11/16/2009 4:31PM

Bobby Frankel

Email

The racing world mourns the loss of Hall of Fame trainer Bobby Frankel.  If ever a horseman "did it all," it was Frankel, who began his career as a hot walker in New York in the mid-1960's.  Frankel, an astute horseplayer, took out his training license in 1966 and earned his first victory on November 29 with Double Dash at Aqueduct.  He showed consistent improvement in his New York years, winning five races in 1966, nine in 1967, 36 in 1968, 68 in 1969, 73 in 1970, and 84 in 1971 while gaining a reputation as "King of the Claimers." 
Frankel moved his operation to California in 1972, and he won the first of his 10 Hollywood Park Spring/Summer training titles that year after saddling a record 60 winners at the meet.  Overall, Frankel earned 30 training titles including the 1970 Saratoga meet, five championships at Del Mar, and six at Oak Tree at Santa Anita.  A five-time Eclipse Award winner, Frankel was inducted into Racing's Hall of Fame in 1995. 
A native of Brooklyn, New York, Frankel trained 10 national champions (Aldebaran, Bertrando, Ghostzapper, Ginger Punch, Intercontinental, Leroidesanimaux, Possibly Perfect, Ryafan, Squirtle Squirt, and Wandesta), won six Breeders' Cup races including the Classic (Ginger Punch, Squirtle Squirt, Ventura, Starine, Intercontinental, and Ghostzapper), guided Empire Maker to the third jewel of racing's Triple Crown, the Belmont Stakes, and won 28 million-dollar races. 
While battling lymphoma, horses racing in Frankel's name won the Grade 1 Woodbine Mile on September 20, and the Grade 1 Canadian International on October 17 while under the care of longtime assistant Humberto Ascanio.  Former Frankel assistants that went on to great success on their own include Tony Dutrow and Chad Brown.
Frankel represented a bridge between the hard-boot horsemen of yesteryear and the cell-phone pitchmen of today.  He will be greatly missed.

***

Dan, not to pick nits, but doesn't Azeri count? She did win HOY in 2002. I'm just sayin'....
Chris Garrity

Azeri's past performances were listed along with those of Rachel Alexandra and Zenyatta on the "All Along" post.

***

Can anyone give me any information on a jockey named Omar Moreno?  He's riding at WO now, and although his win percent isn't huge, his payoffs are fantastic.  I bet him to show this afternoon and got $31.  WO does pay very well at this time of the year, BTW, for those that are interested.   Especially on Wed. nights.   But I'd be interested to hear where this fellow comes from.
knm

Moreno, 24,  was raised in Edmonton, and has ridden for most of his career at Northlands Park before moving his tack to Woodbine.  He learned his trade from the Olds College Exercise Rider and Jockey Trainer Program in Alberta.  Moreno owns a lifetime record of 449 starts, 46 wins, 66 seconds, and 66 thirds with career earnings of $548,199, and a ROI of $1.13.  His first win came on August 10, 2008 at Grande Prairie, and he has also ridden at Lethbridge and Fort Erie.  At the current Woodbine meet, Moreno has 59 starts with 6 wins, 6 seconds, and 4 thirds with a win ROI of $1.99.

***

Dan,
Was wondering if you could elaborate just a little on how Bet Fair works. Kind of like, Bet Fair for Dummies.
Am I to understand that if you
wagered a horse at 7-1, and he won at 3-1, you would lose the entire wager? In general how does one win and how does one lose? What is the advantage of wagering while the race is in progress? Would it be for dutching purposes?
chicago gerry

I'd go to the horse's mouth on this one:

http://help.betfair.com/contents/itemId/i65767197/index.en.html

In the Betfair world, a horseplayer can either make or take a bet.  Let's say my only opinion on the Mrs. Revere Stakes was that I hated Hot Cha Cha.  She's going off at 2-1 on the toteboard, but instead of betting on another horse, I'm willing to give someone 4-1, and hope that I'm right and they're wrong.  I'm assuming that somebody would have taken the bait, and I would have done well as the "bookie."   Punters looking for overlays may have found someone offering Zenyatta at 4-1 in the Classic, and bet with them instead of the tote.

