12/31/2014 4:17PM

Gulfstream horses to watch

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Let's close out 2014 by catching up on some Beyer lists, questions, and more.

*SPEECHIFY is a sprinter to watch for Team Valor International and trainer Ralph Nicks. The Harlan's Holiday colt closed out his 4-year-old campaign with a solid victory in the Grade 3 Mr. Prospector Stakes at Gulfstream Park on December 27, and has yet to run a bad race sprinting on dirt.

A $90,000 yearling RNA, Speechify is out of the multiple stakes-placed router Preach It (by Saint Ballado), a half-sister to Grade 2 Peter Pan Stakes winner Oratory. Speechify's second dam, Arrested Dreams (by Dehere), won 8 of 12 starts at distances ranging from 5 furlongs to 1 mile. She took four stakes races, finished second by a nose in the Grade 1 Matron, and earned a career-best 102 Beyer Speed Figure.

Speechify didn't face the toughest field in the world in the Mr. Prospector, but he looked good polishing off his seven rivals as the 9 to 5 betting favorite. His rider, Paco Lopez, moved Speechify into the clear to stalk the leaders 3 wide on the turn, and he finished straight and strong to score by 1 1/4 lengths over the multiple stakes-placed Risk Factor. Speechify completed the six furlongs in 1:09.54 and received a career-best 103 Beyer Speed Figure.

From six starts sprinting on the dirt, Speechify boasts a record of 5-1-0 with his only defeat coming on December 14, 2013 at the hooves of Happy My Way, a gelding beginning a six-race triple-digit Beyer streak that included a victory in the Grade 3 Maryland Sprint Handicap and a runner-up effort in the Grade 1 Alfred G. Vanderbilt Handicap.

Speechify is remarkable because he runs so well despite suffering from a restricted esophagus. He isn't able to eat solid food and survives on what his connections call a "soupy mash." 

Barry Irwin, founder and CEO of Team Valor International, told Gulfstream publicity that his sprinter has come a long, long way.

"Every time I think of this horse," Irwin said. "I remember the first day he went up to Fair Hill (Training Center) and we told the trainer who used to have him up there, ‘Do not put any straw in this horses stall. Put sawdust.’ He put straw and the horse nearly choked to death. We had to take him to the hospital. It was scary."

"What he has with his throat has to be dealt with as long as he’s alive," added Nicks.

Not only does Speechify have issues with his throat, but he missed most of 2014 after undergoing surgery to repair a condylar fracture to his right front leg.

Racing fans can surely root for a horse like this.

 

*Keep an eye out for RACE DAY, a Tapit colt out of a half-sister to five-time Grade 1 winner Lite Light. Trained by Todd Pletcher, Race Day destroyed eight others in an 'n2x' optional claimer around a one-turn mile at Gulfstream on December 21.

Race Day was a $120,000 RNA as a Keeneland September yearling, and made his first four starts in Kentucky for trainer Kellyn Gorder. An 83-Beyer winner of a muddy-track maiden race at Keeneland on October 3, Race Day wheeled back the following month to beat winners at Churchill Downs with an 86 Beyer.

Following that effort, Race Day was purchased for $285,000 at the Keeneland November auction, and sent to Pletcher. His first start for Todd was eye-catching, to say the least.

Sent away the narrow 2 to 1 favorite, Race Day and jockey John Velazquez tracked the leaders from a tight spot in between horses. He found the inside late on the backstretch, split horses to take the lead on the turn, and drew off under a hand ride. Race Day romped by 8 1/2 lengths in 1:36.72. He received a career-best 101 Beyer Speed Figure.

"He showed a lot of courage for what he did and how tight we were going to the half-mile pole,” Velazquez told track publicity after the race. “When I let him run, he responded right away. I just gave him his head, and he took off.”

Expect to see Race Day in stakes action next time out.


*Speaking of Pletcher, his LIAM'S MAP passed a huge class test in his first start around two turns when a game winner of the $100,000 Harlan's Holiday Stakes at Gulfstream on December 13. The 11 to 10 favorite in the field of eight, Liam's Map pressed CSABA'S early pace, made the front entering the turn, and was immediately confronted by the talented VALID. Those two warriors threw it down for the final three furlongs with Liam's Map coming out a half-length better after engaging in a bumping battle in the stretch.

