01/05/2012 4:40PM

Confessions of a burned-out Eclipse voter

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DRF Weekend - Eclipse Award finalistsIf there’s one thing I’ve learned, it’s not to discuss politics, religion, and Eclipse Award ballots.

If there’s one thing I need to learn, it’s that it’s sometimes okay to say “no.”

So, when I was asked to contribute my personal Eclipse ballot for 2011, I was at a crossroads.

Thinking back on past Eclipse discussions, I remember being vilified in the blogosphere after proclaiming my vote for Bernardini over Barbaro as champion 3-year-old of 2006.

Two years later, eyebrows were raised again when I selected Zenyatta over Curlin as 2008 Horse of the Year.

I actually received death threats when I announced that I was voting for Rachel Alexandra over Zenyatta as "mostest" horse of 2009.

Last year, I kept quiet.

Last year was a good year.

But most worm cans must be opened, so let’s try breaking down the 2011 candidates. There are no set criteria for Eclipse balloting other than common sense. Each voter has his or her own personal preferences. I look for overall accomplishment, head-to-head racing record, and quality of competition.

This past racing season may not have showcased the star power of years past, but many of the divisions are wide open – so much so that one of my top choices did not even make the final ballot. [MORE: 2011 Eclipse Awards finalists]

Steeplechase

The race for champion jumper looks to come down to a photo finish between Black Jack Blues and Tax Ruling.

The wildly inconsistent Tax Ruling will likely receive many votes for his two Grade 1 victories over the jumps (Iroquois, Colonial Cup), but he was beaten more than 45 lengths in his seasonal debut in the Grade 3 Carolina Cup and was pulled up in the Grade 1 Grand National.

My selection, Black Jack Blues, only has a single Grade 1 win on his card, but that was the Grand National, a race in which he ran Tax Ruling into the ground early and kept on going to win by an easy seven lengths. Unchallenged in two starts since being imported from Europe, Black Jack Blues showed brilliance and class in both of those races. Either one of the two top contenders would make a worthy Eclipse winner, but my vote goes to Black Jack Blues.

Selection: Black Jack Blues

2-year-old male

Going into the Breeders’ Cup, the top two juveniles were arguably Union Rags, winner of the Saratoga Special and Champagne, and Creative Cause, who took of the Best Pal and Norfolk. Both had their chance to lock down divisional honors in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile, and both were shown up by undefeated Hansen, who has yet to be headed in three lifetime starts. Union Rags ran a game second in the Juvenile, but it was Hansen who stole the show, and likely the Eclipse, with his gutsy gate-to-wire performance. A runaway winner of his first two starts, Hansen had to dig down and fight in the Juvenile. Hansen won when it counted the most and beat the horses he had to beat.

Selection: Hansen

2-year-old filly

I won’t waste much space on this award as there should be an investigation if My Miss Aurelia doesn’t win unanimously. The Smart Strike filly won all four of her races, including the Grade 1 Frizette and Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies, scored at distances ranging from 5 1/2 furlongs to 1 1/16 miles, and was simply in a different league than her peers.

Selection: My Miss Aurelia

3-year-old male

Usually, this award goes to a 3-year-old who prevailed in one of the three Triple Crown races but, in 2011 those horses were plagued by inactivity and inconsistency. Animal Kingdom won the race they all want, the Kentucky Derby, and he was a game second in the Preakness before suffering through a terrible trip in the Belmont. Unfortunately, he was injured and his season ended in mid-June. Shackleford grabbed the Preakness and Ruler On Ice shocked in the Belmont, but this game is about winning, and Shackleford and Ruler On Ice went a combined 2 for 18 (both wins in entry-level allowances) outside of their scores in the Triple Crown series.

In my opinion, the best 3-year-old of 2011 was Caleb’s Posse, who won half of his 10 starts, defeated older horses, as well as Shackleford, in the Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile, took down Uncle Mo in the Grade 1 King’s Bishop, the flagship race for 3-year-old sprinters, and won stakes at distances ranging from 6 1/2 furlongs to 1 1/16 miles. Caleb’s Posse had his hiccups, to be sure, but so did all of the other logical contenders. With five stakes victories on his card, four in graded company and two at the Grade 1 level, Caleb’s Posse gets my vote as leading 3-year-old male.

Selection: Caleb’s Posse

3-year-old filly

As with the juvenile filly division, this one should be a no-brainer. Royal Delta beat all of the major contenders in the Grade 1 Alabama at Saratoga and finished off her season with a sparkling triumph against older females in the Breeders’ Cup Ladies’ Classic. Add in a win in the Grade 2 Black-Eyed Susan over subsequent Grade 1 Mother Goose heroine Buster’s Ready, and Royal Delta should win this hands-down.

Selection: Royal Delta

Older male

This is where the fur will begin to fly. For the most part, the handicap division was hampered by injuries and upset wins in major races by horses like Drosselmeyer (Breeders’ Cup Classic), Giant Oak (Donn Handicap), and Pool Play (Stephen Foster Handicap).

Tizway won two of the most important prizes in the Metropolitan Mile and Whitney Handicap, but he raced only four times due to lingering physical issues. Game On Dude would be a most deserving choice as he took two major Grade 1 races in Southern California and was dead-game in the Breeders’ Cup Classic, but he lost more than he won.

I believe that one older male was truly brilliant and dependable. A Grade 1 winner on turf and on the main track, Acclamation won five straight graded stakes from May through October and scored at distances ranging from nine to 12 furlongs. While it could be argued that he wasn’t beating up on the best competition around, he did defeat Game On Dude and the talented Twirling Candy on the square in the Pacific Classic and he humbled the good turf runners Jeranimo, Caracortado, Bourbon Bay, and Champ Pegasus. I don’t expect Acclamation to actually win the hardware, but he was consistently good in a year where consistency was sorely lacking.

