07/10/2015 12:41PM

Fornatale: Brantley breaks down Cape Henlopen


Today's featured handicapper is Amy Brantley, who won her $10,000 seat to the Breeders' Cup Betting Challenge on BCQualify.com last weekend. Brantley is an accomplished contest player who offers her thoughts on Saturday's Cape Henlopen at Delaware Park from the rail out.

Take it away, Amy!

#2 Tacticus (5-1): This colt has the right jockey-trainer combo, and the trainer is great with this type of runner. My concern is that this is his first race in the U.S. off lackluster European races.

#3 Indycott (15-1): I'm confused as to why trainer Joe Sharp has entered in this race. This colt hasn't won on turf or run the distance. He's either preparing for another race or he knows something the past performances are not showing. I'm going against today.

#4 Al Khali (8-1): Good jockey-trainer combo on display here, but this 9-year-old seems to have lost his last burst of energy for the stretch run. I'm playing against.

#5 Willy d'Rocket (20-1): The trainer is good with turf and in routes, but in this case it's all about the horse. I'm afraid the distance will get the best of him here.

#6 St. Albans Boy (15-1): Very intriguing possibility, and I believe this boy will stretch it out farther. He's a lightly raced 5-year-old, and that counts as upside in this group. Plus it's a Bob Barker – the price is right.

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#7 Montclair (9-2): In prior races, he's run against good company and possibly not on the surface he wants. I am okay trusting in trainer Christophe Clement here, and this horse who has won at the distance.

#8 Talk Show Man (10-1): He could be a play when looking back at last year's Cape Henlopen where he ran well against eventual Arlington Million winner Hardest Core. The jockey-trainer combination is strong, and the jockey knows the horse. He shows nice works up to this race.

#9 Holiday Star (4-1): Despite trainer Graham Motion's record, this horse's workouts and projected firm turf Saturday create a play against at 4-1.

#10 Tobias (20-1): I love the breeding and the fact that when going the distance the horse closes. Still not sure he's good enough. I'll consider as a nice superfecta kicker but won't use on top.

#1 Set to Music (10-1 POE): Last race was a test on the course and now they're going the right distance. He'll stalk and finish within top three.

#11 Punster (20-1): I can only see this guy going out of gate to the front for six furlongs before backing up and finishing off the board.

#12 Desvelo (20-1): The trainer's second runner here is hard to place. The last race may have given some confidence, and the horse can make the distance and will be a big price. Tough call, but worth putting in your trifecta and superfecta boxes.

#1a Margano (10-1 POE): This horse is a potential player, and the jockey’s ride will determine the outcome. There could be a lot of traffic, and that could be the deciding factor. I'm not as strong on him as others.

#13 Manchurian High (7-2): Between the price, post-position, and running style, he is a play against in this group.