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St. Pete Beach, Fla. -- On the off chance you're not going to be in the neighborhood for the handicapping seminar I'm doing at Tampa Bay Downs Saturday morning at 10 a.m., here's my cheat sheet for the three stakes on the card -- the $100k Suncoast for 3-year-old fillies, the $150k G3 Hillsborough for older turf fillies, and the $350k G2 Tampa Bay Derby for 3-year-olds:
The stakes comprise the first three legs of a late pick-4 if you're willing to get involved with the finale on the 12-race card, a maiden race for 3-year-old fillies on the grass that's loaded with first-time starters.
The TB Derby came up a bit light this year, with just two G3 winners in the field and only Take Charge Indy having exceeded a Beyer of 85, when he ran second to El Padrino in a Jan. 29 Gulfstream allowance race. That came over a wet (officially good/sealed) track, but El Padrino validated the figure winning the Risen Star in his next start. Take Charge Indy also was a decent 5th behind Hansen, Union Rags, Creative Cause and Dullahan in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile.
The forecast here is for temperatures in the high 70's with a 30 percent chance of late-afternoon showers. Post time for the Tampa Bay Derby is 5:28 pm.
This will be my first day back at the races after an unexpected layoff for some successful eye surgery. It's a relief to be able to read the past performances and watch races with two eyes again -- for a while there, I was afraid I would have to seek employment as a steward.
[Update 12:30 pm: Take Charge Indy has been scratched from the Tampa Bay Derby, leaving a field of 11. You can also scratch longshots Prothoe from the Suncoast and Last Full Measure from the Hillsborough.]
Steve, As one fan at the Tampa Morning Glory acknowledged you as "God"Thanks for your handicapping insight and the free Tampa Bay Downs DRF section.Hope you had the Leigh Delacour firster in the last race to complete the pick four...its always great to have you here just wish the question answer could have been longer...
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Yeah, this getting old business is pain in the neck. Still, with spring around the corner gotta try to crank it up a notch from my winter hiatus. Glad the eye business worked out successfully. Think we might have a good chance for a better than average triple crown season this year.
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Anyone know how to view the spreadsheet with an iPhone?
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St. Pete Beach. The Don Cesar I hope...
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Good to have you back Steven....I was starting to worry that something was really wrong. Look forward to reading your blog as the Triple Crown trail heats up.
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Steward... hehe
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As for your final thought - you'd be King Crist. (In the land of the blind...)
Ba dum-boom. Thank you ladies and germs.
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Glad to "see" you back, Steve.
Good luck!
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Hi Steve,
Glad the peppers are back in good form. (pun intended)
By the way, I think you would make a great steward
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Hope your feeling better Steve...and good luck today.....
Jim in Texas.....
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SIZZLING GOLD looks well situated. The 6yo mare has been a pro for a long time - you don't win 11 times by accident - and some of her best work has come sprinting on turf, on THIS turf course. After nearly 4 months off she came back to be a solid 3rd for $40K on this course June 2 and with that under her belt and a 2-level class drop she looks primed. Oh, that bullet :47 move here June 15 looks like a thumbs-up, too. HEAT TRAP finished full of run to get up in the final stride and in her turf sprint debut here May 19. She obviously has ability but it's first time vs.
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