06/04/2011 12:25PM

HandiGambling 236 (Woodbine off turf)

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Today's HandiGambling 236 exercise is the fifth race at Woodbine, a maiden special weight for fillies and mares at 1 1/16 miles on the polytrack.  This race has been washed off the turf. 

Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."

Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.

Please post your plays and analysis to the blog.

Please separate the play from the analysis and label the play "HG" with the program numbers instead of the names of the horses.  

Past performances are available at the previous blog post.

In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference.

One entry per person please.

I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.

I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

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Again, we are OFF THE TURF.   

Let's scratch #1 HOLY ACADEMY, #3 SENSE OF PRIDE, #4 UNBRIDLED OVERTURE, #6 ELEGANT AFFAIR and #10 ASTRO RULER

#1A POWERFUL SARAH will be ridden by Tyler Pizarro.

#9 ELUSIVE LAND is 2 lbs. overweight. 
 

#7 BIANCO TARTUFO, a $400,000 yearling purchase, was favored over the quality filly Biofuel in her career debut at two, but went on the shelf for almost a year following her runner-up finish. Bianco Tartufo is a half-sister to Into My Soul, a multiple stakes-placed grass runner (11-2-2-2, $101,057, 2-9 on turf), but her dam, Stop Traffic, excelled on the main track, winning a pair of Grade 1 races.  Bianco Tartufo will go third off the bench with improving Beyers on display, but has never gained late ground in her career and now must stretch out.  She projects for a good pace-tracking trip just outside of the speed and shows some quick recent workouts.  She may not be a star, but doesn't have to be to graduate here.

#1A POWERFUL SARAH looks interesting.  Powerful Sarah hasn't been out since last August, but re-introduces the blinkers and may be one of those late-developing fillies.  She's a half-sister to the stakes-placed turf performer Gladiator Queen (17-2-2-2, $128,618) and her two grass races last year are better than they look on paper.  In her career debut at Fort Erie, she showed no speed, but made up late ground after spinning widest into the stretch.  Two back, in a maiden claimer at Woodbine, she was checked from in between horses in midstretch.  It doesn't look like she has much speed so she could be at the mercy of the pace.

#5 LA BELLE BEAR has been well-bet in all of her races and now makes her third start of the year for trainer Reade Baker.  La Belle Bear is a half-sister to Blue Storm (16-7-2-1, $72,280, stakes-placed sprinting on dirt) and Howsitgoinghotshot (33-6-6-4, $152,496, stakes-winner sprinting on dirt) and the dam was a stakes-winner on the main track.  La Belle Bear has some speed and just missed to next-out winner Northern Coast on May 11 (that one returned to win a $40,000, N2L claimer with a 77 Beyer).  She could control things up front and looms a contender.

As for the others:

#2 FIELD OF CLOVER, a $32,000 claim last season goes third off the layoff, but finished behind La Belle Bear last time out.  She should appreciate the added distance as a half-sister to Pool Play, a long-winded Grade 3 winner over the polytrack.

#11 MIRIMICHI BABE raced three wide for most of the way two back, but still received a respectable figure on the grass at Gulfstream.  She drew a tough outside post, but has kept solid company and ran well on polytrack earlier in her career at Keeneland. 

#8 NUEVO DINERO is a first-time starter by Stephen Got Even (38-356, 11% with debut runners).  The dam won on grass and is kin to the good turf runner Marlang, but this barn doesn't show promising numbers with debut runners and the workouts fail to entice.  She may need one.

#9 ELUSIVE LAND is a firster by Holy Bull (54-672, 8% with debut runners) out of Forever Land, the winner of the Grade 3 Astoria sprinting on the dirt at two.  Elusive Land goes out for top connections and is kin to multiple stakes-winner Touch Dial (9-3-5-0, $366,328) and Grade 3-placed router Forever Rush (57-14-13-6, $364,244).  This one was offered at auction twice ($55,000 RNA as a yearling, $25,000 RNA last year).  If the early money starts chirping, I may listen.

Here's how I'll play a very confusing and competitive HandiGambling event.

$50 Exacta:  7-1A
$50 Exacta:  7-5

Best of luck to all.

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For detailed video stakes previews, please click on the below link, scroll down to the "Weekend Warrior" section and click on the stakes name.

http://www.drf.com/news/weekend-stakes-preview-videos

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More importantly, who do you like this weekend?  I want to know.