Liam's Map raced the 1 1/16 miles in 1:42.51, good enough for a whopping 112 Beyer and the role of likely favorite for the Grade 1 Donn Handicap on February 7.

***

Here are the top WINNING Beyer Speed Figures from 12/9/14 - to 12/15/14:

1. LIAM'S MAP - 112 - Harlan's Holiday Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - 13Dec14-9GP
2. DOUBLEDOWN AGAIN - 104 - OC 80k/C -N - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - 10Dec14-8AQU
2. MICROMANAGE - 104 - Queens County Stakes - 1 1/8 Miles (Inner Dirt) - 13Dec14-8AQU
4. COUSIN STEPHEN - 99 - OC 25k/N2X -N - 1 Mile - 14Dec14-8PRX
4. NORTH OCEAN - 99 - Clm c-20000 - 1 1/16 Miles (Inner Dirt) - 14Dec14-5AQU
4. SUNBEAN - 99 - Louisiana Champions Day Classic - 1 1/8 Miles - 13Dec14-4FG
7. SCHOOL SPIRIT - 98 - OC 30k/C - 6 1/2 Furlongs - 13Dec14-8DED
8. GOOD DEED - 97 - OC 62k/C -N - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - 14Dec14-7FG
8. MERRY MEADOW - 97 - Sugar Swirl Stakes (G3) - 6 Furlongs - 13Dec14-3GP
8. MSHAWISH - 97 - El Prado Stakes - 7 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - 13Dec14-8GP
8. TOO DIM - 97 - Louisiana Champions Day Sprint - 6 Furlongs - 13Dec14-7FG
12. ENCHANTRESS - 94 - OC 75k/N1X -N - 6 Furlongs - 13Dec14-1GP
13. GANTRY - 93 - Alw 40120C - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - 11Dec14-6FG
13. I'M STOKED - 93 - OC 62k/C - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - 15Dec14-8AQU
13. OCEAN KNIGHT - 93 - Md Sp Wt 60k - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - 13Dec14-2AQU
13. SMASH AND GRAB - 93 - OC 40k/C -N - 6 Furlongs - 10Dec14-8LRL
13. U. S. S. O'BRIEN - 93 - Golden Beach Handicap - 1 Mile - 10Dec14-9GP
18. FLAT BLACK - 92 - Alw 43300NC - 6 Furlongs - 12Dec14-7RP
19. ATLANTIC'S SMILE - 91 - Alw 67000N1X - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - 12Dec14-8AQU
19. A TOAST TO YOU - 91 - OC 62k/N2X - 6 Furlongs (Tapeta) - 12Dec14-6GG
19. MARBRE ROSE (IRE) - 91 - South Beach Stakes - 7 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - 13Dec14-10GP
19. REAL APPEAL DEAL - 91 - Alw 40000NC - 1 Mile 70 Yards - 13Dec14-7RP
19. STRING KING - 91 - Louisiana Champions Day Turf Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 13Dec14-9FG
19. VOODOO SPELL - 91 - Alw 38000N1X - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - 11Dec14-8FG
25. CLASSIC SALSA - 90 - Clm 25000N3L - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - 10Dec14-7AQU
25. CU CHULAINN - 90 - OC 25k/N2X -N - 6 1/2 Furlongs - 15Dec14-8PRX
25. DENZEL - 90 - Clm c-7500N4L - 6 Furlongs - 14Dec14-9PRX
25. LOOK QUICKLY - 90 - Alw 42265NC - 6 Furlongs (Tapeta) - 14Dec14-3GG
25. ROJO VERDE - 90 - OC 100k/ - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - 12Dec14-3TAM
25. SOUPER LUCKY - 90 - OC 32k/N3X -N - 7 Furlongs - 11Dec14-8LRL
25. TAKEN BY THE STORM - 90 - OC 40k/N2X -N - 1 1/16 Miles (Polytrack) - 14Dec14-8TP

*LIAM'S MAP's lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.

