally-spotted here. 

#2 SMARTIE BOBBI improved by leaps and bounds in her first race in blinkers.  The dam was a stakes-placed router and Smartie Bobbie could have things her own way on the front end this afternoon.  She finished ahead of The West Rim when just missing in her most recent appearance, and shows five workouts in preparation for this start for high-percentage trainer Angel Penna Jr.

#3 CHARMED goes two sprints to a route and may show improved speed with today's addition of blinkers.  She found a key race for her debut (winner came back to score an entry-level allowance on grass at Philadelphia Park with 74 Beyer while third-finisher graduated on grass in a $25,000 maiden claimer with 65) and didn't have a smooth start last time.  Improvement is expected.

#1 OLIVE EYE, a half-sister to stakes-placed turf performer Now More Than Ever (5-13, 175K on turf) finished ahead of Charmed last time out in her first start for trainer Joe Lostritto.  She should save valuable ground from the inside post and could work out a nice pace-tracking trip under hot-riding Javier Castellano. 

#7 CHANTILLY G. is out of a half-sister to turf stakes-winner Fiddle and she rallied into a slow pace last time out to finish a neck behind next-out graduate Jazzy Moves (won $35,000 maiden claimer on grass with 75 Beyer).  The pace may not be much hotter today, but she seems to be on the improve for Linda Rice. 

#8 GLORY WIT A STORY is a half to stakes-winning router Bully for You (2-7 on turf, 304K earnings overall).  She didn't do much in her career debut, but was probably in over her head in that fast-paced maiden special weight.  Two horses came out of that race to graduate (fourth-finisher returned to win a special weight on grass with a 70 while fifth-finisher won a special weight on grass at Indiana Downs with a 72). 

I'll play it this way:

$50 Exacta - The West Rim - Won Hot Kitty (5-4)
$50 Exacta - The West Rim - Smartie Bobbi (5-2)

Best of luck to all.

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Here are the top 25 winning Beyers from last week's racing action:

 

Here are the lifetime past performances for the week's highest Beyer earner:

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Back tomorrow with questions, comments, pp requests and some weekend stakes selections.

Cheers,

Dan