04/06/2012 2:14PM

HandiGambling 277 (Keeneland Optional Claimer)

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Friday's HandiGambling 277 exercise is the eighth race at Keeneland, an optional claimer for 4-year-olds and upward at about seven furlongs on the polytrack.

REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT CSERVICE2@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.

PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.
 
Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."
 
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.
 
Please post your plays and analysis to the blog.

PLEASE GIVE YOUR NAME OR BLOG MONIKER AT THE END OF THE HG PLAY AND/OR ANALYSIS.
 
Please separate the play from the analysis and label the play "HG" with the program numbers (instead of the horse's name) for easier scoring.

In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. One entry per person please.
 
I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.
 
I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

Best of luck to all.

***

As of this writing, there are no changes.

This is a fascinating race because many of these old war-horses have battled back from significant injuries. 

#9 SUCCESSFUL DAN may be the most talented horse in the race, but he hasn't started since being disqualified from first in the 2010 Clark Handicap (G1) at nine furlongs.  Now six, the gelding has only raced eight times in his career due to nagging suspensory issues (missed a year earlier in his career as well).  He is a perfect 3-3 over the Keeneland polytrack, however, and has run well fresh (won his maiden sprinting here in 2009).  Trainer Charles Lopresti has nursed Successful Dan through his problems, but one must wonder if this race is merely a prep for bigger and better (and at slightly longer distances) down the road.  According to the "Keeneland Clocker Report" for April 3, Successful Dan "was just galloping, looks good on the track." If he comes back the Successful Dan we all remember, he's going to be very tough to beat.  I can't let him beat me in multi-race wagers.

#2 CAPT. CANDYMAN CAN missed all of 2010 with a knee chip.  He won the Sir Shackleton Handicap to kick off his 2011 campaign, but returned lame following a third-place finish in the Grade 3 Aristides Stakes at Churchill Downs on June 4.  He's kept top company on dirt in his three subsequent races (Apriority, Force Freeze, Caleb's Posse, Calibrachoa, Emcee, etc.) and has the recency advantage over some of his top competition this afternoon.  He has yet to win on synthetic, but ran well to be second in the 2009 Phoenix over this polytrack and he excels at this seven-furlong distance.  He gets class relief and will make his third start of the form cycle today.  Capt. Candyman fits well here.  If he gets some pace to attack, he could prove very dangerous.

#7 GOLDEN YANK was originally going to be pointed to the 2011 Clark Handicap following a last-to-first win in the $100,000 Unbridled Stakes on turf at Louisiana Downs on September 10.  That plan didn't come to fruition, however, and he was sent to the sidelines.  He won sprinting in his career debut way back in 2007, but has mostly been a middle-distance performer for trainer Gary Thomas.  I wouldn't be surprised if he shows some more speed in this spot as he should be fresh off the bench, but will he be ready to go a demanding seven furlongs off only a single slow six-furlong work in the last 23 days?

#1 NICANOR, a full brother to Kentucky Derby winner Barbaro, hasn't raced since finishing fourth in the $60,000 Island Sun Stakes on grass at Belmont on May 12.  He can be a handful coming out of the gate and I'd like to see Rajiv Maragh put this guy on the front (all of his lifetime wins have come in wire-to-wire fashion).  There doesn't appear to be much speed in here and Nicanor may take them a long way for underrated connections.  Don't count him out.

When #4 STEVE'S DOUBLE was in form, he failed to parlay a perfect trip into victory in the Grade 3 Red Bank in 2009.  Now, he hasn't raced in over two years.  Who knows what we're going to get?  He won the Grade 3 Perrvyille over this course and trip, but that was almost five years ago.  I'm inclined to give him a race.

#8 A DIEHL made up late ground in his first start of the year and should improve switching back to synthetic.  He won here during the fall meeting for Rusty Arnold, but is a one-run closer at the mercy of race and pace luck.  If he gets hot fractions to attack, he could impact this at a price.  Whether he'll get enough pace is the major question.

#3 HOOFIT made his reputation by winning the Grade 3 Phoenix during the fall meeting.  We could probably forgive his three subsequent bombs as he didn't have a good trip in the Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint and found two turns beyond his scope in both Florida races this year.  Turning back in distance and returning to synthetics should wake this gelding up a bit, but he's another that wants some pace up front.