*NORTH OCEAN was claimed for $20,000 by trainer Michael Miceli from Linda Rice.

*DENZEL was claimed for $7,500 by trainer Keith Nations from Ramon Preciado

***

Here are the top WINNING Beyer Speed Figures from 12/16/14 - to 12/22/14:

1. PETEIZUM - 101 - Alw 8000s - 6 Furlongs - 21Dec14-6PRX
1. RACE DAY - 101 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 1 Mile - 21Dec14-6GP
3. GRAND CONTENDER - 99 - Buddy Diliberto Memorial Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - 19Dec14-7FG
3. ROCKET TIME - 99 - Tenacious Stakes - 1 Mile 70 Yards - Fair Grounds - 21Dec14-8FG
5. BAMA BOUND - 97 - OC 40k/N3X -N - 6 Furlongs - 20Dec14-8PRX
5. CINCO CHARLIE - 97 - Sugar Bowl Stakes - 6 Furlongs - 20Dec14-1FG
5. R LIMO JOE - 97 - Md Sp Wt 34k - 5 1/2 Furlongs - 19Dec14-5GP
8. MORE THAN A PARTY - 96 - OC 16k/N1X -N - 6 Furlongs - 18Dec14-9GP
9. ARIPEKA - 95 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 7 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - 18Dec14-8GP
9. GRANDE SHORES - 95 - OC16k/SAL12k - 6 Furlongs - 18Dec14-1GP
11. BEYOND COMPARE - 94 - OC 40k/N2X - 1 1/16 Miles - 19Dec14-3FG
11. GHOST IS CLEAR - 94 - OC 50k/C -N - 6 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack) - 20Dec14-7TP
13. SIETE DE OROS - 93 - Alw 25000s - 7 Furlongs - 22Dec14-4PRX
13. STORMY NOVEL - 93 - OC 32k/N3X -N - 6 Furlongs - 17Dec14-6LRL
15. CUTTY SHARK - 92 - OC 25k/N1X -N - 7 Furlongs - 19Dec14-7LRL
15. HAMMERS TERROR - 92 - Clm 35000 - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 17Dec14-5GP
15. POWER ALERT (AUS) - 92 - Alw 38400NC - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - 21Dec14-9GP
15. RIVER RUSH - 92 - OC 25k/N2X - 1 1/16 Miles - 19Dec14-8LRL
15. SKY FLIGHT - 92 - Tropical Park Derby - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 20Dec14-8GP
20. CASSATT - 91 - Tiffany Lass Stakes - 1 Mile 70 Yards - 21Dec14-6FG
20. DORTMUND - 91 - Los Alamitos Futurity (G1) - 1 1/16 Miles - 20Dec14-8LRC
20. HUGHES THE DADDY - 91 - Clm 12500(12.5-10)B - 6 Furlongs - 18Dec14-5FG
20. NIGHT MANEUVER - 91 - OC 40k/N2X - 6 Furlongs - 20Dec14-6FG
20. STORM POWER - 91 - Hank Mills Sr. Handicap - 1 Mile - 20Dec14-7TUP
25. BLUEGRASS SINGER - 90 - OC 75k/N1X -N - 1 Mile - 17Dec14-9GP

*The lifetime past performances for PETEIZUM and RACE DAY are available at the bottom of this blog post.

***

Here are the top WINNING Beyer Speed Figures from 12/23/14 - to 12/29/14:

