- DRF Bets
- Handicapping & PPsThoroughbred Past Performances
ReportsPremium NewsDigital PapersHorsemen's Products
- DRF Classic PDF PPs
- DRF Formulator PPs
- DRF EasyForm PPs
- Daily Racing Program PPs
- Equibase PPs
- TrackMaster PPs
- Using Timeform Ratings
- TimeformUS PPs
- NewsCategoriesTrack Notes
- Learn to Play
- History of Horseracing
- How to read PPs
- How to use EasyForm
- How to use Formulator
- How to use TicketMaker
- Beyer Speed Figures
- Moss Pace Figures
- Using Race Shape Symbols
- Using Timeform Ratings
- BreezeFigs Handicapping
- Wagering and Winning
- Harness Night School
- Point of Call Index
- 3-Year Best Time Chart
- DRF TV
- StorePast Performances
- Compare all DRF PPs
- DRF Formulator PPs
- DRF Classic PPs
- DRF EasyForm PPs
- Daily Racing Program PPs
- TimeformUS PPs
- Equibase & Trackmaster PPs - Thoroughbred
Day 28: 8/23/08
12:45 pm:: Happy Travers Day! Between the spectacularly good card and perfect weather, both of which were in short supply during much of the meeting, business should boom today. Parking lots were full by 10:30 a.m. and the place was swarmed well before the noon first post. The track appears quick and there hasn't been a drop of rain since Wait a While broke 1:40 for a mile and a sixteenth on the Mellon two days ago.
Today's my swan song, as I'm driving back for good in the morning and playing the rest of the meet from home. I know, I'll miss Curlin, but we agreed to give back the rental house the day after the Travers long ago. And I just might have to have two Hattie's fried-chicken sandwiches today, since it's going to be 11 months until my next one.
Race 1: Aquino and On Board Again, runners-up in the 7/25 (Real Estate) and 8/2 (I'm So Lucky) versions of this N2x allowance, were 2-1 and 5-2 respectively in the opener. Aquino broke sharply to the lead and Alan Garcia slowed things down perfectly from there, getting away with an opening half in 46.76, leaving him with plenty of energy to sprint home in 35.14 for a 4 1/2-length triumph in 1:21.90. Aquino, the second-best Uruguayan-bred trained by Kiaran (Invasor) McLaughlin, is a 4-year-old First American (Quiet American) colt who made his first two starts in his homeland, then was bought by Team Valor and sent to Dubai, where he flopped in three starts for Doug Watson. He returned from a five-month break in Mclaughlin's barn, lost his U.S. debut by a nose to Real Estate, and looked like a stakes horse today.
West Express, a N2L winner here August 2, was along for second up the rail and On Board Again was fourth rallying from behind the slow pace and between horses in the stretch. The 2006 Pegasus and Discovery runner-up deserves another chance in a more honestly-paced race.
Race 2: Seen enough of Spaniard? Indian Blessing's highly-touted little (half-)brother disappointed for the third time, breaking to the lead but running up the white flag yet again as the 9-5 favorite after a half in 45.06. Phipps/McGaughey second-timer Gone Astray (Dixie Union-Illicit) swept five wide under Gomez and drew off by 2 1/2 in 1:10.12. Zito second-timer Nowhere to Hide, pounded to 2-1 in his Aug. 2 debut but ignored today at 9-1, was up for second to complete a $93.50 exacta.
Gone Astray was the third 2-year-old winner at the meet for his connections, who also won with the promising fillies Persistently and Consequence.
2:00 pm: One Hattie's sandwich down.
Race 3: Got to feel bad for Tiz It, who keeps running in maiden races on major days and coming up second best. He ran second on Breeders' Cup Firday to Massive Drama, second on Belmont Day to Sixthirteen, second on Whitney Day to Joppa Flats, and now second on Travers Day to Jimmy Jerkens firster Storm Play ($26.20). Storm Play, a 3-year-old Ned Evans homebred by Smart Strike, stalked Tiz It from third and ran him down to win by three lengths in 1:22.15.
