08/28/2010 12:07PM

Day 32: 8/28/10

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SARATOGA SPRINGS -- If you're just getting tied on for a long and rich day of racing from coast to coast, you've already missed the first three at Saratoga.

The 13-race card here started at 11:35 a.m. ET on a final Saturday of August that includes five main-track Grade 1 races (the Travers, King's Bishop and Ballerina at Saratoga and the Pacific Classic and Pat O'Brien at Del Mar) and a pair of Grade 2's on the grass (the Ballston Spa and the Del Mar Mile.)

A few changes to the usual Saratoga wagering menu:

*There are three instead of the usual two pick-4's today, on races 2-5, 5-8 and 9-12.  Unfortunately, the one race that is part of both early pick-4's, the 5th, is a 2-year-old maiden race consisting of 10 first-time starters.

*The last pick-4 is not the usual last four races on the card but an all-graded-stakes one, with a $1 million guaranteed pool,  that begins one race "early" with the 9th.

*Because of the new Travers-Personal Ensign two-day double, and an obscure rule that prohibits two doubles starting with the same race, there is no late double on the 12th and 13th races today.

I'm of course getting involved in the last pick-4, especially since the firster-fest (which coulda/shoulda been run as the opener) will keep me out of the first two. Still deciding whether to get further involved in the no-carryover pick-6, which bookends the final pick-4 sequence with the Ballston Spa and a $25k N2L turf sprint.

 

2:00 pm: Uncle Mo, who opened at 6-5 and was pounded to 9-10 by post time for the all-firster 5th, led from the get-go and drew off by 14 1/4 lengths in 1:09.21 for Repole/Pletcher, the trainer's 14th 2-year-old winner at the meeting. The Indian Charlie colt, a $220k yearling, ran his final quarter in 23.54 off a half in 45.67.

By contrast, in the filly version of the race 90 minutes earlier, well-meant Cash is King Stable firster Alexandra Rylee (by Afleet Alex) won her debut in 1:11.05.

Uncle Mo completed a $1,433 early pick-4 and topped a $15k superfecta, the third five-digit super payoff in the day's first five races: The super paid $23k for $2 in the first and $19k/$22k (dead-heat for third) in the 4th.

As for lunch: Back to Hattie's. Reunited, and it feels so good.

 

3:15 pm: Here's the plan for the all-stakes pick-4, which starts in about an hour with the 9th, the Victory Ride:

And now I'm going to go sit outside and enjoy some top-class horse racing. Post-mortems later.

 

6:45 pm: Quick stakes takes:

Ballston Spa: Tough beat for me as I took a shot with Silver Reunion at 14-1. She got the clear lead over Synaslew I'd hoped for, but between being off since last fall and breaking through the gate before the start, she shortened up in thei stretch and got nailed by the stalking Dynaslew by half a length. The two speeds domnated the race, and the biggest disappointment was Phola, who again was hampered by a lack of pace and may also need softer ground to show her best stuff.

Victory Ride: Rapport was the first of three straight front-running sprint winners but all of them were worthy and ran well and I don't know that it's fair to say they won because of a speed-biased track as some are alleging.  Rapport, who set blazing fractions before folding under a poor ride in the Azalea, simply ran away from the field. My Jen was good to be second in her first start since January.

Ballerina: We'll never know if Qualia, beaten a nose by Rightly So when last they met, might have made a race of it if her saddle hadn't slipped. But take nothing away from 7-for-11 (with all four losses by under a length) Rightly So, a four-length winner over a four-way photo for second. Informed Decision, who hadn't raced on fast dirt in almost two years and is simply better on synthetics, looked fine down the backstretch but seemed to lose interest and action around the turn.

King's Bishop: Discreetly Mine didn't look as good in victory as he did in the Amsterdam, and his final time came up slow, but he set crazy-fast fractions (a half in 44.11) that took their toll. I wouldn't get too excited about the longshot closers (Bank Merger and Latigo Shore) who clunked up late from the back for the minor awards while Discreetly Mine was running his last eighth in 13.72, but Hurrican Ike was good in his first start since the Derby Trial.

Travers: Kind of an old-school Travers result, with the two colts who got useful preps over the track in the Jim Dandy closing mildly against middle-distance horses in a treadmill race coming back to dominate a distance-challenged field.

