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Farewell Shackleford. Farewell Stay Thirsty
Two very good older horses bid farewell with major Grade 1 wins over the Thanksgiving weekend.
*The popular SHACKLEFORD, winner of the 2011 Preakness Stakes and hero of this spring's Metropolitan Handicap, dug in tenaciously to fend off all challengers in the Clark Handicap at Churchill Downs. Shackleford was eliminated at the start of his previous race, the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile, but he broke alertly in the Clark and immediately went to the front under Jesus Castanon. Shackleford set moderate early fractions of 24.31 and 48.65 while being kept well off the inside (the rail didn't seem very good at Churchill last week), opened up a bit after a quick third quarter and refused to yield despite drifting in the stretch.
TAKE CHARGE INDY, making his second start back following an injury-induced layoff, chased the winner in vain throughout. He could be a promising player in the division next year, but his connections are debating whether he'll be retired to stud. Let him race, for goodness sakes! These early retirements are ridiculous!
BOURBON COURAGE may be the horse you want to take out of the Clark. He was down on the deeper inside footing and was floated out by Shackleford in the stretch. “There’s no reason to turn him out if he’s 100-percent,” assistant trainer Evan Downing told Churchill track publicity. “The plan is to take him to New Orleans on Monday. We’ll look at something like the Mineshaft (GIII at Fair Grounds on Feb. 23). That would be a good prep for something like the New Orleans Handicap (GII at Fair Grounds on March 30).”
It's hard to believe that Shackleford is only four as he danced every tango for trainer Dale Romans, racing in 17 consecutive Grade 1 or 2 events at various distances since February 2011. A graded winner from seven furlongs to 1 3/16 miles, Shackleford will stand at Darby Dan Farm in 2013 and the Forestry colt's female family is top class. Let's take a look at the produce record of Shackleford's dam, the stakes-placed Oatsee (by Unbridled).
2002 - Grand Portege, (f) by Grand Slam - winner, $101,171 in earnings
2003 - BAGHDARIA, (f) by Royal Academy - three-time Grade 3 winner (Indiana Oaks, Silverbulletday Stakes, Iowa Oaks), $725,433 in earnings
2004 - LADY JOANNE, (f) by Orientate - Grade 1 winner (Alabama Stakes), $987,094 in earnings.
2005 - Haysee, (f) by Orientate - unraced
2006 - Miss Sea Oats, (by Langfuhr) - placed, $1,385 in earnings
2007 - AFLEETING LADY, (f) by Afleet Alex - Grade 2 winner (Falls City Handicap), $473,526 in earnings
2008 - SHACKLEFORD, (c) by Forestry - three-time Grade 1 winner (Preakness Stakes, Metropolitan Handicap, Clark Handicap), $3,090,101 in earnings
2009 - STEPHANOATSEE, (r) by A.P. Indy - stakes-winner (Barbaro Stakes), $213,000 in earnings.
2010 - Dare Me, (c) by Johannesburg - unraced
2011 - Barren (Dixie Union)
2012 - Play Pretty, (f) by Indian Charlie - unraced
2013 - In foal to Bernardini
After dropping her Bernardini foal, Oatsee is scheduled to be bred to the recently-retired FRANKEL.
This is the female family of three-time Grade 1 winner Tappiano, familiar stallions A.P Jet, Tentam and Known Fact, and Secrettame, the dam of Gone West and Lion Cavern.
As a side note, 2-year-old DARE ME has worked 12 times for Graham Motion, but hasn't recorded an official drill since October 13.
*STAY THIRSTY finished behind Shackleford in the Florida Derby and Kentucky Derby, but got to the wire before that rival in the Belmont Stakes and Travers Stakes. A Spa-loving son of Bernardini, Stay Thirsty graduated going six furlongs at Saratoga before finishing second in the Grade 1 Hopeful Stakes. Stay Thirsty completed the Jim Dandy Stakes - Travers double at three and rounded back into his best form in his last two races. In the Jockey Club Gold Cup at Belmont on September 29, Stay Thirsty set the pace, shrugged off early challenges from SAN PABLO and RULER ON ICE, denied a prolonged bid from next-out Breeders' Cup Classic winner FORT LARNED and almost shooed away the final surge from FLAT OUT. Stay Thirsty dropped a tough head decision, but the race set him up beautifully for the Cigar Mile. Ridden by Ramon Dominguez in the Cigar, Stay Thirsty tracked BUFFUM, GROUPIE DOLL and COIL while those three eyeballed each other through slow fractions. Stay Thirsty wheeled four wide on the turn and he just got his nose down when it counted the most. Stay Thirsty will stand at Ashford Stud next season for $17,500 and should infuse some stamina into the breed. By a long-winded stallion out of a mare that won at 1 1/2 miles, Stay Thirsty had enough speed to win at six furlongs and enough staying power to prevail at 1 1/4 miles. He finished second in the 12-furlong Belmont Stakes as did his half-brother, Andromeda's Hero. The second dam, stakes-winner Make Change, placed in eight Grade 1 races while the third dam finished second in the Coaching Club American Oaks behind some filly named Ruffian. Another big name deep in the female family is Prove Out, who upset Secretariat in the 1973 Woodward.