#5 RESCUE SQUAD will make his first sprint appearance this afternoon as he's been plying his trade going long on turf and synthetic for Shug McGaughey.  A perfect 2-2 over this track, he could be using this as a prep for a longer race later in the meeting.  According to the "Keeneland Clocker Report" for April 4, Rescue Squad "finished well on his own." He figures to be lagging behind early in the hope of swooping down on the field late. 

#6 NOBLE'S PROMISE underwent ankle surgery after finishing seventh as the favorite in the Presque Isle Downs Mile on September 9.  He didn't do much running in the "FormBlog Convention" race at Gulfstream on March 11, but that was only his first race back and he didn't break well from the gate. According to the "Keeneland Clocker Report" for March 31, Noble's Promise was "was not asked for effort." He won the Grade 1 Breeders' Futurity over this course in 2009, but is a bit of an in-and-outer.

Tough, tough race.

Selections:
1. Successful Dan
2. Capt. Candyman Can
3. Golden Yank

The HG Play:
$50 Exacta:  Successful Dan - Capt. Candyman Can (9-2)
$50 Exacta:  Successful Dan - Golden Yank (9-7)

jimi More than 1 year ago
ssabaeskcalb>>big day for Baffert with 5 maidens or nw2 in including Paynter. i've got him winning coinflips. ;)
Dick W More than 1 year ago
Byanose Great job in the HG race ! Dick W
Dick W More than 1 year ago
Dan Congrats on a fine job of handicapping and wagering ! Dick W
Curtis V Slewster More than 1 year ago
Keith L., C'mon Keith...That reply 2X's to you was by design. I prefaced it that way. I wanted to make you feel impotent{sic}...LoL..#1.... You are right about the HG. I didn't think both the #9 & #2 would both run bang up. Either or, not both. Had the wrong long shot is right. Keeneland has never been good to me except for Maiden races. I seem to get excited every year about the meet, butts: I've learned to take it easy there. Too many horses coming from everywhere. #2.. I never get flustered......#3... I can make it to the Big A. in about the same time it takes me to go to Penn National. No traffic lights. I'm also about equal North as the Big A. Anything else ? Did I miss something ? Rofl............If I did I'm sure you'll remind me...Yeah !! I saw all your one liners......Hansen ? Ghost ? LoL..........
Keith More than 1 year ago
Yeah...you missed th Narive Dancer. LOL!
Keith More than 1 year ago
Ha ha ha! I got the Slewster so flustered he hit the reply button twice last thread. LOL! Keith L.
Thomas More than 1 year ago
Dan, Congrats on your Exacta Spartan Tom
Keith More than 1 year ago
10c: back to the goose eggs for me again, thank you very much! Geeze, and I know Dan loves the sprints, but we sure coud use a dirt route as an HG race, sooner the better! Congats to Longshot Dan! 58-1 in the Place hole for the Exacta Key wager. Nice. And the winner of the 6th Race MSW at the 7f distance was Yankee Gentleman's 3 yo COCKTAILS WITH DAN to go along with the 8th Race's SUCCESSFUL DAN. I know you had both covered with win wagers, right? Curt V,: W had the idea, just the wrong longshot in our slewster with the AP.And to think you got snookered by a Native Dancr, ha ha ha! Should have listened to Dan, and given him a race. Looked like the jock was under instructions to give him a shakeout run only. The bumping early on didn't help either. Keith L.
Anonymous More than 1 year ago
dan great bet brother-exacta 9-7-211.80--you got over 5g's impressive!!!congrats
Piranha PE More than 1 year ago
Hey Annie R5 SA There's your protected from claim layoff angle again. Best case scenario for me.
Curtis V Slewster More than 1 year ago
Hey Piranha, Is that supposed to mean something ? Really....I guess I'll just leave it at that too..
Piranha PE More than 1 year ago
Just that was nasty of you-but its not my battle, and that I learned my lesson about writing something feisty- walk away and come back 10 minutes later. I didnt think it was that cryptic-It was directed at me as much as you-Hope you're cashing some tickets today.