09/10/2008 11:56AM

HandiGambling Test, Some Questions

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Just a random question...does anyone know the Beyer pars for a 35KN2L ckaimer at Belmont on the main track for 3+? :) I don't think my DMR numbers will transfer. :0
Lane


Since January 1, 2003, there have only been two races at six furlongs for three-year-olds and up with a 'n2L' tag between $35,000 and $50,000.  The average winning Beyer for those races was an 85, but that's just too small a sample to draw conclusions. 

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I was looking at the sales results from Keeneland and noticed a few hips that had incredibly low prices, an El Prado, an Awesome Again and an Afleet Alex. As this is a select session, it is my understanding that these horses are chosen for a high level of pedigree and conformation when being placed here. So, please if someone here knows the answer, How could these horses sell in the $10-15,000 range? There were a few other hips under $100,000 but those 3 were the lowest.
Turn Back the Alarm


There is one crucial variable which you are failing to consider: soundness. When you see incongruously low prices for yearlings with attractive pedigrees, especially in the first book, you can bet that they failed to vet out. The (remarkable) truth is that many expensive yearlings have questionable vet outs (chips, iffy throats, etc.), so, needless to say, the truly inexpensive ones are very dicey propositions.
Tinky


I agree with Tinky.  The first day of the Keeneland September meet is a boutique sale, and it's all or nothing.  The athletic, good-looking, pedigreed yearlings that pass all the vet tests will go for seven-figures.  Nobody wants to spend that kind of money on a horse with a perceived flaw. 

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Dan,
My filly R Betty Graybull won at Belmont in Sunday's 5th race.  I thought the victory was rather impressive and the time wasn't too shabby for NYB MSW.  Any chance you could post her Beyer for that race? 
Thanks, and I really love reading this blog!
Sedonia

Sedonia,
Your filly ran a 73 bsf.
Steve V

After a very tough trip in her well-bet debut, R Betty Graybull had a much easier journey en route to the impressive maiden score.  It looks like she has talent, and she may be able to factor in some statebred stakes races down the line.  Congrats!

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Dan! April Frost had a workout @ Keeneland! She was working steady in March and April but never raced. I almost deleted her from the watch list. Any info on what injury she may have had?
TOM. D


It's good to see her back on the tab, but she's probably a long way from racing.  Considering her layoff, she may be worth watching for the first race or two before you bet her.
I haven't heard anything specific concerning an injury, but I'll let you know if I find out more information.

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Dan,
Do you have any information on Hi Flyin Indy (A.P. Indy-Go For It Lady by Mr. Prospector) and American Dance (A.P. Indy-Quiet Dance by Quiet American). Who is their trainer; breeder; when will they make their debut? Any information is appreciated.
Thank you.
Calvin Carter


Hi Flyin Indy (A.P. Indy - Go For It Lady, by Mr. Prospector) was bred by Dumar Horses, LLC  and was foaled in Kentucky on March 14, 2006.  He sold for $725,000 to Sheikh Mohammed at last year's Keeneland September yearling sale.   He is a half-brother to Grade 3 sprint winner Spring Meadow. I believe he is trained by Kiaran McLaughin, but am not 100% sure.  Hi Flyin Indy is a product of the A.P. Indy - Mr. Prospector 'nick,' one of the most potent crosses in the game, and it looks like he has been working in company with Keep Thinking (A.P. Indy - Denebola, by Storm Cat), an unraced juvenile that Darley purchased for $2.4M last September.
American Dance (A.P. Indy - Quiet Dance, by Quiet American) was bred in Virginia by Edward P. Evans, and was foaled on April 15, 2006.  He was withdrawn from last year's September sale. 
Again, I'm not 100% certain, but I believe Todd Pletcher is the trainer.  American Dance is a half-brother to multiple Grade 1 route winner Saint Liam, and Grade 3 winner Congressionalhonor.
Both horses should be set to debut in New York in the next few weeks.

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Dan,
Some homework for you, or others if you know. Whatever happened to a couple good turf milers from last year: Remarkable News and Trippi's Storm?
cayman01

Remarkable News was retired following last year's Breeders' Cup, and was slated to enter stud at Ilala Stud in Australia.  He injured a stifle, however, and was forced to miss the entire 2008 breeding season.  If he recovers in time, he should be ready for the 2009 Southern Hemisphere season.
Trippi's Storm hasn't worked or raced since the Breeders' Cup.  A gelding, it's possible that he'll return to the races, but I don't have any further information on his status.

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Hi Dan, love the blog.
I'm a huge Kodiak Kowboy fan since way back to last years Juvi.  Have not seen any works for him since the Kings Bishop. Do you know if he is ok?  Are they trying for the BC Sprint with him?  Prep in the Phoenix maybe?
Cheers

PhilS

Larry Jones told Jack Ireland of The News Journal that Kodiak Kowboy is still on tap for a run in the Breeders' Cup Sprint.  Jones is looking at either a prep race at Belmont, Philadelphia Park, or Turfway.

http://www.delawareonline.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080830/SPORTS09/808300342

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Talk to you tomorrow.

Take care,

Dan