09/17/2014 6:38PM

Catching up

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Thanks to everyone that entered the FormBlog Breeders' Cup Fantasy Handicapping League.

We have 483 contestants. KYL syndicate is in the lead with 1378 fantasy earnings.

I am currently in 34th place and have some work to do.

If you haven't joined yet, there's still plenty of time to do so.
 

Head on over to https://www.fantasycapping.com/illman


The league password in DRF123.


You can find league rules here:


https://www.fantasycapping.com/faq/


This week's race is Saturday's Pennsylvania Derby from Parx.


***

Here are two horses to look out for over the next few weeks:


ATREIDES:

The 3-year-old half-brother to Grade 1 winner Dreaming of Julia is undefeated from three starts with Beyer Speed Figures of 105, 102 and 105 at Gulfstream Park. A $335,000 RNA as a yearling, Atreides is a Stonestreet Stable homebred by Medaglia d'Oro out of multiple Grade 1 sprint winner Dream Rush.

In his most recent effort, the $75,000 Monarchos Stakes contested over a one-turn mile on August 30, Atreides was bumped a couple of times in the opening furlong before settling into a nice rhythm stalking the pace. He cruised up to the leader while racing in the two-path, took over the lead under a very confident Edgard Zayas and drew away to win by 17 1/4 lengths while under wraps late.

His trainer, Marty Wolfson, indicated that the Indiana Derby on October 4 will be the next destination for Atreides. It remains to be seen what Atreides has beaten in Florida, but he has sure looked good.


BRADESTER:

The 4-year-old son of Lion Heart has really picked it up this form cycle for trainer Eddie Kenneally. The multiple Grade 3 winner returned from a two-month freshening to finish second behind Itsmyluckyday in the Grade 3 Salvator Mile before placing second to Valid in the Grade 2 Monmouth Cup.

He returned to his winning ways with a professional score in the Grade 3 Ack Ack Handicap at Churchill Downs on September 6 and has now earned three consecutive triple-digit Beyer Speed Figures (100, 108, 104).

In the Ack Ack, Bradester broke well and set the pace while racing well off the rail. He took heat from RIGHT TO VOTE through solid middle fractions, made the front on the far turn, and dug in gamely to fend off CARVE's late surge.

Expect Bradester to ship to New York for a tilt in the Grade 2 Kelso Handicap at Belmont on September 27.

***

Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures from 8/6/14 - 9/1/14

1. RIVER ROCKS - 110 - OC 80k/N3X -N - 6 1/2 Furlongs - 31Aug14-3SAR
2. ITSMYLUCKYDAY - 108 - Woodward Stakes (G1) - 1 1/8 Miles - 30Aug14-11SAR
2. STONETASTIC - 108 - Prioress Stakes (G2) - 6 Furlongs - 30Aug14-8SAR
4. ATREIDES - 105 - Monarchos Stakes - 1 Mile - 30Aug14-9GP
5. WISE DAN - 104 - Bernard Baruch Handicap (G2) - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 30Aug14-5SAR
6. PALACE - 101 - Forego Stakes (G1) - 7 Furlongs - 30Aug14-10SAR
7. C J'S AWESOME - 100 - Alw 85000N1X - 1 1/8 Miles - 1Sep14-8SAR
7. MAKE YOUR MOVE - 100 - Clm 25000(25-20)N4L - 6 1/2 Furlongs - 31Aug14-3PRX
7. RING WEEKEND - 100 - Saranac Stakes (G3) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - 1Sep14-9SAR
10. BROADWAY EMPIRE - 99 - Alw 35000N1T - 1 Mile - 1Sep14-2CBY
10. BROKEN SWORD - 99 - Tranquility Lake Stakes - 1 Mile (Polytrack) - 31Aug14-7DMR
12. SNAKE PIT - 98 - OC 50k/N3X -N - 1 Mile 70 Yards - 30Aug14-11MTH
12. TUJOES - 98 - OC 25k/N2X - 6 Furlongs - 31Aug14-7PRX
14. MISS SERENDIPITY (ARG) - 97 - Yellow Ribbon Handicap (G2) - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 1Sep14-9DMR
14. SHARP SENSATION - 97 - Turf Monster Handicap (G3) - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - 1Sep14-11PRX
16. BLUE TONE - 96 - Harry F. Brubaker Stakes - 1 Mile (Polytrack) - 30Aug14-3DMR
17. CARY STREET - 95 - Greenwood Cup (G3) - 1 1/2 Miles - 1Sep14-9PRX
17. GENTLEMAN'S KITTEN - 95 - Cliff Guilliams Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 1Sep14-8ELP
17. IRISH MISSION - 95 - Glens Falls Stakes (G3) - 1 3/8 Miles (Turf) - 31Aug14-6SAR
17. MIDNIGHT STORM - 95 - Del Mar Derby (G2) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - 31Aug14-9DMR
21. BIG CAZANOVA - 94 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 1 1/8 Miles (Polytrack) - 28Aug14-2DMR
21. PROTONICO - 94 - Smarty Jones Stakes (G3) - 1 Mile 70 Yards - 1Sep14-10PRX
21. RED OUTLAW - 94 - El Cajon Stakes - 1 Mile (Polytrack) - 29Aug14-6DMR
21. TAPPININTOVICTORY - 94 - OC 25k/N2X -N - 1 1/16 Miles - 31Aug14-8TIM
25. ASHLEYLUVSSUGAR - 93 - OC 20k/N1X -N - 1 Mile (Polytrack) - 29Aug14-5DMR
25. EL KABEIR - 93 - Md Sp Wt 83k - 7 Furlongs - 30Aug14-4SAR
25. STREAMSIDE - 93 - Alw 35840NC - 6 Furlongs (Tapeta) - 31Aug14-4GG
25. SUPER SOLDIER - 93 - OC 40k/N2X -N - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 1Sep14-6AP