***

Dan
How come the blog site sometimes doesn't update quickly?..I am seeing last entry at 4:50 and it is after 7:20?...it just makes it hard for us, on the site, to exchange thoughts quickly.
Also what are your thoughts of Summer Bird going to the Japan Cup?...If you owned him wouldn't you try the NYRA (Cigar)mile instead?
Also if you get the chance can you list these pp's for these NYRA warriors?
Laddy's Luck, Steelwood, Funny Cap, Boom Towner
thanks!
Mickey


The Blog is a 24/7/365 undertaking, and I don't have anyone else moderating comments at this time.  On occasion, I won't have internet access, and that explains the lag time. 
I don't think Summer Bird wants a one-turn mile.  While nine furlongs in Japan may be a bit short for him as well, it's worth a shot for $2.8 million dollars.  Since the Dubai World Cup will be run on synthetics in 2010, this will be the last chance for him to run in a multi-million dollar dirt race until next year's Breeders' Cup Classic. 
Here are the pp's for the horses you requested:

Download NY oldies

***

Here are the winning Beyer Speed Figures from last week's takes races:



Here are the lifetime past performances for the past week's highest and lowest Beyer stakes earners:

Download HighLow

***

Regarding last week's exercise, there was some question regarding the superfecta rules in California.  Here's a link to the CHRB rule regarding the wager:

http://chrb.ca.gov/query_rules_and_regulations_database.asp?form_query_action=display_rule&form_query_rule_number=1979.1&form_query_rule_title=Superfecta%2E&form_query_article=Superfecta%2E&form_query_article_index=20&form_query_argument=1979.1

In this case, I believe that the sixth horse was scratched from the HandiGambling race after preliminary superfecta wagers were taken.

Congrats to SpartanTom for last week's HandiGambling victory. He selects the eighth race at Aqueduct on Wednesday for this week's exercise.  Here are the past performances:

Download HG160


Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."   Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.  In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. 

I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place.  The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are.  I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