Selection: Acclamation

Older female

There isn’t much to say. To many, Havre de Grace should be Horse of the Year as well as champion filly or mare. Her only losses this year came against champion Blind Luck (by a nose) and to males in the Breeders’ Cup Classic, and she defeated the boys as the favorite in the prestigious Grade 1 Woodward.

Selection: Havre de Grace

Male sprinter

Amazombie didn’t finish off the board all year. He was good in the winter, winning the Sunshine Millions Sprint. He was good in the spring, taking down the Grade 2 Potrero Grande Handicap and Tiznow Stakes. And, he was very good in the fall, winning the Grade 1 Ancient Title Stakes before getting up to score in the Breeders’ Cup Sprint. An underrated performer, Amazombie ran hard all season and is a very deserving sprint champion.

Selection: Amazombie

Female sprinter

I lost sleep debating whether to vote for Hilda’s Passion, a four-time graded-stakes winner who was certainly the fastest performer on the Beyer Speed Figures, or Musical Romance, who won only two graded races, but one of them was the Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint. It came down to a game-time decision, and I voted for the latter, although I certainly see Hilda’s Passion’s obvious merits.

If you throw out Musical Romance’s turf and route races, she compiled a record of 8-5-2-0, and her largest margin of defeat was three-quarters of a length. Also, her Breeders’ Cup win came at the expense of 2011 Grade 1 winners Her Smile, Switch, and Turbulent Descent, and Grade 2 winners Great Hot, Irish Gypsy, Pomeroys Pistol, and Tar Heel Mom.

While a brilliant winner over Tar Heel Mom in the Grade 1 Ballerina at Saratoga, Hilda’s Passion made her money beating up on Tamarind Hall (lost to her once), Curlina, Tidal Pool, Amen Hallelujah, Stephanie Got Even, Ms. Vanenzza, and North Rodeo. That’s hardly a murderer’s row of filly sprinters.

Selection: Musical Romance

Turf male

For me, it came down to my "crush" horse, Acclamation, and European import Cape Blanco, who shipped in to sweep the Man o’ War, Arlington Million, and Turf Classic Invitational, all highly coveted Grade 1 races on the grass. Cape Blanco nips Acclamation in Grade 1 turf victories by a 3-2 margin, but Acclamation also won the Grade 2 Jim Murray Handicap by seven lengths and the Grade 2 Clement L. Hirsch. From an accomplishment standpoint, it’s close.

Cape Blanco did defeat multiple champion Gio Ponti twice, but aside from that runner, a veteran who arguably lost a step in 2011, Cape Blanco didn’t exactly mash any killers. I have no argument with anyone who voted for Cape Blanco. Heck, if I voted on a different day, I may have gone for him as well. But, it’s Acclamation by a lip.

Selection: Acclamation

Turf female

This was a strange division. Stacelita could easily win as she took down the Beverly D. and Flower Bowl Invitational after finishing third against males in the United Nations, but she bombed badly as the favorite in the Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf. Winter Memories was arguably the most brilliant, but she was beaten in her season finale in the Queen Elizabeth II Cup at Keeneland and never faced her elders. Dubawi Heights had a very good year and would be a deserving winner of this award, but she, too, faltered in the Breeders’ Cup. The Breeders’ Cup winner, Perfect Shirl, was a 27-1 outsider that didn’t win another race all season.

As for consistency, thy name was Never Retreat. Although the 6-year-old mare won only a single Grade 1, the First Lady at Keeneland, she also racked up three Grade 2 scores and one Grade 3 triumph while racing year-round, and she beat Perfect Shirl in the Canadian Stakes at Woodbine.

Selection: Never Retreat

Trainer

Cases could certainly be made for Bill Mott for his Breeders’ Cup Ladies’ Classic–Breeders’ Cup Classic double, Bob Baffert for his many Grade 1 successes, and Steve Asmussen for his gaudy win total, but it’s hard to deny Todd Pletcher another trophy. Pletcher won the earnings title, finished third in wins, and won 43 graded stakes.

Selection: Todd Pletcher

Jockey

Let’s go back-to-back with Ramon Dominguez, who led the nation in earnings, finished second in wins, and booted home 27 graded stakes winners, including Hansen in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile and Havre de Grace in the Woodward. John Velazquez deserves great consideration for another excellent season as well, and Javier Castellano had a fine year.

Selection: Ramon Dominguez

Apprentice jockey

Ryan Curatolo cut his teeth on the tough Gulfstream and NYRA circuits, but Rosario Montanez led all apprentices in wins and earnings.

Selection: Rosario Montanez

Owner

Day in and day out, Midwest Thoroughbreds sent out live horses. The outfit easily led the nation in wins and finished second to the powerful Godolphin operation in earnings.

Selection: Midwest Thoroughbreds

Breeder

It was another dominant year for Frank Stronach’s Adena Springs, the leader in starters, wins, earnings, and graded stakes wins.

Selection: Adena Springs

Horse of the Year

We could go so many ways. Havre de Grace was the dominant older female and defeated the boys in the Woodward; Game On Dude won the Goodwood and the Big Cap and came to play in the Breeders’ Cup Classic; Tizway won two of the most historically important races for older handicappers; Cape Blanco was untouchable on turf; Hansen and My Miss Aurelia ran the table for juvenile performers; Royal Delta claimed some major scalps. They all deserve a piece of the pie, but I’ll stick with Acclamation.

