12/27/2007 11:01AM

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Number5ingold_2
Making sense of the opening-day times at Santa Anita may prove slightly more difficult than nailing that $120,856.50 superfecta on the Malibu or the new Super High Five, which went unhit on its inaugural offering and will have a $43k carryover into Day Two of the meet on Friday.

While Wednesday's SA times were consistently scorching , they didn't fit together across the card. The featured Malibu was run in an "excellent" 121.08 according to one news account, but it doesn't look so excellent compared to the 1:20.37 turned in earlier on the card by the Cal-bred 2-year-old Bob Black Jack in the Cal Breeders' Champions Stakes. That came in the second race and the Malibu was run three hours later, but you can't say the track slowed down. Two races after the Malibu, the $25k maiden claimer Home of the Bold went six furlongs in 1:08.35, which translates to virtually the same raw figure as the G1 stakes.

Maybe the Malibu was simply as bad a race as the times suggest. The victorious Johnny Eves gets extra credit for surviving a three-way duel in 22.04 and 44.04, but that's not so much faster than Bob Black Jack's 22.28 and 44.32 in the Cal Breeders to explain how G1 3-year-olds ran so much slower than Cal-bred 2-year-olds and no faster than maiden claimers. The clunk-up second- and fourth-place finishes by 42-1 Carillero and 54-1 Hurry Up Austin support the theory that the race simply was not a very good one and that the most accomplished entrants -- Great Hunter, Divine Park and Les Grands Trois -- just didn't fire. Betting back horses from the race because "they were only beaten x lengths in the Malibu" may be a bad idea going forward.

The Super High Five attracted a pool of $54,653, well below the $200,000 or so a last-race superfecta would have drawn in its place but not that bad for a new and intimidatingly expensive wager. The first three finishers were under 10-1, combining for only a $237.70 (for $1) trifecta, but the necessary 4th and 5th finishers were 57-1 and 46-1. It will be interesting to see whether the $43,350 carryover into Friday is enough to attract any serious investors or whether they let it go another day.

--Back at Aqueduct, where racing resumed for the first time since Dec. 15 and no extension of the NYRA franchise past Monday was announced, a two-day $161k pick-six carryover attracted another $685,932, $1200 of it mine. I got my money back with two consos at $639, a disappointment after getting alive 2x4x3 after the first three legs, which included a $40.40 winner. Then I ran a distant second and third in the fourth leg with the two favorites behind 10-1 Dance Gal Dance, a second-time starter who improved mightily on her debut victory: The 2-year-old statebred filly's winning time of 1:10.68 was by far the fastest of the afternoon's five six-furlong races, including the 1:11.15 by older N3x fillies in the feature. Dance Gal Dance improved from a Beyer of 70 in her debut to an 87, winning off by 5 3/4 lengths.

Those wise enough to anticipate such a performance were rewarded to the tune of $91,252. It was a rare double-carryover where the pick six paid less than the parlay, but a case where the win mutuels may have been misleading: The $40.40 winner came in a race where everyone spread and a horrendous 4-5 favorite could not possibly have been 4-5 in the pick-six, and the $20.40 winner of the finale was one of only three or four horses in the statebred maiden-claimer eligible to outrun a poodle. The winner's odds were also inflated by what must have been some sort of universal tip on Turn Up The Volume, a second-time starter who showed nothing at 58-1 in his debut on grass seven months ago and little more Wednesday after being pounded to 2.45-1.

---It's hard to keep track of when Aqueduct and Santa anita are running without a scorecard. Here's the lineup:
Aqueduct: Closed Monday 12/31 and Wednesday 1/2, open Tuesday Jan. 1 (franchise permitting).
Santa Anita: Closed Thursday 12/27; open Friday 12/28 through Tuesday 1/1; closed Weds. Jan. 2; open Thursdays through Mondays thereafter.

Teresa More than 1 year ago
Greg: Saratoga is in Bruno's district, and the cynics among us have said that the only time that Bruno will get concerned about racing is when it has the potential to affect the Saratoga meet; he doesn't care if racing shuts down downstate (Silver's territory). That said, rumors abound about full-page ads being taken out by upstaters pillorying Bruno's behavior, which has reportedly spurred him to drop some of his demands in the last few days. All rumor/speculation, of course. When it comes to NY politics, no mere citizen/voter ever has a clue about what's actually happening behind those closed doors.
SamG More than 1 year ago
We had damp weather in the Chicago area last week followed by high winds and frigid temps so even tho the chart for 12/26 lists the temp as 42 for the 1st post the track may not have had time to thaw out and that could account for the fast times at Hawthorne that afternoon.
BUDD More than 1 year ago
TO LUIS_JULIET PAYOFF WAS BASED ON A $2 BET. ACTUAL BETTOR WON $23,600+, ON A DIME BET.
Ray Manley More than 1 year ago
I believe the graded stakes committee meets every year to review the graded stakes situation. Didn't we just get a list of races that were added/eliminated from the list as well as upgraded and downgraded? Why do players have such a concern about the graded status of a race? The grading of races is really for the breeders not for the players. I have no problem with awarding grade 1 status to races for 3YO before the triple crown races. Typically the Florida Derby, Santa Anita Derby, Wood Memorial and Bluegrass are great races.
Greg More than 1 year ago
Mr Crist, correct me if I'm wrong, but doesn't Joe Bruno's district include Saratoga Springs? The (very) amateur politician in me says of every state legislator in Albany, Bruno, of all people, needs racing because his constituency needs racing. The people of Saratoga need those six-weeks as much as anyone else. The town I'm sure makes an enormous percentage of their yearly revenue from mid-July through Labor Day. So why would Bruno be the one to try to stop it? Mindless.
EJXD2 More than 1 year ago
The Malibu is not a prep for the Strub Series, it's a part of the Strub Series.
Wayne More than 1 year ago
Any residual monies from NYRA land sales would revert to the state under the NYRA charter. Bizarre situation.
Ray Manley More than 1 year ago
Steve, What would happen if Charlie Hayward decides to draw a line in the sand and puts the three NYRA tracks up for sale? What happens to the money from the sale? I would assume NYRA could pay off its creditors and have a tidy sum left over. Where would this money go? Charlie is the best thing to happen to NYRA in a long time. He really needs a chance to show what he will do for racing as a whole and for the players.
utah1100 More than 1 year ago
Three comments, not in any particular order: 1.Happy New Year to all and good luck in 08. 2.The ENTIRE graded stakes situation in the country needs to be reviewed. I agree with the other poster that NO Derby prep should be a Grade I. 3.Steve, I love the artwork connected with the blog. It reminds me of when Mark Kriegel used to write a great column for the Daily News.
Luis Juliet More than 1 year ago
Somebody can explain me, how superfecta of Belmont 3rd race of today Dec 28th, pays 472,186.00, when superfecta pool maybe is around 50.000 USD?