***

Talk to you soon,

Dan

billg More than 1 year ago
Updated HG 160 $35 ex 10/1,4 $5 tri 10/1,4/1,3,4,6
bobc More than 1 year ago
HG 160 #1 Dynaslew Think he moves up on less than firm turf. Saves ground and just gets up at the wire. #8 West Ocean Appears to fit with these. Should take them a merry chase only to be nipped at the wire. #3 Akilina In top form, likely favorite. Figures in the money. Wager: $50 ex 1/ 8 $50 $20 tri key 1/ 3,8/ 3,8 $40 $5 Super 1/3,8/ 3,8/ 10 $10 bobc
Randy More than 1 year ago
Wilson, What about Awesome Again? Undefeated in 7 races and won the Classic. Didn't win horse of the year.
Whackymacky More than 1 year ago
HG 160 Update on the scratches: No 2,9,MTO 11,12,13. OUT You all have time to change your picks. LOL.. Whackymacky Out!!!!!
Annie More than 1 year ago
Bill G, Note the scratch of the 9! Glad you will be playing again this year! Sorry about Bernie. That is always the danger. LOL Be sure to ask for a horse again after the CashCall Futurity on Dec. 19th. Annie
Walt P. More than 1 year ago
Captain Bodgit: I believe Gulfstream moved the Florida Derby up a week (and actually back to its old spot on the schedule from the early-mid '90s when Hialeah raced a spring meet) because of Fair Grounds moving several of its stakes to what had been the Florida Derby's spot. Gulfstream clearly did not want the Florida Derby to be on the same weekend as the Louisiana Derby at Fair Grounds (and speaking of the La. Derby, if it had been up to me at Fair Grounds, I would have also lengthened the La. Derby to 1 3/16 Miles to give trainers the chance to see how their horses handle additional distance before the Derby). As for horses not being trained to race as often, Brad Thomas on the Meadowlands signal the other day suggested perhaps incentives of some form or another could be needed to get trainers to race their horses more often. Maybe it's time to change the entry proceedure for the Derby to where the top preps are run up to two weeks before the Derby like they used to, with preps two, four, six and eight weeks out. Instead of earnings, a point system could be used, with horses who raced (and raced well) in all four rounds of preps being given preference for entry, followed by those who raced in the closest three rounds of preps, the closest two rounds (and again, racing well in both instances), etc., with that then extending to the other Triple Crown races, with preferences for entry going to horses who raced in the Derby and earlier preps for Preakness entrants, and for the Belmont, those who raced in both the Derby and Preakness. That could force trainers who want to race in the Triple Crown events to race far more often than they do now. As for Handigambling 160: The weather is excellent for this time of year (sunny and in the 50s), and with no rain for three days, no worries of it being switched as the main track is fast and the turf is good. First, here's what the method I use (Price and Probability) came up with for this race (picks reflect the late scratches of #2 and #9): 8th AQU- 11/18/'09 -- 10/1-(3)/5-6 RF VL ML 1- 102 7/2 5 2(SCR)- 99 5 6 3- 100 9/2 3 4- 93 12 10 5- 90 15 15 6- 86 20 20 7- 88 20 12 8- 94 10 6 9(SCR)- 91 15 15 10- 107 2 7/2 ---------------------------------------------- 11(SCR)-MTO MTO 3 12(SCR)-MTO MTO 5/2 13(SCR)-MTO MTO 7/2 The clear-cut pick here is DENOMINATION (#10), who was boxed in and had no room in the stretch last in the Pebbles last out when first lasix. Her US debut was a respectable sixth against older females in the Grade 1 Beverly D, and at 2-1 on the Value Line and 7-2 on the morning line looks very tough with a clean trip. DYNASLEW (#1) turned in a decent fifth in the Pebbles and is 7-2 on the Value Line and 5-1 on the Morning Line while AKILINA (#3) is the other probability horse here, and gets moved up on those grounds. She took a statebred stake two back and a NW2x Allowance in spite of being blocked last time. The latter looks to be the logical favorite in this. OUR GOLDEN DREAM (#5) is a 15/15 and SHADOW LANE (#6) is a "mad dog" 20/20. They could wreak havoc in the superfectas. The wager is as follows: $50 Trifecta 10/1-3/1-3 ($100)
Annie More than 1 year ago
HG 160: I hate it when trainers have an uncoupled entry. In this case we have Christophe Clement, an awesome turf trainer with two that are also the two favorites. What to do? Hopefully I will not be burned again by a Euro ex-patriot, but I have to go with Denomination. She has to be the class in here. She was well bet in the Pebbles and was boxed up on the rail. Maybe the outside post will work better for her. Second start off a layoff, second lasix. Yeah, she's the one. Akilina - Clement's other horse is good too, although mostly against NY breds (not that there is anything wrong with those :). Highest last race Beyer. Very good earner. Must be included. Dynaslew - Another good turf filly running making second start off layoff. She goes on. Our Golden Dream - Finished second to Akilina two races back. She is my LS to throw into my super. West Ocean - Lightly raced, improving filly. May be best speed stretching out from sprints. OK, $4 Super 10/1,3,5,8/1,3,5,8/1,3,5,8 = $96 $4 Win #10 Good luck everyone! Annie
chicago gerry More than 1 year ago
HG 160 *Revised $2 Super 10/1,2,3/1,2,3,5,8/1,2,3,4,5,8
jesse dunn More than 1 year ago
HG 160 Good luck to everyone in this weeks contest.I really like the 1 dynaslew,he looks like he should get a great trip on the inside sitting very close to a moderate pace.Assuming he does not go off as the favorite i think he offers great value and has a huge chance.Looking to find an alternative to just the logical 3/10 in the exotics,i like the look of the 6 shadow lane.He won his second career start at cnl with an 80 beyer against a field of 12,that shows a lot of potential to me.figures are low but i see excuses and good efforts and lots of upside 3rd off the layoff in just 7th career start.so here is the play: 1$tri 1-6/1-6/all 1$tri 1-6/3-4-8-10/1-6 1$tri 6/1-3-4-10/1-3-4-10 5$tri 1/6-10/3-4-6-10 2$tri 1/3-4-6-10/6-10 1$super 1/6/3-4-10/3-4-8-10 1$super 1/3-4-10/6/3-4-8-10 1$super 1/3-4-10/3-4-10/6
TheVanGogh More than 1 year ago
Van Savant, Excellent clarification of true "value". While I agree with your point that any profitable wager provides value, there is a distinction between value before and after a race. The two are not congruent. As you previously described, value before a race comes in the form of overlays and underlays. Which is entirely subjective. Value after a race is definitive and concrete, and entirely objective. Either you profited from your opinion (value) of a horse or you were on the losing end. The dilemna arises as a result of the ubiquitous use of value. Prior to a race, value is defined solely by your opinion of a horse. After the race, it takes on an entirely different meaning, one that is not open to interpretation. I apologize if I misunderstood your post or blatantly reiterated your points. This was merely my two cents (which I consider to be valuable) on "value".