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Black Caviar, Frankel, On the Worktab, Top Beyers
By Dan Illman
True champions overcome adversity.
BLACK CAVIAR is a true champion.
Forget that she was odds-on to defeat an inconsistent group of European sprinters in the Group 1 Diamond Jubilee Stakes at Royal Ascot. Instead, let's understand that she traveled halfway across the world to race over testing course conditions in an unfamiliar climate (it's winter in her native Australia). Let's consider that she may have injured herself rather severely during the running of the race and that her jockey almost misjudged the winning post.
She still reached the winner's circle.
Twenty-two times they've tried Black Caviar. Twenty-two times they've failed to beat her. Some critics scoffed at the narrow margin of victory. I think they're being too harsh in their assessment of the race.
The Royal Ascot meet certainly delivered on its promise of star power. Both Frankel and Black Caviar remained pristine with their Group 1 tallies. Now, they go in separate directions. Frankel likely has another mile race on his agenda before stretching out in distance. After the Diamond Jubilee, it was reported that Black Caviar suffered a torn quadriceps muscle. After some well-deserved rest and rehabilitation back home, Black Caviar may attempt to continue her string of perfection.
*In the States, POTESTA stamped herself a sophomore filly to watch after nipping EDEN'S MOON on the wire in the Grade 2 Hollywood Oaks at 1 1/16 miles over the Hollywood cushion track. Potesta, stepping up off a maiden victory, passed Eden's Moon in upper stretch only to watch that filly roar back along the inside to retake the lead inside the sixteenth pole. That move is usually a winning one, but Potesta dug down deep and counterpunched yet again to get the bob.
*Bob Baffert suffered a pair of graded defeats with Eden's Moon in the Hollywood Oaks and CONTESTED in the Mother Goose, but his CAPITAL ACCOUNT earned a 106 Beyer in beating allowance runners at 6 1/2 furlongs. When healthy, the lightly-raced 5-year-old can roll with four triple-digit Beyers from seven lifetime starts.
*Sid Attard get the "Training Job of the Week" award after having SMOKEY FIRE ready to, um, fire in the Grade 2 Highlander Stakes at Woodbine. Making his first start since October 31, 2010 due to various physical issues, Smokey Fire resolutely rallied in the stretch to wear down the speedy ESSENCE HIT MAN.
*HAMMERS TERROR took home the lion's share of the purse in the Charlie Barley Stakes at Woodbine, but runner-up EXCAPER may be one to follow. Excaper was making his first start since showing signs of EPM disease and he finished a solid second in his first race in six months.
*STRAIT OF DOVER has now finished first in all five polytrack races. He broke the track record in winning the Queen's Plate, the first jewel in Canada's Triple Crown series. Not bad considering he missed some time due to a blood disorder.
Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures from last week's races (6/18/12 - 6/24/12):
1. CAPITAL ACCOUNT - 106 - Alw 64660C - 6 1/2 Furlongs (Cushion Track) - Betfair Hollywood
2. QUESTING (GB) - 105 - OC 25k/N1X -N - 1 Mile - Belmont
3. ETERNAL RULE - 103 - Karl Boyes Memorial Stakes - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Tapeta) - Presque Isle
4. GLEAMING - 102 - Sweet and Sassy Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Delaware
5. POTESTA - 100 - Hollywood Oaks (G2) - 1 1/16 Miles (Cushion Track) - Betfair Hollywood
6. DA RULER - 99 - OC 40k/N1X -N - 7 1/2 Furlongs (Cushion Track) - Betfair Hollywood
6. IT'S ME MOM - 99 - Satin and Lace Stakes - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Tapeta) - Presque Isle
