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Frankel, Who did Rachel Alexandra Beat?
Let's get to your questions, comments, past performance requests, and HandiGambling PP's.
I'm very disappointed seeing how Jess Jackson managed Rachel Alexandra's 2010 campaign, and finally they noticed she wasn't so sharp and great as the whole racing media said last year, in my opinion, she didn't beat great great horses and couldn't manage 10 furlongs, but retiring her without any injury and without an opportunity of her fans to say her good by in a racetrack is very sad...
what do you think?, and could you post her pps and old champ Real Quiet who died last monday. Many thanks!
José Iglesias García
I'm not upset with the way she was campaigned this season. They put her in races she should have won and she didn't. The surprising defeats obviously signaled that, for whatever reason, she did not return to form. This does not diminish her 2009 campaign, arguably the greatest season a three-year-old filly has ever put together. Perhaps the quality of competition wasn't the all-time best, but she danced every dance, tried and beat males in the second leg of the Triple Crown, and beat older males in the Woodward. We can question quality of competition until the cows come home, but just about every horse in this era has that "who did he/she beat" dangling over their heads. Who has Lookin At Lucky beaten? How about Quality Road? Is there a doubt that they're both very good horses? Who has Zenyatta beaten? Some would say she's beaten everyone she's ever faced. At the same time, other fans would say she's beaten nothing but propped-up tomato cans. Who's right? There's probably a bit of truth in both, but it shouldn't drastically diminish what these horses have accomplished. It shouldn't diminish they're tremendous consistency and courage.
Real Quiet's past performances are available at the bottom of this blog posting.
Maybe someone knows how many winners of gr.1 races RA defeated and how many Gr.1's they accounted for ? If so inquiring minds want to know ?
I believe there's a distinction to be made here. There are races that Rachel "defeated" horses (her wins), and the races in which she "finished ahead" of horses (races she didn't win and she was among the also-rans). I'm going to look at the races she won.
According to my calculations, Rachel defeated 77 horses in her 13 victories. Let's break them down:
Grade 1 winners:
*Dream Empress (Alcibiades Stakes)
*Gabby's Golden Gal (Acorn Stakes, Santa Monica Handicap) *Gabby's Golden Gal also won the listed Sunland Park Oaks*
*Mine That Bird (Kentucky Derby) *Mine That Bird also won the Grade 3 Grey Stakes, the listed Silver Deputy Stakes, and the listed Swynford Stakes*
*General Quarters (Turf Classic, Blue Grass Stakes) *General Quarters also won the Grade 3 Sam F. Davis Stakes*
*Pioneerof the Nile (CashCall Futurity, Santa Anita Derby) *Pioneerof the Nile also won the Grade 2 San Felipe Stakes and the Grade 2 Robert B. Lewis Stakes*
*Take the Points (Jamaica Handicap, Secretariat Stakes)
*Malibu Prayer (Ruffian Invitational Handicap) *Malibu Prayer also won the Grade 2 Chilukki Stakes, the listed Cat Chat Stakes, and the listed Lighthouse Stakes*
*Flashing (Gazelle Stakes, Test Stakes) *Flashing also won the Grade 3 Nassau County Stakes*
*Summer Bird (Jockey Club Gold Cup, Travers Stakes, Belmont Stakes)
*Macho Again (Stephen Foster Handicap) *Macho Again also won the Grade 2 New Orleans Handicap, Grade 2 Jim Dandy Stakes, and the listed Derby Trial*
*Bullsbay (Whitney Handicap) *Bullsbay also won the Grade 3 Alysheba Stakes and the listed H. E. Johnson Memorial*
*Da' Tara (Belmont Stakes)