*The lifetime past performances for RIVER ROCKS are available at the bottom of this blog post.

***

Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures from 9/2/14 - 9/8/14

1. RENEESGOTZIP - 106 - C.E.R.F. Stakes - 6 Furlongs (Polytrack) - 3Sep14-4DMR
2. BRADESTER - 104 - Ack Ack Handicap (G3) - 1 Mile - 6Sep14-4CD
3. JOY BOY - 102 - OC 50k/C - 1 Mile 70 Yards - 3Sep14-8IND
4. AMERICAN PHAROAH - 101 - Del Mar Futurity (G1) - 7 Furlongs (Polytrack) - 3Sep14-8DMR
5. VICAR'S IN TROUBLE - 99 - Super Derby (G2) - 1 1/8 Miles - 6Sep14-11LAD
6. GOLDEN TICKET - 98 - Left Bank Stakes - 1 Mile - 5Sep14-8BEL
6. LEGENDARY (GB) - 98 - Japan Racing Association Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 6Sep14-9LRL
6. RAINBOW HEIR - 98 - New Jersey Breeders' Handicap - 6 Furlongs - 6Sep14-9MTH
9. ZA APPROVAL - 97 - Real Courage Stakes - 7 Furlongs (Turf) - 7Sep14-4BEL
10. BENWILL - 96 - Unbridled Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 6Sep14-10LAD
10. TOASTING - 96 - Sky Beauty Stakes - 1 Mile - 7Sep14-3BEL
10. TRAFFIC LIGHT - 96 - Roanoke Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - 6Sep14-10PRX
13. JOES BLAZING AARON - 95 - OC 62k/N2X - 1 1/4 Miles (Turf) - 6Sep14-8BEL
13. MISS MISCHIEF - 95 - Alw 36440NC - 1 Mile 70 Yards (Tapeta) - 4Sep14-2PID
15. BERN IDENTITY - 94 - Dave's Friend Stakes - 6 Furlongs - 6Sep14-8LRL
15. FAST N FINE LOOKIN - 94 - Alw 30000N1X - 5 Furlongs - 6Sep14-2RP
15. RED RIFLE - 94 - Yankee Affair Stakes - 1 1/2 Miles (Turf) - 6Sep14-9BEL
15. SHEER DRAMA - 94 - Thirty Eight Go Go Stakes - 1 Mile - 6Sep14-6LRL
15. SOI PHET - 94 - Los Alamitos Mile Stakes - 1 Mile - 6Sep14-8LRC
20. CLARK KENT - 93 - Md Sp Wt 75k - 6 Furlongs - 7Sep14-5BEL
20. MIKE MAN'S GOLD - 93 - Muckleshoot Tribal Classic Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - 7Sep14-9EMD
22. ANKENY HILL - 92 - Pirate's Bount Stakes - 6 Furlongs (Polytrack) - 3Sep14-2DMR
22. GLICKMAN - 92 - Clm 20000N3L - 6 1/2 Furlongs - 5Sep14-5BEL
22. LAILA'S JAZZ - 92 - OC 40k/N2X -N - 6 1/2 Furlongs - 6Sep14-3BEL
22. RUSTLER HUSTLER - 92 - Banjo Picker Sprint Stakes - 6 Furlongs - 6Sep14-9PRX

