05/08/2012 4:10PM

Groupie Doll + Successful Dan = Big Beyers

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I'LL HAVE ANOTHER deservedly received the headlines for his victory in the Kentucky Derby, but a couple of salty older runners made their mark under the Twin Spires as well.

GROUPIE DOLL toyed with a field of quality older filly and mare sprinters in the Humana Distaff.  The daughter of Bowman's Band raced seven furlongs in track record time of 1:20.44 while 7 1/4 lengths to the good of Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Sprint heroine MUSICAL ROMANCE.  It's not like Musical Romance didn't fire, either.  She was 5 1/4 lengths in front of third-place finisher MAGICAL FEELING and was trying hard to the end.  Watching Musical Romance dig deep and not gain ground gave me the same feeling as when Boys At Tosconova ran his heart out to no avail when second-best behind Uncle Mo in the 2010 Breeders' Cup Juvenile. It was the feeling that a good horse was being trounced by a freakish performance.  Groupie Doll received a 112 Beyer Speed Figure and has racked up quite a campaign for trainer "Buff" Bradley.  In five starts this year (2-2 with blinkers), she finished three-quarters of a length behind Boys At Tosconova when trying males, placed third behind the top-class Awesome Maria in the Grade 3 Sabin Stakes at Gulfstream, finished a close third to Musical Romance in the Grade 2 Inside Information and won the Grade 1 Madison in her final prep for the Humana Distaff.  She has proven effective on dirt and polytrack at distances ranging from 6 1/2 furlongs to 1 mile and looks like an early candidate for the Filly and Mare Sprint at Santa Anita.

SUCCESSFUL DAN is simply a loveable warrior.  His career has been derailed on two occasions due to suspensory injuries, but when Successful Dan is feeling his oats, he is one tough racer.  In the Grade 2 Alysheba Stakes, Successful Dan put up a 110 Beyer for his underrated trainer, Charles Lopresti, despite being bumped a bit at the start and being forced to go all-in to run down a razor-sharp FORT LARNED (coming off a track-record performance in his own right). Successful Dan broke the track record for 1 1/16 miles with his clocking of 1:41.04.  Like his celebrated younger half-brother, Wise Dan, Successful Dan is a winner on dirt and synthetic.  Wise Dan also is a graded stakes winner on grass and Lopresti mentioned that he might like to try Successful Dan on the lawn in the near future.  If, and it's a big if considering Successful Dan's injury history, Successful Dan stays healthy, we could have two 'Dans gearing up for the Breeders' Cup.

MORNING LINE may have found a home in Southern California for new trainer John Shirreffs.  The winner of the Grade 1 Carter Handicap last year, Morning Line was sidelined with knee chips after a dismal performance in the 2011 Whitney Handicap.  Making his first start since the Whitney in the Grade 2 Mervyn LeRoy Handicap, Morning Line zipped right to the front en route to a half-length score over the solid PRAYER FOR RELIEF.  The Mervyn LeRoy was Morning Line's first start over a synthetic surface and the versatile colt (wins at distances ranging from seven furlongs to 1 1/8 miles) may provide some new life to the handicap division out west.

He's not Preakness-bound, but LOMAX made an eye-catching debut at Mountaineer Park last week.  Trained by Jeffrey Radosevich, the 3-year-old son of Burning Roma won by 23 1/4 lengths in a six-furlong maiden special weight.  Lomax received a 96 Beyer Speed Figure and appears stakes-bound.  He's a full brother to Roma's Gal, a stakes-placed miler at Calder, and both sire and dam won around two turns. 

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Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures from last week's races (4/30/12 - 5/6/12):