*Owner Michael Repole had an amazing weekend, winning the Cigar with Stay Thirsty, the Grade 2 Demoiselle with UNLIMITED BUDGET and the Grade 2 Remsen with OVERANALYZE. His old warrior, CAIXA ELETRONICA, also caught the eye with his victory in the Grade 3 Fall Highweight Handicap. Following the scratch of POSEIDON'S WARRIOR, the Fall Highweight was left with no speed other than the returning THIS ONES FOR PHIL. Caixa Eletronica, normally a late-kicker, was forced to alter his style, Lugging 133 pounds, he chased This Ones for Phil from the outset and when the pacesetter couldn't shake him turning for home, supporters of favored This Ones for Phil knew that they were in for a fight. Caixa Eletronica usually wins these battles and the salty 7-year-old blew past This Ones for Phil en route to a 107-Beyer score. He's done just about everything in his career, this Caixa Eletronica. He's a multiple graded winner at six furlongs, owns a graded score at a mile, took the Grade 2 Charles Town Classic around a three-turn nine furlongs under lights, and has won three times at weights over 127 pounds, almost unheard of in this country nowadays.
*Another lovable oldtimer is BEN'S CAT. We've talked about him many times in this space for his courage and heart (heck, he survived a broken pelvis as a young horse and still has enjoyed a very successful career). Mostly known as a crack turf sprinter, Ben's Cat won the $200,000 Fabulous Strike Handicap on the dirt at Penn National last week. He is now 8-12 on dirt to go along with his 11-17 mark on the grass. Eight of those wins have come by under a length. He likes a good stretch brawl.
Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures (11/19/12 - 11/25/12):
1. STAY THIRSTY - 109 - Cigar Mile Handicap (G1) - 1 Mile - Aqueduct
2. CAIXA ELETRONICA - 107 - Fall Highweight Handicap (G3) - 6 Furlongs - Aqueduct
3. INFRATTINI - 106 - OC 100k/C -N - 1 Mile - Churchill
4. DELAUNAY - 103 - Thanksgiving Handicap - 6 Furlongs - Fair Grounds
4. SHACKLEFORD - 103 - Clark Handicap (G1) - 1 1/8 Miles - Churchill
6. CSABA - 101 (DH) - Fred W. Hooper Handicap (G3) - 1 1/8 Miles - Calder
6. DUCDUC - 101 (DH) - Fred W. Hooper Handicap (G3) - 1 1/8 Miles - Calder
8. KINDLE - 100 - Cool Air Stakes - 6 Furlongs (Turf) - Betfair Hollywood
8. NICOLE H - 100 - Daylily Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Penn National
10. BEN'S CAT - 99 - Fabulous Strike Handicap - 6 Furlongs - Penn National
10. OVERANALYZE - 99 - Remsen Stakes (G2) - 1 1/8 Miles - Aqueduct
10. STRING KING - 99 - Mr. Sulu Stakes - 1 Mile (Turf) - Fair Grounds
13. BETTER LUCKY - 98 - Matriarch Stakes (G1) - 1 Mile (Turf) - Betfair Hollywood
13. HEAD HEART HOOF - 98 - Hcp 14000s - 6 Furlongs - Aqueduct
15. BEAR TOUGH TIGER - 97 - Kennedy Road Stakes (G3-C) - 6 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Woodbine
15. DATA LINK - 97 - Citation Handicap (G2) - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Betfair Hollywood
17. DANCE CARD - 96 - Gazelle Stakes (G1) - 1 1/8 Miles - Aqueduct
17. KEEP UP - 96 - River City Handicap (G3) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Churchill
17. SAN PABLO - 96 - Swatara Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - Penn National
20. FIT TO RULE - 95 - Md Sp Wt 45k - 1 1/16 Miles (Cushion Track) - Betfair Hollywood
20. FLYING ZEALOUS - 95 - Alw 25000s - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Parx
20. JETER - 95 - OC 14k/N1X -N - 6 Furlongs - Aqueduct
20. REALLY MR GREELY - 95 - Hollywood Prevue Stakes (G3) - 7 Furlongs (Cushion Track) - Betfair Hollywood
20. UNBRIDLED COMMAND - 95 - Hollywood Derby (G1) - 1 1/4 Miles (Turf) - Betfair Hollywood
25. MAGIC BROOMSTICK - 95 - Bessarabian Stakes (G3-C) - 7 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Woodbine
25. RIGHTFULLY SO - 95 - Alw 51548N1X - 7 Furlongs - Churchill
25. VILLANDRY - 94 - Alw 54000N2X - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Churchill
*STAY THIRSTY's lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.
