09/11/2014 10:30PM

Giwner: Weekend stakes thoughts

Email

One of my favorite cards of the year is New York Night of Champions at Yonkers Raceway. While it is typically littered with heavy favorites, there can often be more value than initially meets the eye.

In 2013 there were seven odds-on horses in the eight $225,000 finals and only one of them came through for the chalk bettors. So although many of the favorites seem like locks, let’s not crown them as champions of the Empire State prematurely.

Also, consider that bettors love the number 1. They see horses who lead at every call because they may have faced some softer competition in preliminary legs and they assume these horses are unbeatable. When it comes to these Sire Stakes finals, most connections are aiming for this night the entire year. While you want to win every race, this is the prize they have been eyeing. That leads to a few horses stepping up with peak efforts on the big night.

Yonkers Raceway   

Then of course you have the driver changes. Put $225K on the table and all of a sudden the trainer hops out of the bike for a top pilot. These horses often get overbet and allow for juicy overlays on very good contenders.

Some of the interesting horses I’m going to keep an eye on come Saturday searching for overlays are Barn Doll (race 2), It Was Fascination (race 3), My Little Delight (race 4), Southwind Masimo (race 8), and Flyhawk El Durado (race 9).

You can watch the action LIVE and see or read my analysis on our event page: http://www.drf.com/events/harness-nyss-night-champions-yonkers

Yonkers isn’t the only track hosting a championship night for statebreds. Balmoral Park is offering eight races with purses of $100K-plus for Illinois breds ranging from ages 2 to 9. They even have a $50,000 guaranteed pick four commencing in race 11.

Even with the above action certainly warranting attention, Mohawk Racetrack is where the best of the best, both equine and human, will be setting up shop on Saturday night. Four stakes worth over $300,000 each are on the card with no match-up more anticipated than Hambletonian winner Trixton facing off against Father Patrick.

For all those Trixton fans out there, let me make it clear that Father Patrick will win on Saturday unless something extraordinary occurs. I believe Trixton is a fine horse with plenty of ability. I believe he will even improve as he continues to develop. But everything I’ve seen from Father Patrick tells me he is the better horse. If by some chance Trxiton goes off the favorite, my recommendation is to bet with both hands on Father Patrick.

One final weekend stakes note . . . on Monday Harrington Raceway hosts the $220,000 Bobby Quillen Memorial for older pacers. It is certainly no fault of trainer Ron Burke, but having a race with five uncoupled Burke horses competing against two uncoupled Linda Toscano-trained horses and one lonely Nick Surick trainee hardly seems like exciting racing. 

 

Beverley More than 1 year ago
up to I looked at the check saying $4286 , I didn't believe that my mom in-law realey receiving money parttime at their computer. . there friends cousin has done this for under twenty two months and resently cleared the dept on there condo and purchased Chevrolet . official website,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, www.YuJobs.Com
Pagani Zonda More than 1 year ago
Love Trixton. Good luck!
Jack H More than 1 year ago
No shot is a ziollion years Trxiton goes of the favorite. Takter is a human anchor in the bike. Would love to see Tetrick on Trixton. Then you could think about a bet.
Blaine MacMillan More than 1 year ago
Tim Tetrick has not been the same this year as in previous years. Yannick Gingras has literally driven past him in every aspect of the game. And having said all of that, Trixton with human anchor Takter in tow and all, is still gonna beat Father Patrick and YG. Trixton is the better horse...
Jack H More than 1 year ago
Blaine I appreciate your passion for a horse you like. We all have them. My question. Can you name me one time that Trixton has beaten F Patrick? A do not mention the Hambo. I know he won the race. But the only horse that beat F Patrick that day in NJ was himself. Event JImmy in the winners circle said F Patrick is the better horse. And he sees the two of them in the barn or on the track every day.
Blaine MacMillan More than 1 year ago
Trixton will win the Canadian Trotting Classic...