06/07/2010 5:23PM

Getting Caught Up

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Another Triple Crown season is at an end and that means one thing:

I have time to catch up on the Blog questions.  Let's get to them, shall we?

Kennedy (or anyone else) - Any thoughts on the upcoming meeting of Paco Boy and Goldikova in the Queen Ann at Ascot?  Looking forward!
Kat

Here's what our friends at The Racing Post have to say about the upcoming showdown:

http://www.racingpost.com/news/horse-racing/paco-boy-royal-ascot-improved-paco-has-tough-task-to-beat-goldikova-hannon-jnr/726067/top/

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Dan, will you please post all the races in 2010 with purses OVER $500,000 along with the dates the races are/where on?
Captain Bodgit

Please be advised that this is not a complete list (some racetracks have not finalized their stakes schedule for later on in the year...notable exceptions are Keeneland, Belmont Fall and Aqueduct Fall):

North American Races of over $500,000:

Santa Anita Handicap - Santa Anita - $750,000 - March 6 - 1 1/4 miles (Pro-Ride)
Florida Derby - Gulfstream -$750,000 - March 20 - 1 1/8 miles
Louisiana Derby - Fair Grounds - $750,000 - March 27 - 1 1/8 miles
Sunland Derby - Sunland - $800,000 - March 28 - 1 1/8 miles
Wood Memorial - Aqueduct - $750,000 - April 3 - 1 1/8 miles
Santa Anita Derby - Santa Anita - $750,000 - April 3 - 1 1/8 miles (Pro-Ride)
Toyota Blue Grass - Keeneland - $750,000 - April 10 - 1 1/8 miles (Polytrack)
Arkansas Derby - Oaklawn - $1,000,000 - April 10 - 1 1/8 miles
Charles Town Classic - Charles Town - $1,000,000 - April 17 - 1 1/8 miles
Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands - Churchill - $2,000,000 - May 1 - 1 1/4 miles
Preakness - Pimlico - $1,000,000 - May 15 - 1 3/16 miles
Belmont - Belmont - $1,000,000 - June 5 - 1 1/2 miles
Stephen Foster Handicap - Churchill - $600,000 - June 12 - 1 1/8 miles
United Nations - Monmouth - $750,000 - July 3 - 1 3/8 miles (Turf)
Queen's Plate - Woodbine - $1,000,000 - July 4 - 1 1/4 miles (Polytrack)
Man o'War - Belmont - $600,000 - July 10 - 1 3/8 miles (Turf)
Virginia Derby - Colonial - $600,000 - July 17 - 1 1/4 miles (Turf)
Delaware Handicap - Delaware - $750,000 - July 17 - 1 1/4 miles
Haskell Invitational - Monmouth - $1,000,000 - August 1 - 1 1/8 miles
West Virginia Derby - Mountaineer - $750,000 - August 7 - 1 1/8 miles
Whitney Handicap - Saratoga - $750,000 - August 7 - 1 1/8 miles
Beverly D. - Arlington - $750,000 - August 21 - 1 3/16 miles (Turf)
Arlington Million XXVIII - Arlington - $1,000,000 - August 21 - 1 1/4 miles (Turf)
Pacific Classic - Del Mar - $1,000,000 - August 28 - 1 1/4 miles (Polytrack)
Travers - Saratoga - $1,000,000 - August 28 - 1 1/4 miles
Woodward - Saratiga - $750,000 - September 4 - 1 1/8 miles
Woodbine Mile - Woodbine - $1,000,000 - September 19 - 1 mile (Turf)
Pennsylvania Derby - Philadelphia - $1,000,000 - September 25 - 1 1/8 miles
Cotillion - Philadelphia - $750,000 - October 2 - 1 1/16 miles
E. P. Taylor - Woodbine - $1,000,000 - October 16 - 1 1/4 miles (Turf)
Pattison Canadian International - Woodbine - $2,000,000 - October 16 - 1 1/2 miles (Turf)
Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Sprint - Churchill - $1,000,000 - November 5 - 7 furlongs
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies - Churchill - $2,000,000 - November 5 - 1 1/16 miles
Breeders' Cup Ladies' Classic - Churchill - $2,000,000 - November 5 - 1 1/8 miles
Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf - Churchill - $2,000,000 - November 5 - 1 3/8 miles (Turf)
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf - Churchill - $1,000,000 - November 5 - 1 mile (Turf)
Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile - Churchill - $1,000,000 - November 6 - 1 mile
Breeders' Cup Mile - Churchill - $2,000,000 - November 6 - 1 mile (Turf)
Breeders' Cup Sprint - Churchill - $2,000,000 - November 6 - 6 furlongs
Breeders' Cup Juvenile - Churchill - $2,000,000 - November 6 - 1 1/16 miles
Breeders' Cup Turf - Churchill - $3,000,000 - November 6 - 1 1/2 miles (Turf)
Breeders' Cup Classic - Churchill - $5,000,000 - November 6 - 1 1/4 miles
Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint - Churchill - $1,000,000 - November 6 - 5 furlongs (Turf)
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf - Churchill - $1,000,000 - November 6 - 1 mile (Turf)

