01/22/2014 12:00PM

Daddy Nose Best, 3-year-olds to follow

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Many folks remember DADDY NOSE BEST from the 2012 Triple Crown Trail. 

After winning the El Camino Real Derby and Sunland Derby, Daddy Nose Best failed to fire in both the Kentucky Derby and Preakness (finishing 10th and 9th, respectively). The Derby began a string of eight consecutive losses, but it appears that trainer Steve Asmussen has turned Daddy Nose Best all the way around. 

With his impressive victory in last weekend's Grade 3 Colonel E. R. Bradley Handicap at Fair Grounds, Daddy Nose Best has now won five of his last six races on turf. There didn't appear to be a ton of pace lined up for this year's Bradley, contested over a yielding turf course, and Daddy Nose Best, a one-run closer, was compromised by race and pace luck. Last and buried inside while STRING KING and ADIOS NARDO completed a half-mile in 51.02 and six furlongs in 1:15.58, Daddy Nose Best wheeled to the far outside turning into the long stretch. He spotted five pounds and almost five lengths to a sharp Adios Nardo in the final three-sixteenths of a mile, but roared home to get up by a neck. Expect Asmussen to place Daddy Nose Best in the Fair Grounds Handicap at Fair Grounds on February 22.


*Both VICAR'S IN TROUBLE and TANZANITE CAT earned 10 Kentucky Derby qualifying points for their victories in the Grade 3 Lecomte Stakes, and Smarty Jones Stakes, respectively, but two other up-and-coming 3-year-olds also caught the eye.  Let's take a closer peek.

INDIANAPOLIS (Medaglia d'Oro - Pretty 'n Smart, by Beau Genius)
Breeder: Turner Breeders, LLC
Owner:  Mrs. John Magnier, Michael Tabor and Derrick Smith
Trainer:  Bob Baffert
Auction:  $490,000 Fasig-Tipton Select Yearling
Last Start:  1st San Pedro Stakes, January 20, 6 Furlongs, Santa Anita, 97 Beyer
DP = 6-9-9-2-0 (26) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.73

Bob Baffert's Kentucky Derby hopes were lessened when New Year's Day, the winner of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile, was retired last month due to injury. But, Baffert always seems to have a deep and talented bench, and Indianapolis threw his hat into the Derby ring with a 97-Beyer win in the $75,000 San Pedro Stakes at Santa Anita on January 20.

Making his first start since a debut victory over the Betfair Hollywood Park cushion track on November 24, Indianapolis broke from post two and was sent away the odds-on favorite in the four-horse San Pedro. He took a light bump at the start before settling into a pace-tracking trip behind loose pacesetter Rockin Home through fractions of 21.80 and 44.97. Indianapolis attacked on the turn, struck the front turning for home and raced his final quarter in 23.83, throwing in a last eighth in 11.86 for good measure. He won by 4 1/4 lengths and completed the six furlongs in 1:08.80. Indianapolis paddles a bit with his left foreleg, but remained straight as a string in the stretch.

Indianapolis is by three-time Grade 1 route winner Medaglia d'Oro. Medaglia d'Oro prevailed at distances ranging from 6-10 furlongs and also finished second in the Belmont Stakes, two editions of the Breeders' Cup Classic, and the Dubai World Cup.

Medaglia d'Oro is the sire of North American Grade 1 dirt winners Rachel Alexandra, Plum Pretty, Champagne d'Oro, Warrior's Reward and Gabby's Golden Gal. Earlier this month, Medaglia d'Oro's son, 3-year-old Baratti, impressively won his maiden at Aqueduct with a 92 Beyer.

Sold for $490,000 as a yearling to the powerful Coolmore outfit, Indianapolis is out of the productive Pretty 'n Smart, a daughter of Beau Genius that has also foaled multiple Grade 3 sprint winner Heart Ashley and Grade 3 sprint winner Ashley's Kitty. On the track, Pretty 'n Smart won two of seven starts and finished third in the Grade 2 Railbird Stakes going seven furlongs on dirt at Hollywood Park. She is a half-sister to the long-winded Hostess, who took the Grade 3 Orchid Handicap at 12 furlongs on turf at Gulfstream.

Trainer Bob Baffert indicated that Indianapolis will now be placed squarely on the Triple Crown trail. It will be interesting to see how he fares around a distance of ground as Medaglia d'Oro's stamina mixes with the plethora of speed influences from the female family.


