07/20/2009 5:04PM

Beyers, Some Babies to Watch

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After Sunday's running of the Sunset Handicap at Hollywood Park, I feel inclined to repeat a statement I made on the March 15, 2007 of FormBlog:

"Clearly, [Lisa] Lewis is one of the best friends a horseplayer can hope to have."

Amazingly underrated, the 40-year-old trainer continues to make the most from her moderately-sized stable.  The second-generation horsewoman (both of her parents were trainers) sent out Black Astorto a gate-to-wire score in the 12-furlong marathon.  It was a notable achievement as the Black Minnaloushe gelding had never previously won beyond 1 1/16 miles, and had recently faltered going 1 1/4 miles in the San Marcos.  Since the San Marcos, Lewis expertly prepped Black Astor with a pair of stamina-building six-furlong workouts.  That, coupled with his pace advantage, propelled him to the winner's circle over some solid veteran turfers. 

If you blindly bet a Lisa Lewis runner over the past few years, you would be squarely in the black.

2005:  104 starts, 20 wins, 19% winning percentage, $2.70 ROI
2006:  104 starts, 14 wins, 13% winning percentage, $2.24 ROI
2007:  64 starts, 7 wins, 10% winning percentage, $2.32 ROI
2008:  82 starts, 9 wins, 10% winning percentage, $2.73 ROI

Fatal Bullet, the runner-up in last year's Breeders' Cup Sprint, indicated that he's ready for another big season with a huge score in the Bold Venture Stakes over Woodbine's polytrack.  Trained by Reade Baker, Fatal Bullet was returning from a knee injury that had sidelined him since the World Thoroughbred Championships, but the four-year-old gelding didn't show any rust as he put up a 109 Beyer Speed Figure.  Considering his affinity for the Santa Anita pro-ride surface, Fatal Bullet must be considered a prime contender for the 2009 Breeders' Cup...if he stays healthy.

Battle of Hastings doesn't put up flashy speed figures, but the British-bred keeps winning, and he was very game in upending a tough cookie in Straight Story.  Expect to see Battle of Hastings go for the third leg of the Grand Slam of Grass in the Secretariat Stakes at Arlington Park on August 8. 

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Here are the winning Beyer Speed Figures from last week's stakes races:

*Bold Venture (WO):  Fatal Bullet (R. Baker/E. Da Silva) - 109
*Delaware Oaks (Del):  Careless Jewel (J. Carroll/R. Landry) - 104
*Delaware (Del):  Swift Temper (D. Romans/A. Garcia) - 104
*Swaps (Hol):  Misremembered(B. Baffert/V. Espinoza) - 101
*Barbaro (Del):  Our Edge(N. Zito/A. Garcia) - 100

*Sunset (Hol)  Black Astor(L. Lewis/J. Talamo) - 99
*Ontario Jockey Club (WO):  Just Rushing(S. Attard/E. Wilson) - 98
*Jaipur (Bel):  Silver Timber(C. Brown/E. Coa) - 98
*Double Feint (Bel):  Tam Lin - GB(S. bin Suroor/J. Castellano) - 98
*A Gleam (Hol):  Evita Argentina(J. Sadler/J. Rosario) - 97
*Ontario Matron (WO):  Smart Surprise (J. Carroll/P. Husbands) - 96
*R. R. M. Carpenter Jr. Memorial (Del):  Acting Zippy (W. Bennett/J. Shepherd) - 94
*Greenwood Cup (Pha):  Alcomo - Brz(E. Caramori/W. Martinez) - 94
*A Gift (Bel):  Courageous Cat(W. Mott/K. Desormeaux) - 94
*Oak Hall (EvD):  Ide Like a Double (B. Gilbert/K. Clark) - 94
*Sam J. Whiting Memorial (Pln):  Tribesman(R. Hansen/R. Baze) - 94
*Prairie Gold Juvenile (PrM):  Western Smoke(S. Asmussen/I. Ocampo) - 94
*Virginia Derby (Cnl):  Battle of Hastings - GB(J. Mullins/T. Baze) - 92
*Klassy Briefcase (Mth): Libor Lady(M. Pino/D. Centeno) - 92
*Kittens Joy (Cnl):  Rockaby Bay(H. Smith/K. Desormeaux) - 92
*Robert G. Dick Memorial (Del):  Caprice - Ger (H. Motion/J. Rose) - 91
*Serena's Song (Mth):  Just Jenda (J. Jones/E. Castro) - 90
*Arlington Oaks (AP):  Peach Brew(D. Von Hemel/Q. Hamilton) - 90