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Speaking of Beyers...
On the Belmont replay show from the 22nd they said that my boy AFLEET EXPRESS got a 115 breaking his first allowance condition in the 3rd race that day.
Did I hear that right?
Kyri

Afleet Express received a 107 Beyer for that allowance race.  I believe it is a "Projected" number.

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Is that Herb McCauley of old riding in the 5th @ DEL today?
Tom Prendergast

It was "Hollywood" Herb McCauley finishing fifth on Fappy Nekia in the fifth race at Delaware on May 26.  It was his first mount of the year.  He went 14-140 (10%, $0.84 ROI) in 2009.  McCauley returned to riding after an almost nine-year absence in 2007.

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Haven't seen any Patrick Valenzuala headlines lately.  Is P-Val still racing in Lousiana?
Jake Scott

PVal is currently riding at Louisiana Downs.  At the current meet, he holds a record of 20-95 (21%, $1.14 ROI).  Overall this year, he is 49-315 (15%, $1.47 ROI).

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Dan
Would appreciate any insight you might have regarding the placement of "rails" on Belmont's two Turf courses. 
Specifically has any research been done regarding the effect on fractional & final times at the commonly run distances when rails are set at 0 - 9' -18'& 27'.
Thanks
Bernie

That's a question that Alan could answer better.  He has a tremendous amount of data involving turf rail placements.  Perhaps he could give you some insight.

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Dan, I would really appreciate it if you could post PPs for Congaree.  He never won an Eclipse Award, so they're not available in "Champions", and I'd really love to see the picture of his career.
Congaree was a terrific racehorse, and I always felt that he has been a tad underrated, but maybe that's because I was such a huge fan.  What did you think of him, Dan?
Paseana

Here are Congaree's past performances:

Download Congaree

He was a bit underrated and fast as heck (17 triple-digit Beyer Speed Figures at distances ranging from 7 furlongs to 1 1/4 miles).  I got a good look at him when he walked off the van from Belmont the morning of the 2003 Carter Handicap as well as in the paddock that afternoon and he was a pretty nice-looking individual.  His record at Aqueduct was phenomenal.  He was 4-4 in the Big A with wins in the Wood Memorial, Carter, and two runnings of the Cigar Mile. 
As a stallion, I'm not sure about his prospects.  He's not by a fashionable sire line and he was somewhat of a late-developing type.  He's in New York now and I'd expect his progeny to improve with maturity and distance.

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Dan,Can you produce the PPs on a nice female horse named Track Robery who raced in the west in the 1970s.
Thanks, Ray

Here's what I have for Track Robbery:

Download Track Robbery

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I'm looking for PPs on My Heart's Deelite, Heavyweight Champ and Rippin and Roarin.
Keith


Here's what I have for them:

Download Whole Picture - Enjoy 1-5

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hmmm... Leatherhead eh?, slow and easy wins the Place.
Dan, could you possibly post Full Chart for the 10th race at GP on March 14th, 2010? Many thanks.
Rob Anderson

Here it is:

Download Gulfstream Chart

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Dan,
Who is the owner and trainer of Majestic Hope (Cherokee Run-Martinique by Pleasant Colony). Any information you have is appreciated. Thanks.
Calvin L. Carter

Majestic Hope sold for $115,000 to William Lawrence at last year's Keeneland September yearling auction.  As fior the trainer, I'm not certain as the horse hasn't worked yet, but I believe that Nick Zito may be involved.