Race 4: wide-open statebred N1x turfer where I was against 3-2 favorite Woodrunner and alive in pick-4's through four other horses including 23-1 Cardiff Road and 30-1 Rodeo Hand. Rodeo Hand was scratched in the paddock, dumping me onto Woodrunner, but Cardiff Road looked like he was going to make this a gold-plated Travers day as he worked his way through the field and took the lead, then Missinglisalewis came flying late at 30-1 to run right by him and key a $1293 exacta, $19k tri and $89k super. Arrrrrgh.
3:45 pm: Races 5-6-7 were an interesting progression of conditions for grass males: A maiden-special, a N1x allowance and an N2x allowance.
Race 5: Bill Mott's rough meet continued as 3-2 Intercoastal, second to Baronial in a promising grass debut here July 26, enjoyed a perfect trip sitting just behind the early leaders but came up flat through the stretch and ran a dull fourth behind Rogue Victory ($9.50), Tizzy and perpetual rough-tripper Uncle Indy.
Race 6: Big Stick ($11.60) got the rail trip behind Hammock's moderate pace and burst through in upper stretch to give McLaughlin/Garcia a double on the day.
Race 7: In a sort of replay of the wacky 4th, the wacky 7th ended with 88-1 Slambino ($179.00) flying late to catch 20-1 Blazing Dynamo, with 37-1 Key Event third in a race that completely fell apart after a first six furlongs in 1:09.64, and in which even-money Prussian didn't run a step for Mott. The exacta was a light $2,565 (outside-post boxers playing the old 14-13?); the tri was $105,914 for $2 and the $2 superfecta price was $1,523,188 -- I'm guessing probably two dime winners at $76k apiece. [Update: One dime winner at Yavapai, one in Kentucky, according to NYRA.] Amazing what full fields of grass horses can do for the payoffs around here.
Before someone complains (and someone will) that it's misleading and fraudulent to announce a $1.5 million "payoff" when the pool is much smaller, I disagree. I don't even like the $1 payoffs announced at California and Magna tracks. I think you either announce everything in the traditional $2 payoff or you have complete chaos. Do you really want, on the same race, to have a 10-cent super, 50-cent pick-4, a $1 tri and a $2 exacta price announced? The only people "deceived" by the announcement of a $2 payoff that exceeds the pool are first-time visitors who have no idea what any of this means anyway.
I've argued this point to death with plenty of people who keep saying payoffs should be announced at the minimum bet available. Well, most tracks offer $1 win, place and show bets. Do you really want your next $3.60 winner posted as paying $1.80, $1.30 and $1.05?
5:00 pm If you're a carryover player, you might want to start looking at Saratoga's Sunday card; Anyone who was still alive after Slambino at 88-1 is unlikely to have survived the defeat of Indyanne in the first of the day's four graded stakes.
Race 8: Indy Anne, a winner of her four previous starts by a combined 32 1/2 lengths, broke a bit slowly but found room to rush up the rail and wrest the lead from J Z Warrior with a half in 45.00. But she couldn't fend off the unlikely Porte Bonheur, who wore her down in the final 100 yards to score by half a length in 1:09.50 in the G3 Victory Ride.
Porte Bonheur ($24.60), a Hennessy filly trained by David Duggan, won the restricted Flanders Stakes here Aug. 2 with a perfect up-the-rail trip against a weaker field than this.
Race 8: Under happier earlier circumstances, Shakis's victory could have been part of a big day, but now that I'm dead in every multirace wager known to man, I enjoyed it only aesthetically.
Shakis defended his Bernard Baruch title, even a switch from the Mellon course last year to the inner this time around. The 8-year-old by Machiavellian had lost all four of his starts since last year's Baruch, with some possible excuses regarding trips and footing, but still required a leap of faith to return to his best form. A $12.60 winner last year, he paid $14.80 today, giving the McLaughlin/Garcia team its third of the day. (Garcia also picked up the mount on Missinglisalewis.)
The pick-3 comprising the first half of the pick-6 paid $25,732.
5:30 pm: The smallest all-stakes pick-4 will-pays are $10k to Mambo in Seattle, $11k to Pyro, $13k to Colonel John and Harlem Rocker and $15k to Macho Again. Those five are all between 4-1 and 7-1 with 15 minutes to post.
Visionnaire ($15.60) won a rodeo finish to the G1 King's Bishop, a wild race where there were eight of them across the track in midstretch with Visionnaire finishing widest and fastest of all to win by 2 1/4 lengths. Visionaire, owned by Team Valor and trained by Michael Matz, ran the seven furlongs in 1:21.94 and gave Garcia his fifth winner of the day. That makes nine straight losing favorites since the opener.