Let's go with Friday's tenth race at Calder for this week's HandiGambling exercise.
PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.
REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.
Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.
Please post your plays and analysis to the blog.
PLEASE GIVE YOUR NAME OR BLOG MONIKER AT THE END OF THE HG PLAY AND/OR ANALYSIS.
Please separate the play from the analysis and label the play "HG" with the program numbers (instead of the horse's name) for easier scoring.
In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. One entry per person please.
I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.
I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.
Best of luck to all.
*Be back with the weekend recap early next week.
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|HGTropical Turf.pdf||181.11 KB|
Uncle Steve ummm, AZ Wildcat Thanks for the malware thoughts and notes to look for. Though I have not had any problems that have been reported here (knm) I am astonished as to what scams do go on out there in the internet world. I am soooo naive ! Porn? ...NAW ... none of these formbloggeres would ever ..... SR Vegas
Bernard Downes Thanks for the note. I had thought he was a good guy, excellent jockey, and who is taking full accountability for his actions. ( it is interesting that what he did specifically is kept confidential, and just the ruling is set down.) Having never had anything like this happen in his career prior, tells me he made a mistake. Things happen. It's good to read that trainers and owners are still supportive. SR Vegas
SR Vegas, Yes, Frankie Dettori has got a 6 month worldwide ban. I have never formed a view as to an appropriate ban. How do you possibly begin to evaluate such a thing? Do you make an example of them when star performers go off the rails, or do you cut them some slack? Don't know. Frankie should be back on 20 May 2013, which gives him time to get race fit for the Epsom Derby and Epsom Oaks Classics in early June. Its certainly a long time out of the game at his time of life, but already trainers are lining up to offer verbal support for his successful return, and to promise good rides for him. Best Regards - Bernard Downes
Alydarandeasy and anyone else who cares, Rather than get into a long and pointless discussion over which pools offer the best value, I will just come out and give it an unequivocal,"It depends." I actually prefer to swim in the Pick 4 pool. Not all Pick 4 sequences are attractive as betting propositions. Also, many times there will be a race where I feel I have some unique insight that is not part of the Pick 4. In those cases I prefer to swim in the win and exacta pools. I don't really like playing trifectas and can't tell you how many times I've looked up after a race and said, darn, I had the trifecta too! Sometimes, just for sh*ts and giggles, I will play a silly 4 horse $0.10 super box. Somtimes they even come in! Bottom line, swim in the pool you like the best. Audentes Fortuna Juvat
Bernard Downes I saw a couple articles saying that Frankie Detorri has a 6 month ban from racing. one of which was here at DRF. http://www.drf.com/news/dettori-banned-six-months-1354731750 SR Vegas
Van Savant .."resurrect the spirit of Flipper, I would have done this sooner....." If memory serves me right wasn't Flip Dawson also a North of the border friend who had a business in headstones? (...the above comment you made had my thoughts go in that direction , snort ! ) Now , he truly was a character when he posted here, and I do remember his "Secret Play" comments :) ----------------------- Bernard Downes Welcome back! ----------------- Annie ..as I post this on Dec 5th 10:55 am PST: MKB COUNTDOWN : 11 days 6 hours and 5 minutes SR Vegas
The most effective malware scams are the ones that prey either on people’s fears or happen to mimic a site or service they use. Here are some of the things you can do to identify it as malware: When you mouse over a link or address (don’t click, just move your cursor over a link or address) and low and behold down in the lower left corner of your browser the TRUE address is displayed so the link may say FedEx Customer Service but when you mouse over the link it shows a non-FedEx address, for example something like fedexcustserv.angelfire.com. Here is the deal, the DOMAIN needs to be FedEx.com, but if you look carefully the link resolves not to fedex.com but to angelfire.com. It is a prebuilt site that when you click the link will start installing the malware. When you mouse over the “from” part of the e-mail address, it is also from a different domain, usually a Hotmail.com address, a dead giveaway. They may be good programmers but they can’t spell for Stronach – one email I got from US Airways had spelled Palo Alto, CA as Paolo Alto, CA – not only did they misspell the city, there is no airport in Palo Alto (home of Stanford and FaceBook). Plus it listed their corporate address in Tempe, AK… They are in Tempe, Arizona, not Alaska. The English looks foreign “you no take porn files” or “Viagra make you like happy all the time”. You also need to be aware that they can embed a link into a picture, so if you click on the picture, you be Stronached.