Like Havre de Grace, he won five graded stakes in 2011, including three Grade 1 events. He won on turf and he won on the main track. When some of the big names didn’t win out in the Breeders’ Cup, it left the door open for him. And this racing fan believes that he kicked it down with his midseason form. I won’t be surprised if he doesn’t win even one Eclipse, let alone the three that I handed him. He may not even be named champion California-bred with Breeders’ Cup Sprint winner Amazombie also on that ballot. That’s what kind of year it was in 2011. Acclamation was a consistent winner of top-level open races in a year of inconsistent performers. Shouldn’t that count for something? While I’m sure my selections will spark the usual debate and name-calling ("dolt" is usually the most prevalent), at least you can’t say that I’m cursed with the dreaded "East Coast bias."

Selection: Acclamation

STEVEN 10 months ago
HI EVERYBODY FOR THE FIRST TIME OF THE HISTORY..THE RE BALLOT FOR APPRENTICE ECLIPSE...THAT YOUNG GENERATION COULD BE THE JOCKEYS OF TOMOROW..AND THEY TORTURE THEM..THE REPORTERS SOME VERY FAMOUS WORKING IN HRTV OR ESPN..NEVER WATCH THE RACES ALL OVER THE COUNTRY AND THEY DAESENT KNOW NOTHING ABOUT RACES..THEY COMPARE CURATOLO FROM NY RIDING WITH THE TOP JOCK IN THIS COUNTRY AGAINST KYLE FREY KID S RIDING IN PARX WHERE NOBODYS WATCH WITH NO STAKES RACES OR GRADE.. AND THEY SAID THAT THIS ONE IS THE BEST ONE IN THE USA.....WHAT STUPID PEOPLE..THEY ARE LUCKY TO HAVE JOB...
Johnny 11 months ago
I love your selections,however I would love to see "rapid redux" trainer david wells pick up trainer of the year,what he has done with that horse has been astounding.to me its not always about money,its making a average horse into a great one.
Greg Dumele 11 months ago
Hi Dan, Great writeup on your Eclipse picks. Don't get stressed too much because we all have to argue about things once the winners are chosen! lolYo I know this is more a handicapping forum but what a horrible incident at Santa Anita on Friday. I wonder at the time of your writing a response if there is a bit of an inquiry into things (although I'm sure it will pass as 'racing'). In the fifth was Coal Region Kid..a horse in form put with a rider Guiseppe Ercegovic who had 3 lifetime mounts in 2008 before this ride. It just looked fishy and sure enough, the horse broke down horribly. A terrible sight for the spectators. As handicappers we know to stay away from this horse because of the suspicious rider change...its just awful. Anyway...just wish the horse never made it to post. I was wondering if you could post the pps of Three In The Bag and Hesogoodwithmoney. I was surprised to come across both these horse as still racing in 2011. They were real battlers on the New York circuit in the past years. And because its Eclipse time can you post the pp's of Bum? Think he was a horse at the opposite end of the spectrum. Thanks so much, Greg
Dale 11 months ago
HDG: Garrett should have the ridgling on the lead turning for home and I think he will have just enough left to win this at 6F. Joel should have his gelding right there as well and can hold on for 2nd or even win this. Lots of others eligible for a piece but I will try for a price with the hot apprentice (Flores) and also use Baffert's other horse under. HDG wager: $4 TRI PW: 9-11 / 3-5-9-11 / 1-2-3-5-9-11..........$96 $1 TRI PW: 9 / 11 / 1-2-3-5.................................$4 Good luck and good health to all, I'm still breathin'
Alan 11 months ago
Just a note about the GP DD and P3 controversy from yesterday (BTW, I agree that the payoffs need some further explanation from the track). Without hopefully being accused of the dreaded "redboarding", I liked #1 Gentlemen's Bet in GP8 yesterday. Don't worry guys/thongs, I made all of a $10 WPS on the 30+/1 FTS, so it more than covers the other stupid bets I made the rest of the day (as I do my 3wk crash-course training for contest playing)...but no "lobster dinner for all"! Catalano, as already mentioned, is good (~20%) with FTSs. In addition, if you subscribe to gradeoneracing.com (very well worth the price - I've already paid for my full year subscription just from yesterday!) , you would have seen that Gentlemen's Bet had a couple of excellent works at KEE and CD in the fall, with the Nov6 CD work described as "...this one worked lights out in a monster 101 flat beating Millenium Star, a workmate by ten. They don't work faster from the gate and showed he could run a ton. Speedy, win early type..." Gentlemen's Bet was also a Group 2 Breeze Figure from last February's F-T sale (he was scratched from that sale) with a stride length over 2ft (26.37 vs 24.14) longer than the average stride length in the sale. IMO, if you are willing to do the "not in the past performance's investigation", maiden races continue to be a great place to find high price winners. Also... for HG today, to avoid confusion my previous wager should technically read as: $100EX #9/11 (not $100EX 9,11) Sorry for the error.
Virgin Queen 11 months ago
HGSA 100 ex 7/11 thx Dan thx 10c VQ
lefthander32 11 months ago
HG--- $50 tri---9/2/5,11 Lefty out...
meathead01 11 months ago