*Jessica Is Back (Princess Rooney Handicap) *Jessica Is Back also won the listed Nancy's Glitter Handicap and the restricted Ocala Stakes*
Grade/Group 2 winners:
*Sara Louise (Top Flight Handicap) *Sara Louise also won the Grade 3 Pocahontas Stakes and the Grade 3 Victory Ride Stakes*
*Just Jenda (Molly Pitcher Stakes) *Just Jenda also won the Grade 3 Monmouth Oaks, the Grade 3 Honeybee Stakes, the listed Monmouth Beach Stakes, listed Serena's Song Stakes, listed Tiffany Lass Stakes, and listed Brandywine Stakes*
*Musket Man (Illinois Derby) *Musket Man also won the Grade 3 Tampa Bay Derby, the listed Super Stakes, and the listed Pasco Stakes*
*Big Drama (Smile Sprint Handicap) *Big Drama also won the Grade 3 Delta Jackpot, the listed Ponche Handicap, listed Red Legend Stakes, restricted Florida Stallion In Reality Stakes, restricted Florida Stallion Affirmed Stakes, and restricted Florida Stallion Dr. Fager Stakes*
*Papa Clem (Arkansas Derby, San Fernando Stakes)
*Friesan Fire (Louisana Derby) *Friesan Fire also won the Grade 3 Risen Star Stakes, the Grade 3 LeComte Stakes, and the listed Louisiana Handicap*
*Munnings (Gulfstream Park Sprint Championship, Tom Fool Handicap, Woody Stephens Stakes)
*Duke of Mischief (Oaklawn Handicap) *Duke of Mischief also won the Grade 3 Phillip Iselin Stakes, the Grade 3 Ft. Lauderdale Stakes, and the listed Iowa Derby*
*Asiatic Boy (Maktoum Challenge - Round 3, UAE Derby) *Asiatic Boy also won the Group 3 Al Shindagha Sprint, Group 3 UAE 2000 Guineas, and listed Al Bastakiya Stakes*
*Cool Coal Man (Fountain of Youth Stakes) *Cool Coal Man also won the listed Spend a Buck Stakes, listed Lord of the Night Stakes, listed Albert the Great Stakes, and listed Skip Away Stakes*
*Made for Magic (Milady Handicap) *Made for Magic also won the listed Las Madrinas Handicap*
Grade/Group 3 winners:
*C.S. Silk (Arlington-Washington Lassie) *C.S. Silk also won the listed Addison Mallory Stakes*
*Four Gifts (Delta Princess Stakes, Eight Belles Stakes) *Four Gifts also won the listed Charles Town Oaks*
*War Echo (Silverbulletday Stakes) *War Echo also won the listed DRF Distaff Stakes*
*Peach Brew (Arlington Park Oaks) *Peach Brew also won the restricted Oklahoma Classic Lassie and the restricted Oklahoma Classic Distaff*
*African Skies (Princess Margaret Stakes)
*Be Fair (Lake George Stakes)
*Terrain (Arlington-Washington Futurity) *Terrain also won the listed Mountaineer Juvenile*
*It's a Bird (Lone Star Park Handicap, Spend a Buck Handicap) *It's a Bird also won the listed Plagiarize Stakes and the restricted Sunshine Millions Classic*
*Best Lass (Prairie Meadows Oaks)
*Smokin Bayou (Colleen Stakes)
*Sweet Relish (Cinemine Stakes)
*Afleet Deceit (Double Delta Stakes)
*Hello Again (Dixie Belle Stakes)
*My Spanx (D. Wilhite Memorial, Lone Star Oaks)
*War Tigress (Caressing Stakes)
*Bon Jovi Girl (Fairway Stakes, Blue Hen Stakes, Susan's Girl Stakes)
*Atomic Rain (Long Branch Stakes)
*Bunker Hill (Princeton Stakes, Go for the Green Juvenile, Continental Mile)
*Ask the Moon (Lighthouse Stakes) *Ask the Moon also won the restricted Maryland Juvenile Filly Championship*
*Yes She's a Lady (Deceit Stakes)
*Affirmed Truth (Rainbow Miss)
Dan, My friend JoAnn and I were grooms back in the early 80s. We haven't seen each other in 25 years and found each other on FaceBook. We got together this weekend and were reminiscing about some of our old charges. Her two favorites were Chief Ollie and Handi Jet and my favorites were Jay's Sue and Iwannatalktopappa who won the Orange Blossom at Hialeah at 70-1. Could you post their PPs Thanks Dan!!
Their past performances are available at the bottom of this blog posting.
-You gave Performance of the Week to Morning Line from this past weekend (BTW, do you choose POTW just by best stakes BSF?)
