06/16/2010 3:00PM

HG 190 (Evangeline maidens)


Tonight's HandiGambling 190 exercise is the third race from Evangeline Downs, a $10,000 maiden claimer for Louisiana-breds at five furlongs.

Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."   Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.  Please post your plays and analysis to the blog.  Past performances are available on the previous blog entry.  In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference.  One entry per person please.  I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.

I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place.  The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are.  I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

I'll post this pre-scratches and changes.

What a skullbuster!

We have 12 runners without much established form and a bunch of questionable first-time starters.  Virtually anything can happen from a mutuel standpoint.

In multi-race wagers like the Pick 3, I'd use my top three choices but still wouldn't feel very confident.

#9 HIGH TORQUE SPRING's best form is at Delta Downs so I'm hoping his recent improvement is due to maturity and not a preference for the Vinton ovall (he was beaten a combined 63 1/4 lengths in two starts against better competition at Evangeline last year).  He has a hint of early speed but I don't think he's as fast as some of the others in here.  Perhaps he can sit just off the pace going into the turn.
Two starts back, he earned a very competitive 45 Beyer after pressing the odds-on winner from the inside.  In his most recent race, he finished third behind a favored winner that returned to finish third in a statebred entry-level allowance at Lone Star (The Divine Tunnel cleared that condition on May 9). 
High Torque Spring drops in with Louisiana-breds and should offer a hint of value in a wide-open race.

#6 IDEDABOSS sheds the blinkers after racing freely against similar competition on a sloppy track on April 14.  He shows a quick gate work (presumably without the blinkers) and has enough tactical speed to be well within striking distance when the real racing begins.  Note that he raced with a bar shoe in his most recent start and only shows that one workout in the last two months (so there are some questions about his fitness).  His usual race should put him in the hunt.

#11 RUNNINGONBROADWAY hasn't raced since August, but he showed good speed in his last two races despite breaking from wide post positions.  There are huge gaps in his work tab, but it may be too early to give up on this gelding.  I'm expecting him to show excellent speed and the trainer/jockey combination has popped with a few nice-priced horses. 

As for the others:

#1 SURPRISE CLAIM ran well three back when dueling a rival into submission only to be run down in the stretch.  He backed off last time out against $5,000 maiden stock, however, after contesting the pace and could get involved in another duel if he hustles from the inside post. 

#2 TABLEROCK is by 4-89 debut sire Abajo, a first-out winner that took seven stakes races at sprint distances.  He is the first foal from a dam went 2-22 for 54K in earnings.  He shows some quick works for a solid barn and needn't be the next coming of Costa Rising to win this weak heat.

#3 EVENING CRISIS is by 1-42 debut sire Out of the Crisis, a son of Forty Niner that won a sprint race from 18 lifetime starts.  The dam went 2-12 for 5K racing exclusively in sprints and this is her first foal. The dam is also a full sister to stakes-placed sprinter  My Superstar and stakes-placed turf sprinter Nolimosforyou. 

#4 DR. ABAJO and #5 MAJESTIC WISH both show improved recent workouts but their running lines look dreadful.

#7 MY LEIGH VY is by 12-185 debut sire Storm Day, a son of Storm Cat that was Grade 3-placed.  This is the first foal from an unraced dam. 

#8 RAINDROPPER placed in his career debut before finding himself in a pair of key races at the Fair Grounds over the winter.  He seems to have some speed and looks well-spotted here.  Why no published workouts in the last 39 days?

#10 ANTE UP THE LAKE adds blinkers after being overmatched against open $20,000 maidens.  He hasn't raced since early April and hasn't posted a workout in 18 days.

#12 SUPREMOS PLAN showed some early speed in two starts at Fair Grounds, but draws outside the other pace factors and could be forced wide going into the turn.

I'm not expecting much, but here goes:

$50 Win-Place High Torque Spring (#9)

Best of luck to all:


Here are the top 25 Winning Beyer Speed Figures from last week's races:

Here are the lifetime past performances of the top Beyer earners:

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