04/06/2017 3:38PM

Designed for War primed to score

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In the November 17, 2016 edition of FormBlog (http://www.drf.com/blogs/another-michael-maker-success-story), I mentioned Michael Maker's gaudy success rate with newly-purchased runners stretching out on turf.
 
Perhaps he has another future stakes winner in DESIGNED FOR WAR, who earned a career-best 101 Beyer Speed Figure when a close second in last week's Grade 2 Pan American Stakes traveling 12 furlongs at Gulfstream Park. The Pan American was Designed for War's second start since Maker and company purchased him for a mere $55,000 at the Keeneland January sale. 
 
Designed for War went through the auction ring twice as a younger horse. A $145,000 RNA as a weanling, he sold for $125,000 at two. He is by the prolific turf sire War Front out of an unraced half-sister to French Group 3 turf winner Dance Dress and British stakes-placed turf runner Discuss. The second dam (by Private Account) was a stakes winner at Santa Anita.
 
Initially trained by Todd Pletcher, Designed for War won his career debut on turf at Saratoga, then captured a grassy entry-level allowance race the following year at the Spa. That win preceded a long layoff and a trainer switch to Rusty Arnold. As a 4-year-old for Arnold, Designed for War grabbed an 'n2x' optional claimer at Churchill Downs, but was far from a stakes horse. 
 
Enter Maker. 
 
After the January purchase, Designed for War started working in South Florida. Handicappers that paid attention to the invaluable "DRF Clocker Report" had reason to believe that Maker was beginning to figure the horse out. Note the comment for the February 25 drill, his final workout prior to his 5-year-old debut on March 10.
 
Feb 25 PMM 5f fm :58.00
Drew off from Tiger Paw while urged along some inside the cones through awesome fractions of 34.40, (4) 58.00 / 1:10.60, 1:23.80, 1:38.80. RATING: A-
 
Designed for War finished a solid fourth in that salty optional claimer won by the stakes-quality JAY GATSBY. That race was at nine furlongs, the longest run of Designed for War's career. But Maker was only getting started.
 
He then stretched Designed for War all the way out to the 1 1/2-mile distance of the Pan American. Racing with blinkers off, Designed for War tracked loose pacesetter REPORTING STAR through splits of 24.15, 49.77 and 1:15.54. He took over from in between horses with three furlongs remaining and battled doggedly to the wire, dropping a narrow decision to the late-kicking SADLER'S JOY.
 
 

 
Designed for War may not be a true Grade 1 horse, but Maker is a master at spotting his older turf horses in races that they can win. Expect Designed for War to remain at longer distances in Grade 2/Grade 3 races for the near future. He's one to watch.
 
***
 
For free video analysis of all of the weekend's graded stakes winners, take a look at http://video.drf.com/
 
Please watch "Out of the Gate," a fast-paced 30-minute handicapping program that previews the weekend's best races. 
 
"Out of the Gate" will be uploaded to video.drf.com and Daily Racing Form's Facebook and YouTube pages on Friday afternoon at 3pm ET.

An audio podcast version will also be available on iTunes and SoundCloud.

I'll be on with Mike Beer and Matt Bernier and will be joined by DRF's Nicole Russo and noted tournament player Jonathon Kinchen. 

 
You can check me out on Twitter @DRF_Dan Illman.
 
For up-to-date video releases from DRF, follow DRFTV on Twitter @DRFvideo.
 
***
 
Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures from 3/29/17 - 4/4/17:
 