Has there ever been a Travers where seven horses went off at between 3.90-1(Trappe shot) and 7.60-1 (Ice Box)? Ice Box actually opened as the 9-2 favorite with $500k in the win pool and ended up the seventh choice at post time.

The eighth choice was Admiral Alex, the second-time starter, who for no good reason was 11-1 instead of 111-1.  

Have the 1-2 finishers in a Derby ever run as badly in their next three starts as Super Saver's and Ice Box this year? Super Saver: 8th in the Preakness, 4th in the Haskell, 10th in the Travers. Ice Box: 9th in the Belmont, 6th in the Haskell, 8th in the Travers.

Anyway. Tomorrow's Rachel's return, and my ontrack swan song for Saratoga 2010, and those 11 races won't handicap themselves by tomorrow morning.

 

morris99 More than 1 year ago
great day of racing..feel bad for my favorite grass rider, Jose Lezcano, losing the bob in the Travers..Fly Down's a very nice horse..Lezcano had a tough meeting at the Spa but i expect him to bounce back strongly at Belmont and Aqueduct..i've been watching him closely for the last few years and he's a masterful turf rider..i notice that he likes to let his horses lag early and come with a major finish on the outside late in the stretch...his finishes are heart-pounding and i agree with the way he rides, but he's been compromised at the Spa turf course by tighter turns which don't allow his horses to gain traction and level off for the stretch run..they've been coming up a bit short in many of his races..my advice would be to not change his style..his horses seem to repond to his early rating tactics and clear run finishes on the outside..with the big sweeping turns at Belmont & Monmouth he should again be dominant in the grass races downstate as soon as the Spa closes..its also been a lukewarm meet for Kent Desormeaux & Raj Maragh two other excellent riders, but Johhny V., Ramon Dominguez , and of course Javier Castellano have put on some superior rides throughout the meet..
92LNeck More than 1 year ago
Am I missing something? If you go to the following NYRA link (http://www.nyra.com/PhotoFinishAction.do?action=viewGallary&raceDate=2010-08-28), there are no photos posted for Travers finish. I am not a conspiracy theory guy, but that is REALLY bad. And yes...my Pick 4 pays me if Fly Down wins - but how can I tell if he really did or did not win without the photo? [Refresh your browser, it's there: http://www.nyra.com/PhotoFinishAction.do?action=viewImage&trackId=SAR&raceDate=2010-08-28&raceNumber=12&position=1 ]
Bill More than 1 year ago
Travers/Personal Ensign Double: NYRA's decision to promote the two day stakes double was combined with no Past Performances in the racing form for leg two of the double. This kind of blatant neglect for the bettor is indicative of the lack of regard the industry has for the wagering public. In a phone call to NYRA's racing office about this no reasonable response was made. it was clear that no one cared that the heavily promoted bet, for their signature event, lacked the significant handicapping information to allow the betting public to wager on it intelligently. Hooray for the bet it blind boys! Shame on you NYRA and the form for allowing this to happen.
Dave More than 1 year ago
Admiral Alex was off at 11-1, and "should have been 111-1". It must have been the Gray Panther Party hot tip; or the AARP tout sheet. Does wisdom come to those that simply grow old? Is Blu really 80 years old? Could he have drained his bank account to effect Admiral Alex's closing odds? I once had a pretty good coon hound. His name was Dozer (slept alot). Dozer was able to tree coons on every hunt. So with my infinite wisdom I thought he could hunt bear. Ya' know ....there's a BIG difference between coons and bears.
Figless More than 1 year ago
If anything it was a rail bias as opposed to a speed bias, EVERY horse that swung outside just floundered in the presumably deeper outside going. The pace was always fast enough that you would expect one of the proven quality closers to unleash a rally, especially going 7/8's, but yet no rally materialized. Travers winner rallied up the rail, Borel managed to get SS to the rail from post 11 but winner beat him the to hole. Realize I sound paranoid but could not help thinking the track was already being groomed for Rachel's apperance today.
drifty More than 1 year ago