6. SMOKEY FIRE - 99 - Highlander Stakes (G2-C) - 6 Furlongs (Turf) - Woodbine
9. GOLD ELEMENT - 98 - OC 50k/N2X - 6 Furlongs - Churchill Downs
9. WHERE'S STERLING - 98 - Mecke Stakes - 1 1/8 Miles - Calder
11. DELAUNAY - 97 - Kelly's Landing Stakes - 7 Furlongs - Churchill
12. MUSKETIER (Ger) - 97 - Singspiel Stakes (G3-C) - 1 1/2 Miles (Turf) - Woodbine
13. A DIEHL - 95 - J. Kenneth Self Shelby County Boys and Girls Club Stakes - 1 Mile (Turf) - Indiana
13. SLOANE RANGER - 95 - Donald LeVine Memorial Stakes - 7 Furlongs - Parx
13. RIDING THE RIVER - 95 - King Edward Stakes (G2-C) - 1 Mile (Turf) - Woodbine
13. STRAIT OF DOVER - 95 - Queen's Plate Stakes - 1 1/4 Miles (Polytrack) - Woodbine
13. WILLY BEAMIN - 95 - Mike Lee Stakes - 7 Furlongs - Belmont
18. MOONSTRUCK MAYA - 94 - OC 40k/N1X -N - 6 1/2 Furlongs (Cushion Track) - Betfair Hollywood
18. ZO IMPRESSIVE - 94 - Mother Goose Stakes (G1) - 1 1/16 Miles - Belmont
20. ONE NOTE SAMBA - 93 - Alw 50000s - 6 Furlongs (Turf) - Belmont
20. POPULIST POLITICS - 93 - Alw 52001NC - 1 Mile 70 Yards - Indiana
20. SAILMATE - 93 - Alw 72000N1X - 7 Furlongs - Belmont
23. DUGAN BILL - 92 - OC c-25k/N1X - 1 1/16 Miles (Cushion Track) - Betfair Hollywood
23. FLAT BOLD - 92 - OC 75k/N3X - 6 Furlongs - Belmont
23. GIBSON - 92 - Alw 7500s - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Tapeta) - Presque Isle
23. HAMMERS TERROR - 92 - Charlie Barley Stakes - 1 Mile (Turf) - Woodbine
23. MAJOR MARVEL - 92 - Hcp 20000s - 1 Mile (Turf) - Belmont
23. SMALL TOWN TALK - 92 - OC 32k/N2X -N - 1 Mile 70 Yards - Monmouth
*CAPITAL ACCOUNT's lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.
*DUGAN BILL was claimed for $25,000 by trainer Paul Aguirre from trainer Mike Mitchell.
STAKES HORSES ON THE WORKTAB (6/18/12 - 6/24/12):
*ATLANTIC HURRICANE (poor blood tests) - 5F - 1:01.60H - Woodbine - June 22
*BEAR IT'S TIME (undisclosed) - 5F - 1:02.40B - Woodbine - June 21
*BOURBON BAY (unspecified setback) - 6F - 1:14.00 (turf, dogs) - Betfair Hollywood - June 24
*CASUAL TRICK (breathing problems) - 4F - 49.78B - Saratoga (training) - June 22
*CELTIC PRINCESS (splint bone foreleg, surgery) - 8F - 1:41.80H - Santa Anita - June 23
*FORMAGGIO (cut right hind heel) - 4F - 50.40B - Churchill - June 24
*GEMOLOGIST (bruised left front foot) - 4F - 49.42B - Belmont (training) - June 24
*HANSEN (low blood count) - 5F - 1:01.20B - Churchill Training - June 23
*HOME SWEET ASPEN (displaced palate) - 5F - 1:00.60H - Betfair Hollywood - June 22
*IN LINGERIE (cut right front leg) - 4F - 48.61B - Belmont (training) - June 24
*JOHN JOHNY JAK (colic surgery) - 7F - 1:26.00H - Betfair Hollywood - June 22
*JUNEBUGRED (bone chip left front ankle, surgery) - 3F - 37.00B - Monmouth - June 24
*MENLO CASTLE (infected ankle) - 4F - 48.80B - Woodbine (training) - June 24
*POOL PLAY (torn tendon) - 5F - 1:00.60B - Woodbine - June 22
*RULE (bruised left hind foot) - 5F - 1:00.84B - Belmont (training) - June 24
*RULER ON ICE (sore) - 4F - 48.40B - Monmouth - June 24
*STEPHANOATSEE (chipped pastern right foreleg, surgery) - 4F - 49.00 - Fair Hill (all weather training) - June 22
*STEPHANIE'S KITTEN (coughing, high white blood-cell count) - 6F - 1:17.00B (turf, dogs) - Churchill - June 19
*WELL KEPT (chip right front ankle, surgery) - 4F - 49.27B - Belmont (training) - June 24
*FIRE ON ICE, who wowed the Saratoga crowd with a 10 3/4-length debut win last summer, has now breezed twice in preparation for his return to the races. Fire On Ice received an 88 Beyer for his coming-out party, but was sidelined with a condylar fracture to his left front ankle. He's a son of Unbridled's Song out of an unraced half-sister to Breeders' Cup Sprint winner Squirtle Squirt.
