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Birds of a Feather...
Like father, like son.
Let's take a look at the lifetime past performances of Birdstone and Summer Bird:
Since being equipped with blinkers, Summer Bird has emerged as a very dangerous racehorse. He was always talented, but was sometimes hindered by his lack of interest in the opening furlongs of his races. With the blinkers, he's alert coming out of the gate, if not downright speedy. That newfound speed may have caught Kent Desormeaux by surprise in the Haskell, but he was ready for Summer Bird in the Midsummer Derby.
"I was rating him," Desormeaux said after the race. "You can only rate a horse who actually wants to go faster; otherwide you're knuckling on him to keep up. That is the ultimate feeling for a jockey, having a horse on his fingertips, being on the bridle, not shoving on his neck, trying to make him keep up...He left the gate wanting to run. Within 200 yards, I was camped out behind the leaders, galloping along. I saw an opportunity to clean him up, get him to the outside. From there, he actually tried to make the lead, he wanted to run..."
The Belmont winner bounded out of the gate, settled into a great three wide stalking trip, inhaled a good horse in Kensei like that one was tied to the quarter-pole, and was never threatened despite looking around a bit in the stretch. Everything about his race screamed "quality." He's not the "Other Bird" any longer, and is a fascinating three-year-old to watch this fall...whether in a rematch with Rachel Alexandra, or against older handicap horses.
Favored Quality Road was facing a tough task as he was stretching out 3 1/2 furlongs in only his second race after an injury-induced layoff. He didn't help his cause by acting up prior to entering the machine, and he was off slowly, and sandwiched in between horses for the first sixteenth of a mile. He never really seemed comfortable over the off going, but it's doubtful that he would have beaten the Summer Bird that showed up on a fast surface.
Although they only scored with two of their four big runners, Godolphin's trainer Saeed bin Suroor and assistant Rick Mettee both deserve tremendous credit for the performances of Ballerina winner Music Note, King's Bishop runner-up Vineyard Haven, and Victory Ride heroine Sara Louise. Music Note, a star three-year-old last season, was turning back in distance after making a premature wide move in her seasonal debut in the Ogden Phipps Handicap at Belmont. Showing surprising early speed under Rajiv Maragh, Music Note took the race right to the two favorites, Indian Blessing and Informed Decision, and drew away as much the best. She is dangerous between seven and nine furlongs, and there are plenty of options for her.
Vineyard Haven's race was even more of a revelation. The much-hyped private purchase was a huge flop in Dubai over the winter, and had only raced once since his facile Champagne win last October. He came out of the gate running, and was extremely game in the stretch. Understandably tired, Vineyard Haven was drifting out in the lane, and bumped Capt. Candyman Can when switching back to his wrong lead 100 yards from the wire. It was a good decision by the stewards, and Capt. Candyman Can is a deserving King's Bishop winner. After tiring as the favorite in the Fountain of Youth at Gulfstream, trainer Ian Wilkes, a student of Carl Nafzger, lost any semblance of Derby Fever. He kept Capt. Candyman Can in sprints with one goal in mind...The King's Bishop. Rarely do plans work out in this business, but they did for Wilkes.
Who was the last horse to beat Rachel Alexandra? The answer to that trivia question is Sara Louise, who seemingly dropped off the face of the planet after being privately purchased by Godolphin last season. Bet to favoritism in the Victory Ride, she rallied from off the pace to collar the game Bold Union. "When she was in Dubai, she had tiny problems," Suroor said after the Victory Ride. "She had tendon problems in both of her front legs. We gave her time...The filly has class...We couldn't wait too long until September. She needed the race and she'll improve from this race..."
The already-spicy Distaff division found another major player in Icon Project, the blowout winner of the Grade 1 Personal Ensign at Saratoga on Saturday. Zenyatta best not keep her eyes peeled only on the disappearing shadow of Rachel Alexandra. Icon Project may enter her domain along with the intriguing three-year-old filly Careless Jewel. Of course, the Big Z may decide to tackle males in the Breeders' Cup Classic if she continues her undefeated stretch.