NYRA and it's racing has become a mockery. After getting slammed down the throat with NY breds, restricted claimers, and turf sprints for six weeks, we are treated to a ridiculous track bias on their biggest day. I can honestly say my SAR handle has decreased 75% of the past couple of years, I simply refuse to wager on the inferior product that is presented. The lemmings will continue to play these races because it's "SARATOGA", but you can bet the same state-breds, restricted claimers and mediocrity at nearly any track in the country. It truly is a shame.
Henry B More than 1 year ago
Still do not know what to make out of that Travers. I watched Afleet Express's Whitney and still do not know what that was. Looked like he was climbing when set down for the stretch run. I can't even make a case for that horse several hours after the Travers. As for Trap Shot. I had a feeling that horse was a nothing. Did not use him in the second slot in the Monmouth race and he came on and burned me. His true ability came out today. He looks like a over hyped one run NW of two type of horse.
Mike More than 1 year ago
Great Travers! Really enjoyed reminiscing w/your Top 4 Travers and watching the Youtube videos. No coincidence that my No. 1 Haskell was also run in 1987 when Craig Perret aboard Bet Twice pinned McCarron and Alysheba behind front running Lost Code to win in front of loudly appreciative Monmouth crowd. In my case, I was extremely disappointed when downpour hit Spa for showdown w/Java Gold et. al. Like new face Mike Beer. He's sharp w/astute Travers pick Aflleet Express. Would like to read/see more from him.
gofor_broke More than 1 year ago
I thought there was a strong inside speed bias at Saratoga Saturday for dirt sprints, and I like those kinds of biases. The really strong biases, like this one, you can see it in the 1st race. The rail speed and 2 path stalker drew away from the pack. That immediately has me watching the next race. By the time Rapport and Rightly So ran, I was already on the bandwagon, and betting like they were Fabulous Strike at a price.
yuwipi More than 1 year ago
Heck of a day of racing. Not a gripe but wish the main track played a little more evenly today. Sometimes that's the way it is I guess. Steve, I hope you profited from your not being convinced that Afleet Again couldn't clunk up for a minor award. The super was pretty juicy. Here's hoping that Mr. Blusiewicz still has himself a nice horse, sad to see him thrown to the dogs like that.
ML/NJ More than 1 year ago
Were there really 45,000+ there today? The place seemed empty compared to any Travers since before Affirmed-Alydar including last year when it rained. I was relegated to Section R (for "remote") in the Grandstand today. There were no lines for anything.
csk More than 1 year ago
I love Saratoga as a place to visit, but the racing has the same flow as the Aqueduct Inner Dirt Track - a race for the lead after 2F and 90% of the races are over boring racing, great place
aparagon4u More than 1 year ago
Every sprint was won gate to wire and they weren't all heavy favorites, I'd call that a speed bias. Also notice that Johnny V sent Discreetly Mine right to the lead, which clearly is not his best running style, most likely because he knew if Bulldogger got out to an easy lead he would never catch him. The Travers was the exception but it was the only route and it fell apart with a final quarter of 26.63, I can't imagine any of these could warm up the older horses or Lookin at Lucky. Silver Reunion also cost me big time, I bet her to win and singled her in a pick 3 that paid $500+ so I can only assume it would paid somewhere around a $1,000 had she held on. I also nearly missed the late P4 because of a stupid mistake. I transposed the wrong numbers on two tickets (of a total of 15) and one was the ticket with Discreetly Mine to my three A's in the Travers (one of which was Fly Down). So I had to root for one of my B's to win and Afleet Express was one of them. An inch the other way and I would have managed to miss a four figure payout because of a transposing error.
Richhf More than 1 year ago
I'm not saying it's not a speed bias, but what I am saying is that every year it seems as if the track plays differently for the Travers Day card.
Don Reed More than 1 year ago
Summer’s over. The perfect last day of it, with the Travers running, was spent at radiant Monmouth Park, which seldom has looked more beautiful. Steve, your Travers 2-6-7-8-11 (shorthand) exacta box paid off – congrats! If I had had any sense (nah), I would have gone w/ the above instead of sticking w/ Mr. Steady Eddie - “Third Dude” - who tried but still wiped out my Win-Place (misPlaced) optimism. As Lenny says, “AW, NUTS.” (On the way home, a multi-car crash-smash-up – with 20-30 emergency vehicle and fire engines responding, directly east of Newark Airport on I-95 - instantly made all of the above irrelevant.) East Coast Trainer of The Day– sorry, Jimmy J. – is Mark Hennig, whose two victories resulted in a combined exacta payout of @ $2,000. That will ease the pain of a 1-29 slump, and then some.