I don't always pick the best stakes BSF as the performance of the week. For me, it's a combination of speed, trip, visual impression, and quality of competition. In the case of Morning Line, he ran very fast in the Pennsylvania Derby and had to beat back several challenges from good three-year-olds. This week's "winner," Haynesfield, also ran fast, was visually impressive, and defeated a good field of horses.
-Dear Dan, I see that you are a student of the breeding of 2 yo's, what can you tell us about Fabulous Frankel who is named in honor of the late Bobby Frankel.
The other day, DRF.com Handicapper Mike Beer walked up to me with a mischievous smile.
"Have you been paying attention to the European juveniles?" he asked.
"Not really," I replied. "I've been swamped with Saratoga, the Blog, the Disabled List. It never stops."
"Well, you have to see Frankel. He's awesome."
Frankel, bred in Britain, was foaled on February 11, 2008. He is a homebred son of Galileo (winner of the Epsom Derby, Irish Derby, and King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes at 1 1/2 miles) owned by Juddmonte Farms, a longtime client of the late Hall of Fame trainer.
Frankel is a three-quarter brother to Bullet Train, the winner of the Group 3 Totesport.com Derby Trial Stakes going 1 3/8 miles at Lingfield.
The dam, Kind (by Danehill), won listed stakes races on turf at five and six furlongs. She is a half-sister to Powerscourt, the winner of the Arlington Million at 1 1/4 miles and the Tattersalls Gold Cup at 1 3/8 miles.
Frankel has raced three times and has been visually impressive in all of his starts. Our friends at The Racing Post gave him a 95 rating for his debut in a maiden race going one mile at Newmarket. In the recap of that race, the handicapper notes, "FRANKEL is closely related to the stable´s Lingfield Derby winner and is out of a Listed winner. A February foal, the manner in which he travelled up to challenge the eventual second was visually impressive. Barely off the bridle, he only needed to be nudged out by his rider to settle this and will have learnt plenty from the experience. He is in the Royal Lodge Stakes and, with the programme book not full of options for a horse who certainly won´t have been missed by the handicapper, that could be an interesting target."
Frankel then only faced two rivals in his next start, but won by 13 lengths with a devastating turn of foot. The RPR for the 7 furlong run came back a 114.
"That left FRANKEL with a simpletask and he duly completed it, but even so he was extremely impressive and the fact that he slammed a horse rated 90 by 17l giving him 2lb puts the performance into perspective.
He had won with plenty more in hand than the half-length margin would suggest when landing a 1m soft-ground maiden on his Newmarket debut last month and was in a totally different league to his two rivals here, completely blowing them apart after leading over 1f from home. The son of Galileo is clearly held in high regard by his trainer and he was soon cut to a top-price 16-1 for the 2,000 Guineas and 20-1 for the Derby, but whilst his dam never won beyond 7f, she was out of a Rainbow Quest mare so there must be every chance that he will stay 1m4f. He is likely to step right up in grade now with the Racing Post Trophy looking the most likely target."
Last time out, he made a startling last-to-first run in only a matter of strides before the field entered the straight, and he toyed with his rivals in the Group 2 Royal Lodge Stakes horses, winning off by 10 with a 123 RPR.
"This year´s edition looked deeply uncompetitive and the steady early pace threatened to turn it into a farce, but FRANKEL produced a quite breathtaking performance to maintain his 100 per cent record and cement his position at the head of both next year´s 2,000 Guineas and Derby markets.
Although Tom Queally managed to get him settled early, it was clear he wanted to be going faster, and having allowed the horse an inch of rein, he swept past the field on the home bend before quickening clear under hands and heels riding, a move that marked him down as a colt right out of the top drawer.
The opposition again wasn´t up to much, havingbeaten just two rivals at Doncaster latest, but it´s clear Henry Cecil believes him to be something special (said afterwards he´s his best 2-y-o since Wollow, who went on to win the Guineas, back in the mid-70s), and he´s done little to suggest otherwisewith back-to-back wins in devastating fashion.