*After winning his juvenile debut over the old Santa Anita Pro-Ride surface in 2009, Bob Baffert's TAKE CONTROL, a son of 1992 Horse of the Year A.P. Indy and 2002 Horse of the Year Azeri, was expected to be a strong force on the 2010 Triple Crown trail. Sore shins and assorted other problems have kept the chestnut away from the races, but he's been working steadily at Santa Anita for a potential return.
*ANTONIA AUTUMN, a half-sister to seven-time Grade 1 winner Gio Ponti, won her career debut for trainer Christophe Clement going one mile on turf at Belmont on April 29. She reportedly came out of that race unsound behind, but returned to the work tab with a three-furlong breeze on June 24.
*EBLOUISSANTE, a 3-year-old half-sister to 2010 Horse of the Year Zenyatta, continues to work steadily at Betfair Hollywood for her career debut. John Shirreffs trains.
*FALAAH, a winner of two straight over the Aqueduct inner track for Kiaran McLaughlin before undergoing surgery to remove chips in his left front ankle, shows a pair of recent works at Keeneland. Falaah, a 5-year-old, earned a 100 Beyer for his most recent start, a victory in an entry-level optional claimer at six furlongs.
*LUNAR VICTORY, a 5-year-old New York-bred trained by Bill Mott, won three straight routes over the Aqueduct inner track (best Beyer 99) before being sidelined with some bleeding problems. He breezed three furlongs at Saratoga on June 20
Please check out the latest video production from Jessica Pacheco, Racing Analyst at Arlington Park. It's Part 5 of the "Behind the Silks" video series following jockey Tim Thornton through his ups and downs at this year's Arlington meet.
The White Oak"
In episode 5, Tim recaps his races from Prairie State Festival Day. He also takes us through a recent scary moment aboard the Louie Roussel III trained Triple Check, that results in a trip to the stewards office. The "Triple Check Incident" causes Tim to reflect back on a similar, but even more dramatic experience aboard Strategic Sun in 2006.
Hello Dan! I just started reading - Wild Ride: The Rise and Tragic Fall of Calumet Farm Inc., America's Premier Racing Dynasty. BTW - excellent book. Anyway one of Calumets big stars was Criminal Type who won HOY in 1990. Could you post Criminal Types pps. Thanks again.
Criminal Type defeated Easy Goer and Sunday Silence in consecutive races in 1990. His past performances are available at the bottom of the blog post.
Keith's post a blog or two back about Precious Passion's retirement reminded me of an old campaigner in New York named Creme de la Fete. He goes back a ways but I thought some of the younger bloggers who never got to see him run might enjoy seeing his lifetime PP's if you could dig them up. Heck, I'd enjoy seeing them too. He loved the game. Thanks if you can make it happen.
The hard-hitting Creme de la Fete was one of my favorites when I first started paying attention to the game. His past performances are available at the bottom of the blog post.
LSD , since you aren't very busy :-) maybe you can do a Who has Frankel Beat ?? :-)
I heard that he has beaten a total of 15 gr I winners with 29 gr I wins in his 11 races from some guy that said the Breeders Cup would be a step down in class for Frankel . LOL. I can't trust the source and you can probably find out easier than I can ?
