07/16/2014 11:07AM

From claimer to Grade 1 winner

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PRINCESS OF SYLMAR bombed at 1 to 5 in last Saturday's Grade 1 Delaware Handicap, but what got lost in the story is that the winner, BELLE GALLANTEY, actually ran a pretty nice race.

Yes, she received 8 lbs. from the favorite and was able to establish a pretty easy lead through moderate fractions. But when Princess of Sylmar and Grade 3 winner FLASHY AMERICAN turned up the pressure on the final turn, Belle Gallantey spurted away. She ran her third quarter in 24.12 and followed it up with subsequent two-furlong clockings of 23.81 and 23.71.

Pace certainly made the race in the Delaware Handicap, and it was somewhat surprising to see Princess of Sylmar so far out of it early, but Belle Gallantey made them pay for their disrespect.

She's in career form for trainer Rudy Rodriguez, who claimed the mare for $35,000 on December 19 from Mitch Friedman. Since then, the 5-year-old daughter of After Market has taken 4 of 5 starts.

Not bad for a $10,000 yearling that resold for $30,000 as a yearling.

Not bad for a filly that began her career at Hastings Park, was claimed for $30,000 at Santa Anita in 2011, was taken for $20,000 at Del Mar the following summer, was haltered for $20,000 at Belmont on October 6, 2012, and was claimed by Friedman for $25,000 on March 3, 2013.

Let's consider the improvement since being claimed by Rodriguez. In 37 starts for trainers Troy Taylor, Doug O'Neill, Bob Hess Jr., Karl Grusmark and Friedman, Belle Gallantey's best Beyer was an 81.

In the five races for Rodriguez, her Beyers are 85, 95, 89, 99 and 100.

I don't think anyone's saying that Belle Gallantey is a Breeders' Cup type. But, if they leave her alone on the lead, there are other races she can win at good odds. Especially with Rudy at the helm.

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Just finished reading your book Betting Maidens & 2-year-olds ...... very good job, Dan!
Was hoping you would provide an updated list of sires to be on watch for going into Saratoga this year.
Thanks,
@jmcookjr

Thanks so much for reading the book. It is somewhat out of date.

Here are some sires to consider, not only at Saratoga, but for all of the tracks:

Tiz Wonderful (9-33, 27%, $2.66 ROI, 4 juvenile debut winners; 17-65, 26%, $4.92 ROI in 2013, 11 juvenile FTS winners)

Bring the Heat (4-13, 31%, $3.98 ROI, 2 juvenile FTS winners; 7-21, 33%, $2.47 ROI in 2013, 4 juvenile FTS winners)

Any Given Saturday (6-24, 25%, $5.85 ROI this year with debut runners, 3 juvenile FTS winners)

Congrats (6-23, 26%, $2.50 ROI, 3 juvenile FTS winners)

Intimidator (5-20, 25%, $2.49 ROI, 4 juvenile FTS winners)

Lookin At Lucky (5-12, 42%, $2.10 ROI, all juvenile FTS winners)

Silver City (3-10, 30%, $2.74 ROI, all juvenile FTS winners)

Warriors Reward (5-6, 83%, $5.57 ROI, all juvenile FTS winners)

Stormy Atlantic (8-32, 25%, $3.45 ROI, 2 juvenile FTS winners)

Langfuhr (5-21, 24%, $3.18 ROI, 2 juvenile FTS winners)

City Zip (8-41, 20%, $3.71 ROI, 3 juvenile FTS winners)

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Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures from 7/7/14 - 7/13/14