Let's take a look at the winning Beyer Speed Figures from last week's stakes races:
*Personal Ensign (Sar): ICON PROJECT (M. Wolfson/J. Leparoux) - 114
*Travers (Sar): SUMMER BIRD (T. Ice/K. Desormeaux) - 110
*Ballerina (Sar): MUSIC NOTE (S. bin Suroor/R. Maragh) - 107
*Bernard Baruch (Sar): JUSTENUFFHUMOR (K. McLaughlin/A. Garcia) - 106
*Victory Ride (Sar): SARA LOUISE (S. bin Suroor/E. Prado) - 104
*King's Bishop (Sar): CAPT. CANDYMAN CAN (I. Wilkes/J. Castellano) - 103 (**Vineyard Haven finished first, but was placed second via disqualification**)
*Play the King (WO): JUNGLE WAVE (S. Attard/T. Kabel) - 101
*Molly Pitcher (Mth): LUNA VEGA (S. Asmussen/E. Trujillo) - 101
*Ballston Spa (Sar): SALVE GERMANIA - IRE (W. Hickst/J. Castellano) - 100
*Minnesota Distaff Sprint Championship (Cby): BELLA NOTTE (M. Robertson/D. Bell) - 99
*Funny Cide (Sar): FUTURE PROSPECT (M. Maker/R. Maragh) - 98
*Del Mar (Dmr): SPRING HOUSE (J. Canani/A. Solis) - 98
*Del Mar Mile (Dmr): FERNELEY - IRE (B. Cecil/J. Rosario) - 97
*Pleasant Colony (Sar): SUMO (H. Motion/J. Rose) - 96
*Lure (Sar): GET STORMY (T. Bush/J. Castellano) - 95
*Harry F. Brubaker (Dmr): SKYRUSH - ARG (D. Vienna/M. Pedroza) - 95
*CTT and TOC (Dmr): BLACK MAMBA - NZ (J. Sadler/M. Smith) - 94
*Minnesota Sprint Championship (Cby): BIZET (M. Robertson/D. Bell) - 93
*California State Fair Sprint (Sac): DANCE WITH GABLE (M. Machowsky/M. Garcia) - 93
*Albany (Sar): FIDDLERS AFLEET (M. Hushion/R. Dominguez) - 93
*Florida Stallion Affirmed (Crc): JACKSON BEND (S. Gold/J. Sanchez) - 93
*Ontario Colleen (WO): LADY SHAKESPEARE (R. Attfield/E. Wilson) - 91
*Miss Woodford (Mth): DON'TGETSUSPICIOUS (S. Lake/K. Carmouche) - 89
*Rose DeBartolo Memorial (Tdn): PAY THE MAN (M. Feliciano/R. Feliciano) - 88
*Union Avenue (Sar): SILVERCUP BABY (C. Domino/J. Castellano) - 88
*Iowa Classic Sprint (PrM): CRIMSON KING CAT (K. Von Hemel) - 87
*Honey Jay (Tdn): KING OF THE ROXY (T. Pletcher/O. Mojica) - 87
*Ralph Hayes (PrM): RED HOT N GOLD (K. Von Hemel/T. Thompson) - 86
*Red Earth (RP): TI TOWNSHIP (A. Milligan/C. Landeros) - 85
*Minnesota Classic Championship (Cby): PERFECT BULL (B. Rhone/D. Butler) - 84
*Lucy Scribner (Sar): SO N SO (T. Bush/A. Garcia) - 84
*Sylvia Bishop Memorial (CT): BEWARE OF THE BOP (T. Grams/L. Reynolds) - 82
*Brickyard (Hoo): UNREACHABLE STAR (T. Glyshaw/R. Hernandez) - 81
*WTBA Lads (EmD): HOLLYWOOD HARBOR (C. Stenslie/D. Hoonan-Trujillo) - 79
*Catcharisingstar (Crc): MISS DELITE (P. Andrade/L. Arango) - 79
*Florida Stallion Susan's Girl (Crc): ROSEBUD'S RIDGE (H. Wilensky/C. Penalba) - 78
*New York Oaks (FL): GOLD FOR THE QUEEN (C. Baker/J. Flores) - 76
*Minnesota Distaff Classic Championship (Cby): CHICK FIGHT (M. Robertson/D. Butler) - 75
*Iowa Breeders' Derby (PrM): POTANIO (W. Pogue/G. Corbett) - 75
*Fasig Tipton Turf Dash (Crc): RETIRE TO WHAT (A. Medina/M. Aguilar) - 75
*Minnesota Turf Championship (Cby): SARAHS SON (M. Robertson/D. Bell) - 74
*Iowa Cradle (PrM): LAUNCH LIGHT (K. Von Hemel/P. Compton) - 73
*West Mesa (Alb): VALUE SYSTEM (B. Rust/A. Cruz) - 73
*Lindsay Frolic (Crc): GATOR BREW (W. White/P. Lopez) - 71
*Donna Reed (PrM): BEYOND THE REACH (L. Chleborad/A. Birzer) - 70
*Barbara Shinpoch (EmD): KNIGHT RAIDER (D. Harwood/R. Frazier) - 70
*Seacliff (Crc): WAVE ME BY (K. O'Connell/E. Nunez) - 70
*Junior Champion (Mth): KID KATE (C. Brown/E. Trujillo) - 69
*Rachel's Turn (CT): DOWN TOWN ALLEN (J. Casey/M. McGowan) - 67
*New Westminster (Hst): HUITZILOPOCHTLI (J. Olmos/F. Perez) - 66
*African Prince (Suf): SAME DAY PLEASURE (L. Lockhart/D. Amiss) - 63
*Birdcatcher (NP): COOL KAHUNA (C. Anderson/R. Simard) - 60
*Merrillville (Hoo): TRUST N SEVEN (M. Lauer/L. Goncalves) - 60
*Lassie (Hst): OTERO (D. Forster/F. Fuentes) - 59