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I'm, looking at the posted Belmont PP's for Spangle Star and in his April 24 race in the Withers the fractions are 23.40, 45.6, 1:09.2 and 1:35.8. When I watch the video replay, the fractions are different and are shown as 21.6, 43.8, 1:07.45 and 1:34.05. Why are they different?
RF

There was a timing error during the course of the race.  See Randy Moss' blog below:

http://mossblog.typepad.com/randy-moss-blog/2010/05/when-a-race-runs-decidedly-faster-or-slowerthan-par-timesand-figure-projections-anticipateit-can-be-tempting-for-figmakers.html

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Three cheers for the horses inducted into the Hall of Fame: Azeri, Best Pal and Point Given.  All are true champions and fantastic representatives this year.  Would love to see some pps.
Coverage Sack

Here they are:

Download Best Pal

Download AzeriPointGiven

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Hi Dan
Some recent thoughts with Calibob,
have generated some reminiscing about talented fillys.
Like Zenyatta (comming into The Vanity Hdcp at Hollywood next month) ..there was another talented filly  NASHOBA'S KEY who also started a bit late in her career & was racing in 2007. She won the Vanity Hndcp & more.
Would you be so kind as to post her pp's & any recollections you had of her?
IMHO, she was remarkable during the short time she was racing.
Temperamental, but brilliant.
SR Vegas


Here are Nashoba's Key's past performances:

Download Nashoba's Key

As you can tell by her form, she was a brilliant racehorse.  Nashoba's Key, unfortunately, passed away in 2008 after fracturing the tibia in her left hind leg in a freak stall accident.  Please read Jay Hovdey's column posted on May 29, 2008.

http://www.drf.com/drfNewsArticle.do?NID=94999&subs=2&arc=1

She was the perfect example of a temperamental athlete.  She didn't like to be bothered in the barn.  She would bite, kick, let's just say she wasn't a pet.  But she was all horse on the track. 

From Hovdey's column on Carla Gaines (posted April 17, 2008):

The eternal bright spot in the Gaines universe, no matter how the day unfolds, is the presence of Nashoba's Key, the 2007 California horse of the year. In her last start, the cantankerous mare made mincemeat of the Santa Margarita Handicap, after which Gaines prescribed a two-month break before further goals were considered. It was a good idea, too, except that she forgot to ask Nashoba's Key, who rules the roost at the Hollywood Park division.
"She's getting so wild," Gaines said. "She just kicked another person, and she got two other horses in the barn stirred up so much they banged their heads. In other words, she's saying she's had enough of the vacation thing. Let's go to work."

You'll notice that Ms. Gaines has a pair of siblings to Nashoba's Key on our Disabled List.  Four-year-old Nashoba's Express hasn't been seen since July of last year after suffering a suspensory injury while the five-year-old mare Nashoba's Excess worked three furlongs out of the gate on June 2 in preparation for her belated career debut. 


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Hi Dan,
Can you let me know the Beyer earned by Trickmeister in what seemed like a fast maiden race at Delaware on Tuesday (the 25th)?
Thanks in advance,
LegalCoin

Trickmeister received a 91 Beyer Speed Figure for his debut victory.  Cindy Jones trains for Brereton Jones and Timothy Thornton. 

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Hi Dan!
Could you please post the pps of Aussie champ Phar Lap and tell us what represent for the American racing his win in the Agua Caliente Handicap and his tragic death in California few days after that? and also the pps of Foolish Pleasure the colt damned with the tragic shadow of Ruffian. Thank you so much!
José Iglesias García

I don't have past performances for Phar Lap, but here are the lifetime pp's for Foolish Pleasure:

Download FoolishPleasure

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Dan-I'm trying to get our trainer to run her next sprinting on the grass. Do you have a list of Beyer's pars at Arlington for Fillies and Mares sprinting on the grass, and if so could you tell me what class a beyer of 70-72 would put a horse into contention. (Tatum's highest lifetime beyer on Poly is 56, and LOWEST sprintin on turf is 60, but as well as she's doing now I'm guessing she'll run in the low 70's)
Stephen Taylor

Here are some par times (races calculated from 1/1/05) for filly and mare turf sprinters:

5F:
AN2L, AN1X:  80
AN2X, AN3L:  84
AN4L, AN3X-AN5X:  85
MSW:  75:
CLM (21,000-34,000):  78
CLM (35,000-49,000):  79
MCL (21,000-34,000):  70

5 1/2F:
AN2L, AN1X:  80
AN2X, AN3L:  84
AN4L, AN3X-5X:  85
MSW:  75
CLM (21,000-34,000):  78
CLM (35,000-49,000):  79
CN2 (21,000-34,000):  73

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Keith,
Borel has had, what, 5 career races at Belmont?
C

Just for the trivia buffs, but Calvin Borel is 3-12 lifetime over the Belmont main track. 