Here is one of my all-time favorite malware scams, the FBI Moneypack Virus. You are going merrily along, have your coffee and you start up your computer in the morning, ready to surf some horsey sites and instead of your regular desktop you get a foreboding looking letter from the FBI announcing that your computer has been locked because you were out surfing porn and that you need to purchase a $200 Moneypack at Walgreens or CVS and fill in the number and it will unlock it. It also has a nice feature to scare the crap out of people, it has a little video window and activates your computers camera and there is your smiling face in the video window and they inform you that the video is being captured by the FBI. This scam has raked in over $40M in the last year. I can’t tell you the number of people who call me and say that their computer is locked by the FBI and now they want money to unlock it. I always get a little fun out of saying “well were you surfing porn?” The answer is 100% “well, uh yeah…” It is a real PIA to remove, I mean a real PIA. Just Google “FBI Moneypack” and take a look at how it works. You don’t need to click anything to get it, and yes it is usually porn sites that get you infected – pretty slick, you surf porn and then you get locked down by the FBI for… surfing porn.
knm, Okay, let me give you a little history on what you are up against. In the early days we worried about viruses, which were pretty crude little packages of code conjured up by young boys who wanted to show off (think spray painting graffiti on the freeway overpass). They were a pain to deal with but not especially hard to remove. But then we moved into "malware" and that is a whole nother kettle of fish. They are programs written by professional coders (most from Russia, China and Romania) and are invasive, pervasive and have many capabilities to thwart removal (block access to removal sites, block downloads of removal software, turn off anti-virus software). The problem is that some of these malware programs install over 5,000 files and registry entries (the registry is like the card catalog file in a library, it associates files with programs and keeps track of what files are where). They can also store new copies of the program in hidden files on the computer so once you are through removing them and you restart and... it's back. The two primary tools I use to remove malware are SpyBot Search & Destroy and Malware Bytes. Both are free on the Internet. The problem is that the repair of computer system files is not always successful so you are left with a "malware hangover" - the virus/malware is gone but things that worked before don;t work any more. Here is the problem, there are very few people out there that are capable of successfully removing the malware and all of its resulting hangover. For four years while I was RVing full time it was how I made my living, and now I end up fixing problems for friends and family... I just fixed my brother in laws computer after he contracted the Microsoft Anti-Virus malware, it looks exactly like something that Microsoft made and it reports you have viruses and malware aplenty (seeing that IT installed it). It took me 7 hours to finally remove all of the infected files and replace the damaged system files. I was pretty cheap at $60 an hour and you can see that it can be more expensive to remove the malware than to buy a new computer. This has been the dirty little secret of the computer world for a while now. In many cases you have no choice but to completely rebuild the computer from reformat up. The best malware protection in my experience is Norton Anti-Virus 2012, NOT Norton Internet Security. NAV is just the protection against viruses and malware, the Internet Security package has all sorts of little goodies that can make your life a living hell, like its firewall blocking you from accessing sites, keeping you from getting your mail, etc. I know that this is probably not what you want to hear, but it is the straight scoop. Steve T
Are you getting excited yet? Only a little over a week from now, it will be just like going to one of the big sales, only you won't have to sign the ticket and fork over the big bucks. Good luck everyone! Annie