10/28/2010 3:17PM

HandiGambling 207 (Charles Town maidens)


Today's HandiGambling 208 exercise is the sixth race from Charles Town, a maiden special weight for juvenile fillies at 6 1/2 furlongs.

Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan." Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified. Please post your plays and analysis to the blog.  Past performances are available at the previous blog post.  In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. One entry per person please. I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.

I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

I'm posting this early so don't have the track condition or any late changes. 

For now, let's scratch - #8 FLO JO'S AFFAIR and #11 VALID VISION.

On the original overnight, jockey J. D. Acosta was listed on both the #2 GLACKETY and the #5 SHORT HILL KIT KAT.  Acosta ended up aboard Glackety, and that's where I'm going to be for this week's HandiGambling exercise. 
Glackety is a half to Southern Fiction, a stakes-winner at one mile on both dirt and turf.  A horrible disappointment in New York for Dogwood Stables, Glackety improved in her first start over the Charles Town oval in October 7.  After being bumped at the start, she was hustled up along the inside into a contending position, finished evenly to finish third, and galloped out past the runner-up.  The winner of that race was an odds-on favorite, and Glackety may show improved speed stretching out around two turns for the first time in her career. 

#3 SHORT HILL KIT KAT owns the best Beyer Speed Figure of this group, and she earned it when fourth in a statebred stakes race at 4 1/2 furlongs no October 16.  Like Glackety, she chased a heavily-favored winner in her most recent start, and wouldn't be a surprise at all at this additional distance. 

Those are the two that I would use in multi-race wagers like the Pick 4.

As for the rest,

#1 ABOVE THE FOREST draws an advantageous inside post position, but just hasn't shown much in two previous starts.  She finished far behind Glackety on October 7, and must face that rival once again here.

#3 PAGAN PRIESTESS is by Oratory, the winner of the Grade 2 Peter Pan at 1 1/8 miles with a 114 Beyer Speed Figure.  Oratory is 3-30 with juvenile debut runners.  This barn certainly wins their share of races, but Pagan Priestess will have to navigate two turns for her career debut, and has yet to work five furlongs. 

#4 STELLA M, also by Oratory, is out of Your So Fine, a debut winner that finished second in the seven-furlong Broadway Handicap with an 85 Beyer Speed Figure.  There isn't a published workout in the last 23 days. 

#6 TREZ ships in from Delaware after trailing a field of five throughout in her caerer debut.  The dam won her second start by nine lengths at two, and finished second that year in the Polly Drummond Stakes at 1 1/16 miles.  The winner of that sloppy Delaware race on September 27 returned to finish fifth in the restricted Small Wonder Stakes at Delware with a 56 Beyer.  Trained by high-percentage conditioner, Stephanie Beattie, Trez is eligible to improve.

#7 MISS QUICK PUNCH showed good speed in her first start around two turns, and figures to be pushing the pace once again.  Still, the presence of Glackety may make it hard for her to establish a clear early advantage ala the September 29 race, and the three horses to come out of that race all failed to hit the board next-out (34 Beyer top).

#9 PERFECT RULER has some angles in her favor as she adds Lasix for the second lifetime try.  She raced very greenly in her career debut when finishing behind Miss Quick Punch and can move forward off that effort.  She wouldn't be the worst exotics play in the world.  

#10 STORMY PASS is by Deputy Storm, a multiple stakes-winning sprinter with a 105 Beyer top.  From his first crop, Stormy Pass is 2-11 with his first-time starters.  There are lots of gaps on the tab, however, and she'll have to overcome the far outside post position.

Honestly, I have no idea if Glackety will go off at 8-1 (his morning line odds) or 8-5.  

I'll play this HandiGambling very conservatively.

$50 Win-Place - Glackety (#2)

Best of luck to all.