Obviously, as seen with St Nicholas Abbey this year, there´s never a guarantee they´ll be able to train on and maintain their brilliance, and he´s got one more run to get out of the way yet, in either theDewhurst, which would be the more favourable option given his abundant pace, or the Racing Post Trophy, but he certainly looks a strong favourite for the Guineas at this stage - best-priced 5-2. As for the Derby (best-priced 9-2), it´s far from certain he´ll stay the 1m4f distance, but that´s a long way off, and connections´ priority will lie primarily with ensuring the son of Galileo ends the year unbeaten."
Could you please post the pp's of ONO GUMMO & RUFF HOMBRE?
Those past performances are available at the bottom of this blog entry.
-Dan or someone-
Does anyone know what ever became of Premium Tap? I belived he retired at the end of 2006. Im assuming he went to stud.....he was a multiple stakes winner including the Whitney and the Clark Handicap but I havent seen any of his offspring yet. The reason i ask was because he was one of my favorites and i had success a couple times using him in my wagers. I always thought he was a solid horse with a nice stalking style of running. I think he was unfortunate to have been racing at the same time as bernadini and invasor or he may have gotten more recoginition. I believe the 2006 Premium Tap would be as good as about any of the horses in the handicap division this yr. Anyways, just curious if anyone knows the deal with him. Thanx all
-I wanna say that i heard somewhere that godolphin had zero graded stakes winners in the U.S. this year. That's right i said 0. Someone please correct me if im wrong. Perhaps they have put more focus into the international picture. I think they won a few group 1's in Europe...specifically germany....and i think they did alright at the racing carnival in Dubai.
Premium Tap was sold to King Abdullah and raced in Saudi Arabia as a five year old under the name Allam. He retired to at Janadria Farm in Saudi Arabia where he is currently churning out little Taps, or Allams.
Here's a link to the website and more about Premium Tap: http://www.janadriafarm.com/tb-horses/12-premium-tap.html
Godolphin has eight Grade/Group 1 wins in 2010. They are:
Cutlass Bay - Prix Ganay
Campanologist - Deutschland Preis-Grosser Hansa Preis, Rheinland-Pokal
Buzzword - 141st Deutsches Derby
White Moonstone - Meon Valley Stud Fillies' Mile
Poet's Voice - Queen Elizabeth II Stakes
Girolamo - Vosburgh Stakes
Hibaayeb - Yellow Ribbon Stakes
Great day so far! Does anyone know if twelvepack shelly is BC nominated?
She certainly is nominated to the Breeders' Cup.
Congrats to terry for finishing first in last week's HandiGambling exercise. He selects the Glowing Honor Stakes at Belmont Park on Thursday afternoon.
Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan." Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified. Please post your plays and analysis to the blog In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. One entry per person please. I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.
***PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST***
I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.
|Old favorites.pdf||86.88 KB|
|HG Glowing Honor.pdf||203.17 KB|
"the debate rages because a horse out did her on the track and now having time to reflect, it's obvious the vote was drastically mismeasured." She was not "outdone" on the track during 2009. The award is for the calendar year only, so one can reflect all they want after the fact, but no amount of reflection can change anything about last year's vote. Once it is in the history books, it is final, period. Should we mandate a 2-year lag on Eclipse voting? In other words, this year, we'll decide who gets HoY for 2008; next year, we can vote on 2009 HoY; etc... It seems that such a scheme would transform "Horse of the YEAR" into "who had the better career". Sorry, that's not what the award is about. We have a Hall of Fame for that... and both Zenyatta AND Rachel Alexandra are sure-fire first ballot inductees, considering the recent rule changes. "if anything, maybe the voters can learn from their gaffe and refrain from jumping to any conclusions until the racing year is completely over" Are you suggesting that Zenyatta's Breeders Cup Classic was not taken into account last year? I thought the Eclipse Awards are held in January, months after the Breeders Cup.
