07/30/2014 11:33AM

Big run in the Bing Crosby

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Thanks to everyone that entered the FormBlog Breeders' Cup Fantasy Handicapping League.

We have 471 contestants. ghostofbarbaro is in the lead with $542.00.

If you haven't joined yet, there's still plenty of time to do so. 

Head on over to www.fantasycapping.com/illman

The league password in DRF123.

You can find league rules here:

https://www.fantasycapping.com/faq/

This week's race is Saturday's Grade 1 Whitney from Saratoga.

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Bob Baffert ruled the racing universe last weekend with big victories from BAYERN in the Grade 1 Haskell Invitational and FED BIZ in the Grade 3 San Diego Handicap.

While both of his runners gave bang-up efforts, they also might have been aided by speed-favoring surfaces at Monmouth and Del Mar, respectively. Consequently, both could prove to be underlays in the near future.

I was very impressed with BIG MACHER's winning effort in the Grade 1 Bing Crosby Handicap at six furlongs over the Del Mar polytrack.

You have to admire a horse with a strong will to win and Big Macher has refused to lose his last two races, both fast graded sprints.

A 4-year-old California-bred son of Beau Genius, Big Macher was claimed out of his career debut last summer at Del Mar for a mere $20,000 by trainer Richard Baltas.

Since then, he's steadily risen up the ranks. First was a $40,000 maiden claiming win on dirt at Santa Anita. Then, he took an entry-level allowance race for statebreds over the cushion track at Betfair Hollywood Park. Next, he scored the $126,000 California Cup Sprint at Santa Anita. After a half-length defeat at the hooves of Grade 1 winner Sahara Sky in the Grade 2 San Carlos Stakes, Big Macher battled hard to win the Grade 2 Potrero Grande Stakes at "The Great Race Place" on April 12.

Big Macher reportedly suffered a quarter crack following the Potrero Grande, was given some time to recover, and showed no rust last weekend.

In the Bing Crosby, Big Macher was involved in a four-way scrum for the early lead while three wide and in between rivals. The fractions weren't scorching, but they were honest with splits of 22.46 and 44.96. Big Macher took over turning for home and had enough to beat back the stretch charge of multiple Grade 1 winner GOLDENCENTS. Although Goldencents had all of the late momentum, Big Macher wouldn't allow him to pass during the gallop-out.

Although the Bing Crosby is a "Win and You're In" event to the Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint, Big Macher, if he maintains his current form, seems headed for the Breeders' Cup Sprint on the main track at Santa Anita.

He is likely to race next in the Grade 2 Pat O'Brien Stakes at seven furlongs over the Del Mar polytrack, and should be a very salty customer in that heat.

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Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures from 7/21/14 - 7/27/14

1. BAYERN - 109 - Haskell Invitational (G1) - 1 1/8 Miles - Monmouth
2. VALID - 108 - Monmouth Cup (G2) - 1 1/16 Miles - Monmouth
3. FED BIZ - 103 - San Diego Handicap (G2) - 1 1/16 Miles (Polytrack) - Del Mar
3. RIVER ROCKS - 103 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 7 Furlongs - Saratoga
5. BIG CAZANOVA (ARG) - 101 - OC 40k/N1X -N - 1 Mile (Polytrack) - Del Mar
6. BIG MACHER - 100 - Bing Crosby Stakes (G1) - 6 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Del Mar
6. COUP DE GRACE - 100 - Amsterdam Stakes (G2) - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Saratoga
6. RAINBOW HEIR - 100 - Teddy Drone Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Monmouth
6. THE BIG BEAST - 100 - Alw 85000N1X - 6 Furlongs - Saratoga
10. SWEET LUCA - 99 - Addison Cammack Handicap - 6 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Arlington
11. ANTIPATHY - 98 - Shuvee Handicap (G3) - 1 1/8 Miles - Saratoga
11. BOOGIE TOO - 98 - Alw 48000N1X - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Parx
11. LUNAR ROVER - 98 - Md Sp Wt 83k - 1 1/8 Miles - Saratoga
11. NOBLE CORNERSTONE - 98 - OC 40k/N2X -N - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Saratoga
11. WICKED STRONG - 98 - Jim Dandy Stakes (G2) - 1 1/8 Miles - Saratoga
16. GUYS REWARD - 97 - Oceanport Stakes (G3) - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Monmouth
16. STARSTRUCK (IRE) - 97 - Matchmaker Stakes (G3) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Monmouth
18. LA TIA - 96 - Ontario Matron Stakes (G3-C) - 1 1/16 Miles (Polytrack) - Woodbine
19. ARTEMIS AGROTERA - 95 - OC 40k/N2X -N - 7 Furlongs - Saratoga
19. MARKET BLASTER - 95 - Alw 16000s - 1 Mile - Parx
19. MY SLEW - 95 - OC 40k/N1X -N - 6 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Del Mar
19. SCATTER JOY - 95 - Alw 25000s - 6 Furlongs - Monmouth
23. ABRAHAM - 93 - OC 80k/N3X -N - 1 1/8 Miles - Saratoga
23. AIN'T GOT TIME - 93 - OC 12k/N1X -N - 1 1/16 Miles - Delaware
23. CONSOLE - 93 - Alw 25000s - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - Saratoga
23. GOING TO MARKET - 93 - OC 20k/N1X - 1 1/16 Miles - Monmouth