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Dan, 
Saturday 5/29 at Fairmount Park, Palanka City ran in a $11,000 handicap.  She was 1/9 morning line.  Seeing as Stiritz owns the track  I'm assuming they were getting a paid workout.  Could you please post her lifetime pp's.
Thanks
EzGoer

Here are the past performances for the classy Palanka City:

Download Palanka City

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With Mth now in the public eye and me originally being from the Garden State, I was wondering if you could post PPs for a horse named Smoochin Inseattle. She raced at Mth and the Jersey circuit in 2002. Some of the J bred races have been interesting betting races.
Pru

Here they are:

Download Smoochn

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 I was wondering what happen to the midwest owner Louis d O'Brien? I dont see his name in the charts anymore.
Steve the tout

Here's the article from Marty McGee chronicling O'Brien's exodus from the sport:

http://www.drf.com/drfNewsArticle.do?NID=110301&subs=0&arc=1

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Also, Dan or Steve what is the prognosis for I Want Revenge? Will he ever return to racing?
SpartanTom

It looks like he'll be back fairly soon.  I Want Revenge breezed a half-mile in 48.78 on Saturday morning at Aqueduct.  It was his sixth work since May 7. 

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The Canadians……….Every year the Triple Crown is the most exciting series of races in North America.  Over the years several Canadian Bred three year-olds have made their mark in these great races. 
In 1960, Victoria Park became the first Canadian Bred to participate in a TC race when he finished 3rd in the Derby to Venetian Way and 2nd in the Preakness to Bally Ache.  He would go on to become a successful sire in Canada and sired Kennedy Road a multiple G-1 winner in the USA. 
In 1964 Northern Dancer left his mark when he won the Derby and the Preakness and finished3rd in the Belmont.  He won many top races leading up to the Derby but unfortunately never raced again after winning that year’s Queen’s Plate. 
In 1967 Cool Reception led into the stretch against Damascus before finishing 2nd to the great one on a broken leg.  He later had to be destroyed when he smashed his leg coming out of surgery. 
In 1983 Sunny’s Halo won the Derby (his 3rd derby win that year). 
In 1992 Alydeed would win the Derby Trial then finish 2nd to Pine Buff in the Preakness.  He proved his class by winning the G-1 Carter in 1993. 
Then in 1998 Victory Gallop charged onto the scene and finished 2nd in the Derby and the Preakness before winning the Belmont and spoiling Real Quiet’s bid for a Triple Crown.  He would prove he was no fluke by winning the Whitney in 1999.  These were truly great horses.  I know you’ve been awful busy lately and have had some tooth problems, but do you think you could publish the PP’s of these great thoroughbreds.  Thanking you in advance. 
LAZMANNICK
.

I don't have access to Victoria Park or Cool Reception, but here are the others:

Download Northern Dancer

Download VictoryGallop (2)

Download Canadian


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Dan, can you tell me if you have any news on Fabulous Strike?  It seems like he's been off an awfully long time, and I haven't seen any mention of where he might be pointing.  Thanks.
Soli

Haven't heard a thing and he hasn't worked this year.  That's not a good sign for a horse that has had Fabulous Strike's physical problems.  I haven't heard of a retirement so we'll just have to wait and see if any news pops up.

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Good luck to everyone tomorrow. One last question: does the clubhouse cost money? If so, can I drop your name Dan?
TheVanGogh

Only if you want to get thrown out of the joint.  By the way, nice pick of Champagne d'Oro.

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And for Dan.  I have asked this before but wonder why when a horse is either sold or moved (not via claim which is noted fully) and gains a new trainer (which is noted in the PPs) why it also isn't noted if (and when) there is a new owner.  If we were to see a new owner on the PP line we would know if the horse has also gained new ownership along with the trainer change. As it is now it is just a trainer change shown and we might just assume it is the same owner which isn't always the case.
robertSD

It's a good question and something that may show up in our past performances in the future.  If you utilize Formulator Past Performances from drf.com, you will be able to see the horse's previous races via the charts.  This way, you can see who owned the horse last time out and then compare it to today's owner.  If it's different, you could assume the horse was purchased privately.

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When was the last time Shug has won a Grade 1 race? Was it Good Reward in the Manhattan in 05?
matt

McGaughey's most recent Grade 1 win came with Carriage Trail in the 2008 Spinster.  He had two Grade 1 wins that year (Dancing Forever, Manhattan)

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HG Belmont
My money will be on the only two horses to have a race over the track.
#5 Fly Down - His Dwyer romp sets the stage for the Belmont. Will have the tactical advantage over his stablemate to have first run at the pace as they turn for home. I see JV as an asset to Fly down's chances.
#7 Drosselmeyer - Certainly has not lived up to early expectations. This race could be the coming out party the connections have been waiting for. Was the runner up to Fly Down in the Dwyer and should sit a nice stalking trip out of traffic. I think the bar shoe publicity will only help his odds and should be a non issue based on his recent work and how this horse looks physically.
Wager:
$50 Exacta Box - 5/7 = $100
Good luck on all your wagers.
Mike Romeo

Congrats to Mike Romeo for finishing first in the Belmont Stakes HandiGambling.  He selected Race 9 from Belmont on Wednesday.  Here are the past performances:

Download HG189

Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."   Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.  Please post your plays and analysis to the blog. In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference.  One entry per person please.  I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.

