07/28/2016 12:04PM

D'Amato loaded on turf

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*As many of you have noticed, the "BLOG" tab on the home page has been removed. You can find this blog every week (usually published on Wednesday and Thursday) at drf.com/blogs or by going to the "NEWS" tab and clicking on the "Blogs" link. 
 
Although TEPIN is the dominant ruling queen of the division, trainer Phil D'Amato is quietly mobilizing two speedy horses to possibly challenge the super mare in this fall's Breeders' Cup Mile. 
 
Irish-bred OBVIOUSLY, profiled in the June 22 edition of FormBlog (http://www.drf.com/blogs/obviously-aces-poker) after a gate-to-wire victory in the Grade 3 Poker Stakes (108 Beyer Speed Figure), brings plenty of early gas and a plethora of experience on the big stage. He's competed in 18 consecutive graded events with a record of eight wins, three seconds, two thirds and 13 triple-digit Beyers during that span. He's a one-way speed that is extremely dangerous when allowed to control the pace without too much pressure.
 
MIDNIGHT STORM, like his classy stable mate, enjoys hearing his feet rattle, but he's a bit more tactical than Obviously. In last year's Grade 2 Seabiscuit Handicap at Del Mar, Midnight Storm's final start as a 4-year-old, the son of Pioneerof the Nile allowed another horse to grab the early advantage only to successfully pass when the real racing began. Yes, he can rate when necessary. 
 
Midnight Storm had excuses for his first two starts of 2016. He caught a rare Southern California wet turf course in the Frank E. Kilroe Mile on March 12 and didn't seem to care for it while the winner, What a View, is a quality miler when there's give in the ground. In the Turf Classic on the Kentucky Derby undercard, Midnight Storm was caught up in a wicked pace battle before paying the price in the stretch. 
 
Midnight Storm got back to his winning ways in the Grade 1 Shoemaker Mile on June 4 when on the engine. Although he wasn't facing the toughest group by any stretch of the imagination, Midnight Storm ran fast, 110 Beyer fast. He was back to his best form. 
 
Although Midnight Storm grabbed the nine-furlong, Grade 2 Del Mar Derby as a three-year-old, the jury was still out as to whether he was at his best traveling at distances over 1 1/16 miles. He answered that question affirmatively in the Grade 2 Eddie Read Stakes on July 17. Ridden by Rafael Bejarano, Midnight Storm took control early and faced only token pressure from BOLO. Bolo was off the bridle entering the final turn, but Midnight Storm kept on trucking. He came off the rail swinging into the straight and was extremely game in holding off the closers. 
 
 
D'Amato has stated that both of his star turf performers will race sparingly leading up to the Breeders' Cup with only one prep race for each. Whether they can be a match for Tepin is another story entirely, but both Midnight Storm and Obviously deserve serious consideration if they enter the Breeders' Cup in their current form.
 
*Can you please post Ruffian's complete past performance for my friendly dispute with a colleague of her vs Songbird. Thanks!
Appreciate your work
Ray
 
Thanks for the kind words. Ruffian's past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.
 
*Video stakes previews for many of the weekend's major stakes will be available later this week at http://www.drf.com/videos
 
Mike Beer, Matt Bernier and I will be on for free and fun live handicapping analysis at 4:00 ET on Saturday. You can find us at live.drf.com. This week, we'll cover Saratoga, Del Mar and more.
 
You can follow me on Twitter @DRF_DanIllman.
 
*Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures from 7/13/16 - 7/19/16:
 