1. SALUTOS AMIGOS - 109 - Gravesend Stakes - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - 26Dec14-3AQU
2. PURPLE EGG - 105 - OC 100k/C -N - 7 Furlongs - 26Dec14-9GP
3. SPEECHIFY - 103 - Mr. Prospector Stakes (G3) - 6 Furlongs - 27Dec14-9GP
4. SHARED BELIEF - 99 - Malibu Stakes (G1) - 7 Furlongs - 26Dec14-8SA
5. ACES HIGH - 98 - Md Sp Wt 39k - 1 Mile 70 Yards - 26Dec14-6FG
6. DIVINE OATH - 97 - W. L. McKnight Handicap (G3) - 1 1/2 Miles (Turf) - 27Dec14-10GP
7. DISTINCTIV PASSION - 96 - Midnight Lute Stakes (G3) - 6 1/2 Furlongs - 27Dec14-5SA
8. DREAM SATURDAY - 95 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 1 Mile 70 Yards (Inner Dirt) - 27Dec14-8AQU
8. SONGA - 95 - OC35k/SAL25k - 7 Furlongs - 23Dec14-3GP
10. LET'S GET CRACKIN - 94 - Clm 12500(12.5-10.5)N4L - 6 Furlongs - 27Dec14-4PEN
11. BETTYS BAMBINO - 93 - Daytona Stakes (G3) - About 6 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - 28Dec14-8SA
11. MARV IN LAFITTE - 93 - OC 35k/C -N - 5 1/2 Furlongs - 28Dec14-3FG
13. ALERT BAY - 92 - Mathis Brothers Mile (G2) - 1 Mile (Turf) - 26Dec14-7SA
13. BRASS PEAR - 92 - Alw 57000N1X - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - 28Dec14-6AQU
13. COUGAR RIDGE - 92 - Clm 25000(25-20) - 1 Mile 70 Yards - 27Dec14-6FG
13. IRISH MISSION - 92 - La Prevoyante Handicap (G3) - 1 1/2 Miles (Turf) - 27Dec14-8GP
13. LUCKYSDREAM - 92 - Clm c-40000 - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - 26Dec14-7AQU
18. AMEN KITTEN - 90 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 28Dec14-8GP
18. NEXT SPEAKER - 90 - Clm 25000(25-22.5) - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Tapeta) - 26Dec14-7GG
18. SNAKE PIT - 90 - Clm c-40000 - 1 1/16 Miles (Inner Dirt) - 27Dec14-4AQU
21. FRIVOLITY - 89 - OC 62k/C - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - 26Dec14-8AQU
21. PUT IT FORWARD - 89 - OC16k/SAL12k - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 26Dec14-6GP
23. BOLO - 88 - Eddie Logan Stakes - 1 Mile (Turf) - 27Dec14-6SA
23. CATALINA RED - 88 - Pasco Stakes - 7 Furlongs - 27Dec14-9TAM
23. FAST CITY - 88 - OC c-30k/C - 5 Furlongs - 23Dec14-6DED
23. JOHN'S ISLAND - 88 - Alw 67000N1X - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - 27Dec14-6AQU
23. LIBBY'SLUCKYCHARM - 88 - OC50k/SAL50k - 7 Furlongs - 23Dec14-9GP
23. MICKS MIRACLE - 88 - Md Sp Wt 57k - 6 1/2 Furlongs - 26Dec14-4SA
23. PEPNICK - 88 - Clm 40000(40-35) -  About 6 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - 28Dec14-6SA
23. SUE THEM ALL - 88 - OC c-25k/N2X - 1 Mile 70 Yards - 23Dec14-8PRX

*The lifetime past performances for SALUTOS AMIGOS are available at the bottom of this blog post.

*LUCKYS DREAM was claimed for $40,000 by trainer David Jacobson from Todd Pletcher.

*SNAKE PIT was claimed for $40,000 by trainer David Jacobson from Chad Brown.

*FAST CITY was claimed for $30,000 by trainer Eric Heitzmann from Karl Broberg.

*SUE THEM ALL was claimed for $25,000 by trainer Patricia Farro from Keith Lebarron.

***

Dan,
I have found the feature Bet This, Not That to be quite informative. Unfortunately I did not save the early pieces and wonder if there is a way to get the entire compilation?
Thanks.
mpm101


Here are some links for these informative handicapping articles:

Latest one on Santa Anita (DRF+)
http://www.drf.com/news/premium/bet-not-trainer-angles-santa-anita

Archive (DRF+) http://www.drf.com/news/mike-hogan

Latest one as free PDF:  http://bit.ly/BetSA

***

Salutos is a monster in the Mud. 3 of my favorites now off to a stud career. Would like to compare the records of Alpha, Mucho Macho Man and Will Take Charge if you could post the lifetime PP's.
Derbyologist

The past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.