*TONALIST (Tapit - Settling Mist, by Pleasant Colony)
Breeder: Woodslane Farm
Owner:  Robert S. Evans
Trainer:  Christophe Clement
Auction:  $195,000 (RNA) Fasig-Tipton Select Yearling
Last Start:  1st maiden special weight, January 18, 1 1/8 Miles, Gulfstream Park, 90 Beyer
DP = 5-13-14-1-1 (34) DI = 2.78   CD = 0.59

Unlike Indianapolis, Tonalist is a proven router. Making his second lifetime start, and first around two turns, following a fourth-place debut at Aqueduct on November 16, Tonalist was hustled from the advantageous inside post in a nine-furlong maiden at Gulfstream on Saturday. Jockey Joe Bravo maneuvered Tonalist off the rail on the first turn and the colt raced very wide throughout. He was caught five paths off the inside while making an early move entering the final bend and, for a moment, it appeared he was outpaced. His natural stamina kicked in during the stretch run, however, and he outfinished the runner-up with a final eighth of 12.87. Tonalist raced the distance in 1:50.21 and received a 90 Beyer.

Tonalist is by Tapit, winner of the Grade 1 Wood Memorial at nine furlongs. A star stallion, Tapit has sired North American Grade 1 dirt winners Hansen, Joyful Victory, Careless Jewel, Tapizar, Zazu, and Dance Card. Tonalist's 3-year-old son, Constitution, impressively won a maiden race at Gulfstream Park last week for trainer Todd Pletcher and will likely be pointed to graded stakes races.

Tonalist's dam, the Pleasant Colony mare Settling Mist, won once from nineteen lifetime starts. That victory came at nine furlongs over the Aqueduct inner track. She is a half-sister to Grade 3-placed sprinter The Bink (dam of multiple Grade 1 turf winner Riskaverse). The second dam, Toll Fee (by Topsider), was a stakes-winner at one mile, and is a half-sister to Grade 1 winners Plugged Nickle and Christiecat.

Tonalist is bred to run all day and acts like a true stayer.  He lacks experience, but looms an intriguing possibility in graded stakes down the road for crafty trainer Christophe Clement.

***

Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures (1/13/13 - 1/19/13):

1. LONG RIVER - 107 - Evening Attire Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Inner Dirt) - Aqueduct
2. RIBO BOBO - 105 - Sunshine Millions Sprint - 6 Furlongs - Gulfstream
3. FORDUBAI - 103 - Louisiana Handicap - 1 1/16 Miles - Fair Grounds
3. MUCHO MACHO MAN - 103 - Sunshine Millions Classic - 1 1/8 Miles - Gulfstream
3. TRIUMPH AND SONG - 103 - Spirit of Texas Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Sam Houston
6. SHAKIN IT UP - 101 - Strub Stakes (G2) - 1 1/16 Miles - Santa Anita
7. LONGHUNTER (GB) - 98 - OC20k/SAL16k - 1 Mile (Turf) - Gulfstream
7. WORK ALL WEEK - 98 - OC 62k/N$Y -N - 5 1/2 Furlongs - Oaklawn
9. LA VERDAD - 97 - OC 50k/N2X -N - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - Aqueduct
9. TENANGO - 97 - OC 50k/N2X -N - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - Aqueduct
9. VICAR'S IN TROUBLE - 97 - Lecomte Stakes (G3) - 1 Mile 70 Yards - Fair Grounds
12. DADDY NOSE BEST - 96 - Colonel E. R. Bradley Handicap (G3) - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Fair Grounds
12. MOONLIGHT SONG - 96 - Gold and Roses Stakes - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - Aqueduct
14. LEMON DROP DREAM - 95 - OC 17k/N1X -N - 6 Furlongs - Fair Grounds
14. POINT FINISH - 95 - Forego Stakes - 6 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Turfway
14. RHETORICAL - 94 - OC c-40k/N2X - 6 Furlongs - Oaklawn
17. EDEN PRAIRIE - 94 - Marie G. Krantz Memorial Handicap - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Gulfstream
17. RELOAD - 94 - OC 100k/N3X -N - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Gulfstream
17. SPELLBOUND - 94 - La Canada Stakes (G2) - 1 1/16 Miles - Santa Anita
17. STAR CHANNEL - 94 - Sunshine Millions Turf - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Gulfstream
17. ZIVO - 94 - Whodam Stakes - 1 Mile (Inner Dirt) - Aqueduct
22. BRADESTER - 93 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 1 1/16 Miles - Gulfstream
22. RUNWAY READY - 93 - Alw 50000s - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - Gulfstream
22. TASHIR - 93 - Alw 21550N2L - 7 Furlongs - Calder
22. UNBRIDLED FOREVER - 93 - Silverbulletday Stakes - 1 Mile 70 Yards - Fair Grounds

*LONG RIVER's lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.