*Iowa Breeders' Oaks (PrM): CHAMPAGNE ATTITUDE (T. Keller/T. Thompson) - 58
*Bird of Pay (NP): DAKOTA SUE (G. Tracy/R. Walcott) - 56
*Northern Lights Futurity (Cby): BET YOUR BOOTS (T. Bethke/P. Nolan) - 54
*Iowa Sorority (PrM): BRENDA'S SLEW (J. Hicklin/T. Thompson) - 46
*Northern Lights Debutante (Cby): HER SWEET SAINT (V. Hanson/R. Eikleberry) - 40
*CTHS (AsD): APPLICANT (L. Gray/L. Delorme) - 39
*Columbus Futurity (Cls): FIVE OCLOCK SHADOW (D. Anderson/D. Leeds) - 33
Here are the lifetime past performances for the highest and lowest Beyer stakes performers of the week:
Speaking of turf horses, any word yet on Midships?
Midships came up sick last week, and has been put on the sidelines. I'm sorry that I've fallen behind on our Disabled List, but there just aren't enough hours in the day. I'm hoping to be all caught up by the end of September. Here's Steve Andersen's story on Midships posted on August 27:
Dan, is this the lowest winning beyer you've posted on this list??!!?!
I'd have to guess it is, but I don't know for a fact. Some of these extremely minor stakes races come up with very paltry numbers.
Did they stop on Behindatthebar? I was watching his works and they abruptly ended on June 20th - hard to call them works, they were painfully slow and he even earned the dreaded "D".
I had a feeling his comeback wasn't going well when his very first workout earned the "Driving" designation. It looks like he's out of serious training right now, and one wonders if he'll ever make it back to the races. He hasn't raced since winning the Lexington in 2008.
Dan, whats going on with Mr Gruff? After his stakes win in the San Simeon down the hill at Santa Anita he went on the shelf. This was the plan according to Ron Ellis. He worked twice, once in late June and once in early July but hasn't surfaced since. I don't see him on your injury list, so what's going on with him?
Ellis was quoted after the San Simeon that he was planning on keeping Mr Gruff lightly-raced as he pointed for the Turf Sprint. I'm not sure if the horse is injured, but I'll let you know if I hear anything. For now, let's see if he is pointed for the Morvich Handicap at the Oak Tree Meet as a prep for the Breeders' Cup.
Dan, hey man, great job as always with the 2yos this year, a quick query when you get the chance (no hurry): any idea what's up with Successful Dan? Obligingly?
From Marty McGee's article posted on August 14:
Successful Dan not quite ready to run
Successful Dan has not raced since he remained unbeaten by narrowly defeating Warrior's Reward in the June 13 Northern Dancer Stakes at Churchill. Trainer Charlie Lopresti said a minor setback with an ankle led him to miss some training at Keeneland with Successful Dan, a 3-year-old Successful Appeal gelding bred and owned by Mort Fink.
"I don't think the ankle is anything major, but he just hasn't been quite 100 percent," said Lopresti. "It wasn't like we planned on chasing the big boys at Saratoga anyway. What I'd wanted to do was run him in a little stakes at Presque Isle Downs, then maybe try tougher company if he ran another big race. But obviously we've had to move our schedule back a little with him."
Prior to his Northern Dancer score, Successful Dan began his career with a maiden win at Keeneland and an allowance victory at Churchill. Since the Northern Dancer, he has had two half-mile breezes, on July 4 and Aug. 1.
From Mike Welsch's article posted on March 2:
"Munnings worked this morning, and we're about ready to start looking for a race for him," said Pletcher. "We also had to send Obligingly back to WinStar for some time off. He just wasn't moving right, although we haven't been able to pinpoint any specific problem."