HG - Glowing Honor #11 Quebrada Shiner looks to be the one to beat. I think she'll be able to outkick this bunch down the stretch. I'm going to argue that #10 Worstcasescenario is better than she looks on paper. I think she's been over her head and that this race is a better fit for her. She has decent speed and might like the turf better. I also think #8 Looky Here looks good. She's pretty much the only one who's shown anything in her last out and finished only 3/4 of a length back from Quebrada last year. Bets: $50 W #11 Quebrada Shiner $25 Ex #11 / #8 Looky Here, #10 Worstcasescenario
Belmo:nt handi picks: $1.00 superfecta box: 4-5-7-11 $1.00 superfecta box: 3-4-6-11 $1.00 superfecta box: 2-4-5-11 $28 exacta: 11-7
HG 205 The known quanities here don't appear to be world beaters, so I'll take a shot with the import, #7 Stormy Publisher. Clement has excellent numbers first time in this country, and she's had a long, steady series of solid drills. I'll include the #2 and #11 in exactas as Glitter City could be the controlling speed if Maragh elects to send her, while the #11 seems to fire every time. $30 exactas 7 / 2,11 $20 exactas 2,11 / 7 Good luck all !
Steve T, I, too, enjoyed your writings on the Classic horses and on Zenyatta. That is going to be a hard race for me to watch, as much as I love watching racing on my big screen TV. I want her to win so much, and it's such a long race. It's going to seem like an eternity before we know. :) Annie
Mike A, Granted Tiger, indeed, was one of the horses giving me fits. As was Gemswick Park. But, I couldn't take 7 of them, and pared them down to the 5. I must have had reasons, which I can't think of at the moment. LOL Good luck with your choices! I suppose I will have to place a small wager on Will. After all, he is racing on a Saturday. :) Annie
ANALYSIS OF CALIFORNIA RUNNERS IN THE BREEDERS CUP III. Juvenile Fillies Turf Pretty slim pickin’s in SoCal for juvenile turf runners of either sex, but there is actually a race going today that has a couple of runners that could make serious noise, although none have actually run on turf and it is probably a real longshot that they go in the BC: SARAH’S SECRET – a well bred daughter of Leroidesanimaux who had a dazzling debut on the Poly at Del Mar, winning easily at 5 ½ furlongs and earning an 80 speed fig. This will be her first against winners at 6.5F. The Leroidesanimaux fillies have been very good on turf, on dirt and on synthetics. Always a Princess looked really good winning the Indiana Oaks last weekend and she finished 2nd in the 2009 Oak Leaf. She could go in the Juvenile Filly as well if she progresses and hangs one on this field. TALES IN EXCESS – has turf genes on both sides of her pedigree with Tale of the Cat and In Excess. Her debut at Del Mar was pretty spectacular, crushing her opponents in a 5 ½ furlong sprint, winning by 4 ½ lengths and earning a 93 BSF. If she repeats in her second start she could be going in either of the juvenile filly races and could be a wild card and a half. Because there are not a lot of juvenile filly runners out there, expect that more than a couple will take a shot. Here’s the rub, an east coast filly by the name of WINTER MEMORIES who could be an absolute beast. Her win in the Miss Grillo on Sunday was off the charts good, she just waltzed on by and kept opening up through the wire and it came on yielding turf! She didn’t even sorta kinda look like a two year old.
chicago gerry, here is an article about Kerry M. Thomas and I thought you would be interested in it - I co-authored the book with him. http://www.thoroughbredtimes.com/sales-news/2010/october/06/measuring-emotional-conformation-of-racehorses.aspx
HandiGambling 204 I don’t like New York Turf sprints, and I really don’t like them on yielding ground, but I will give it a shot since it is not my money. STORMY PUBLISHER (#7) was my original selection, so I will stick with her. She could be anything, so why not? QUEBRADA SHINER (#11) can close and appears to like a yielding turf. GRANTED TIGER (#3) is a hard-knocking type and was originally my 3rd choice anyway. SANDI’S READY (#1) has shown ability on a yielding course, so I will use. SOLO PIANO (#5) is turning back and appears to have ability. LOOKY HERE (#8) has run well on yielding turf. GLITTER CITY (#2) has also shown ability on soft going in turf sprints. My play: $.10 Superfecta box – 1,3,5,7,8,11 ($84) $4 to Win on the 7 $4 to Win on the 8 $4 to Win on the 1 $4 to Win on the 2 Since I am a Math Whiz, that should add up to $100. If not, someone will correct me… Thanks Dan and thanks also tencent.
Terry, Congratulations on your HG win, and good luck this week! HG 203 $4 Trifecta Box 1,5,7,11 = $96