HG Santa Anita Park 1-6-12 R7 #1 Obess hard campaigner for sure with smith on the rail this one seems to overcome trouble and still get into the race has turned into a good sprinter for spawr and has to be considered in this sprint.only drawback he is going in open company today. #6 El Pocho (CHI) was all alone at the wire in his maiden win down south and has come north to the states and is working bullets for his debut for cardenes picks up blackstones favorite jockey in krigger am thinking he will be a part of the ticket today. #7 The Director blew out a bunch of low level claimers in his last race did get a big beyer for the effort and dont think the bounce angle will come into play because he did have a 87 beyer previous to that blow out win. this one came around with the blinkers on for oneill so is a big player here in this race today #9 Hope and Believe gets rosario for this and cuts back to 6 panels a big angle and has speed so think rosario uses that speed and tries the wire job today. #10 Blake first race out of the box in feb 10 was a winning one drawing off by 5 lengths and then went to the sidelines for 14 months and faltored down the lane to finish in the also rans in april 11. is on the comeback trail and his works are steady and consistant for todays race. cerin goes to one of his best jockeys at 33% to ride today.I think victor takes him out early and may pull away from the field today. #11 Runflatout sadler brings him back in a nwIx where he left off in sept 11 fading to third as chaulk.his last two works have been fast so thinking he is tight for his return but think a lower spot is called for today. the play: $2 exacta box 6-10-11 =$96 $4 to win on #6=$4 total of dans money $100 good luck all MH01
Annie 11 months ago
Keith L, I'll have you know that my FORWARD MARCH aka PRECIOUS, is undefeated. He won his only race in Sept. of 2011. :) And I told you, IN THE BEAT has to wait until the 2nd draft to be picked. Quit trying to screw up the MKB procedure. :) As for that Empire horse, Empire Maker's don't sell for 1K unless they look awfully messed up at the sale. I don't care who runs second, as long as SIR BOND wins. :) Annie
Annie 11 months ago
KNM, Did you do that? ($110 part wheel at WO that screwed up the GP Pick 3). :) Annie
knm 11 months ago
Annie, Not guilty!! It must have been Anderson.
Annie 11 months ago
Anne M, Welcome back! Your horse is TAKES THE GOLD. Let's see, you are #34, so your horse's bio would be found on the SOME HAPPY RETURNS thread. Annie
Annie 11 months ago
MKB UPDATE: The odds are up for Sat.'s races. Grade 3 Sham Stakes: MKBs only, of course. 5 of the 6 ALEX F'S Secret Circle 4-5 Fav. SPARTAN TOM'S Hierro 3-1 GRACIE'S Out of Bounds 5-1 MPM'S Handsome Mike 5-1 BILLY'S Longview Drive 8-1 ........................................................................................... Race 6 MDSP: NANCY B'S Consulado 5-2 ALYDARANDEASY'S Bobby Flay 5-1 Good luck all! Annie
Gregory Beringer 11 months ago
Hello Dan, Please crank up the wayback machine. I'm intrested in a horse named Rag Bag. He ran @ Dover Downs. Yes there was flat racing at one time in Dover. There was clover in Dover. Rag Bag raced in 1969 or 1970. Thanks
Steve T 11 months ago
SANTA ANITA – Friday (01-07-2012) Race 1 – My Diane, Babessa, Missy Ky I You DD: Sissy Wells Race 2 – Bench the Judge, Warren’s Tony R, Miles Heir DD: Coo Cachoo Race 3 – Dani’s Sis, Coparcenary, Key Allegro DD: Silver Luna Race 4 – Anniversary Girl, So Belle, Thisismystage DD: Wild Rose Race 5 – Itssultryinthecape, Dee Dee’s Legacy, Bruno’s Wager DD: Rummysecret War Race 6 – Linda Lou, Brown Is Beige, Picture Perfect DD: Vikkilee Race 7 – Hope and Believe, Runflatout, The Director DD: Thinking of Girls Race 8 – Tropiluk, Sky Larkin, Paperrockscissors DD: Donnotaurus
Chris 11 months ago
hello for your choice for the top apprentice im not agree Dan Ryan is was out during 7 weeks cause fracture clavicle in Belmont also Rosario as being in 2010 with 370 races normaly is account spot at 3 000 000 usd and Ryan ride with the elite of jockeys in us j velasquez j castellano and r dominguez 1 2 3 at the list of us jockeys !!! if he was in parx is not the same !!! right? and Ryan won 5 stakes !! what do you think?????? THAT WHY SUPPORT SOLDAT RYAN IS THE BEST
Stephen Taylor 11 months ago
Dan- Gotta disagree on the turf horse. I saw Cape Blanco at the Million and he was just special. Then he won the Sword Dancer with a Fractured Knee! But that's why they allow over 200 people to vote-not everyone is going to agree. As for HOY, I couldn't fault too many votes but what about My Miss Aurelia. She beat the best 2yo fillies in the world and in a year when the older horses (other than Cape Blanco!) traded wins with one another she was CLEARLY the best in her division. (And I'm not sure she wouldn't have trounced older horses if she were allowed to run against them) When I'm out in Vegas for the HPWS in February, if the price is right she might even be worth a Derby Future. Here's my theory on what happened on the "fishy pick three" yesterday. On some of the betting sites (Xpress Bet is one) once you've put an amount in for a wager, it stays unless you change it (even if you change the type of wager) So my guess is someone with a good amount of $$$ in their account made a $100 win bet, then decided to play some the pick 3 and didn't change the amount back to $1. (And the Cat firster was very useable, I had him before I started to pare my ticket down to an affordable level,) He's LETHAL with young horses and firsters. I think he's still a little underrated because of his time with Calabrese. (After all anyone on this blog could win a high % of races if we could claim horses for 25 and drop them to 10 on a regular basis) But since they've split he's proven he can FLAT OUT TRAIN! One quick Gulfstream pick for today: 5th race-5-Outstanding Hope beaten 2 lengths off a layoff and was very competitive with better over the summer. 6/1 ML and he'll be a single for me in my dime pick 6 so I can spread later.
Annie 11 months ago
Capt. Ron, The last I heard is that SABERCAT will not run until later in the SA meet, in large part because he already has enough graded stakes earnings to run in the Kentucky Derby. Not a bad position to be in, although of course it means that you have to wait. :) Annie
Whackymacky 11 months ago
