05/27/2009 3:13PM

HandiGambling 135

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Tonight's HandiGambling 135 exercise is the seventh race from Woodbine, a non-winners of two lifetime allowance race for Ontario Sired runners.

Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."   Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.  In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference.  Past performances are available on the previous blog entry.

I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place.  The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are.  I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought process about wagering, it would be appreciated.

I found this a very difficult race to handicap.  You have several "proven losers" in the field, and both the morning line favorite and second choice are exiting the maiden ranks.  I landed on three win contenders and a dangerous colt that I'm going to try and beat (perhaps foolishly).

Mr. Foricos Two U (#8) is a lightly-raced gelding that has really improved with the addition of Lasix.  He makes the third start of the form cycle after pairing up Beyer tops, and the quick recent workout allays fears of a bounce.  Still, he's a recent maiden winner stepping up in class, and I just don't think those kind of horses are great win plays, especially when trying a new distance for the first time.  Mr. Foricos Two U doesn't have to be the next Northern Dancer to win this, however, and obviously deserves respect.

Full of Wisdom (#5) is an interesting longshot.  Although a 6-year-old with 21 losses to his name, Full of Wisdom has run some competitive races.  He set a pressured pace over a closer-friendly polytrack three starts ago only to fall three-quarters of a length shy at the wire.  His first start of the year wasn't very encouraging, but it's possible that the long-winded gelding was simply prepping in that sprint spot.

Cianorte (#3) won his maiden at this distance, then didn't do much sprinting in two subsequent starts against open company.  He stretches back out for his second start of the form cycle, and is expected to improve off his most recent race, his first in a little over five months.  With several maiden graduates and 1-20 types in the field, Cianorte doesn't look that outclassed despite failing to crack the super in both tries against winners.

I'm going to toss Wildcat Fashion (#7), but that may turn out to be a big mistake.  He battled hard on the lead over a closer-friendly surface in his only previous try at this distance before understandably tiring late.  Perhaps he was a bit rusty off the layoff last time out, and he can be a forward factor in this spot.  I'm just not sure if this distance is ideal for him (son of D'Wildcat may want shorter), and he could face pressure if he wants to go to the front.  He can certainly win, but I'm going to try and beat him at 4-1 or less.

Celerity's Summit (#1) earned his diploma in his final start of 2007, and hasn't done much against winners.  I wouldn't be surprised if he guns to the front as he stretches out from the rail in his third start of the form cycle, but he figures to face at least token pressure on the lead.  He hasn't gained ground from the stretch call to the wire in any of his races against winners, and looks to be in tough once again.

Hi Ho Ciano (#2) won his maiden after chasing swift fractions at six furlongs, and he can be a solid pace factor here.  He's not a proven loser, but is untested against winners, and this is his first start around two turns.  He isn't the worst stab in the world if the price is right.

One Adam Twelve (#4) is the morning line favorite going out for potent connections, and he seems to have figured out the game with the addition of blinkers.  That last race was a big one in his first start of the year, and he must prove himself going long and against winners.  He's logical on paper, but may be an underlay, and he does have some questions to answer.

Diplomatic Impact (#6) neded 12 tries to win his maiden, and he'll now try to make it two in a row despite stepping up in class off a solid layoff.  I thought the polytrack really favored closers on December 4, and Diplomatic Impact made up twenty lengths to win that day.  A good pace works to his favor, and I like to see the five straight five-furlong workouts, but this may be too much to ask off the bench.

September Square (#9) boasts a turf win, and he made up some ground at a huge price sprinting last time out.  He has run well in prior second-off-the-layoff appearances, but is 10-0-0-1 on polytrack, and doesn't seem very dependable.


I'll play it like this, but without much confidence:

$16 Exacta Box - Cianorte (#3), Full of Wisdom (#5), Mr. Foricos Two U. (#8) = $96

$4 to get into the Finish Line Bar