1. HONORABLE DUTY - 105 - New Orleans Handicap (G2) - 1 1/8 Miles - 1Apr17-8FG 
2. CLEARLY NOW - 101 - OC 62k/C -N - 7 Furlongs - 1Apr17-1GP 
2. SADLER'S JOY - 101 - Pan American Stakes (G2) - 1 1/2 Miles (Turf) - 1Apr17-13GP 
4. COLLECTED - 100 - Santana Mile - 1 Mile - 1Apr17-8SA
5. ALL INCLUDED - 98 - Appleton Stakes (G3) - 1 Mile (Turf) - 1Apr17-4GP 
5. HARD ACES - 98 - Tokyo City Cup (G3) - 1 1/2 Miles - 2Apr17-8SA 
5. TESTOSTERSTONE - 98 - Mr. Sinatra Stakes - 1 1/8 Miles - 1Apr17-8AQU
8. ALWAYS DREAMING - 97 - Florida Derby (G1) - 1 1/8 Miles - 1Apr17-14GP 
9. CELESTINE - 96 - Honey Fox Stakes (G2) - 1 Mile (Turf) - 1Apr17-10GP 
9. ENTERPRISING - 96 - Muniz Memorial Handicap (G2) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - 1Apr17-9FG 
9. THE TRUTH OR ELSE - 96 - Sir Shackleton Stakes - 7 Furlongs - 1Apr17-7GP 
12. WAY STRIKING - 95 - OC 60k/C -N - 1 1/16 Miles - 1Apr17-5OP 
13. ALERT BAY - 94 - Alw 40551NC - 1 Mile - 2Apr17-6GG 
13. FARZ - 94 - OC 62k/C -N - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 1Apr17-9GP 
13. LUKES ALLEY - 94 - OC 62k/C -N - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 1Apr17-9GP 
13. PRADO'S SWEET RIDE - 94 - New Orleans Ladies Overnight Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 1Apr17-3FG 
13. SUMMERSAULT - 94 - Orchid Stakes (G3) - 1 3/8 Miles (Turf) - 1Apr17-5GP 
18. KARLA WITH A K - 93 - OC 40k/N2X - 6 Furlongs - 2Apr17-8OP 
18. SAWYER'S HILL - 93 - OC 75k/N3X -N - 1 Mile (Turf) - 30Mar17-7SA 
20. ABBEY VALE (IRE) - 92 - Wcl 33000(32-28) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - 30Mar17-5SA 
20. MANIPULATED - 92 - Clm c-50000N3L - 6 Furlongs - 2Apr17-7AQU
20. WORLD APPROVAL - 92 - Turf Classic Stakes - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - 2Apr17-4TAM
23. BASS RIVER ROAD - 91 - Kelly Kip Stakes - 6 Furlongs - 1Apr17-5AQU
23. CANDY PROMISES - 91 - OC 40k/N1X -N - 6 Furlongs - 1Apr17-9SA 
23. GIRVIN - 91 - Louisiana Derby (G2) - 1 1/8 Miles - 1Apr17-11FG 
23. GORDY FLORIDA - 91 - OC 40k/N2X -N - 6 Furlongs - 1Apr17-6OP 
23. JAN'S RESERVE - 91 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 6 1/2 Furlongs - 31Mar17-8AQU
23. SOMEDAY JONES - 91 - OC 25k/N2X -N - 6 1/2 Furlongs - 4Apr17-8PRX
 
*Honorable Duty's lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.
 
*Manipulated was claimed for $50,000 by trainer Rudy Rodriguez from David Jacobson.
 
***
 
Dan
sorry if it seems like I only come by once in a while to gripe, but, hey, you seem to be one of the few, if not only, members of the DRF crew who listens, so...
last week it was the pps including 20+ races from strange time zones, this week it's how is it that the Saturday Stakes preview is supposed to include ALL MAJOR stakes of the weekend, yet, there are multiple statebred starters from aqu and only one from gulf on derby day (it looks like 6 other G2 or 3's will be run, weather permitting, of course).
can anyone help??!!
is anyone else listening??!!
sorry to take up valuable space here, but, again, come on
pe
 
Gulfstream did not finish drawing the Florida Derby card until very, very late on Wednesday afternoon. They drew the Florida Derby in the morning, but we didn't receive the rest of the entries until after press time.
 
***
 
Congrats to Suheil for winning the most recent HandiGambling challenge.
 
Rick M and SR VEGAS' HG scoreboard spreadsheet is available at the bottom of this blog post. 
 
Suheil selected Saturday's Blue Grass Stakes as this week's exercise. 
 
PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.
 
 
SR Vegas and Rick M. have graciously decided to update all of the HG rules in order to make them an easier read for everyone...
 
HANDIGAMBLING version 2016:
 
Let's remember WHY we began the HandiGambling races in the first place.
The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses and why we're betting them the way we are. We are not asking for a novel but SPARE A SENTENCE OR TWO outlining your HANDICAPPING ANGLES and/or THOUGHT PROCESSES about WAGERING.
 
1. Start your post with HG or HANDIGAMBLING to find your entry in a thread.
2. You have a mythical $100 to wager in whatever format you choose that is available for that HG race. Anyone going over the $100 limit will be DISQUALIFIED.
3. Post your WAGER and ANALYSIS to the blog prior to the start of the designated race. SIGN OFF WITH YOUR NAME/OR MONIKER AT THE END OF YOUR POST. Remember that posts may start as 'anonymous' or an 'alternate name'. You MUST SIGN YOURSELF AT THE END (even if it is the same) This enables the scorekeeper to identify who you are.
4. (1) ONE ENTRY per person for the Handigambling contest. If you have multiple email addresses, use just ONE for contest purposes. Multiple entries will be cause for disqualification.
5. Separate your analysis from the wager and use the PROGRAM # in your wager. Just like you would do in a real wager. No horse names.
6. If any of the rules listed above aren't met, the wager is subject to review which can lead to disqualification of your entry.
 