Friday notes.... One thing that I was told by my Dad, Marry Money!!! Chantal Sutherland is engaged to a young man with $$$. Her biological clock is ticking and she wants to have children. I bet that this will not last as long as Kim K's marriage. Maybe sour grapes on my end because she is my fifth love after my Mom, my Annie, and my 2 little baby girls... She can still ride, but she is moving fast and wants that family ASAP!!!! I will still bet her though. Gulfstream Pick 3 Payoff???? Somebody needs to explain this to us. I think that it may have been a past post play from somebody or a punter that hit a $50 - $75 play on the 3 numbers. It is way offline. Maybe the dogman can look into this, but I have never seen this before and it needs to be shown to the public as to where the ticket's were played and how many combination's were hit. Another black eye is not needed. It could be that a pool wasn't locked out and players were able to bet after the race was over?? The mutual department needs to come forward and explain it to the public. JMO. Good Luck today and play those pick 5 wager's. At 50 cents, it is the best value at the races!! Whackymacky Out!!!
Annie 11 months ago
MKB UPDATE: The odds are up for two of the MKB races running tomorrow. Count Fleet Stakes at Aqueduct: LONGCHAMP'S Alpha 4-5 Fav. (Yikes) KNM'S Stephanoatsee 6-1 MEATHEAD'S Speightscity 8-1 ......................................................................................... Allowance/OptCl75K at GP: NED DALY'S Discreet Dancer 8-5 Fav. RAY MANLEY'S One Sock Down 3-1 BYANOSE'S Da Vinci 5-1 KEITH L'S (self-pick) A Boy Named Em 10-1 Good luck all! Annie
Rachel 11 months ago
I agree with your 3 yo male selection of Caleb's Posse. I cannot see how it can go any other way. Shackleford beat Animal Kingdom in two out of three Tripple Crown races. Caleb's Posse beat Shackleford in the Breeders Cup Mile. Aren't the Breeders Cup races the Championship races?
Alex 11 months ago
What was the Indian Nations Futurity Cup at Santa Fe? I noticed it had a pretty big purse back in the day and attracted Real Quiet who finished 3rd. The thing that really interested me was that all of the runners in the 1997 edition, including Real Quiet, race had run in one of three $10,000 allowance races over the same track 16 days before. I mean it obviously looks like there were trials like in quarter horse racing, I just want to know the history of what this actual race was. The race showed $571,647 in available purse money! mysteryaball@yahoo.com is my e-mail. If you find anything at all, please send me an e-mail, or mention it in the next post.
rich 11 months ago
Blind Luck Beats Havre De Grace, and Havre De Grace is your best Older female How do you figger that out.Blind Luck if she was in with the boys would have beat most males out there
Annie 11 months ago
Dan, Good thing you didn't say anything about RAPID REDUX. :) Annie
Annie 11 months ago
HG 265 REVISION: I'm still sticking with RUNFLATOUT, but $100 to win on him won't win the HG. And, since my PPs will expire at 12:01 AM, I will be needing some more. :) I'll try a trifecta with him over two others. Will probably need a straight one to win, since I don't know what all has been played by now. #9 HOPE AND BELIEVE - Well, we all need that to get us through the rough times. I like the fact that Rosario is getting back on for Ron Ellis. Most of these are coming back after running in the last quarter of 2011 and are newly turned four year olds. Still some improvement possible with these lightly raced boys. I'm hoping he will improve enough to run second to Runflatout. He does have the 2nd highest last race Beyer (83) to Run's 85. #2 RED ACE - I'm thinking one of Baffert's two will run in the tri, and I'm picking this one. Martin Garcia rides this one, and he often is on Baffert's better ones. I also like his works, including a 1:24.3 on 12/14 to give him some bottom. Perhaps he will hang on when others are tired. Oh oh, I was thinking of him for 3rd, but now I don't know. Maybe I should put him 2nd.........I guess to be safe, I'd better divide up that $100. #11 RUNFLATOUT - Well, what can I say. He's the only one in here that has run to par (94) and has run against the best horses at the highest levels. Gomez is back on and the trainer is very good. $50 TRI: 11/2/9 $50 TRI: 11/9/2 Annie
Keith L. 11 months ago
Annie (and BSB, Curt V.) One of the reasons your FORWARD MARCH $2mil50K baby sold for such a high price to the Flag LLC group is that the future has been cast in stone for the U.S. dollar thanks to the $13 Trillion (and growing daily) U.S. Debt and the additonal $7.3 Trillion (of printed from thin air U.S. bucks) the Federal Reserve pumped into the slumping Wall Street money center banks. May also be the reason that Keeneland sales were pretty much setting records early on this year, hmmm? Major inflation is on the way, and buy now as credit is cheap, cheap, cheap, and will be getting much more expensive as the inflation that is surely coming our way begins to take hold. Kind of makes those Future Bets from Wynns on the KY Derby contenders look good now, hmm? However, taking a look at the pedigree of your Distorted Humor colt out of the Danzig mare (granddam Misque) sort of lends itself to an interpretation that this youngter may be headed for the grass...and maybe that is the reason behind the lack of activity to date? This being the 1st week of January, and with the Apollo 19th Century curse (last colt to ini the Derby without racing at age 2) hanging over the late starting 3 yr olds, maybe you should go for a 2nd MKB, howabout IN THE BEAT! Grab him up before he motors home Saturday for the Place. If it is another off track at Churchill, this guy is sure to get the trip under Calvin. BTW, the replay of his Churchill pattented rail skimming winning late charge under Bo-Rail is still available on hhtp/www.Bloodhorse. com the last that I looked! By the way, for mpm01, Satuday's Swaps is the last run on dirt you will see from Handsome Mike, is my predicition. He'll be a grass middle distance runner after that for sure! LOL!