*The lifetime past performances for BAYERN are available at the bottom of this blog post.

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*The links to the five most recent blogs (and blog comments) are listed below:

http://www.drf.com/blogs/spring-turf-sprint

http://www.drf.com/blogs/claimer-grade-1-winner

http://www.drf.com/blogs/beat-chalk-0

http://www.drf.com/blogs/onward-pacific-classic

http://www.drf.com/blogs/two-saturday

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You can follow me on Twitter @DRF_DanIllman

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Congrats to Ron B. for finishing first in last week's HandiGambling race.

Rick M's scoresheet is available at the bottom of this blog post.

On tab 2 you will see each HG Race we've held and they are color coded to denote if the race was run on Turf, Dirt or Poly.

Ron B. selected Friday's eighth race from Arlington as this week's exercise.

PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.

SR Vegas and Rick M. have graciously decided to streamline all of the HG rules in order to make them an easier read for everyone...

With so many new people attending Dan's Formblog we thought it would be a good time to update the Handigambling Guidelines and Rules as we go forward in 2014.

Let's remember WHY we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses and why we're betting them the way we are. We are not asking for a novel but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

HANDIGAMBLING:

-  Please start your post with  HG or HANDIGAMBLING to better recognize and find your entry.

-  You have a mythical $100 to wager in whatever format you choose and that is available for that HG race.
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.

- Post your WAGER and ANALYSIS to the blog WITH YOUR NAME/OR MONIKER AT THE END OF THE POST.  Remember that posts may start as 'anonymous' or an 'alternate name'. You MUST sign yourself at the end (even if it is the same) This enables the scorekeeper to recognize you .

- (1) ONE ENTRY per person for the Handigambling contest. If you have multiple email addresses, use just ONE for contest purposes.  Multiple entries will be cause for disqualification.

- Separate your analysis from the wager and use the horses # in your wager. Just like you would do in a real wager. No horse names.

-In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. Dan reserves the right to approve or deny any entries.

- The winner will receive a "60-Card Quarterly Formulator Past Performance Plan"

As an example :

HG 2014
The speed in this race goes to  horses # 1, 4 ,6 ..Ennie , Meenie, and Mo
Since it's a sprint I don't see any closers catching them.. like # 9 Miney.
I think trainer Groucho with the #6 Mo has the best stats in this condition, route to sprint.. just a gut feeling at large odds ML 20-1

HG wager
50$ Ex box 1-6
total $100

Thanks Dan!

Harpo
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A MORE DETAILED ANALYSIS IS ALWAYS APPRECIATED !
 
REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.

ALSO, IF THE WINNER WOULD LIKE TO SELECT THE FOLLOWING WEEK'S RACE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM NO LATER THAN THE FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY MORNING (A FRIDAY RACE IS MOST IDEAL)

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BAYERN.pdf634.88 KB
HGAP.pdf151.36 KB
Copy of Formblog Cougar 7-25-14.xls74.5 KB