07/27/2011 5:22PM

Blind Luck vs. boys?

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The handicap division in California has been knocked to its knees.

First Dude is retired.

Twirling Candy might return to grass. Or, he might ship to Saratoga. “We’ve got three or four races we’re looking at, and we’re not committed to anything,” trainer John Sadler said Wednesday at Del Mar.

Setsuko is eligible for non-winners other than, although that may change Friday when he starts favored in the Cougar II Handicap.

That leaves Game on Dude at the top of the Pacific Classic list, the same Game on Dude that lost back-to-back Grade 3’s at Charles Town and Lone Star before recently finishing second in the Hollywood Gold Cup.

The Pacific Classic could use a new shooter.

Blind Luck earned a 106 Beyer last out, defeating Havre de Grace by a nose. Game on Dude earned a 106 Beyer last out, losing the Gold Cup by a nose. Advantage, neither.

Blind Luck is 2-for-2 at a mile and a quarter. Game on Dude has a win and a nose loss at a mile and quarter. Advantage, neither.

Blind Luck has a win and a second over Polytrack at Del Mar. Game no Dude has never raced on Polytrack; his only synthetic race was on the “dirt-like” Cushion Track at Hollywood Park. Advantage, Blind Luck.

Blind Luck would carry 119 pounds in the Pacific Classic; Game on Dude would carry 124. Advantage,  Blind Luck.

Blind Luck could ship cross-country again, and possibly face Havre de Grace again in the $300,000 Personal Ensign at Saratoga.

Or, Blind Luck could stay home and run for $1 million over her home track, against a West Coast handicap division that could use some help.

The slow crumble of the West Coast handicap division, and a $1 million purse, gives Blind Luck every incentive to stay home for the Pacific Classic at Del Mar.

lenny More than 1 year ago
With only the Dude to beat, I think it might be a better race at Del Mar especially at the distance. I don't like shipping horses around the country. Let her soak some in the ocean.
saharagold More than 1 year ago
I would dearly love to see Blind Luck stay on the West Coast and face the boys, but I don't think it will happen. I remember the criticism of Zenyatta's connections because they wouldn't race her in horse/colt races (except the Breeder's Cup Classic in 2010); this is why Rachel Alexandra won Horse of the Year in 2010 over the Queen, I believe. If Blind Luck's connections intend to campaign her for an Eclipse award, staying in California and running in the Pacific Classic would be a strategic move. But an Eclipse award may not be their objective. It would definitely be a unique move to run in the Pacific Classic. How many times can Blind Luck and Havre de Grace run against each other? It has a "been-there-done-that-and-have-the-T-shirt" feel. I would rather see her do something different. She is a worthy candidate for Horse of the Year in 2012, there is no doubt about that! She will have a greater chance at that award if she wins against colts. though, given the recent history.
Jr. More than 1 year ago
I agree on most of what you are saying, but Del Mar being Blind Luck's home track? She has raced twice as a 2-year-old over the track. You really think people would rather see her race against "the handicap division in California has been knocked to its knees" instead of an epic rematch at the Spa against Havre de Grace? Really?