SR Vegas 11 months ago
Curt V ..okay, I get that you like the horses in the good 'ole USA , but some of us do like to follow UK races, and getting an opinion about some good fililes in the UK from someone who knows them, is enlightening. At least to me. Bernard, thanks ! ___________________________________________ Calvin Great news for you and Kerry !
brutus4633 11 months ago
MKB, Sir Bond gives it a go today (1/6) at FG going 1 1/18 MSW race 46K...He's drawn the rail, which may not be to his advantage today...(4) Proper Empire should like the distance, gets Rosie nice work...The (5) Money Only also shows some nice works, Steve A is the trainer and he is hitting at his usual high%....Sir Bond opened the m/l at 9-5...I'll be watching and cheering but not betting.. Curious to see how Shkspeare Shaliyah runs in the Count Fleet Sat at AQ...he's bred to be a turfer...gets the outside post in a race with a lot of pace... BTW...sorry boys...bad news.... < Chantal Sutherland, recently tweeted this announcement on her engagement: "Just had a nice brunch with my fiance! Oops forgot to tell you that Dan Kruse proposed to me New Years Eve and I said YES . . . he's a STAR!" Kruse is a member of the family that owns Kruse Meats in Monrovia, California> Good luck to Chantal and all this weekend...
Annie 11 months ago
Brutus, Good luck today with SIR BOND! Those planning to play the Pick 5 at SA on Sat., should take special interest in how Sir Bond runs today, since the horse that beat him last time, HIERRO, will be running in the Sham Stakes tomorrow and that is Leg 3 of the Pick 5. :) Annie
Keith L. 11 months ago
Brutus: Not to sweat the #1 Post for your MKB SirBond, he should get covered up nicely in this eight colt/gelding field of 2 yr olds in the 7th Race MSW and come running at that 1&1/16th distance on the long stretch at Fair Grounds. His major competition comes from the nicely bred #4 Proper Empire, who has more than a bit of a late kick himself...so he sold for a grand as a yearling, handsome is as handsome does, Annie (as Mama told me when a was all ears and wearing bottle bottom glasses as a Jr. High School youth). I'm not buying much into Asmussen's #5 Money Only colt, who was several lenghs behind Proper Empire in that Churchill sealed slop run at 6f in a fade job, while his breeding said he should have relished the off track (Malibu Moon). However, Josie Carrol's #2 colt by sprinter Henny Hughes out of an Elusive Quality mare should have the lead on the rail, and may go the distance trying synth to dirt...works look promising for the speed of the field. I'll take a Win/Place on #4 Proper Empire here, box for the Exacta the #1,#4, and play a Tri Key hedge; #1,#4/#2/#1,#4,#5. Curt V.: Spotted on DRF's Race of the Day, another Vindication sired runner looking to bring another payday. Go look? Keith L.
SR Vegas 11 months ago
Annie I have all the MKB bios handy, so I'll just copy and paste for Anne M. 34. ANNE M, Your horse is TAKES THE GOLD. He is a bay colt by Corinthian, a son of Pulpit, out of Marquet Rent (Marquetry) He was born on 3/9/09. He sold at the FTK July 2010 Yearling Sale for 140K. Your trainer is Richard Dutrow, Jr. DP = 3-3-8-0-0 (14) DI = 2.50 CD = 0.84 He has earned $50,600 in 3 starts. 8/6 SAR 3rd MDSP at 6-1/2F 9/10 BEL Broke MD at 1 mile 10/8 BEL 4 GR1 Champagne at 1 mile Good luck!
mvito44 11 months ago
$50 win 9. $15 exacta box (9-11) $10 exacta 9/ 4,11
Dick W 11 months ago
HG SA - Revised due to scratch of #1 I will take a flyer with Mullins since most everything else has been covered: $50 ex 8/9,11 Good luck to all ! Dick W
Bluenote 11 months ago
I'm not sure if this is the reason but, there was a consolation pick 3 payoff of $6.20 along with the $246 payoff. This was for the 8 horse in the 7th race. If you look at the sequence going the other way races 7,8, 9 Miss Netta won the 9th race and paid $3.80 resulting in a $3,178.90 pick 3 payoff and no extra coso. You would think if someone was betting the longer priced horse in the exotics that Miss Netta would have been an easier to pound than Water of Life, $11. That's my 2 cents on the pick 3.
SpartanTom 11 months ago
HGSA: Not sure if my original post was to previous blog. HG Wager: $50 exacta box 3,9. Good luck to everyone. ST PS: my MKB horse, Hierro, is entered tomorrow in the 3rd race at SA.
Bernard Downes 11 months ago
Stephen Taylor, Please take this as friendly over-reaction, but I was intrigued by your claim that My Miss Aurelia *beat the best 2 yr old fillies in the World". I believe enthusiastic exaggeration is part of the racing game, but how did you set your baseline in making that particular claim? I certainly hope that Questing or Homecoming Queen were not significant parts of that baseline. Neither filly deserved that status (before or after the BC), because there were at least three much better 2 yr old fillies in Europe. Watch out for MAYBE, DISCOURSE and WADING in 2012. Perhaps the simple answer is to to insert the tiny qualification "on dirt" in your claim. Best Regards - Bernard Downes P. S. Despite the above, I am also a My Miss Aurelia fan.
Ned Daly 11 months ago
HG265 Runflatout is the class of the field, checks all the boxes. Thunder of Zion checks them all too, won 2/3 (vs. lower), good trainer stats and favorite jock. HG WAGER $90 to WIN #11 $10 WIN #3 Good luck to all.
Byanose 11 months ago
