07/08/2015 6:09PM

Getting good again

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BRADESTER, profiled briefly in the September 17, 2014 edition of this blog (http://www.drf.com/blogs/catching-3), is rounding back into form.

The good Bradester showed up last Sunday in the $150,000, Grade 3 Salvator Mile Stakes at Monmouth. Breaking from post position two in the seven-horse field, Bradester prompted the pace set by longshot FABULOUS KID through an opening quarter in a tepid 24.42. Outsider COUP DE GRACE advanced three wide on the backstretch to prompt the two leaders and the half was completed in 47.61.

From there, it was all Bradester. He shrugged off Fabulous Kid and Coup de Grace, made the lead and rail on the final turn, and kicked clear from the sharp RED VINE to prevail by two lengths in 1:35.32 (109 Beyer Speed Figure).

Chasing Bradester under the line were Red Vine (stakes-winner), VALID (Grade 2 winner), DON DULCE (stakes-winner), FABULOUS KID (multiple stakes-placed), favored RACE DAY (Grade 2 winner) and Coup de Grace (Grade 2 winner).  It was a good field that Bradester vanquished although he did have the benefit of staying close to the slow pace.

Trainer Eddie Kenneally removed blinkers for the Salvator Mile and the equipment change really seemed to help the 5-year-old son of Lion Heart.

"He went a little too quick early last time and that cost him," Kenneally told track publicity following the Salvator Mile. "I took the blinkers off this time because of how aggressive he was last race and it paid off. We will look to most likely run him back in the Monmouth Cup (Grade 2, August 2) next.”

Bradester finished second to Valid in last year's Monmouth Cup following a runner-up try in the Salvator Mile. He had a really good season in 2014, winning the Grade 3 Mineshaft Handicap at Fair Grounds as well as the Grade 3 Ack Ack Handicap at Churchill Downs.

The Ack Ack put Bradester on my radar screen, and I was extremely disappointed that he returned to bomb in the Grade 2 Kelso Handicap on September 27. He was cold on the board in the Kelso, rushed up to prompt a multi-horse pace dispute and tired very badly.

Bradester was expected to run in the Delta Mile in November. Instead, he was freshened for the remainder of the year before emerging in the 2015 Godolphin Mile for his seasonal debut. That was a tough spot for a horse returning from a layoff and Bradester never fired.

As Kenneally mentioned in his quote, Bradester was very eager in his stateside return, an optional claimer on the Kentucky Derby undercard, and finished third behind longshot AGENT DI NOZZO.

From a sprint-oriented female family, Bradester is a legitimate Grade 2/Grade 3 type at distances up to 1 1/16 miles. It wouldn't surprise if he runs another good race in the Monmouth Cup.

***

Here are the WINNING Beyer Speed Figures from 6/30/15 - 7/6/15:

1. BRADESTER - 109 - Salvator Mile (G3) - 1 Mile - 5Jul15-10MTH
2. EFFINEX - 107 - Suburban Handicap (G2) - 1 1/4 Miles - 4Jul15-9BEL
3. BIG BLUE KITTEN - 105 - United Nations Stakes (G1) - 1 3/8 Miles (Turf) - 5Jul15-11MTH
3. PRIVATE ZONE - 105 - Belmont Sprint Championship (G3) - 7 Furlongs - 4Jul15-11BEL
5. FAVORITE TALE - 104 - Smile Sprint Stakes (G2) - 6 Furlongs - 5Jul15-11GP
5. SPEIGHTSTER - 104 - Dwyer Stakes (G3) - 1 Mile - 4Jul15-7BEL
7. SMOOTH BERT - 102 - Clm 25000 - 6 1/2 Furlongs - 5Jul15-7BEL
8. GIMME DA LUTE - 101 - Los Alamitos Derby (G2) - 1 1/8 Miles - 4Jul15-8LRC
9. SUPER MAJESTY - 100 - OC 40k/N$Y -N - 6 Furlongs - 5Jul15-8LRC
10. MERRY MEADOW - 99 - Princess Rooney Stakes (G2) - 6 Furlongs - 5Jul15-10GP
10. RED RIFLE - 99 - Dominion Day Stakes (G3-C) - 1 1/4 Miles (Polytrack) - 1Jul15-8WO
12. GO BLUE OR GO HOME - 98 - Highlander Stakes (G2-C) - 6 Furlongs (Turf) - 5Jul15-10WO
12. GRAND BILI - 98 - Carry Back Stakes (G3) - 7 Furlongs - 5Jul15-9GP
12. KHARAFA - 98 - Elkwood Stakes - 1 Mile (Turf) - 4Jul15-11MTH
12. LADY ELI - 98 - Belmont Oaks Invitational (G1) - 1 1/4 Miles (Turf) - 4Jul15-10BEL
16. GRAND TITO - 97 - Miesque's Approval Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 5Jul15-8GP
16. MATROOH - 97 - OC 100k/C -N - 1 1/16 Miles - 4Jul15-4BEL
18. HEITAI - 96 - Louisiana Legends Sprint Stakes - 5 1/2 Furlongs - 4Jul15-10EVD 5
18. READY FOR RYE - 96 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 7 Furlongs (Turf) - 4Jul15-5BEL
18. STORMDRIVER - 96 - Louisiana Legends Classic Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - 4Jul15-11EVD
21. ALDOUS SNOW - 95 - Singspiel Stakes (G3) - 1 1/2 Miles (Turf) - 5Jul15-9WO
21. SHORE RUNNER - 95 - OC 80k/C -N - 6 Furlongs (Turf) - 3Jul15-7BEL
23. CALGARY CAT - 94 - Achievement Stakes - 6 Furlongs (Polytrack) - 4Jul15-8WO
23. COFFEE CLIQUE - 94 - Dr. James Penny Memorial Handicap (G3) - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 4Jul15-8PRX
23. IRON POWER - 94 - OC 80k/C -N - 1 3/8 Miles (Turf) - 2Jul15-8BEL
23. OUR CARAVAN - 94 - OC 25k/N2X -N - 1 1/16 Miles - 1Jul15-7DEL
23. SEEKING THE SHERIF - 94 - Oak Tree Sprint Stakes - 6 Furlongs - 5Jul15-8OTP