Let's take a look at the past or future graded winners that FRANKEL defeated:
Group 1 winners:
EXCELEBRATION (beaten five times by Frankel) - Prix Du Moulin
IMMORTAL VERSE - Prix Du Haras De Fresnay-Le-Buffard - Jacques Le Marois, Coronation Stakes
HELMET - Caulfield Guineas, Champagne Stakes, Inglis Sires Produce Stakes
DICK TURPIN - Premio Vittorio Di Capua, Prix Jean Prat
POET'S VOICE - Queen Elizabeth II Stakes
CANFORD CLIFFS - Queen Anne Stakes, JLT Lockinge Stakes, Sussex Stakes, St. James's Palace Stakes, Irish 2,000 Guineas
RIO DE LA PLATA - Premio Roma Gbi Racing, Premio Vittorio Di Capua, Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere,
ZOFFANY - Phoenix Stakes
DREAM AHEAD (twice) - Prix de la Foret, Betfred Sprint Cup, July Cup, Middle Park Stakes, Prix Morny
WOOTTON BASSETT - Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere
GRAND PRIX BOSS - NHK Mile Cup, Asahi Hai Futurity Stakes
PATHFORK - Vincent O'Brien National Stakes
CASAMENTO - Racing Post Trophy
RODERIC O'CONNOR (twice) - Criterium International, Irish 2,000 Guineas
TREASURE BEACH - Irish Derby, Secretariat Stakes
NATHANIEL - Queen George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes
COLOUR VISION - Gold Cup
Group 2 winners:
PREMIO LOCO - Park Stakes, Summer Mile Stakes, Grosse Europe Meile, Darley Oettingen-Rennen
RED JAZZ - Victor Chandler Challenge Stakes
STRONG SUIT (twice) - Burj Khalifa Challenge Stakes, Lennox Stakes, Coventry Stakes
WORTHADD - Premio Carlo Vittadini, Premio Ribot, 127th Derby Italiano Better
DUBAWI GOLD (four times) - Celebration Mile
RANSOM GOLD - Nayef Joel Stakes
RAJSAMAN - Prix Daniel Wildenstein, Prix du Muguet
SLIM SHADEY (twice) - San Marcos Stakes
SAAMIDD (twice) - Champagne Stakes
Group 3 winners:
SIDE GLANCE (twice) - Diomed Stakes, Sovereign Stakes
WINDSOR PALACE (twice) - Mooresbridge Stakes
BULLET TRAIN (three times) - Derby Trial Stakes
REROUTED (twice) - Tattersall Stakes
NATIVE KHAN - Craven Stakes, Solario Stakes
BROOX - Prix D'Arenberg
NEW GREENFIELD - Acomb Stakes
KLAMMER - Horris Hill Stakes
GENIUS BEAST - Classic Trial
Last week's HG was canceled. Our scorekeeper, Penn National Rick, selected Friday's eighth race at Belmont for this week's event.
Penn National Rick has a "leaderboard" scoresheet from mid-April that I've listed at the bottom of the blog entry.
REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.
PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.
Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.
Please post your plays and analysis to the blog.
PLEASE GIVE YOUR NAME OR BLOG MONIKER AT THE END OF THE HG PLAY AND/OR ANALYSIS.
Please separate the play from the analysis and label the play "HG" with the program numbers (instead of the horse's name) for easier scoring.
In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. One entry per person please.
I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.
I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.
Best of luck to all.
|Formblog Totals April 13-Current 2012.xls||31.5 KB|
Similar rationale as last week, looks likely to be a duel for the lead, #2 Expression and #4 Natalie Victoria seem the best closers to me. I also like #5 Kaleidoscope to have the best chance to show a step up in form. HG Belmont #8 $15 Trifecta Box on 2,4,5 = $90 $10 Win on 2 = $10
HGBEL Looks like the 1 will try to take them gate to wire. I think she gets nipped at the wire by the 6. I like the 5,7,and 8 to battle it out for third, with the 7 having the best shot in my opinion. I'll key the 6 on top of the 1 in my wagers using the others to fill in the gaps. Just in case two get by her I'll key the 6 on top and the 1 for third. Plays: $10 EX: 6/1=$10 $10 TRI KEY: 6/1/5,7,8=$30 $10 EX: 6/5,7,8=$30 $10 TRI KEY 6/5,7,8/1=$30 Total=$100 Adam Campobasso
HG- Bel I see the #1 and #5 running on the lead, with the 7 inheriting it and the 2 and 3 closing late--maybe I like the odds/ jockeys on the 2 and 3 more than the horses form? $10 tri 7/ 2,3 ,9 / 2,3,9 $10 tri 2,3 /2,3 / 7,9 Theo
Looking at the ROTD Iowa Sprint H. discovered that the freewheelin Monterey Jazz has popped up at Prairie Meadows... sprinting on the dirt.