1. ATREIDES - 105 - Md Sp Wt 31k - 6 Furlongs - Gulfstream
2. CARD - 104 - OC 40k/N2X -N - 6 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Arlington
3. BELLE GALLANTEY - 100 - Delaware Handicap (G1) - 1 1/4 Miles - Delaware
4. BEN'S CAT - 98 - Parx Dash Handicap (G3) - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - Parx
4. LOOKING COOL - 98 - OC 40k/N$Y - 1 Mile - Ellis
4. LUBASH - 98 - Alw 75000NC - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Belmont
4. THE PIZZA MAN - 98 - Stars and Stripes Stakes (G3) - 1 1/2 Miles (Turf) - Arlington
8. AZ RIDGE - 96 - Mystic Lake Mile Stakes - 1 Mile - Canterbury
8. HANGOVER KID - 96 - Bowling Green Handicap (G2) - 1 1/2 Miles (Turf) - Belmont
10. LASTING BUBBLES - 95 - Valor Farm Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Lone Star
10. PLAINVIEW - 95 - OC 80k/N3X -N - 1 Mile (Turf) - Belmont
10. SCARLY CHARLY - 95 - Alw 77000N1X - 1 Mile - Belmont
10. TEXAS BLING - 95 - Assault Stakes - 1 Mile - Lone Star
14. MYOSITIS DAN - 94 - Alw 38800NC - 7 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Arlington
14. NAJRAN BREEZE - 94 - OC c-25k/N2X - 6 Furlongs - Canterbury
14. POLKA JOKE - 94 - OC 25k/N1Y -N - 1 Mile - Lone Star
17. ASSATEAGUE - 93 - Dr. James Penny Memorial Handicap (G3) - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Parx
17. NICONELLIE - 93 - Md Sp Wt 48k - 4 1/2 Furlongs - Maiden Special Weight
17. NO DISTINCTION - 93 - OC 50k/C -N - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - Indiana
17. STRING KING - 93 - Alw 25640C - 1 Mile (Turf) - Louisiana
17. VOODOO TALES - 93 - Alw 77000N1X - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Belmont
22. A. P.'S GLORY - 92 - Md Sp Wt 38k - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Arlington
22. ASSOCIATE - 92 - Clm 40000 - 1 Mile - Belmont
22. CARIBBEAN STORM - 92 - Alw 28500N1X - 1 Mile - Canterbury
22. FINNEGANS WAKE - 92 - Arlington Handicap (G3) - 1 1/4 Miles (Turf) - Arlington
22. IDE BE COOL - 92 - Alw 28500C - 6 Furlongs - Louisiana
22. JADE MASTER - 92 - OC15k/SAL7k - 6 Furlongs - Finger Lakes
22. RICHIES SWEETHEART - 92 - OC50k/SAL30k - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - Arlington
22. WEEKEND HIDEAWAY - 92 - Alw 73500NC - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Belmont

*The lifetime past performances for ATREIDES are available at the bottom of this blog post

*NAJRAN BREEZE was claimed for $25,000 by trainer Mike Chambers from Robertino Diodoro.

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Dan,
I purchased a 3 month Formulator subscription which includes DRF Plus. I have sent two emails to cservice as I am unable to access any DRF Plus articles; was DRF hacked? Any assistance would be appreciated.
SpartanTom

The best bet is to contact Lonnie Goldfeder at cservice2@drf.com. He's the best and should be able to help you out without incident.


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*The links to the five most recent blogs (and blog comments) are listed below:

http://www.drf.com/blogs/beat-chalk-0

http://www.drf.com/blogs/onward-pacific-classic

http://www.drf.com/blogs/two-saturday

http://www.drf.com/blogs/royal-ascot-review

http://www.drf.com/blogs/weekend-stakes-opinions-8

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You can follow me on Twitter @DRF_DanIllman

***

Congrats to RKcasselberry for finishing first in last week's HandiGambling race.

Rick M's scoresheet is available at the bottom of this blog post.

On tab 2 you will see each HG Race we've held and they are color coded to denote if the race was run on Turf, Dirt or Poly.

Let's go with Friday's 10th race at Saratoga for this week's exercise.

PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.

SR Vegas and Rick M. have graciously decided to streamline all of the HG rules in order to make them an easier read for everyone...

With so many new people attending Dan's Formblog we thought it would be a good time to update the Handigambling Guidelines and Rules as we go forward in 2014.

Let's remember WHY we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses and why we're betting them the way we are. We are not asking for a novel but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

HANDIGAMBLING:

-  Please start your post with  HG or HANDIGAMBLING to better recognize and find your entry.

-  You have a mythical $100 to wager in whatever format you choose and that is available for that HG race.
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.

- Post your WAGER and ANALYSIS to the blog WITH YOUR NAME/OR MONIKER AT THE END OF THE POST.  Remember that posts may start as 'anonymous' or an 'alternate name'. You MUST sign yourself at the end (even if it is the same) This enables the scorekeeper to recognize you .

- (1) ONE ENTRY per person for the Handigambling contest. If you have multiple email addresses, use just ONE for contest purposes.  Multiple entries will be cause for disqualification.

- Separate your analysis from the wager and use the horses # in your wager. Just like you would do in a real wager. No horse names.

-In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. Dan reserves the right to approve or deny any entries.

- The winner will receive a "60-Card Quarterly Formulator Past Performance Plan"

As an example :

HG 2014
The speed in this race goes to  horses # 1, 4 ,6 ..Ennie , Meenie, and Mo
Since it's a sprint I don't see any closers catching them.. like # 9 Miney.
I think trainer Groucho with the #6 Mo has the best stats in this condition, route to sprint.. just a gut feeling at large odds ML 20-1

HG wager
50$ Ex box 1-6
total $100

Thanks Dan!

Harpo
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A MORE DETAILED ANALYSIS IS ALWAYS APPRECIATED !
 
REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.

ALSO, IF THE WINNER WOULD LIKE TO SELECT THE FOLLOWING WEEK'S RACE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM NO LATER THAN THE FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY MORNING (A FRIDAY RACE IS MOST IDEAL)

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ATREIDES.pdf633.16 KB
Copy of Formblog Parx Dash 7-12-14.xls74.5 KB
HGSPA.pdf167.9 KB