My appologies to the HG score keeper, but I picked a scratched horse with my 1/4/12, 9:39pm post. I will substitute the 2 for the 1 thus making my pciks: $30.00 ex. 5/2-9-11 $10.00 tri. 5/11/2-9 As for Saturdays 7th race at GP, I think my Da Vinci will run well, but I am really scared of Discreet Dancer. I will try for a $10.00 tri. 6-9/6-9/1-2-4-7--$80.00 bucks. Will also do a $10.00 ex. 6/1-2-4-7-9 for $50.00 and $10.00 WP on my 6. I think Da Vinci will have to run 1st or 2nd. to get the chance to even run for some graded earnings. Would sure like to know Pletchers thoughts!
okiesharp 11 months ago
HGSA $100 exacta 11 over 9
Ron B 11 months ago
HG With the late scratch of # 12 please change my HG wager to the following $100 Tri 11-5-9 Thanks Ron B
CHoffman 11 months ago
Wow....for once someone looks beyond the Rockies to a horse that has won on that strange green stuff. Thank you for thinking of Acclamation. I've watched him win and he seems to do it for fun. He wasn't supposed to beat Twirling Candy or Game On Dude. More than one jaw hit the floor, to be picked up to say, "What the hell just happened?"
Calvin L. Carter 11 months ago
SR Vegas, meathead01, Earlier today, I received a proof of the book. Kerry and I now enter the stretch run to publication. Thanks to you, the DRF Formblog family, my family and friends for your encouragement and support.
Theo 11 months ago
HG- The 9 to finish- seems like the speed will kill each other off $ 12 super- 9/ 2,12 / 2,11,12 / 2,5,11,12 $4 super 9/2/12/5 Hopefully I can "translate" the captcha--Theo
p ensign 11 months ago
read somewhere that the gp p-3 was skewed from a $110 part wheel that was played at woodbine. sounded like a whacky play, but he is one of the questioners...
AnneM 11 months ago
Happy New year. Annie - I must have missed the MKB selections - where can find out which colt I got?
Curt V. 11 months ago
Bernard D., Miss Aurelia ? Ever heard the expression, "When in Rome do as the Romans...?" Well, unless specified otherwise..& this is the DRF, USA...The above expression is reserved for American horses. We'll be sure to let you know if we give a hoot about Euro's...Rofl...........he has no need to put i any disclaimers whatsoever.......
Dale 11 months ago
I believe I posted on previous thread and I just now saw the #1 horse was scratched, so with a 1000 apologies, I submit this update: HDG WAGER: $5 TRI PW: 9-11 / 3-5-9-11 / 2-3-5-9-11..........$90 $3 TRI PW: 11 / 9 / 2-3-5................................$9 $1 TRI: 11/9/3.................................................$1 Thanks 10cent, I'm still breathin'
Steeplestakes 11 months ago
Acclamation is a wise choice for HoY for all of the reasons you stated. HdG never won a race beyond 9 furlongs - if she wins HoY it would be an even bigger joke than last year's selection, who never won a single unrestricted Grade I race in 2010 and who was beaten on the square by the horse that finished 2nd in the HoY voting. THE FACTOR wins two Grade I races, including one against older horses, and doesn't make finalist in the 3-yr-old or sprinter categories while Caleb's Posse does? I guess most voters don't follow the sport after the BC. Compare The Factor's record of four Graded Stakes wins to Shackleford's one; the voters missed the boat big time on this one. The Factor's record of Graded stakes wins is almost identical to Caleb's Posse: they each won two Grade I races; The Factor also won two Grade II races while Caleb’s Posse won a Grade II and a Grade III. It makes no sense logically to vote for one and not the other.
AlydarandEasy 11 months ago
Bernie, Ryan There was definately something fishy going on at Gulfstream. (BSB?) With payouts of $11.00, $49.60, and $69.40, you would normally expect a return of approx. $4,000-$8,000. The total amount in the pool was $34,767, minus the takeout of 20%, leaving $27,814 to be paid out. With a payout of just $246.60, there were approximately 113 winning $1.00 tickets. Some one must have pounded the pool, because you would normally expect just 5-7 winning tickets at most. Two interesting tidbits: 1) The winner of the ninth race paid just $3.80, replacing the $11.00 winner from the sixth race. However, the pic-3 for the 7th, 8th, and 9th races paid more than ten times what the 6th, 7th, and 8th race pic-3 paid---$3,178.90 to $246.60! 2) There was a late scratch in the 7th race, yet the 4-8-1 consolation pic-3, (which included the $69.40 winner and the $11.00 winner, paid just $6.20! Strange doings indeed.
Annie 11 months ago
Dick W, BTW, that was really sweet. Thank you! Annie
Annie 11 months ago
Steve T, I see Dr. D got a couple nice ones today. Well, you did too, but of course those horses picked by your alter ego really pay big. :) Good job, both of you. Annie
Annie 11 months ago
Guess what fellas (Whackymacky). I just read that the lovely Chantal is getting married in August. And her 6 foot 6 fiance is allergic to horses. LOL! Annie
blackseabass 11 months ago
AlyEasy, It wasn't me. LOL. I once had a $147 horse and the DD paid $149. It does seem a little fishy. ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ LSD great picks for the awards. Acclamation was the most accomplished horse this year. Never Retreat danced the dances & showed up running . I'm with you ,buttZ... that might mean you're in for a shellacking from others. LOL.
hialeah 11 months ago
Dan, By this ballot, Acclimation wins three Cats??? I really hope this is to garner some talk and not to be taken seriously. Heck, the horse doesn't even believe he should win all three. If so, change his name to Leap of Faith. Cape Blanco was 3 for 3 in 3 Grade 1's on turf - forget that Cat (turf male). Havre de Grace had the "best season" (HoY) so... Maybe, I'll buy that Acclimation on the basis of his TOTAL year beats out Tizway's Brilliant Wins - Quantity over Quality has often won. Maybe your "copy and paste" just got stuck. Hope so. Regardless, it has been fun, as always. As for the rail at GP today - it was the place to be - go figure.