*Day Lilly (Pen):  All Giving(F. Stites/J. Joyce) - 89
*Yavapai Downs (Yav):  Headed for Home(O. Saavedra/S. Duarte) - 89
*Don Bernhardt (ElP):  King of the Roxy(T. Pletcher/O. Mojica) - 89
*Dearly Precious (Mth):  All of Her Twist(K. Breen/S. Elliott) - 88
*Light Hearted (Del):  Kitty Cat Express (B. Silva/B. Hernandez Jr.) - 88
*Caught in the Rain (Pha):  Sky Haven(S. Asmussen/J. Velazquez) - 88
*Prairie Gold Lassie (PrM):  Vertical Vision(S. Asmussen/A. Birzer) - 88
*Virginia Oaks (Cnl):  Blind Date(H. Smith/K. Desormeaux) - 87
*Peppy Addy (Pha):  Neeyo (D. Curry/J. Flores) - 86
*Omaha (HPO):  Orientate Express(K. Von Hemel/P. Compton - 86
*Caliban Overnight (Rui):  Funny Justice(R. Caine/J. Bourdieu) - 85
*Jersey Girl (Bel):  Olde Glamour(F. Martin/M. Luzzi) - 84
*Dam Little (Bel):  Our Golden Dream (T. Bush/A. Garcia) - 84
*Virgo Libra (Bel):  Coronation Day(G. Weaver/J. Castellano) - 81
*Colorado Derby (ArP):  Toccet to Me(D. Grinolds/R. Vicchrilli) - 80

*Deputy Minister (WO):  Costalivin(J. Ross/J. McAleney) - 79
*Princess Elaine (Cby):  Minnesota Mafia(G. Scherer/J. Rivera) - 79
*Northwest Stallion Strong Ruler (EmD):  Hollywood Harbor(C. Stenslie/J. Zunino) - 78
*Princess (LaD):  Red Hot Buddha(J. Hodges/L. Meche) - 76
*Skunktail (HPO):  Reach One More (D. Anderson/M. Ziegler) - 76
*Colin (WO):  Fearless Cowboy (S. Dominguez/S. Callaghan) - 74
*Who Doctor Who (PrM):  Blumin Attitude(D. Coughlin/L. Ranilla) - 73
*Washington's Lottery (EmD):  No Flies On Doodle(V. Belvoir/G. Mitchell) - 72
*Minstrel (LaD):  Vito Filitto (B. Flint/F. Torres) - 72
*Last Dance (Suf):  Ask Queenie (L. Lockhart/J. Marcano) - 71
*Governor's (Ind):  Hoosier Kingdom(R. Herrell/O. Mojica) - 70

*John Patrick (NP):  Littlemiss Allison(G. Tracy/R. Walcott) - 68
*Fort Erie Slots Cup (FE):  Chocolateforlunch(L. Morden/R. Pimentel) - 67
*Cascade County Invitational (GF):  On the Hill(L. Magnuson/A. Dale) - 67
*Cascade County Invitational (GF):  Her Red(L. Magnuson/A. Dale) - 65
*Norm Barron Queen City Oaks (RD):  Slides Choice(T. Hamm/H. Rosario Jr.) - 65
*City Centre Bingo Early Bird (MD):  Brandon's Oboe(E. Seesequasis/J. Seesequasis) - 64
*Old Dutch (MD):  Avenging Kat(J. Hunter/N. Samaroo) - 63
*Texas Thoroughbred Breeders' (Gil):  Mucho Gato(C. Bronstad/J. Silva) - 63

*Mount Elbert (ArP):  Brahms Haze (K. Gleason/A. Ramos) - 59
*Fall's Amiss (HPO):  Senorita Conchita(H. Riecken/L. Ranilla) - 59
*R. C. Anderson (AsD):  Golden Stripe(E. Corbel/R. Singh) - 58
*Northlands Oaks (NP):  Miss Victoriana(B. Phelan/S. Beauregard) - 58
*CTBA Breeders Oaks (ArP):  Illusive Crystals (K. Gleason/A. Ramos) - 51
*Fantango Lady (HPO):  Apple Crumble(J. Wise/J. Olesiak) - 50
*Indiana First Lady (Ind):  Eskimo's Best(R. Kohnhorst/O. Mojica) - 50 (**Trust N Sevenfinished first with 67 Beyer, but was disqualified and placed 11th)

*Debutante (AsD):  Ruby's Big Band(C. Smith/R. Singh) - 42

Here are the lifetime past performances for the highest and lowest Beyer stakes performers of the week:


Download Fatal ruby



***

Dan,
First time post. I heard you on Trackfacts today and didn't catch all of it but you was listing first time starters to watch out for at Saratoga. Would you please give me the horses again so I can put them in my Stable Mail.  Also you was talking about using Formulator for workouts and how you look for horses working out with another horse who comes back to win then you look for the horse he was working out with.
Would you please tell me how to use Formulator to get this kind of information.
Thanks,
Guy


Welcome aboard, Guy.  Here's the list of unraced juveniles that may do well at the Spa over the next few weeks:

CAPITALISM AT RISK (Bull Market - Stock Price, by Relaunch)
Trainer:  Richard Violette Jr.
$1,000 weanling resold for $65,000 earlier this year after working a quarter-mile in 20 and change.