*BRADESTER's lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of the blog post.

***

Dan, a question.
Belmont Derby, 8th race Saturday.
Why were Takeover Target and Startup Nation coupled in their previous start, the Penine Ridge and were not coupled in the Derby?
Looks like the same owners and trainer to me.
If it is because the Penine Ridge was a Stakes and this was a Grade one, then it looks like another silly rule.
If that is the case, any idea what the rationale is?
Thanks
RonZ

Entries were only decoupled in races worth $1 million or more (like the Belmont Derby). A rule change in New York will go into effect on July 14. Entries will then be decoupled in stakes races worth $50,000 or more and superfecta wagering will be added to the betting menu of races with coupled entires.

***

You can follow me on Twitter @DRF_DanIllman.

Remember to check out DRF LIVE's VIDEO handicapping coverage at live.drf.com. Matt Bernier and I will be on at 12:30 ET on Thursday and Friday. We'll be back on Saturday at 4:00 ET to handicap some of Saturday's major stakes races.

***

Congrats to Ed Bechs for finishing first in the most recent HandiGambling tournament.

Let's go with the Great Lady M. Stakes from Los Alamitos for this week's exercise.

PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.

SR Vegas and Rick M. have graciously decided to streamline all of the HG rules in order to make them an easier read for everyone...

With so many new people attending Dan's Formblog we thought it would be a good time to update the Handigambling Guidelines and Rules as we go forward in 2014.

Let's remember WHY we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses and why we're betting them the way we are. We are not asking for a novel but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

HANDIGAMBLING:

Please start your post with  HG or HANDIGAMBLING to better recognize and find your entry.

-  You have a mythical $100 to wager in whatever format you choose and that is available for that HG race.
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.

- Post your WAGER and ANALYSIS to the blog WITH YOUR NAME/OR MONIKER AT THE END OF THE POST.  Remember that posts may start as 'anonymous' or an 'alternate name'. You MUST sign yourself at the end (even if it is the same) This enables the scorekeeper to recognize you .

- (1) ONE ENTRY per person for the Handigambling contest. If you have multiple email addresses, use just ONE for contest purposes.  Multiple entries will be cause for disqualification.

- Separate your analysis from the wager and use the horses # in your wager. Just like you would do in a real wager. No horse names.

-In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. Dan reserves the right to approve or deny any entries.

- The winner will receive a "60-Card Quarterly Formulator Past Performance Plan"

As an example :

HG 2014
The speed in this race goes to  horses # 1, 4 ,6 ..Ennie , Meenie, and Mo
Since it's a sprint I don't see any closers catching them.. like # 9 Miney.
I think trainer Groucho with the #6 Mo has the best stats in this condition, route to sprint.. just a gut feeling at large odds ML 20-1

HG wager
50$ Ex box 1-6
total $100

Thanks Dan!

Harpo
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A MORE DETAILED ANALYSIS IS ALWAYS APPRECIATED !
 
REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.

ALSO, IF THE WINNER WOULD LIKE TO SELECT THE FOLLOWING WEEK'S RACE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM NO LATER THAN THE FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY MORNING (A SATURDAY RACE IS MOST IDEAL)

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BRADESTER.pdf803.23 KB
HGGREATLADYM.pdf178.46 KB