01/10/2012 3:50PM

Eden's to the Moon!!!

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Sheikh Mohammed stole the show last weekend with a trifecta of 3-year-old winners (Alpha, Out of Bounds, Captivating Lass), but some other intriguing sophomores emerged as well.

*EDEN'S MOON, second at odds-on in her career debut to big-fig winner Reneesgotzip, found the winner's circle in her second lifetime appearance for Bob Baffert.  Bought back for $110,000 last February before selling for $390,000 in May, Eden's Moon is by Malibu Moon out of a turf-winning half-sister to multiple Grade 1 winner Paradise Creek, Grade 1 winner Forbidden Apple, multiple Grade 2 winner Wild Event and stakes-winner I'm Very Irish.  Making her first start on dirt, and her first start around two turns, Eden's Moon won by 11 1/2 lengths, completed the mile in 1:36.75 and received an 88 Beyer.  She looks like an Oaks prospect.

*Todd Pletcher's DISCREET DANCER made it two-for-two with a big win in an entry-level allowance race contested over a one-turn mile, but he still must answer some distance questions.  Pletcher also sent out THE LAST MEOW to win her career debut at Gulfstream.  A daughter of Storm Cat that was a $220,000 RNA as a yearling, The Last Meow is out of Richwoman, a Successful Appeal mare that won the first three starts of her career including the Grade 3 Debutante Stakes at Churchill Downs.  The second dam (by Richman), was a multiple stakes-winning sprinter at two.  Although this is the female family of long-winded millionaire Videogenic, the recent pedigree indicates precociousness and sprint ability.  The Last Meow won her six-furlong heat by 7 1/2 lengths in 1:09.82 (87 Beyer Speed Figure) and looks like a stakes-caliber sprint prospect.  This is the female family of juvenile Grade 1 route winner Consolidator. 

*GENTLEMEN'S BET, a Florida-bred son of Half Ours, won his debut for trainer Wayne Catalano at Gulfstream on January 5.  The colt pulled off a 33-1 shocker in front-running style, finishing six furlongs in 1:10.23 (89 Beyer Speed Figure).  Half Ours was best at distances up to a mile so Gentlemen's Bet has some questions to answer if he is to step onto the Derby trail.

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Here are the top 25 Winning Beyer Speed Figures from last week (1/2/12 - 1/8/12):

1.  CAIXA ELETRONICA - 101 - Rise Jim Stakes - 6 Furlongs (Inner Track) - Aqueduct
1.  CARACORTADO - 101 - Daytona Stakes (G3) - About 6 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - Santa Anita
3.  OUT OF BOUNDS - 99 - Sham Stakes (G3) - 1 Mile - Santa Anita
4.  BLACK N BEAUTY - 97 - OC 50k/C - 1 Mile 70 Yards (Inner Track) - Aqueduct
4.  TWELVE FOLDS - 97 - Md Sp Wt 58k - 5 1/2 Furlongs - Santa Anita
6.  DISCREET DANCER - 96 - OC 75k/N1X -N - 1 Mile - Gulfstream
6.  DISKI DANCE - 96 - OC 25k/N2X -N - 5 1/2 Furlongs - Laurel
6.  LA SOMBRE - 96 - OC 25k/N1X -N - About 6 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - Santa Anita
6.  MACHO DORADO - 96 - Clm c-(32-28) - 7 Furlongs - Santa Anita
10. DR DISCO - 95 - OC 75k/N3X -N - 6 Furlongs (Inner Track) - Aqueduct
10. MIZDIRECTION - 95 - Monrovia Stakes (G3) - About 6 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - Santa Anita
10. UH OH BANGO - 95 - San Pasqual Stakes (G2) - 1 1/16 Miles - Santa Anita
13. RIBALD - 94 -  Alw 5000s - 6 Furlongs - Sunland
14. COMPARI - 92 - OC 80k/C -N - 1 Mile (Turf) - Santa Anita
15. ACTION ANDY - 91 - Pelican Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Tampa Bay
15. QUIET AGAIN - 91 - Winsham Lad Stakes - 1 Mile 70 Yards - Sunland
17. D'PENDABLE - 90 - Alw 59400N1X - 6 Furlongs - Santa Anita
17. GRAEME CRACKERJACK - 90 - Clm 20000(20-18) - 1 1/16 Miles - Santa Anita
17. HEAVENLY LANDING - 90 - Marshua's River Stakes (G3) - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Gulfstream
17. SHIMMERING MOMENT - 90 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 1 3/8 Miles (Turf) - Gulfstream
21. GENTLEMEN'S BET - 89 - Md Sp Wt 40k - 6 Furlongs - Gulfstream
21. SURPLUS - 89 - Alw 73326N1X - 1 Mile (Turf) - Santa Anita
21. THE LAST MEOW - 89 - Md Sp Wt 40k - 6 Furlongs - Gulfstream
24. CAT PARK - 88 - Hcp 16000s - 1 Mile (Turf) - Tampa Bay
24. EDEN'S MOON - 88 - Md Sp Wt 56k - 1 Mile - Santa Anita
24. JUMP UP - 88 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 1 1/16 Miles - Gulfstream
24. LIBERAL ARTS - 88 - OC 25k/N1X - 1 1/16 Miles - Santa Anita
24. MONUMENT HILL - 88 - Clm 50000 - 1 Mile (Turf) - Gulfstream
24. OLD BUSHMILL - 88 - Dixie Poker Ace Stakes - 1 Mile (Turf) - Fair Grounds
24. VALERIUS - 88 - Clm 10000 - 1 1/8 Miles - Gulfstream

*The lifetime past performances for CAIXA ELETRONICA and CARACORTADO are available at the bottom of this blog post.