I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place.  The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are.  I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated

***

Be back Wednesday with a HG attempt and Beyers of the Week.

Best,

Dan

blackseabass More than 1 year ago
" It seems almost unfair for her to be in such a weak race". Weak race? St. Trinians is probably the 2nd best mare in the country and Zardana is the conquistador of she that shall remain nameless. Z will be required to give 9 to 17 lbs. to her rivals while carrying 129 lbs. in the Vanity for the 2nd time. In an era when horses and colts rarely carry 126 the impost alone makes it a formidable challenge. The only mare to win the Vanity 3 times is a more worthwhile accomplishment than winner of the ho-hum Stephon Foster. How come The Only Filly Ever Ever isn't running in the Foster? She's based at that track! If Zenyatta should be in the Foster doesn't that mean Zardana who beat TOFEE and ST. Trinians who beat Zardana should be in the Foster as well? If so than the Vanity would appear to be a very strong field of mares.
SR Vegas More than 1 year ago
Katieattherail Well, Thank You my dear, for the Booyah shout out for my Laus Deo :) SR Vegas
Patrick S More than 1 year ago
HG189 Focusing on the #3 here, best early speed, should be alone early, and an inside post. Could see the #12 as well, but being on the outside compromised chances, IMO. $8 TRI (3/5,11,12/1,5,9,11,12) $4 SUPER (3/12/5/9) Caveman P-6 R4:1-2-3-4-6-7 R5:1-4-6-7 R6:3-6-7-10 R7:2-5-6-8 R8:1-2-5 R9:3-12 $4608 cost, but early sequence looks to be contentious. GL All!
Dick W More than 1 year ago
HG189 (analysis) I already posted my wager, but did not include any analysis. So here it is: I used the 2 and 7. $60 win 2 $20 ex box 2,7 #2 Casa Di Vino - Didn't make it to the races until she was 5, ran one race on dirt and promptly went on the shelf for almost 7 months. Interesting that the first race was a 16,000 claimer and she came back on turf in a MSW and rallied to get 2nd. She stretched out in her next 3 getting a close 2nd a close 3rd and then graduating at 1 1/16 with a 68 beyer. In her first start against winners at the 25,000 claiming level she got a slow start and was never in contention. Now she has been back on the shelf for another 6 months. If she comes back anywhere near those first 4 turf tries, she should be competitive with these. Her works are o k, Chester House is a decent turf sire and I like her chances. #7 Z Cats Meow - Great name ! The 72 beyer she got in her maiden breaker is high in this field. She also beat the #2 in that race. But that was almost a year ago. She went wire to wire in that one but hasn't shown that speed since. Still she seems like she should be competitive with these and Luzzi knows her. Good luck to all !!! Dick W
Annie More than 1 year ago
Race 9 OFF THE TURF: Scratch 2,7,8,10 Annie
meadowlake59 More than 1 year ago
HG 189 In a field of particularly slow horses, the 7 looks like the "least slow" turf sprinter (I had to change that phrase from "fastest"). The 4 comes off one of the most bizarre stretch runs ever seen--most thought she would be dq'ed for her rider's reckless maneuver but I give her jockey credit--she seemed to sense the horse was ready to accelerate and she found a way to get clear. Can she duplicate that effort? The 8 comes off two decent turf efforts. In a bad field, she looks better than most--and offers a price. I'll keep it simple: $50 Exactas: 7/4,8 Good Luck and Good Racing!!!
Annie More than 1 year ago
HG REVISION: $4 Super Box 1,3,11,12 = $96 $4 Win #12 Annie
hairy More than 1 year ago
HG189 OFF turf scratches: 2 Casa Di Vino 7 Z Cats Meow 8 Justinline 10 Ghoul
Miloman More than 1 year ago
HG 189 100 Win 7. Last 2 races were good with nice Beyer numbers.
hairy More than 1 year ago
HG 189 revisions: With the scratch of the 10 the MTO #12 Aquit will be the favorite & my pick. $100 win #12