1. MIDNIGHT STORM - 103 - Eddie Read Stakes (G2) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - 17Jul16-9DMR
1. STICKSSTATELYDUDE - 103 - Alw 77000N1X - 1 Mile - 15Jul16-3BEL
3. CHASING ACES - 101 - Md Sp Wt 64k - 5 Furlongs - 17Jul16-8DMR
4. I'M A CHATTERBOX - 98 - Delaware Handicap (G1) - 1 1/4 Miles - 16Jul16-9DEL
4. KING KREESA - 98 - Forbidden Apple Stakes - 1 Mile (Turf) - 16Jul16-8BEL
6. THE TRUTH OR ELSE - 97 - OC 80k/C -N - 6 Furlongs - 14Jul16-8BEL
7. BROOKLYNSWAY - 96 - Mari Hulman George Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - 16Jul16-6IND
7. CINDYS SECRET - 96 - OC 62k/C -N - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - 16Jul16-3DMR
7. ENTRECHAT - 96 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) -  17Jul16-5DMR 
7. MIDNIGHT MILEY - 96 - Ontario Matron Stakes (G3-C) - 1 1/16 Miles (Tapeta) - 17Jul16-8WO 
7. WATCHYOUROWNBOBBER - 96 - Warrior Veterans Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 16Jul16-5IND
12. BODHISATTVA - 95 - Carl Hanford Memorial Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - 16Jul16-11DEL
12. LOVELY LOYREE - 95 - Indiana General Assembly Distaff Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 16Jul16-3IND
12. ROYAL SQUEEZE - 95 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 7 Furlongs - 16Jul16-1BEL
15. CHIEF OF STAFF - 94 - OC 40k/N1X -N - 1 Mile - 15Jul16-9DMR
15. CUPID - 94 - Indiana Derby (G2) - 1 1/16 Miles - 16Jul16-9IND
15. O B HARBOR - 94 - Mt. Rainier Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - 17Jul16-8EMD
15. SHE'S NOT HERE - 94 - Yellow Ribbon Handicap (G2) - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 16Jul16-9DMR
15. TOOWINDYTOHAULROX - 94 - Wickerr Stakes - 1 Mile (Turf) - 16Jul16-5DMR
20. COCO MON - 93 - OC 80k/C - 1 1/16 Miles (Polytrack) - 15Jul16-2AP 
20. DEPARTING - 93 - Michael G. Schaefer Memorial Stakes - 1 Mile 70 Yards - 16Jul16-7IND 
22. MACH MY DAY - 92 - Alw 29500N1X - 6 Furlongs - 15Jul16-6PEN
22. MELALEUCA - 92 - Brandywine Stakes - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - 19Jul16-8IND
22. MONSTER BEA - 92 - Oceanside Stakes - 1 Mile (Turf) - 15Jul16-8DMR  
22. ROYAL SON - 92 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 1 1/16 Miles (Tapeta) - 17Jul16-3WO 
 
The lifetime past performances for Midnight Storm and Sticksstatelydude are available at the bottom of the blog post. 
 
*Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures from 7/20/16 - 7/26/16:
 
1. CALIFORNIA CHROME - 111 - San Diego Handicap (G2) - 1 1/16 Miles - 23Jul16-9DMR
2. PUNTROOSKIE - 102 - Bold Venture Stakes (G3-C) - 6 1/2 Furlongs (Tapeta) - 23Jul16-8WO 
3. ENOLA GRAY - 101 - Fleet Treat Stakes - 7 Furlongs - 22Jul16-7DMR
3. HIT IT ONCE MORE - 101 - New York Derby - 1 1/16 Miles - 23Jul16-6FL 
3. SONGBIRD - 101 - Coaching Club American Oaks - 1 1/8 Miles - 24Jul16-10SAR
6. DACITA (CHI) - 100 - Diana Stakes (G1) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - 23Jul16-10SAR
7. LONG ON VALUE - 99 - Lucky Coin Stakes - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - 25Jul16-8SAR
7. METABOSS - 99 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 1 Mile (Turf) - 23Jul16-5DMR
9. WATERSHED - 98 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 1 1/8 Miles - 25Jul16-7SAR
10. ASCEND - 97 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 23Jul16-7SAR
10. UP WITH THE BIRDS - 97 - Nijinsky Stakes (G2-C) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - 24Jul16-8WO 
12. FARHAAN - 96 - Clm 40000 - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 24Jul16-7SAR
13. ANIMAL APPEAL - 95 - OC 40k/N2X -N - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - 25Jul16-6SAR
13. HARD ACES - 95 - Cougar II Handicap (G3) - 1 1/2 Miles - 24Jul16-4DMR
13. WHY TWO - 95 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - 20Jul16-5DMR
13. ZINVOR - 95 - Clm c-(40-35) - 1 Mile (Turf) - 24Jul16-10DMR
17. PATRIOTS RULE - 94 - California Dreamin Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 24Jul16-8DMR
17. SENTIERO ITALIA - 94 - OC 80k/C -N - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 22Jul16-4SAR
19. AVENGE - 93 - OC 80k/C -N - 1 Mile (Turf) - 24Jul16-2DMR
19. FORIN SEA - 93 - OC 20k/C -N - 5 1/2 Furlongs - 20Jul16-5ALB
19. PAPA PAPA PAPA - 93 - Md Sp Wt 63k - 6 Furlongs - 23Jul16-1DMR
22. ANCIENT SECRET - 92 - Lake George Stakes (G2) - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 22Jul16-9SAR
22. G. A. BETTING - 92 - Clm 50000(50-45) - 7 Furlongs - 23Jul16-6DMR
22. GOOD BYE GREG - 92 - OC 80k/C -N - 6 Furlongs (Polytrack) - 22Jul16-3AP
22. PROCUREMENT - 92 - Clm 25000 - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 23Jul16-11SAR
 