*RHETORICAL was claimed for $40,000 by trainer Scott Becker from Chris Hartman.

***

This week's major Kentucky Derby prep is the Grade 2 Holy Bull Stakes from Gulfstream Park.  It looks like a very contentious group and I'm interested in all of your opinions, especially thoughts on CONQUEST TITAN, who rallied boldly to win an allowance race over next-out stakes-winner GENERAL A ROD in his juvenile finale.

***

Dan
I'm having trouble getting into my horse watch.
Any suggestions?
Okiesharp

Here are some steps that may alleviate your problem:

1. Refresh the page.
2. If that doesn't work, then clear your cache and history (http://www.wikihow.com/Clear-Your-Browser%27s-Cache) and then open a new browser.

You may also want to try using a different browser

***

Friends,
We'll have our annual FormBlog Convention at Gulfstream Park the weekend of February 28.  Our gracious hostess, Laura, has an update for us...

UPDATE on the DRF Formblog Convention!

The Convention is Feb. 28 - March 3 at GP Park. (Fri - Sun). We get a discount on rooms at Hampton Inn, across from the track. The price is $172/night (plus the dreaded $18 tax). To receive the correct rate, call the hotel directly (954-874-3006) and ask for the Gulfstream Park rate. If there's any difficulty, please email me at: lross@ironmaidensthoroughbreds.com
As usual, we'll be given a suite overlooking the track with our own private balcony and betting terminals, trips to the paddock, a race named for our group and photo in the winner's circle. We'll also have plenty of swag from the BC and other fun stuff.
This is always a fantastic weekend so don't miss out! Come handicap with our Fearless Leader, Sheriff Dan Who! I can supply rides to/from the airport (about 10 minutes away), if needed. Check out this page for more info: http://www.ironmaidensthoroughbreds.com/Formblog.html
Laura

***

You can follow me on Twitter @DRF_DanIllman

***

Congrats to Mike A. for finishing first in last week's HandiGambling exercise.

Rick M's scoresheet is available at the bottom of this blog post.

This week's HandiGambling exercise will be Friday's tenth race from Gulfstream.

PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.

SR Vegas and Rick M. have graciously decided to streamline all of the HG rules in order to make them an easier read for everyone...

With so many new people attending Dan's Formblog we thought it would be a good time to update the Handigambling Guidelines and Rules as we go forward in 2014.

Let's remember WHY we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses and why we're betting them the way we are. We are not asking for a novel but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

HANDIGAMBLING:

-  Please start your post with  HG or HANDIGAMBLING to better recognize and find your entry.

-  You have a mythical $100 to wager in whatever format you choose and that is available for that HG race.
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.

- Post your WAGER and ANALYSIS to the blog WITH YOUR NAME/OR MONIKER AT THE END OF THE POST.  Remember that posts may start as 'anonymous' or an 'alternate name'. You MUST sign yourself at the end (even if it is the same) This enables the scorekeeper to recognize you .

- (1) ONE ENTRY per person for the Handigambling contest. If you have multiple email addresses, use just ONE for contest purposes.  Multiple entries will be cause for disqualification.

- Separate your analysis from the wager and use the horses # in your wager. Just like you would do in a real wager. No horse names.

-In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. Dan reserves the right to approve or deny any entries.

- The winner will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan"

As an example :

HG 2014
The speed in this race goes to  horses # 1, 4 ,6 ..Ennie , Meenie, and Mo
Since it's a sprint I don't see any closers catching them.. like # 9 Miney.
I think trainer Groucho with the #6 Mo has the best stats in this condition, route to sprint.. just a gut feeling at large odds ML 20-1

HG wager
50$ Ex box 1-6
total $100

Thanks Dan!

Harpo
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A MORE DETAILED ANALYSIS IS ALWAYS APPRECIATED !
 
REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.

ALSO, IF THE WINNER WOULD LIKE TO SELECT THE FOLLOWING WEEK'S RACE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM NO LATER THAN THE FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY MORNING (A FRIDAY RACE IS MOST IDEAL).

Best of luck to all.

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LONG RIVER.pdf654.34 KB
Copy of Formblog Gulfstream Dash Turf 1-17-14.xls69.5 KB
HGGP10.pdf192.93 KB