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Next week's HandiGambling will be the Belmont Stakes

SR Vegas More than 1 year ago
BSB I get it...it's like looking at a doseage profiles. ..Well, kinda' . Let's use Zenyatta as an example : DP = 6-3-14-1-0 (24) the 6-3 shows she would have forward speed (if she ever used it, lol!) the 14- that she has classic distances in her pedigree the 1-0 ...anything in these two slots would show stamina over a distance. It's how I would (in layman's terms) pick out a potential of a horse. or Goldikova : DP = 9-6-18-0-3 (36) 18 - a large# for classic distances. the -0-3 ..that she would have stamina over a distance. Seattle Slew : DP = 7-6-4-5-0 (22) Evenly weighted across all first four . Of course the math and how it is caluculated by Chef-de-race for the DI , and CD are also revelant. Anyway, that's how I interpret them based on the Chef-de-race.com profile I printed out (2007) , I still use it as a guideline, especially for maidens or first time/second time starters. WHEN I have the time to break down the DP. ..I look for higher numbers in the first two slots, and a high total point count. ie: for Breeding. Now , this is not a win angle , but when following maidens and 1st -2nd time starters at short distances like 4 1/2 - 5 1/2F (a few years back, I called it my 'Juvenile system') ...and some may remember it ( Uncle Steve?) ...it did get me 30% ITM runners. I think now, if I use Uncle Steve's maiden progression notes from his TB INK site, and add this ...it would be interesting to see what results come up. IF I have the time :) I would urge anyone interested to check out their tutorials. And although the information has changed some since I printed my notes, they are another source of information. Oh well BSB, thanks again for the Dam information, as I can use that as a new avenue to explore.
cow pattie More than 1 year ago
HG Belmont You snoozzze You lozzze.... 100Extractor 9 Animal Kingdom 10 Mucho MM
Whackymacky More than 1 year ago
Wednesday notes: For those who follow the blog, money can be made on Monday and Tuesday. Delaware Park: My girl Rosie kicked home a few winner's liked I said she would. Liked my best bet of the day. Race #3 #6 at $5.20 to Win Race #6 with the #4. FTS at $16.20 and $5.00 in the middle. The other 2 ran out with a gate scratch in the finale. She had 2 big days back to back. She was on some LIVE RUNNERS!!!! Watch for these angle's and you can build up the bankroll for the weekend!!! WTG Rosie. You made me $$ and looked great doing so. Whackymacky Out!!!
Ron Zuercher More than 1 year ago
Ends and odds Lga Tony So, who won? What were the final odds? What did you do? Curious minds want to know. Ned Daly It is possible to pick fit and ready racehorses just off of looks. Not recommended to be the only way. Now look for muscled hindquarters, dappling and attitude, not just on their toes. A lot of horses are on their toes. Some of them are "choppy", not good in my book. A quick leg up and slower down, kind of like a prance but they are nervous. A lot of good lookers run out front and tire. Especially "fresh" horses which have been off for some months. Good job and good luck. Whackymacky Hey, I'm glad you won Monday and Tuesday and I am happy for anyone who wins. My recollection tells me that one time you suggested to us Formbloggers to take Monday and Tuesday off to regenerate. Maybe you are taking Wednesdays and Thursdays off instead. p ensign I used to also purchase the 3 card daily plan when I wasn't following too closely. It was a good option. They have now "forced" me into the 100 cards for $150. With that I get 10 replays per card and some other tricks. I'm happy with it and think it is a good buy for me now that I am following much more intently. Van Savant I purchased my Transmission Electronotote Microscope back in 1979 for $29.95, but it came with a Daily Racing Form holder which I still use to this day. The TEM is used to store my racing stuff, potatoes and apples now. Those were the days, when the DRF would sell guaranteed systems to make $10,000 a month for $39.95 or your money back! Now they are just pushing Merlin. Must be nice. BSB If you see 2,3, or 4 quarks acting the same way, but coming from different directions on the Electrontote. How do you handle that?
meathead01 More than 1 year ago
Whackymacky wtg macky your the king of wp wagers on the blog I believe Mh01
blackseabass More than 1 year ago
SR Vegas , my pleasure totelly ! Yeah it seems like that carries some weight, at least in certain races. Its like a recipe. The 1s & 2s are the main ingredient (the class). You spice that with some stamina and some speed say maybe 8s 9s & 13s. Voila !! Sweet & Sour Racehorse. Kinda. Sometimes the dish gets contaminated with E.Coli or something like that and even though you have used good ingredients the dish can't run a lick. Meathead , The entries just say W. Morey . That could be big or little Bill. They are both good trainers. I'll get the form and give you an opinion on the horse . I do believe Big Bill trains Bold Chieftain who has invaded SoCal for scores. I'm pretty sure they have probably both knocked off a couple of wins over the years with an invader. Maybe they want it to get claimed ? I'll look at it in the form. Mike A , yeah Birdstone too. I think Lemon Drop stopped on the way to try the peter pan but that might not be right so he might have done it as well. Of the Derby horses that are running I do believe that Uncle MOH was taken out of his game the most. That was LSD's fault. He gave Uncle MOH the kiss of death. LOL. Just kiddin' LSD . Don't abandon Uncle MOH completely just yet. You might have been right one race to soon. He only ran the last little part while altering course and visually finshed up with more energy than the other also rans even though he was in a 3 way bob for 5th. He could concievably get a better trip tracking a slow european pace from closer up. If he made the same kind of move from closer range it could send him right past Shack, Prime Cut,MMM ? At that point if Shack backed up just a little , PC kept plodding along like he does (or vice versa) and MMM started Zigging & Zagging like he sometimes does it might make it harder for Nehro & Animal & whoever to get past and take aim on Uncle MOH. Uncle MOH might spurt away and try to hang on. Of C-horse those are a lot of ifs, coulds & mights and if most of them don't happen then MOH is running for 2nd like the dream said .