*The lifetime past performances for RENEESGOTZIP are available at the bottom of this blog post.

***

Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures from 9/9/14 - 9/15/14

1. TARIS - 102 - Alw 31680N3L - 6 Furlongs (Tapeta) - 10Sep14-4PID
2. CASTLETOWN - 101 - H.P.B.A. Sprint Stakes - 6 Furlongs - 12Sep14-6CBY
2. FREE WORLD - 101 - OC 80k/N3X - 1 Mile (Turf) - 13Sep14-10CD
2. STORMIN MONARCHO - 101 - DTHA Governor's Day Stakes - 1 Mile 70 Yards - 13Sep14-5DEL
2. TRADE STORM (GB) - 101 - Woodbine Mile Stakes (G1-C) - 1 Mile (Turf) - 14Sep14-11WO
6. LUBASH - 100 - Ashley T. Cole Stakes - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - 14Sep14-4BEL
6. SHEIKHZAYEDROAD (GB) - 100 - Northern Dancer Stakes (G1-C) - 1 1/2 Miles (Turf) - 14Sep14-6WO
8. SUNTRACER - 99 - Kentucky Turf Cup (G3) - 1 1/2 Miles (Turf) - 13Sep14-9KD
9. CALGARY CAT - 98 - Bold Venture Stakes (G3-C) - 6 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack) - 13Sep14-4WO
9. VALID - 98 - Alw 43600NC - 1 Mile - 11Sep14-4GP
11. DECEPTIVE VISION - 97 - Canadian Stakes (G2-C) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - 14Sep14-9WO
12. ANNECDOTE (GB) - 96 - Noble Damsel Stakes (G3) - 1 Mile (Turf) - 13Sep14-7BEL
13. TWO NOTCH ROAD - 95 - Punch Line Stakes - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - 13Sep14-9LRL
14. DREAMING OF NENO - 94 - OC35k/SAL25k - 6 Furlongs - 12Sep14-3GP
14. I'M ALREADY SEXY - 94 - Kentucky Downs Ladies Turf Stakes - 1 Mile (Turf) - 13Sep14-10KD
14. REGALLY READY - 94 - More Than Ready Stakes - 1 Mile (Turf) - 13Sep14-7KD
17. MARGANO - 93 - PTHA President's Cup Stakes - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - 13Sep14-9PRX
17. UNZAPPED - 93 - New Castle Stakes - 6 Furlongs - 13Sep14-11DEL
19. BALL DANCING - 92 - Sands Point Stakes (G2) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - 13Sep14-8BEL
19. BALOOGA BULL - 92 - Gold Cup Stakes - 1 1/8 Miles - 13Sep14-5ASD
21. I FORGOT IT'S NAME - 91 - Clm 16000N2L - 5 Furlongs (Polytrack) - 12Sep14-2AP
21. LOCHTE - 91 - The Vid Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 13Sep14-9GP
21. NATES MINESHAFT - 91 - OC 50k/N2Y -N - 6 1/2 Furlongs - 13Sep14-3RP
24. DOUBLE OURS - 90 - Clm c-25000 - 6 Furlongs - 13Sep14-6CD
24. LUKES ALLEY - 90 - OC 80k/C -N - 1 1/4 Miles (Polytrack) - 12Sep14-8WO
24. MAGNA BREEZE - 90 - Alw ---s - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 10Sep14-3IND
24. POWER PED - 90 - Alw 105000N2X - 1 Mile 70 Yards (Turf) - 13Sep14-3KD
24. SAINT OF SAINTS - 90 - Clm 30000(30-25)B - 7 Furlongs - 14Sep14-3CD
24. TIZ WINDY - 90 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 1 1/16 Miles - 13Sep14-3CD
24. W. B. SMUDGE - 94 - Clm 25000(25-20) - 6 Furlongs - 13Sep14-7IND

*The lifetime past performances of TARIS are available at the bottom of this blog post.