I'll put them on the DL when I finally get around to updating it completely.
Dan, will you please post the pp's for a horse than ran at Churchill in the late 80's or early 90's named WALK THE BABY? He was one of my dads and my favorites. He'll flip if he sees WALK THE BABY's pp's
Here's what I have for Walk the Baby:
On another subject...I've spent 20 of the past 25 years at Saratoga for Travers week, and this year I couldn't make it, so I didn't buy the "Saratoga Special". Dan, you had such great success the last two years with your spa babies, can you let us freeloaders know how you're doing this year?
Also, in honor of Travers week: several years ago a horse named Iron Will ran on Travers Day. This horse was a sprinter who once had beaten Artax, but was running as an 8- or maybe even 9-year-old. I seem to recall he had a female trainer entering her second race of the year. He won that day at big odds, making me very happy indeed. Can you post his past performances? And any idea who his trainer was that day?
With one week left in the meeting, I'm currently sitting at 61-14-24 (+ $10.80). I'd love to end this meet in the black for the fourth straight season, but it's still a long road.
Here's what I have on Iron Will:
I was watching the TV feed from Penn National out of the corner of my eye on Saturday night, and I noticed a horse in the 6th Race, a $4,000 claimer, by the name of Dashboard Drummer. A quick google shows that he was stakes placed a few years ago, and I was wondering if you could post his past performances
Here's what I have for Dashboard Drummer:
Saw some nice Dixie Union Babies this weekend can you post his PPs, along with Eddington and Proud Accolade"
Here's what I have on the sires:
Could you post the pps of old yet retired Tour of the Cat and Dancing Brave and Symboli Rudolf, did these foreigners run in the Breeder's Turf? Thanks a lot!
Jose Iglesias Garcia
Here's what I have on the retired runners:
Dan...if you get the chance can you download a few pp's...
Love Sign, Plankton, Willow Hour, Sprink....
They are all NY horses...
Here's what I have on these old campaigners:
With our constant focus on DLM/SPA (rightfully so), I tried to find a different spot for our contest. Landed on a nice little turf race at MTH (8th) on Thursday afternoon....clear weather
predicted in NJ all week, so let's give it a go.
Congrats to Matt M. for finishing first in last week's HandiGambling exercise. Here are this week's past performances:
Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan." Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified. In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference.
I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.
Two questions, both Tomlinson ratings related, for Dan or anyone who might be able to answer: 1. Why is it that Summer Bird had a very low Tomlinson wet track figure in his Travers PP's? Given that Mine That Bird won the KY Derby recently in the slop, one would think the wet track figure for Birdstone horses would be higher, but they're not. The distance figure was low as well. 2. I've noticed that the DRF PP breakdown for wet track performances includes races run on "Good" dirt tracks. The question is: Are the Tomlinson wet track ratings now calculated using the "Good" races as well? Or only Muddy and Sloppy? And what about Wet Fast? Thanks!
HG 149? $60 ex 5-8 $40 ex 5-6 In a hurry today. LOLuck
HG 149 Just checked the Mth site and my top play, the 5 (Yippety Yip) is scratched. New wager: $50 Exacta Box: 4,6 Good Luck and Good Racing!
Steve T, I agree with atatistics, the same writers who screamed about 2006 are now writting about 2009. Also you have to keep in mind up until a few months ago none of the tracks reported fatalities that didn't occur on track in regard to synthetics. Any horse who was vanned off, but later euthanized in the stable area or other location wasn't recorded. I believe the truth of the matter is in what you wish to believe, one way or the other. Dirt tracks are not killing fields if the track maintainence dept maintains the consistency of it's base. It can be done easily enough and it is rather inexpensive. Mike A
Pace of the Woodward: The more I handicap this race, I'm starting to realiz only PTP can truly go with Rachel if she wants the lead. Mike A. is dead on D'Tara just isn't fast enough. If Calvin is smart he'll settle her wide and let her rate, I'm starting to like her chances for the first time, but she does have a whole lot of bad karma to overcome. I've honestly allowed myself to get to emotional invested in this horse as I am already looking for excuses why she'll lose. The Forego: They will not beat My Pal Charlie! He's such a nice horse who has not caught a break in any race he's ran this year. He is going to win.