Desert Key, expected to gun for the lead, instead was taken back, and finished well along the inside to win a three-way photo for second, a nose in front of I'm So Lucky, with Lantana Mob another nose back in fourth.
6:30 pm: Congrats to Colonel John and his people for winning the 139th Travers in the narrowest photo-finish you'll ever see. You have to look really hard at the photo to see a hair's breadth of daylight between Mambo in Seattle's nose and the wire, and no one would have objected had it been called a dead heat. Pyro was up for third, 5 1/4 lengths behind the top pair, after a rough trip in a race with plenty of those (Macho Again almost went down when Gomez shot in front of him with the winning move on Colonel John.) Pyro had a neck on Harlem Rocker, who in turn had a neck on Da' Tara, who led to the furlong pole through fractions of 23.91, 48.06, 1:12.12 and 1:37.17.
The first four finishers were the four favorites (in 2-3-1-4 order), yet still accounted for a $1785 superfecta.
The winner's time of 2:03.20 on a quick track was unimpressive and will probably translate to a Beyer in the 100-104 range, the best that the 3-year-olds of 2008 outside of Big Brown seem capable of. I suppose there will now be some Breeders' Cup hype-talk that if Colonel John can win the BC Classic he could still be the 3-year-old champ or even the Horse of the Year, but he does not appear to be at the same level as Curlin or even Big Brown on his best day. Still, his triumph on a dirt track, however slow and narrow, gives him added credibility and dimension beyond his synthetic-surface achievements.
Colonel John and Pyro running 1-3 somewhat validates their form of the spring, which sent them into the Derby as the second and third choices behind Big Brown. And Mambo in Seattle's strong showing confirms that he's the best of the late-blooming sophomores.
Race 12: Back to statebred maidens on the turf for the nightcap, and Garcia got a little goofy going for his 6th of the day, opening up a huge lead down the backstretch with a first quarter in 22.70 that had evaporated by the top of the stretch as Iron Gate ($21.60), Burnished Copper and Winloc's Saint Ray swept by him.
Garcia's five winners gave him a 29-28 edge on John Velazquez in the rider standings with seven days left at the meet. McLaughlin's three gave him 12 for the meet, one behind Todd Pletcher.
Iron Gate's victory in the finale meant that the Travers managed to cost me a bunch of money even though I didn't bet a nickel on the race. Until the payouts were posted, it never occurred to me that 4 of 6 would be good for a $5480 conso at day's end, and had Mambo in Seattle won or shared the photo, I would have had one of those. Oh well.
The carry into Sunday is $147,974.48. The plan is to get the household on the road by 10, discuss the card with the greyhounds on the drive down, and be settled back into my in-home OTB parlor in plenty of time for the sequence, which starts with the 6th of 11 races at 3:41 p.m.
Started Travers Day off with breakfast on the clubhouse porch watching workouts....could life possibly get any better than this? Manny was ever gracious in greeting us on this the Big Day At The Spa, we were quickly served by a personable, quick witted waitress, and while dining, and watching several horses working in the early morning sun, John, the resident clubhouse songsmith, did a couple of a capella numbers for the breakfasters, a nice Spa tradition. Off to Siro's to partake of the DRF punters' hot tips du jour. Even Mike Watchmaker showed up as Travers Day special guest and the "students" were in a light mood on a beautiful mid-summer morn. Harvey Pack commented at the outset that it was the best Travers card in memory- that takes in a lot of years when considering The Pack said it. And it turned out not to be an overstatement, including the "Graveyard of Favorites" mantra, especially in Race 7, and on Travers Day to boot. The race 7, 88-1 shot Slambino jolted the backyard dilettantes to life and much buzz followed for at least races 8 and 9. Wonder who hit the super for $1.5mm+? SC said it was an overstatement by NYRA- dime super at $75,000? Off to the walking ring at Race 10 to get a rail spot for the Travers saddling in Race 11. All of the entrants looked like they had a shot at the Man O' War Cup as they paraded out to the post. A ding dong battle down the stretch and Albarado on Mambo jumped the gun and pumped his fist while Garrett Gomez on Col John played it safe and observed the cardinal rule: No premature celebrations. Maybe it was just luck or maybe it is an example of why you fly Gomez in from Del Mar instead of riding one of the locals? Same could be said of Arcaro, Shoe, Hartack, Pincay, Baeza, Ycaza, Day, Stevens, and other great stakes riders of each era, couldn't it? They say the jock is only 10%- if that- but when the big stakes $$$$ is on the line.....? Travers Day and Belmont Day, NY's two biggest race days, are well worth the effort to attend for racing fans who haven't had the opportunity. Every bit as colorful, as tradition and fun filled as Derby Day- perhaps the most overhyped event in America- especially when considering that the Travers is the oldest stakes race at the oldest race track in America, and is a true slice of America- and racing- the way it used to be.