In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. Dan reserves the right to approve or deny any entries.
The winner will receive a "60-Card Quarterly Formulator Past Performance Plan"
 
As an example :
 
HG 2016
The speed in this race are #1 Alpha, #2 Beta, and #8 Ocho. I like the works for layoff horse #5 Cinco who can sit off the pace. Lots of speed in here, so this could set up for a closer like  #6 Six Flags and I like the trainer's stats in these conditions. I’ll put the closer over the speed.
 
HG wager:
$10 EX   6 /   1,2,5, 8  = $40
$5 TRI   6 /   1,2,5,8  /  1,2,5,8  =  $60
Total $100
Thanks Dan!
Harpo
 
A MORE DETAILED ANALYSIS  IS  ALWAYS  APPRECIATED !
REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.
 
ALSO, IF THE WINNER WOULD LIKE TO SELECT THE FOLLOWING WEEK'S RACE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM NO LATER THAN THE FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY MORNING (A SATURDAY RACE IS MOST IDEAL)

 

AttachmentSize
HONORABLE DUTY.pdf688.43 KB
Copy of HG 4 1 17 FL Derby.xls51 KB
HG 4 1 17 FL Derby notes UPDATED.doc36.5 KB
HGBLUEGRASS.pdf166.33 KB
Mac930My 17 days ago
Keeneland. Late Pick 4. 50 cent play x 6 tickets.

358//148//127//3913
$300Win//$600Place
R6. #3
R7. #1
R8. #2
R9. #13

Good Luck!!!

Whackymacky Out!!!
Mac930My 17 days ago
Keeneland. Late Pick5. 50 cent play x 6

1278//358//148//127/3913

Need to keep plugging away.  

Good Luck!!!

Whackymacky Out!!!    Go Look at Lee
ed 17 days ago
Curtis,
Tell Okiesharp to switch browsers. I have not been able to post. Try Firefox.
edb
DavidM9999 18 days ago
Exitations won nice in quick time at KEE yesterday. Odds floored me at 7-2. Figured 8/5. The 12-1 ML horse I liked goes off 3-1. I bet at noon. Hard to gamble efficiently with a 6 to 5 job.

Nothing like paying $99 for DRF Clocker Reports then not being able to access them. It is tax time.  I am writing off the subscription price as a charitable contribution to the Stephen Crist Foundation.

 Ned,

Dream Dancing – last two strong on grass. Two back come home in 28.42, 39.2 MPH and ran 20 feet farther than top ones to boot. In last faced toughie in Coasted who was off layoff. 28.89 come home, 39.1 MPH with shorter trip this time. Some pause with lane traffic then the burst with open length gallop out . Visually looks rock solid, numerically fine. Beat little two back, beat one good one and some others who are okay in March. Rail concerns but with pace likely maybe seams open.


Proctor’s Lodge – have grudge against this one as I blew all vertical bets with her at 49-1 in another DAVIDM dark moment. Ran same day as DD above. 35.17 come home at 9F. Nothing of note behind but Jaunt may be upwardly mobile type.39.4 MPH late. In last 28.80 come home; 38.6 MPH. Seems fine not been beating toughies IMO. Apparent slow early fractions influenced by short runup.


Bellavais –comes home 18.07 and 37.6 MPH at 7.5F trip. Turf track was slower that day per my spreadsheet. Not a stellar group behind to my eye. Certainly bred to be stakes type. Wonder why they stopped on her after stakes win? Not exactly what connections would prefer  with quality filly. Working strong since. Pilot stays.


Lull –figures the forgotten one. Showed quality as a 2YO. On 3L lead in BC but going too quick. Still held well considering 45 change half. First juice, working at Payson under cover so no Clocker data expected.Don't get me started. IF she can rate off Morticia or that one scratches the dynamic improves.


Purely a Dream - Should  be forwardly placed but parked if Morticia actually goes. Outside post may mean wide trip plus she cannot spot them much.


La Colonel  and New Money Honey – both figure to take cash. Always liked Honey playing her in BC. But not interested in 7/2 or less here in deep field. Sure, they can as classy types but also they cannot also. Colonel lost BC at the draw with 13 hole. Could not find replay of Colonels Oak’s loss but saw it live at FB Convention. Seemed to remember tough trip. That said you like to have won at Tampa right?


Coasted –nice start to 2017.  Hopped at start in last costing her few lengths. 10 seconds in she was beside Dream Dancing. 3 wide on backside and turn. Beaten on square late by Dancing. Nice grade 1 placed filly with more to come on east coast. Under radar but capable trainer is 0-18 in stakes but what that stat misses is she ran a huge second in BC at 23-1. Would want 6-1+.