I have sent an e-mail to Dr. Rick Arthur, the CHRB head veterinarian for the "official" tally of breakdowns. There are six separate figures cited for the 2009 tally, misinformation at its finest. Some are for an inclusive period (like July), some only note breakdowns during races (vs races and works), fatal vs non-fatal and some include turf breakdowns. I think people outside of California don't know how bad it had become in 2006, the final year of all dirt tracks: Horse Racing Is Having a Breakdown LA Times - August 5, 2006 "Statistics confirm some kind of problem. There were 154 racing fatalities during the 2004-05 racing season in California, an increase of 50% in a two-year period, according to the racing board. Including training, there were 320 deaths last season. In the first 15 days at Del Mar, nine horses have been euthanized. Of those, three were injured in morning workouts and six during afternoon races. Last year, seven were euthanized because of racing injuries over the entire 43-day calendar. But injuries are not limited to Del Mar. Santa Anita reported 44 fatalities last year, 19 during races. Hollywood Park had 33 -- 13 during races." For Run of Fatal Breakdowns, No Easy Place to Fix Blame By Andrew Beyer At Del Mar, where horse racing is usually idyllic, where the sun is almost always shining, where enthusiastic crowds enjoy the relaxed ambience of the seaside track, one development this season has cast a deep shadow. As a record crowd of just over 42,000 watched the fourth race on opening day, a 7-year-old named Geronimo barely got out of the gate before his jockey pulled him up and the horse ambulance arrived to bear the injured animal off the track. In the feature race that day, the colt Blazing Sunset turned into the stretch with the lead and suddenly broke his right front leg. He had to be euthanized. Those mishaps were just the beginning of a trend that became the No. 1 topic at Del Mar. In the first eight days of the season, 12 horses had to be removed from the track by vans and seven were euthanized. At least two other horses have broken down in morning training, including the stakes-caliber New Joysey Jeff, who was euthanized Monday. Most horsemen thought they knew the explanation for this epidemic. When the 8-year-old gelding Bonus Pack broke down, his trainer Bill Spawr told the Daily Racing Form, "I ran a sound horse and he got hurt." Spawr said he was "very concerned" about the condition of the racing surface. Trainers met with members of the Del Mar management to discuss their misgivings about the condition of the track. Coincidentally, another major racetrack was going through a similar ordeal. Arlington Park was receiving considerable attention in Chicago after 14 horses were euthanized during the first two months of its season. There, too, some trainers blamed the racetrack for the breakdowns." Sound familiar? This article was from August 2, 2006. Because the statistics on breakdowns are treated like state secrets by the horse racing industry, we have no way of knowing what the true facts are, but the numbers are far lower in 2009 than they were in 2006. Santa Anita lost 11 horses in 2008 - a far cry from the 44 of 2006. I have no problem with synthetic tracks - especially after the dirt tracks had become killing fields, but the lack of information (or more appropriately disinformation)on breakdowns and injuries on the different surfaces makes an informed decision impossible. Add to that the media's penchant for noting every breakdown in SoCal and the industry's silence in producing coherent, validated statistics and this is a puzzle that no one wants solved.
Ray's Revised Handigambling 149: New wagers reflecting the scratch of #5: $5.50 Superfecta 4/2/3-6-8/3-6-8 ($33) $5.50 Superfecta 4/3-6-8/2/3-6-8 ($33) $5.50 Superfecta 4/3-6-8/3-6-8/2 ($33) $0.50 Superfecta 4/2/6-8/6-8 ($1) If there is no Superfecta, change the wagers to: $16 Trifecta 4/2/3-6-8 ($48) $16 Trifecta 4/3-6-8/2 ($48) $1 Trifecta 4/6-8/2 ($2) $1 Trifecta 4/2/6-8 ($2)
Re-listing my wagers here, followed by further revisions in case the superfecta is cancelled: My wagers if there IS a superfecta on the HG race: $15 Superfecta 4/3-6-8/3-6-8/3-6-8 ($90) $0.80 Superfecta 4/3-6-8/3-6-8/2-3-6-8 ($9.60) $0.20 Superfecta 4/6-8/6-8/3 ($0.40) $100 Total Wagered If there is NO SUPERFECTA ONLY, change the wagers to: $16 Trifecta 4/3-6-8/3-6-8 ($96) $1 Trifecta 4/6-8/3-6-8 ($4)
Vic, I was definitely thinking of Howard Davis, that was one of the worst things I ever saw, because he won so decisively and it was the Olympics, where boxers only get one chance. He was truly robbed of the gold, another stain on boxing. Some of the officials in the olympics were completely unethical and biased toward their countrymen. But that '76 team was definitely something else. Onward and upward.
HG stab: $ 50 exacta box #3 Ziggly and #5 Yippity