Brad Free

Quick Access
Format: 2017-10-23
Tue Jul 19
2011
Brad Free
Categories: Handicapping, Del Mar
Looking for a summer betting angle? Del Mar is the right place in 2011. The track will award $1,000 and a 20 percent bonus on earnings (excluding stakes) to any runner whose previous start was outside California. The horse cannot have raced in California for the same owner in the last six months. The bonus applies only to the shipper’s first start at Del Mar, not subsequent starts.
Wed Apr 27
2011
Brad Free
Categories: Kentucky Derby
It has been nine years since the Kentucky Derby was won by the pacesetter. The difference between the likely 2011 pacesetter and 2002 front-running winner War Emblem is huge. War Emblem was fast. The 112 Beyer he earned in his final Derby prep was seven points higher than the last-start figure of any in the field. Comma to the Top, likely pacesetter this year, does not possess a combined pace-speed advantage. Comma to the Top earned a 97 Beyer last out, same as Midnight Interlude and a point below the 98’s earned by Archarcharch and Nehro.
Tue Apr 26
2011
Brad Free
Categories: Handicapping, Kentucky Derby
Pool 3 of the 2011 Kentucky Derby Future Wager closed April 3, less than five weeks before the Derby. Even that late, some still considered the Derby crop weak, and instead backed “all others” (No. 24) in KDFW pool 3. “All others” is anonymous. It is a bet on chaos. It turns out KDFW pool 3 bettors who took 8.80-1 on No. 24 are getting all the best of it. The all-others “entry” includes winners of the Arkansas Derby, Santa Anita Derby, Wood Memorial and Blue Grass.
Mon Apr 25
2011
Brad Free
Categories: Handicapping, Kentucky Derby
California can feel a sense of pride when a 3-year-old ships out and wins on the road. It happened when The Factor won the Rebel at Oaklawn Park. It happened when Twice the Appeal finished second in the Turf Paradise Derby, and won the Sunland Derby. The Factor won. Twice the Appeal won. That is all. It is a short list of winning shippers.
Thu Apr 21
2011
Brad Free
Categories: Handicapping
The low-takeout (14 percent) pick five that made its debut Thursday at Hollywood Park attracted a modest $103,291 pool. Three winning favorites made it simple for 236 winning tickets. The 50-cent bet returned $263.55; there were 3,870 consolation payoffs (four winners) that returned $6.85. Is it a good bet? You be the judge. California recently hiked takeout to 23.86 percent for exotic wagers with three or more horses. Under the standard takeout, the winning pick five Thursday would have paid only $233, compared to $263.