Diceman More than 1 year ago
Hi Steve, Deeply disappointed with the TRAVERS results. Several of my "A" Horses simply failed to fire in the stretch. As you wisely pointed out in your column today, some of our top rated Horses, specifically, A Litte Warm, Trappe Shot and Super Saver could not and would not handle the last 1/8 mile. Ironically, the top four finishers were all Fresh Horses but they all lost their last race. The Bounce Theory prevailed today! Let me be specific as to why the Quality Horses failed today: A Little Warmer was too Close to the Pace; Super Saver needs a Sloopy Track for his best effort; and poor Trappe Shot simply ran His Heart and Lungs out against Looking at Lucky in the Haskell and had nothing left in the tank today! However, all was not lost on TRAVERS Day. I made only two plays at SAR. I KeyBoxed Discreety Mine (Who Didn't) with Bank Merger (Potential Classic Winner) and Latigo Shore (The Crazy Closing Long Shot.) I nailed the Exacta, $29.80 and Tri, $276. All's well that ends well! I made a decent profit in a very tough game! Lesson Learned Today: Bet Smart - and Play to Win! I look forward to your excellent analysis on Talking Horses tomorrow! Diceman
James Mc More than 1 year ago
The reality is that Discreetly Mine was a full 0.6 seconds slower than Rightly So, in back to back races....Discreetly Mine was fortunate in that everything quit in the stretch, while Rightly So had to run hard all the way. The fundamental point is that DM staggering through a final furlong in 13.7 is not "seven sensational furlongs" Period.
AndyScoggin More than 1 year ago
Steve, Can you post the Will Pays for the Travers-Personal Ensign DD, since most of us can't get that info? THANKS, for everything! [See Sunday 8/29 blog. -SC]
blindskwurl More than 1 year ago
I'm alive to the 9 for 1207.90, 5 of 6 and a carryover. Win or lose, it's an awesome ride for a 4 dollar bet.
AndyScoggin More than 1 year ago
Wow, nice to win a photo, and I did not have Fly Down, even though I was alive to 5 horses. Winner was on my AAAA ticket.
Richhf More than 1 year ago
Re - Aparagon4u: We can call "speed biased" here, but remember that it seems like the track comes up different when we get to the Travers, usually with front runners having the best chances of winning. All one can do is to try to use this in their favor when handicapping.
Matt More than 1 year ago
There is NO WAY the Kings Bishop went 44.11 then 1:09.and change. So DM went 25 secs + and not a single horse could go on by? That 1:09 was either wrong, or NYRA did themselves proud today with the track set up! I guess I'll go pound Miner's Reserve, cause he WILL have the lead, not First Dude.gusymary to
James Mc More than 1 year ago
Durkin the homer was all invigorated by the KB, Discreetly Mine running in "7 sensational furlongs". Funny he wasn't as enthusiastic with the dominating performance by Rightly So in the Ballerina, eben though she was easily far superior to Discreetly Mine (1:22.6 vs 1:23.2). If Discreetly Mine gets another 111, Rightly So deserves a 118. [Well of course Discreetly Mine didn't run another 111. He set insane fractions (44.11 vs. Rightly So's 44.80) and tired late. He'l get a weak final-time speed-figure that sheet-theorists will call a "bounce" off his last and that pace handicappers -- who would disagree that RS was "far superior" -- will rightly attribute to the hot fractions. -SC]
Aparagon4u More than 1 year ago
Three main track races, three front-running winners with no horses doing any closing in the stretch. Is it too early to call a speed bias?
Tony More than 1 year ago
In honor of Travers Day, I'll give you my favorite - 1981 in which my choice, Willow Hour, won and my father returned from the Spa with $52 for me. BTW my late pick four is: 7-9/1 thru 6/3-5-6/8.
walmatt More than 1 year ago
NYRA REWARDS players getting screwed again at track. Plenty of tellers but few self service machines (the only place to play dime supers). Tried to play via phone but they won't accept dime supers either. Extra tellers good for casual fan that comes once a year but useless for players using Rewards card. It is ridiculous that Rewards players can't use their card with a teller if they chhose to.
paul dunham More than 1 year ago
I feel your pain. Might I suggest that if you have web access (and you must if you posted) put your supers in that way.