MOCHA SPRINGS (Purge - Coffee Springs, by Crafty Prospector)
Trainer:  Steven Asmussen
$165,000 yearling purchase showed sharp drills this spring at Keeneland.

ROARING BELLE (Roaring Fever - Bellebottom Blues, by Cure the Blues)
Trainer:  William Badgett Jr.
New York-bred from solid female family.

ROYAL STOCKS (Concorde's Tune - Silk Stocks, by Medieval Man)
Trainer:  Stanley Hough
Classic Florida speed pedigree.  Shows bullet works over Oklahoma training track.

SAVE TIME FOR ME (Hook and Ladder - Timely Irony, by Iron)
Trainer:  Thomas Bush
New York-bred by speedy stallion may offer value in statebred race later in the meet.

As for the stakes-bound juveniles...

DASHING DEBBY (Medaglia d'Oro - Marquet Rent, by Marquetry)
Trainer:  Steven Asmussen
Purchased by Jess Jackson after winning her career debut by 10 1/4 lengths in the JJ's Dream Stakes at Calder.

ENUMERATE (Proud Accolade - Clandestine, by Grand Slam)
Trainer:  Steven Asmussen
Padua Stables homebred won debut by five as 17-10 favorite.  Speedy.

HOT DIXIE CHICK (Dixie Union - Above Perfection, by In Excess)
Trainer:  Steven Asmussen
$435,000 juvenile purchase won second start at Churchill with 100 Beyer Speed Figure.

MIDST (Closing Argument - Procure, by Quiet American)
Trainer:  Todd Pletcher
Won My Dear Stakes at Woodbine for Mark Casse before being sent to Pletcher.  Liked the way she won maiden at Keeneland.

THISKYHASNOLIMIT (Sky Mesa - Lovely Regina, by Deputy Minister)
Trainer:  Steven Asmussen
Ran into subsequent stakes-winner Backtalk in debut, then romped by seven at Churchill.  Has already won at six furlongs.  May have the most upside of the Asmussen babies.

Here's how you can use Formulator Web past performances to "match up" workouts.

1.  Click on the highlighted workout on the worktab.  That day's worktab will open. 
2.  Find this runner's workout, and compare times with other horses that worked on the day and distance.
3.  If you find a match, return to the horse's past performances, and click on the trainer name.  An alphabetical listing of all of the trainer's runners over the last five years will appear. 
4.  Look for the matched horse to see if the runner is from the same barn.  If you find a match, you can click on the matched horse's name to see how that horse has performed.

Here's an example.  Todd Pletcher has entered a first-time starter named Calipari in the second race at Belmont on July 24. By clicking the July 6 workout, the entire day's tab is accessed.  Calipari worked five furlongs in 1:02.65.  By comparing times, we note that another runner, Jack in the Pulpit, worked the exact same time.  Does Pletcher train Jack in the Pulpit?  By clicking on Pletcher's name in Formulator, we receive the alphabetized list, and yes, Jack in the Pulpit is listed.  By clicking on Jack in the Pulpit's name, we see that the $300,000 yearling finished ninth in his career debut on dirt at Delaware Park on June 10 with a 19 Beyer Speed Figure.  Do we know that the two horses worked in company?  Not unless we saw the move with our own eyes, but we can make a logical assumption, especially if the pair had other similar workouts.

***

Dan
I have seen that Vineyard Haven has been working recently....any plans for this talented PGH?
Thanks
SR Vegas

From Mike Farrell's column posted on July 17:

One horse who might make Saratoga is Vineyard Haven, a multiple Grade 1 winner last year. He has not raced since returning from Dubai and is just starting back, having breezed twice at Belmont.
"There is chance he could make the end of Saratoga," Mettee said. "The Jerome at Belmont in the fall might be a good race for him going one mile on a track he won a Grade 1 race on last year."

***

I bet a horse on 6-27-09 in race 6 at Hollywood Park.  How can I find out when this horse is entered to run again? The name of the horse is Dee Dee's Legacy and I had bet across the board but she was blocked on rail and finished out of the money.  I wrote on my notes that this horse would win at this level next out.  Cheers!
Dave K

Dave K
A great tool is right here on drf.com...Click on the "TOOLS" link above. 'watches' will break out to "Horse watch"
You can set it up for workouts/entries/results and have it sent to your email.
I LOVE this feature.
Hope this helps.
SR Vegas

***

Congrats to David W. for finishing first in last week's HandiGambling exercise.  He chooses the eighth race at Del Mar on Opening Day.  Here are the past performances:

Download HandiGambling 143

Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."   Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.  In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference.

I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place.  The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are.  I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

Take care,

Dan