***

The annual Gulfstream Formbloggers Convention is tentatively scheduled for Friday, February 28 - Sunday, March 1, 2015. I'll be working on getting hotel discounts at the Hampton Inn, across from the track.
I can pick up/drop off at Ft. Lauderdale airport, as it's about 15 min. away and you don't need to rent a car.
Every year, Dan joins us for handicapping fun, and contests. Gulfstream has provided a private suite and gift bags in the past, plus we have other swag from Breeders' Cup, etc. The "regulars" can attest that a fantastic time is had by all.
If you'd like to be on the mailing list for information as I receive it, please email me at lross@ironmaidensthoroughbreds.com
Laura

I'm really looking forward to it and hope to see as many of you as possible. The Formbloggers Convention is always great fun and Laura does a tremendous job handling all of the arrangements.

***

Annie and SR Vegas have compiled "The 2015 MKB Book of Kentucky Derby Prospects." I have attached it to the bottom of this blog post. Enjoy!

***

You can follow me on Twitter @DRF_DanIllman.

The video previews for the weekend graded stakes races will be available later in the week at the following link:

http://www.drf.com/videos#stakes-previews


***

Congrats to Rick for finishing first in last week's HandiGambling tournament.

Rick M's scoresheet is available at the bottom of this blog post.

On tab 2 you will see each HG Race we've held and they are color coded to denote if the race was run on Turf, Dirt or Poly.

Let's go with Saturday's Jerome Stakes at Aqueduct for this week's event.


PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.


SR Vegas and Rick M. have graciously decided to streamline all of the HG rules in order to make them an easier read for everyone...

With so many new people attending Dan's Formblog we thought it would be a good time to update the Handigambling Guidelines and Rules as we go forward in 2014.

Let's remember WHY we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses and why we're betting them the way we are. We are not asking for a novel but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

HANDIGAMBLING:

-  Please start your post with  HG or HANDIGAMBLING to better recognize and find your entry.

-  You have a mythical $100 to wager in whatever format you choose and that is available for that HG race.
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.

- Post your WAGER and ANALYSIS to the blog WITH YOUR NAME/OR MONIKER AT THE END OF THE POST.  Remember that posts may start as 'anonymous' or an 'alternate name'. You MUST sign yourself at the end (even if it is the same) This enables the scorekeeper to recognize you .

- (1) ONE ENTRY per person for the Handigambling contest. If you have multiple email addresses, use just ONE for contest purposes.  Multiple entries will be cause for disqualification.

- Separate your analysis from the wager and use the horses # in your wager. Just like you would do in a real wager. No horse names.

-In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. Dan reserves the right to approve or deny any entries.

- The winner will receive a "60-Card Quarterly Formulator Past Performance Plan"

As an example :

HG 2014
The speed in this race goes to  horses # 1, 4 ,6 ..Ennie , Meenie, and Mo
Since it's a sprint I don't see any closers catching them.. like # 9 Miney.
I think trainer Groucho with the #6 Mo has the best stats in this condition, route to sprint.. just a gut feeling at large odds ML 20-1

HG wager
50$ Ex box 1-6
total $100

Thanks Dan!

Harpo
---------------------------------

A MORE DETAILED ANALYSIS IS ALWAYS APPRECIATED !
 
REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.

ALSO, IF THE WINNER WOULD LIKE TO SELECT THE FOLLOWING WEEK'S RACE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM NO LATER THAN THE FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY MORNING (A FRIDAY RACE IS MOST IDEAL)

AttachmentSize
LIAM'S MAP.pdf611.2 KB
RACEPETE.pdf726.23 KB
SALUTOS AMIGOS.pdf724.1 KB
AlphaMachoCharge.pdf775.42 KB
2015 MKB Bio Document.pdf373.07 KB
Copy of Formblog Gulfstream Claiming 12-12-14.xls78 KB
HGJEROME.pdf151.81 KB