blackseabass More than 1 year ago
MikeA , he did it on grass too. Is there something that makes California grass not as good ? Like the Fluff and the SA fwy. Comparing a horse with 5 stakes wins on 3 surfaces at 3 tracks to a horse with 2 stakes wins on one surface over one track ? Equating a 1 turn 9f with a 2 turn 9f time wise ? I wish he would go elsewhere . Maybe he'd go off a price because of the unbelievers. Personally I wouldn't equate him with Bid or Dr. at this moment butts... Bid & the Dr. have been beyond the rockin' chair for years !! He doesn't have A Bid or Dr. to beat. The bumbling Giant , The Duke, The Spy & those other Dudes ain't exactly Tom Fool. He only has to beat the horses on the grounds. In Twirly's Goodwood loss he was behind Richards Kid ,Crown of Thorns ? & Dakota Phone. Four weeks later Dakota Phone went past the Met mile winner like he was tied to a post in a one turn mile. I guess the people didn't like Dakota Phone because he was running on fluff and he was only running 2nd and 3rd in crummy races like the Big Cap and Goodwood and he never ran a one turn mile.( to be honest I had tiZway 1-2 ! LOL. I had DP in the mix though butts... that bum tiZway ran about 5th ) Richards Kid might have gotten better because of synthetic or because he liked the weather better or he could have been an example of the proverbial 5yr old that got good. Like Vigors or John Henry or Borrego or or or. He might be another Lawyer Ron . Very good btween 8 & 9 f. We don't know that yet though and that SA hdcp. is not a good example of anything but a race to put a line through in the PPs. CurtV, No bute could pose a problem. Like Rail Trip maybe. They might have to wean him off of it and on to cobra venom substitute or whatever they're using in NY. LOL.
SR Vegas More than 1 year ago
Bill Davis The 5th race at Woodbine was last weeks HG excersise. Race was Saturday 6/5/11 :) results: http://www.drf.com/race-results/WO/CAN/2011-06-04/D ...at the end of Dan's thread here, he indicates that The next HG will be The Belmont Stakes. Good Luck! 'omphou ving'
James Mc More than 1 year ago
Mike A: I think it was Ron Z who pegged you as Woody's kith and kin. As far as I've read about the old bastard, in old SI articles, etc., he sounds awesome. Anyway, I'm definitely planning on being there Saturday and maybe Friday too. It's really one of my favorite races, even though I trash talk NYRA so much (think they deserve 95% of it). It's been mostly good, although in '99 I took my new girlfriend (she's now my wife) a vegetarain and a devout animal lover, and had to try and explain in the funereal silence after Charismatic's breakdown that racing wasn't a savage and vicious bloodsport. She surprised me the way she immediately saw Antley's jumping off and holding the horse's broken leg as a heroic act. We were both very grateful that the horse survived. 2003 was a particularly miserable slopfest, with legions of college kids so drunk that they were puking on the train to the track at 11AM, everyone booed Bailey as he galloped Empire Maker back by the stands...'98 was awesome (Victory Gallop gets his just revenge), cashed Sarava spectacularly in 02, loved watching Big Brown and Smarty fail (I'm of the school that wants the horse who finally does win the TC to be really, really great..), nailed Drosselmeyer last year, 2000 was despicable (Commendable has to be the worst Grade 1 winner in racing history), Summer Bird winning was great. Wouldn't miss it for the world.
Curt V. More than 1 year ago
Mikey, You expressed concern that you believed the great Doctors' {as in Fager}, mile world record on Dirt, in 132.1 @Arlington in 1968, might have been broken..Well, as far as I can see, it was basically tied in 2003 @Belmont, by Najran, in 132.24{132.1 by today's clocks}.. That aint bad, considering the weight differential...in Fager's favor......I say Najran.......WHO ? If anybody else has a further update, please advise........Just when you thought he.............??????????? All things considered, it aint all that bad being the 2nd greatest horse of all time, behind the horse who raced in 1978 w/only one {1} jugular vein.......SEATTLE SLEWSTER..........imagine what he would have done w/2 jugulars.........Now, thats a differential of magnitudanal significance....... No BUTTS: about it........
SR Vegas More than 1 year ago
And They're off!! ..'other ' MKB entries this weekend. So WHAT if they are not in The Belmont Stake or undercard :) I'm sure their MKB owners are just as thrilled and proud. Good Luck! Hollywood Park 6/11 100K GIII Affirmed Handicap at 1 1/16M ANNIE's - Awesome Patriot BALTIMORE BRIAN's - Coil VICSTU's - Runflatout http://www.drf.com/race-entries/HOL/USA/2011-06-11/D/7 50K MSW at 1 1/16 M HAIRY's - Dynamize http://www.drf.com/race-entries/HOL/USA/2011-06-11/D/6 ------------------------------------- Monmouth Park 6/11 75K Rumson Stakes at 7F SR VEGAS's - Razmataz ----------------------------------
Bill Davis More than 1 year ago
$100.00 to WIN on $5 La Belle Bear , 3rd off layoff for Reade Baker!!!