California Chrome's lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post. 
 
Zinvor was claimed for $40,000 by trainer Mark Glatt from Adam Kitchingman.
 
*Congrats to Mike O for winning the most recent HandiGambling challenge.
 
Rick M and SR VEGAS' HG scoreboard spreadsheet is available at the bottom of this blog post. 
 
Let's go with Saturday's Jim Dandy Stakes from Saratoga for this week's exercise.
 
PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.
 
SR Vegas and Rick M. have graciously decided to update all of the HG rules in order to make them an easier read for everyone...
 
HANDIGAMBLING version 2016:
 
Let's remember WHY we began the HandiGambling races in the first place.
The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses and why we're betting them the way we are. We are not asking for a novel but SPARE A SENTENCE OR TWO outlining your HANDICAPPING ANGLES and/or THOUGHT PROCESSES about WAGERING.
 
1. Start your post with HG or HANDIGAMBLING to find your entry in a thread.
2. You have a mythical $100 to wager in whatever format you choose that is available for that HG race. Anyone going over the $100 limit will be DISQUALIFIED.
3. Post your WAGER and ANALYSIS to the blog prior to the start of the designated race. SIGN OFF WITH YOUR NAME/OR MONIKER AT THE END OF YOUR POST. Remember that posts may start as 'anonymous' or an 'alternate name'. You MUST SIGN YOURSELF AT THE END (even if it is the same) This enables the scorekeeper to identify who you are.
4. (1) ONE ENTRY per person for the Handigambling contest. If you have multiple email addresses, use just ONE for contest purposes. Multiple entries will be cause for disqualification.
5. Separate your analysis from the wager and use the PROGRAM # in your wager. Just like you would do in a real wager. No horse names.
6. If any of the rules listed above aren't met, the wager is subject to review which can lead to disqualification of your entry.
 
In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. Dan reserves the right to approve or deny any entries.
The winner will receive a "60-Card Quarterly Formulator Past Performance Plan"
 
As an example :
 
HG 2016
The speed in this race are #1 Alpha, #2 Beta, and #8 Ocho. I like the works for layoff horse #5 Cinco who can sit off the pace. Lots of speed in here, so this could set up for a closer like  #6 Six Flags and I like the trainer's stats in these conditions. I’ll put the closer over the speed.
 
HG wager:
$10 EX   6 /   1,2,5, 8  = $40
$5 TRI   6 /   1,2,5,8  /  1,2,5,8  =  $60
Total $100
Thanks Dan!
Harpo
 
A MORE DETAILED ANALYSIS  IS  ALWAYS  APPRECIATED !
REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.
 
ALSO, IF THE WINNER WOULD LIKE TO SELECT THE FOLLOWING WEEK'S RACE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM NO LATER THAN THE FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY MORNING (A SATURDAY RACE IS MOST IDEAL)

 

AttachmentSize
Ruffian.pdf63.37 KB
Sticksstatelydude.pdf686.68 KB
Midnight Storm.pdf757.64 KB
California Chrome.pdf799.88 KB
Copy of HG 7 16 16 Yellow Ribbon.xls55 KB
JIM DANDY.pdf170.92 KB