06/09/2010 1:55PM

HG 188 (Off The Turf)

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Today's HandiGambling 188 exercise is the ninth race at Belmont, a $25,000 'N2L' claimer for fillies and mares going six furlongs on the main track.  Please note that this race is OFF THE TURF.

Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."   Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.  Please post your plays and analysis to the blog.  Past performances are available on the previous blog entry.  In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference.  One entry per person please.  I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.

I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place.  The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are.  I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

Again, the race will be run on the main track at six furlongs.  Let's scratch #2 CASA DI VINO, #7 Z CATS MEOW, #8 JUSTINLINE, and #10 GHOUL.  The track is fast as of this writing, but there are thunderstorms in the area. 

I'd go three deep in the final leg of the Pick 4 and Pick 6. 

#12 AQUIT, the lone runner entered for "Main Track Only," looms the horse to beat at short odds.  Every single one of her races are faster than the last dirt start of the rest of the field, she's dropping into a claimer for the first time after chasing next-out 80 Beyer winner (Monmouth allowance) City Broad, and she projects for an up-close trip while racing in the clear. 
There are some negatives as she's only worked twice (both at three furlongs) since April 23, but this field just looks so weak that she seems to have them over a barrel.

#3 TREAT HER RIGHT may be the main speed under Jermaine Bridgmohan.  She's riding a 14-race losing streak, however, and failed to ride an inside, speed-favoring track at Finger Lakes two starts back.  She caught a decent group of 'N2L' claimers that afternoon as the winner was odds-on and the race produced two next-out winners.  Please note that she hasn't gained ground from the stretch call to the wire in her last six races.  Still, it's not bad to be the speed in a poor field and she seems the horse most likely to capitalize if the favorite doesn't fire off the bench.

#1 PEA STONE has yet to cross the wire first (lone victory via disqualification), but she goes third off the layoff and has been well-bet in both of her starts this season.  Her main track Beyers put her in the mix and she has enough tactical speed to work out a solid trip from close to the pace. 

As for the rest:

#4 AURIC GIRL pulled off a big upset for this trainer/jockey team nine days ago, but that race was on the grass and her dirt races aren't very inspiring. 

#5 TOMORROWS ROSES wasn't disgraced against statebreds last time out.  Still, she hasn't shown a strong stretch punch in her last three races.  The slight turnback in distance may work to her favor.

#6 POSEY PARK is hard to recommend off her poor recent form.

#9 GREEN ARROWS is somewhat interesting.  She had a difficult trip last time out so it may be wise to simply draw a line through that race.  Her races two and three back weren't bad, but she'll face open company for the first time this afternoon. 

#10 NIGHT SPIRIT was very late to change leads when a maiden special weight winner over the Tapeta surface at Presque Isle Downs two back.  She bombed in her lone race on dirt, but it must be noted that she was facing tougher company in that Laurel start.  The long layoff is somewhat of a concern and this filly may want a bit more ground to work with.

Here's my HG play:

$50 Exacta - Aquit - Treat Her Right (12-3)
$50 Exacta - Aquit - Pea Stone (12-1)

Best of luck to all.


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