*MACHO DORADO was claimed for $32,000 by trainer Bob Hess Jr. from Vann Belvoir.

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Dan (our leader "LSD") - The #1 horse (Obsess) is a KY bred that has run in 4 State bred races in California. Two are (S)Allowance w/conditions and two are (S)Optional Claiming w/conditions.
Why is this KY bred running in these races for State breds (CA)?
I don't get this at all. Can anyone expound on this? What am I missing?
TIA...
Jeff

Jeff, the conditions for those statebred races are for "California bred OR California sired" runners.  Although bred in Kentucky, OBSESS' sire, Roar, stood in California prior to his death.

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Hi Dan,
Hollywood Park Saturday, December 17th Race 5 was won by Bud I Crushed It and paid $173.40. The double paid $499.00. The next race winner pays $23.20 yet the double pays $174.20.
http://www.drf.com/race-results/HOL/USA/2011-12-17/D
Doesn't seem right. Any ideas or inside information?
Thanks,
Del

Check out this blog entry for more information:

http://blog.twinspires.com/2011/12/practical-case-for-value-wagering.html

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Hi Dan,
Great writeup on your Eclipse picks. Don't get stressed too much because we all have to argue about things once the winners are chosen! lolYo
I know this is more a handicapping forum but what a horrible incident at Santa Anita on Friday. I wonder at the time of your writing a response if there is a bit of an inquiry into things (although I'm sure it will pass as 'racing'). In the fifth was Coal Region Kid..a horse in form put with a rider Guiseppe Ercegovic who had 3 lifetime mounts in 2008 before this ride. It just looked fishy and sure enough, the horse broke down horribly. A terrible sight for the spectators.
As handicappers we know to stay away from this horse because of the suspicious rider change...its just awful. Anyway...just wish the horse never made it to post.
I was wondering if you could post the pps of Three In The Bag and Hesogoodwithmoney. I was surprised to come across both these horse as still racing in 2011. They were real battlers on the New York circuit in the past years.
And because its Eclipse time can you post the pp's of Bum? Think he was a horse at the opposite end of the spectrum.
Thanks so much, Greg

Thanks, Greg.  I haven't heard anything about COAL REGION KID.  The past performances you requested are listed at the bottom of this blog post.

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Hello Dan,
Please crank up the wayback machine. I'm intrested in a horse named Rag Bag. He ran @ Dover Downs. Yes there was flat racing at one time in Dover. There was clover in Dover. Rag Bag raced in 1969 or 1970.
Thanks
Gregory Beringer

I couldn't find Rag Bag in our files, but he compiled a lifetime record of 122-16-19-8 for earnings of $25,188.  A foal of 1963, he was a dark bay colt by Bagdad out of Encomium, by Citation.   

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Dan,
In honor of the passing of Lewis Cenicola, may we please see the PPs for John Henry?
Thanks!
David

The past performances for the legendary John Henry are available at the bottom of this blog post.

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Dan,
I really enjoy reading all the posts at the end of your columns. They can be very informative. However, they keep referring to MKB horses, a term with which I am unfamiliar. What is an MKB horse?
Al

Al Bibs,
Welcome to FormBlog! You must be new to the blog if you don't know what MKB means, as this will be the 4th year the MKB has been in existence. Now, you will probably be shocked when you hear what the letters stand for. :) MKB stands for Magic Kleenex Box. MKB sounds very professional though, doesn't it? Like the NBA.
Each December, I put the names of promising two-year-olds that I think will perform well on the Derby Trail and in the Kentucky Derby. Formbloggers who wish to participate, sign up, and around the 18th of December I draw the name of a horse for each participant. The horse then becomes their own special horse to root for along the Derby Trail. They, of course, get the bragging rights whenever any of their boys do well. They are all boys, since so few fillies end up in the Kentucky Derby, and winning that is the primary goal.
These horses are hand-selected by me, based on how they did as two-year-olds, or how good their pedigree is, or even how much someone paid for them as yearlings. These are the cream of the crop youngsters, and they win most of the Derby Prep races and the last two years, MKB horses won the Derby.
If you enjoy three-year-old racing and the Triple Crown, following these horses can be very profitable. I wrote up a short Bio of each horse, which can be found in the December Archives, although one of the FormBloggers can give you a link to where they all are. ANDERSON?...............................................................................
All.....Does anyone remember where I put the poem, "Twas the Night Before MKB"? It would be nice if Al could read about the magic that goes with the MKB. :)
Annie

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Dan I hear they are going to do a re-vote for the apprentice jockey Eclipse Award?
Is this TRUE?
Pippen0707

It is true.  Here's the press release from the NTRA:

http://www.ntra.com/content/display/industry-press/NDk0NTA=

I voted again and cast my ballot for Ryan Curatolo. 

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Congrats to TurfRuler for finishing first in last week's HandiGambling exercise.  This week's race is Thursday's seventh from Santa Anita. 

PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.
 
Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."
 
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.
 
Please post your plays and analysis to the blog.
 
Please separate the play from the analysis and label the play "HG" with the program numbers (instead of the horse's name) for easier scoring.
 
In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. One entry per person please.
 
I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.
 
I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

I will be incognito for the rest of this week so I wish you all the best of luck.

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CaixaCortado.pdf82.89 KB
Threemoneybum.pdf83.64 KB
John Henry.pdf104.82 KB
HGSA.pdf170.21 KB