Those are good points, haelaih. Porte Bonheur had won a stake over the track, coming off the pace to run a 96 Beyer. Yes, she was on the rail and not the 2 or 3 path, but she still had a nice run. Indyanne faced no filly at Calder who had ever Beyered over 80 on dirt. The filly she ran with had run twice, a 75 and 80, and when Indyanne shook her off, the rest of the field had even lower Beyers than that speed filly. Sheppard was on Sirius Saturday morning saying he would be happy with 3rd with his filly. The other fillies were speed horses, who figured to be chasing the favorite. I thought Porte Bonheur was the obvious horse in that race. As soon as saw I that card, I knew I would win Saturday. And I did. Those are the best situations, when you know a day early how great some bets are.
Re Durkin: Ever since I saw the name "Dagnabit" in the entries, I've been hoping for a call of this horse throughout the race in the voice of Walter Brennan. Hasn't happened yet, but there's still hope. . . .
needed mambo to hit the pick four for a buck---ouch!
Walmatt, I'm as big a Durkin fan as any (I even watched some classic calls of his last night in light of the great run of races of late), however you can't call Macho Uno (Again) in the Travers. All of the other calls were classic Durkin. SLAMBIIIIINO!
Two handicapping surprises for me on Travers Day: 1. Confirmed closer Rogue Victory battling for the lead and virtually wiring the field in Race 5 2. Confirmed pacesetter Desert Key, clearly the speed of the speed on paper in the King's Bishop, taking back at the start and running from off the pace. I thought Rogue Victory could not win from far off the pace, so I pitched him. I thought Desert Key would lead early in the King's Bishop, turn for home with a clear advantage, and quite possibly hang on. I'd love to see "trainer's intent" in my past performances. Still, it was a great day of racing -- and a big "Thank You," Steve, for your informative and entertaining blog all during the meet.
...I'm not a first-time visitor and while I wasn't 'deceived', obviously I was 'confused' and had to surf around to get the actual payout. Again I have no problem using the $2 as the rule of thumb EXCEPT when there is no $2 payout - just report the actual payout on the largest incremental bet that was paid. It just takes a few lines of code....
Jan does an excellent job of reporting which firsters are ready (or not ready)to run and which horses are acting up in the paddock.
I have no problem with all payoffs being posted in traditional two dollar computations, but yesterday's published superfecta price represents not a $2.00 computation but a fanciful projection. The $2.00 price on yesterday's superfecta was the pool minus the takeout. Any amount posted in excess of that amount is simply bullshit. I mean, if some guy told you he ran a two and a half hour marathon, and later you discovered he actually only ran two miles at that pace, dropped out, and projected his time, you might lose a little respect for that fellow.(Though two miles at a 2:30 marathon pace is, in itself, a laudable achievement.) Now, if the argument for posting a projected amount is that it allows ticket holders to readily compute how much money they should receive--and this is a legitimate position--the ethical questions are resolved simply by adding an asterisk next to the posted price when it exceeds the money which was available in the pool. It's that simple: add an asterisk next to a posted price when it exceeds the amount which was available in the pool. The only argument for not adding an asterisk being, of course, is that, like a carny barker or a deceptive advertiser, it's bullshit one is trying to sell.
A very informative blog but I was surprised not to see a mention of Kent Desormeaux. When are the stewards going to do something about his refusal or neglect to ride his mounts out to the wire. Is that too much to ask? Hammock in the SAR. 6th (8/23)should have been second but for the jockey failing to ride the horse to the wire instead of giving up once passed by the winner...