BSB Jaws Thanks for the reply on IHA. At least it appears that the explanation given by IHA's connections was received better by the public than 'Sponge Bob's', err...aaah, ooops, I mean Todd's was with what's her name in the BC.... Do you even own a gun? Okiesharp
Laura Thanks for the reply on the conspiracy theories. Interesting stuff. Okiesharp
HG Bel $100 Exacta 1/3 Ron B
HG Bel EZPasser scratched out of a tougher spot for today. He loves Belmont with exacta finishes is all 5 races and he recorded a win on this exact date last year. Today is his day. $2 super 3/1,2,5,6 key $2 super 1,2,5,6/3/1,2,5,6/1,2,5,6 $2 tri 3/1,2,5,6 key $2 tri 1,2,5,6/3/1,2,5,6 $4 super 5,3,6,2
HG Bel $5 Super: 1 with 2-5-9 with 2-5-7-9 with 2-5-7-9 Total $90. $10 EX 1-9. Love the 1 Evasive Cat in this spot. Looks like the distance with suit her fine. Will need to gut it out from the one post. I am giving 1 more try to #9 Be Bullish. The expectations were high on this filly when she destroyed a bunch of maidens in her first start and just couldn't do it against stakes horses at Mon/Sar. The cut back in distance should help the daughter of Flashy Bull. Terranova has a very good win percentage when cutting back to a sprint distance. 5 Kaleidoscope is showing some promising works in her first race since running at Gulfstream and Henning had this daughter Elusive Quality running last out against some very fine horses..say...Zo Impressive, In Lingerie?? This could be your price horse here and at 6-1 I feel she may need a race, but if you think she can hit right off the bench the she is a solid play in your exotics. #7 Spare Change is an intriguing horse as well...running last out in the G1 Frizzette. Not sure why they needed to breeze her 3f a few days before they race...too much steam? to me..its a raises a flag, but we will see. Good Luck, PNR
HG 28? Seems to me that this race has a few common themes. Lots of early speed types, contenders off layoffs, and well -bred fillies from strong barns. Angles: Best last race Beyer – #1 Evasive Cat (83) Best Beyer two back – #5 Kaleidoscope (79) Best race with recency (30 days) – #6 Famous Rose (80) Class direction – Hike - #1; Drop - #7 major drop; Other dropping #5 and #6 Cut back in distance -#4; #5; #7; #8; #9 Workouts per Gradeoneracing - #6 Mizzen Donald – 06/09/12 finished strong. 3 stars #5 Kaleidoscope – looked good but was asked for little in work on 5/20. Pedigree - #7 dam won GR I; second dam won GR 1 wonderful family. #5 Kaleidoscope’s third dam is full sister to Miswaki. Spare Change has class edge facing 2011 monster My Miss Aurelia but betting Shug off extended layoffs is like banging your head on a wall. Usually a take back at start and close in last 2F effort is typical and runs third. Go trip is second back off layoff. Like company lines of Kaleidoscpe ( Zo Impressive/In Lingerie). EZ Passer is a battle tested multiple winner facing young untested fillies. Top jock and live. Will not see the15-1 ML in win pools. Probably half that is fair with Ramon. Famous Rose lines – when Dutrow trains 78 BSF, when Gullo trains you get 65 BSF, then Dutrow reclaims you get 73. BSF pattern equals -13 then +8. Nothing changes with Dutrow. The wheels of justice turn agonizingly slow. HG PLAY – DAVIDM9999 $10 trifecta wheel – 3-5-6 over 3-5-6-8 over 7. $10 show on #5. Good luck to all and the horses in the heat!
- 1.Posted 06/18/2013 09:59AM
- 2.Posted 06/17/2013 01:04PM
- 3.Posted 06/17/2013 04:52PM
- 4.Posted 06/17/2013 01:00PM
- 5.Posted 06/17/2013 04:02PM