*DOUBLE OURS was claimed for $25,000 by trainer Brad Cox from Randy Morse.

***

Dan
I believe I was mistaken in my previous post about the Timeform Ratings. DRF used to use Timeform? and then they moved to the Racing Post Ratings?
Anyhow, my basic question is the same. Where are they?
Thanks
RonZ

We switched from Timeform Ratings to Racing Post Ratings several years ago. I believe our initial agreement with The Racing Post expired, but I did hear that we recently renewed our partnership. I'm trying to get answers concerning the arrangement and will let you know as soon as I find out more.

***


*The links to the five most recent blogs (and blog comments) are listed below:

http://www.drf.com/blogs/shared-belief-romps

http://www.drf.com/blogs/delivers-again

http://www.drf.com/blogs/one-watch

http://www.drf.com/blogs/palace-rules-vanderbilt

http://www.drf.com/blogs/big-run-bing-crosby

***

You can follow me on Twitter @DRF_DanIllman.


The video previews for most of this weekend's graded stakes action will be available later in the week at the following link:


http://www.drf.com/videos#stakes-previews

***

Congrats to Paul G. for finishing first in last week's HandiGambling race.

Rick M's scoresheet is available at the bottom of this blog post.

On tab 2 you will see each HG Race we've held and they are color coded to denote if the race was run on Turf, Dirt or Poly.

Let's go with the Pennsylvania Derby for this week's race.

PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.


SR Vegas and Rick M. have graciously decided to streamline all of the HG rules in order to make them an easier read for everyone...

With so many new people attending Dan's Formblog we thought it would be a good time to update the Handigambling Guidelines and Rules as we go forward in 2014.

Let's remember WHY we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses and why we're betting them the way we are. We are not asking for a novel but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

HANDIGAMBLING:

-  Please start your post with  HG or HANDIGAMBLING to better recognize and find your entry.

-  You have a mythical $100 to wager in whatever format you choose and that is available for that HG race.
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.

- Post your WAGER and ANALYSIS to the blog WITH YOUR NAME/OR MONIKER AT THE END OF THE POST.  Remember that posts may start as 'anonymous' or an 'alternate name'. You MUST sign yourself at the end (even if it is the same) This enables the scorekeeper to recognize you .

- (1) ONE ENTRY per person for the Handigambling contest. If you have multiple email addresses, use just ONE for contest purposes.  Multiple entries will be cause for disqualification.

- Separate your analysis from the wager and use the horses # in your wager. Just like you would do in a real wager. No horse names.

-In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. Dan reserves the right to approve or deny any entries.

- The winner will receive a "60-Card Quarterly Formulator Past Performance Plan"

As an example :

HG 2014
The speed in this race goes to  horses # 1, 4 ,6 ..Ennie , Meenie, and Mo
Since it's a sprint I don't see any closers catching them.. like # 9 Miney.
I think trainer Groucho with the #6 Mo has the best stats in this condition, route to sprint.. just a gut feeling at large odds ML 20-1

HG wager
50$ Ex box 1-6
total $100

Thanks Dan!

Harpo
---------------------------------

A MORE DETAILED ANALYSIS IS ALWAYS APPRECIATED !
 
REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.

ALSO, IF THE WINNER WOULD LIKE TO SELECT THE FOLLOWING WEEK'S RACE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM NO LATER THAN THE FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY MORNING (A FRIDAY RACE IS MOST IDEAL)

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RIVERROCKS.pdf655.16 KB
RENEESGOTZIP.pdf683.49 KB
TARIS.pdf613.18 KB
Copy of Formblog Woodward 8-30-14.xls76.5 KB
HGPENNDERBY.pdf167.84 KB