1.  GROUPIE DOLL - 112 - Humana Distaff (G1) - 7 Furlongs - Churchill Downs
2.  SUCCESSFUL DAN - 110 - Alysheba Stakes (G2) - 1 1/16 Miles - Churchill Downs
3.  EMCEE - 107 - OC 50k/N2X -N - 7 Furlongs - Belmont
4.  MORNING LINE - 106 - Mervyn LeRoy Handicap (G2) - 1 1/16 Miles (Cushion Track) - Hollywood
5.  ADMISSION - 104 -  OC 40k/N1X -N  - 1 1/16 Miles (Cushion Track) - Hollywood
6.  SHACKLEFORD - 103 - Churchill Downs Stakes (G2) - 7 Furlongs - Churchill Downs
7.  LITTLE MIKE - 102 - Woodford Reserve Turf Classic (G1) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Churchill Downs
8.  CONTESTED - 101 - Eight Belles Stakes (G3) - 7 Furlongs - Churchill Downs
8.  I'LL HAVE ANOTHER - 101 - Kentucky Derby (G1) - 1 1/4 Miles - Churchill Downs
8.  JUSTIN PHILLIP - 101 - OC 75k/N3X -N - 6 Furlongs - Belmont
8.  TAYLOR SAID - 101 - John Longden 6000 Stakes - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Hastings
12. BELIEVE YOU CAN - 100 - Kentucky Oaks (G1) - 1 1/8 Miles - Churchill Downs
12. CASH FOR CLUNKERS - 100 - Heatherten Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - Belmont
14. GREAT ATTACK - 99 - Twin Spires Turf Sprint - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - Churchill Downs
15. HUNGRY ISLAND - 98 - Churchill Distaff Turf Mile - 1 Mile (Turf) - Churchill Downs
16. ESSENCE HIT MAN - 97 - Vigil Stakes (G3-C) - 7 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Woodbine
16. MACHO MACHO - 97 - OC 75k/N1X -N - 7 Furlongs - Churchill Downs
16. TEDDY'S PROMISE - 97 - Time To Leave Stakes - 5 Furlongs (Cushion Track) - Hollywood
19. BET THE POWER - 96 - Alw 57764N2X - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Churchill
19. LOMAX - 96 - Md Sp Wt 17k - 6 Furlongs - Mountaineer
19. MISSISSIPPI MAN - 96 - Alw 20000s - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - Meadowlands
22. SERUNI - 95 - OC 100k/C -N - 1 Mile (Turf) - Churchill
22. SILVER MAX - 95 - American Turf (G2) - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Churchill
24. RENEESGOTZIP - 94 - Alw 57000N2X - 6 1/2 Furlongs (Cushion Track) - Hollywood
24. WINTER MEMORIES - 94 - Beaugay Stakes (G3) - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Belmont

*GROUPIE DOLL'S lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.

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NOTABLES ON THE WORKTAB (4/30/12 - 5/6/12):

*ALL STAR HEART (Splint right front leg) - 6F (turf, dogs) - 1:15.00H - Hollywood - May 6
*CASUAL TRICK (breathing problems) - 5F - 1:04.01B - Saratoga (training track) - May 5
*EGG DROP (tibia) - 4F - 47.00H - Hollywood -  May 3
*JOHN JOHNY JAK (Colic surgery) - 3F - 35.40H - Hollywood - May 3
*MIDNIGHT INTERLUDE (shockwave therapy, vet's list) - 4F - 48.00H - Santa Anita - May 3
*PACIFIC OCEAN (undisclosed) - 5F - 1:06.65B - Aqueduct - May 5
*PRESIOUS PASSION (Throat surgery) - 6F - 1:15.60BG - Monmouth - May 5
*STARS TO SHINE (condylar fracture) - 4F - 48.40B - Woodbine - May 4
*SURREY STAR (heat in suspensory ligaments right front leg) - 5F - 1:00.80H - Santa Anita - April 30
*TRICKMEISTER (cracked heels in behind) - 6F - 1:13.69B - Aqueduct - May 5
*ZAZU (inflamed shoulder) - 7F - 1:28.60H - Hollywood - May 5

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My wife recently purchased a beautiful thoroughbred that never made it to the races as a pleasure horse. I have never been so amazed-the wonderful temperment, the ease with which he trasformed into a kind and calm soul. I was wondering if you could post the PPs of his sire-Intidab and his dam-Buddy's Dinasha. Thank You
jack_straw21

The past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.

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Hello Dan,
Would you be able to provide the past performances for Delineator? He was one of the first horses I used to follow when I first got involved in the game @ Bay Meadows. Any thoughts where I can pull some videos of him as well?
Thanks
alex

Delineator's past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.

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Congrats to yuwipi for finishing first in last week's HandiGambling exercise.

Penn National Rick's results spreadsheet from last week (due to high volume of entries, winning wagers only) is available at the bottom of this blog post.

Let's go with Friday's seventh race at Hollywood for this week's race. 

REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.

PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.
 
Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."
 
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.
 
Please post your plays and analysis to the blog. 

PLEASE GIVE YOUR NAME OR BLOG MONIKER AT THE END OF THE HG PLAY AND/OR ANALYSIS.
 
Please separate the play from the analysis and label the play "HG" with the program numbers (instead of the horse's name) for easier scoring.

In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. One entry per person please.
 
I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.
 
I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

Best of luck to all.

AttachmentSize
GroupieDoll.pdf58.27 KB
IntidabBuddy'sDinasha.pdf74.08 KB
Delineator.pdf47.58 KB
HG-Derby Revised.xls26.5 KB
HG.PDF150.82 KB