07/24/2015 3:53PM

Fornatale: Cettina dopes out the 8th at the Spa


Roger Cettina is a seven-time NHC qualifier who is a vice president of Tishman Construction Corp., in New York. His biggest contest score to date was his second at the NHC in 2013 when he took home $200,000. He’s been a major player on the NHC Tour this year, and could sneak his way into the top five for the first half with a big finish in this weekend’s Monmouth contest.

Here he takes a look at one of the races he figures to play in that live-bankroll contest, the eighth race from Saratoga on Opening Saturday.

Take it away, Roger.

Saratoga Race 8 on Saturday is a very wide-open second-level allowance going 1 1/16 miles on the turf. There is the potential for great value in here. I am hoping to get a live pace in a New York turf race for a change!

#1 Orino (15-1): Pass

#2 Shkspeare Shaliyah (30-1): Pass

#3 Taghleeb (7/2):  He was compromised behind a slow pace last time. I think he’s a contender here.

#4 Zambian Dream (3-1): I’m going to pass on this import for Pletcher. His horses always seem to be overbet and this one looks like a good one to try and beat off those races in Chile. Pletcher wins all the time, I know, but this is the old “No Guts, No Glory” theory!

#5 Ocala Jim (20-1): He is very interesting in here. If the grass seems honest, I believe he can get a piece at a big price. He was also very compromised by the slow pace last out and two back he ran very well against three very tough New York-breds. We all know what his stablemate King Kreesa has done since then – contender.

:: DRF Bets Exotic Summer: Get a refund of up to $25 on losing exacta box bets at Saratoga on Saturday

#6 Flashlight (10-1): He walked on the lead in his last grass race and was nailed at the wire. Seems to be better at one turn – pass.

#7 Plainview (8-1): He seems to be the speed of the speed, he’s dropping, and he loves Saratoga – contender.

#8 All Tied Up (20-1): Pass

#9 Market Outlook (4-1): He will also be overbet after winning his nw1x condition last time. I will test the racing gods and leave out both Pletcher and Brown!

#10 Lord Trondor (10-1): Hopefully he will be part of the pace pressing Plainview – pass.

#11 Barrel of Love (15-1): This tough old New York-bred is hard not to like at this price. He looked incredible in the post parade last out off the claim, prompting me to bet him with both fists. He was rank early and ran extremely well against a slow pace and loose frontrunner to get second. He has two works since and is stretching back out. If he looks the same way again he's a definite play for me. – contender.

#12 Captain Gaughen (20-1): Pass.

Summary: I am going to box 3-5-7-11 in exactas and trifectas. I’ll look to play win-place on #11 Barrel of Love and #5 Ocala Jim due to the expected double-digit odds on each. In mythical tournament play these two could easily be cap plays in a very competitive race.