tencentcielo 11 months ago
Dan, WHY???? Acclamation???? Now I know how Steve T would feel if you had voted for Rutherienne for champion turf female. ;-) (Big love for voting Never Retreat on top though.)
Steve T 11 months ago
Dan, I have know you for a while now, and the one thing I have never questioned was that you voted for who you thought was deserving.
Jeff T. 11 months ago
Dan... it is amazing how close you voted to what my votes were. Mad respect for not displaying the bias that several of your brethren automatically adopt. I still can't believe the worshipping that still goes on for Tizway by those who "watch" from their weekly perch. It was difficult to separate Cape Blanco from Acclamation and my turf award went to Mr. O'Brien's well traveled stud. My "older male" went to Acclamation for his body of work (but he was close to Game On Dude). I couldn't give HOY to Havre De Grace because she didn't beat her nemesis Blind Luck; it goes to Game On Dude for his record and for showing up all over the place. He did everything but turf and won a lot of money for his owners. I totally agree w/your 3yr. old selection of Caleb's Posse and Royal Delta... next The 2 yr. old female is a no-brainer (MMA).... next The 2 yr. old male is Hansen because he won the BC. Nevermind all the other interesting drama about how far, what post, etc... for Union Rags. He lost to Hansen on the square. Stacelita made me a lot of money; especially after your's and Mike analysis of the UN race, however; Never Retreat had a better and more productive year. For those who believed in her at the windows... you got a nice price no matter where she raced... and she delivered for her fans. The rest of voting doesn't really matter much to me. You have always been "well meant" in your analysis and writing and honesty and this is why we flock to your blog. Thanks again for another year of Handi-G, memorabilia (old PP's of our favorite horses), the excellent video analysis (by yourself and w/Mighty Mike Beer; who also had a great year and, like you; is well deserving of an Eclipse award for being the best Turf Writer and for providing the "best digs" for your followers, fans, and many friends) and for making yourself available with all our questions and requests (and weekly Handi-G money). Thanks again Dan... and may your New Year be happy and prosperous for you and your family as well.
eshields 11 months ago
It's nice to see one of the few consistent horses to run this year get some respect. Cheers to picking Acclamation!
Meghan 11 months ago
Glad to see at least one person voted for Never Retreat. What a nice mare she was all year. She also helped me out in the wagering several times.
Bernie 11 months ago
Ripoff of the Decade at GP today... Dan: Love reading your Blog... Please tell me you wouldn't be livid if you hit the Pick3 today at Gulfstream Park in today's 6th,7th & 8th races. I myself did NOT hit it but it paid a paltry $246.60 on a buck when the winners paid $11.00 & $49.60 & $69.40??? That is the absolute worst payout scenario I've EVER seen in my 30+ years of playing horses? The Daily Double on the back end of this series with just the longshots came back at $1270.60 on $2 bucks??? I think Guido was in play here & someone really pounded this hard...?
Rob 11 months ago
Acclamation, as Champion Turf Horse is a poor vote. The fields that Acclamation beat in Southern California were weak, very weak. He never won outside of Southern California. Cape Blanco on the other hand shipped over four thousand miles from Ireland on three occasions. And Cape Blanco beat better fields that you give him credit for. In the Man O'War he not only beat Gio Pont, but Gr. I Manhattan Handicap winner Mission Approved, and Boisterious who is a multiple graded stakes winner. In the Arlington Million, he beat Gio Ponti again but he also beat Wigmore Hall who would go on to win the Gr. I Nothern Dancer at Woodbine. In the Turf Classic he beat Winchester who had won the Gr.I. Sword Dancer at Saratoga during the summer and who is a multiple Group I winner in his career along with Grassy who was coming off a win in the Gr. II Bowling Green. Its not Acclamation by a nose, its Cape Blanco by a mile. Did Acclamtion beat a horse who won a single Group I on the Turf this year? How can you be a Champion when you didn't beat Group I winners?
Ronald H 11 months ago
p ensign Yes, while the exact origins of the 'ridgling angle' remain obscure, many, myself included, attribute it to legendary 'capper Juan 'Hung' Lowe. RH
Ryan 11 months ago
Funny business at GP today? Catalano unleashes a 1st timer with below average works, from the rail, who wins for fun in a loaded maiden race. 30-1. Winner of prior race paid 20-1...The DD for stringing these together is over $600...But the reward for putting these 2 together with a 9-2 shot to start the P3? Just $246! How does this happen? That P3 should have paid $4K.
Bernie 11 months ago
Totally Agree Ryan.... I did NOT have that P3 fortunately or I'd be flying to GP tonight to have an investigation started. I just sent this to Dan also... Guido was in play at GP today....???? That's the worst payout I've seen in my 30+ years of gambling. When I first saw that payout, I thought it was a 2 of 3 on that Pick3? WOW that is HORRIBLE!!!
Curt V. 11 months ago
Dan Illman, Sorry Dan....HOY>'09>Girl, '10>Girl, '11>Girl.........These boys just haven't been up to snuff lately......Her body of work just has been a whole better... Sorry Dan........
Pippen0707 11 months ago
HG SA #6 El Pocho... Green Grass Stable has unleashed a couple of bombs fitting this horses description. Many bullets... $100 win #6