I have basically said something good about all of them.  I could go 4 deep and whiff. I don’t have a good feel for how this thing is going to be bet. I would not talk anyone off anything at a solid price and not Bellavais. I have a better feel that this will have some pace. All three on outside will leave.  Pace should assist Dream Dancing's late push if she finds room. Find out more about quality 95 seconds after gates open. If I get time I might look at a 1-10 ex and will check tote on both horses in WIN pools. This feels like better than a grade 3 while the Ashland was the inverse.

Curt Vassallo 18 days ago
Larry{Okiesharp} is having problems posting to the blog.  He asked me last night if I would post this for him.  I also gave him some computer info, so let’s see if it works to get him back on.


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Keeneland Results
 
Take a look at Irap, Paulessilverlining, and Sailor's Valentine nostrils and
tell me if that's what bleeding looks like.........
 
           https://twitter.com/keenelandracing
 

Okiesharp

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Curt V.

SR Vegas 18 days ago

Annie


I had put this in a doc before reading your last post . Doh! So, I'm duplicating your MKB efforts

.

We have landed in Pismo Beach for the 2nd half of the Easter road trip and I'm getting a chance to catch up on Formblog.


Here are a few  ‘other'  MKBs not running in the Ky Derby points races this weekend

Fri  4/14/17

Kee race #1  50K Clm  7F

YOUNG AMERICAN – Longwaytomay/AOS

 

Sat  4/15/17

Oaklawn race #1  70KMSW 1  1/8M

INSURGENT - Dylbert


Oaklawn race #8 150K Northern Spur 1  1/16M

WARRIORS CLUB - Alan


Keenland race # 5  72K Allow 1  1/8M

SOCIETY BEAU - Uncle Zeno


...and CHALKY WILL be rooting her NO DOZING in the 200K Lexington stakes/ Kee #9  !!



Good luck to all our MKB owners. Come home safe.



A Happy Passover and Happy Easter to all my Formblog friends...and a special Happy B-Day to my RAH on Saturday :)


SR Vegas

ed 18 days ago
Ned,
That is a very, very interesting race. Lots of horses with positives. I like the 1 horse, but not thrilled with the post. New Money Honey is the horse to beat. Watch where the money goes in this one. 15-1 ML horses are very live.
edb
Professor Molesap 18 days ago
Ned,

The Appalachian to be run on Thursday as Kee 8 certainly came up tough – the 1st, 2nd, and 4th place horses are from the Breeder’s Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf race along with the post time favorite – plus some other good ones. If I have a chance to write up more specific comments I will, but that is unlikely. This is probably the toughest 3YO filly grass race this year so far. Your horse, Bellavais has run well in all four starts and won a $100K stakes race after being hit in the face with the whip. She has overcome adverse conditions a couple of times as well. I think being close at the finish on the turf is an important attribute as the Beyers mean little, so she has that going for her. The number is good as she is 15/1 on the morning line. She will be in the second flight behind the speed and should get first run on the closers. Toner does fairly well with these types of layoffs. I like her form in general, but as I said, I think double digit odds are fair because the competition in fierce. I liked La Colonel a bit last time, but I suspect she will get overbet and I do not like the way she lost in her return, but she definitely needed the race and will be much tighter here. New Money Honey is my pick, but the Brownies will be out in force as she makes her 2017 debut.  Chad is great with these types off layoffs and she looked really good as a 2YO, but I think she will be the likely favorite at 2/1 or so. From a pace dynamics standpoint, there seems to be lots of speed and with will setup for horses coming off the pace. Most of the speed is clustered together on the outside, so I would be looking at any of the inside six slots for trifecta finishes. Tough race, but should be interesting – here are my picks in order: New Money Honey, Coasted, Bellavais, La Colonel. I have New Money on top as I think she may be a force in the division early this year and then with older horses later.

Anonymous 18 days ago
MKB UPDATE:

Six of the 12 in the Arkansas Derby are MKBs! Let's get another MKB superfecta!!!

EDB'S Classic Empire
MONTY GRY'S Silver Dust
TURF RULER'S Petrov
WHACKYMACKY'S Lookin at Lee
DOMINIC'S Untrapped
YOU FEEL LUCKY'S Malagacy

Good luck all!!! Get those points.

Annie
Anonymous 18 days ago
MKB UPDATE:

I see a few of you will be going to Keeneland this Sat.! Not going to the Derby this year, but at least you'll get to see your horse run and maybe make some money. :)

CHALKY'S No Dozing will run in the Lexington Stakes. Good luck, Chalky!!!

DYLBERT'S Insurgent will try once again to break his maiden in the 1st. Good luck, Dylbert!!!

UNCLE ZENO'S Society Beau will be the only MKB in the 5th race allowance. Well, at least TAZ will go to the Derby. She'll probably bring you along. :) Good luck on Sat.!!!

Annie