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Beyers, Pars of Major Races, PP requests
It looked like FUNNY MOON wanted to bolt on the far turn of Saturday's Coaching Club American Oaks at Belmont Park, but she re-rallied to win at a generous 7-1. THORN SONG did bolt on the first bend of the Eddie Read Handicap at Del Mar, and was last seen taking a scenic tour of the lush turf course while nearest to the outside rail. Horseplayers on the East Coast are bolting up the New York Thruway for their annual pilgramage to Saratoga, the mecca of thoroughbred racing. And, I, my friends, will be bolted to my desk in New York City for the six weeks that comprise the boutique meet. It's 42 days straight of pedigrees, workout lines, and race replays.
Yes, "Spa Babies" will dominate my summer once again.
While a labor of love, it is extensive labor so please forgive me if my blog postings are more infrequent than usual during the Spa meet.
Here are the winning Beyer Speed Figures from last week's stakes races:
*Nancy's Glitter (Crc): Jessica Is Back (M. Wolfson/J. Santiago) - 108
*Nijinsky (WO): Rahy's Attorney (I. Black/S. Callaghan) - 105
*Eddie Read (Dmr): Global Hunter - Arg (A. Avila/C. Nakatani) - 101
*Bold Ego Overnight (Rui): Loves Bonus (C. Sedillo/B. Theriot) - 98
*Oceanside (Dmr): Afleet Eagle (V. Cerin/T. Baze) - 94
*Donor (Bel): Bubbly Jane - Brz (P. Lobo/R. Maragh) - 94
*Claiming Crown Jewel (Cby): Antrim County (W. Calhoun/H. Theriot II) - 93
*Mt. Rainier (EmD): Assessment (H. Belvoir/G. Mitchell) - 93
*Claiming Crown Emerald (Cby): Gran Estreno - Arg (M. Stidham/E. Baird) - 93
*Lady Canterbury (Cby): Happiness Is (T. Proctor/R. Homeister Jr.) - 92
*Boeing (EmD): Holy Nova (T. Gillihan/M. Gutierrez), Elusive Horizon (D. Harwood/J. Gutierrez) - 91 (***dead-heat***)
*Alphabet Soup (Pha): Auction Watch (S. Hendriks/K. Carmouche) - 90
*Gaily Gaily (AP): Lemonette (E. Reed/J. Alvarado) - 90
*Matron (EvD): Category Seven (K. Hargrave/R. Eramia) - 88
*Claiming Crown Iron Horse (Cby): Bright Hall (C. Autrey/H. Theriot II) - 86
*Coaching Club American Oaks (Bel): Funny Moon (C. Clement/A. Garcia) - 86
*Road Runner (Rui): Lefty Who (J. Marr/C. Madeira) - 86
*Claiming Crown Tiara (Cby): Mizzcan'tbewrong (R. Scherer/R. Albarado) - 86
*Chenery (Cnl): Strike the Tiger (W. Ward/A. Smith) - 86
*Desert Vixen (Mth): Becky's Exchange (E. Allard/E. Trujillo) - 85
*Ellis Park Turf (ElP): Final Refrain (A. Stall Jr./V. Lebron) - 85
*Claiming Crown Rapid Transit (Cby): You're My Boy Blue (L. Mason/R. Baze) - 85
*Fleet Treat (Dmr): Excessive Blend (C. Gaines/M. Smith) - 84
*Land of Enchantment (Rui): Fullofenergy (J. Marr/C. Madeira) - 84
*Vacaville (Sol): Kalookan Dancer (W. Solis/W. Antongeorgi III) - 84
*Wonder Where (WO): Tasty Temptation (M. Casse/P. Husbands) - 83
*Don Fleming (NP): Test Boy (R. Diodoro/R. Walcott) - 83
*Claiming Crown Express (Cby): Chasing the Prize (M. Maker/J. Leparoux) - 82
*Claiming Crown Glass Slipper (Cby): Frisco Fox (L. Mason/R. Baze) - 82
*Diamondback (Yav): Midnight Wish (E. Kereluk/M. Hernandez) - 82
*Sissy Woolums Memorial (Cnl): Huge (J. Salzman Jr./J. Joyce) - 81
*Lincoln (Rui): One Bad Ghost (J. Marr/K. Tohill) - 81
*Windward (PID): Exotic Bloom (F. Seitz/D. Beckner) - 80
*Don Valliere Memorial Cup (FE): Spread the News (J. Simms/M. Pinto) - 79
*Passing Mood (WO): Double Malt (M. Pierce/E. Da Silva) - 77
*Rio Grande Senorita Futurity (Rui): Glory Be Mine (T. Fincher/J. Bourdieu) - 74
*Willow Lake (Yav): Torrance (B. Brashears/D. Collins) - 73
*California Thoroughbred Breeders' Association (Dmr): Repo (D. O'Neill/C. Nakatani) - 72
*Winnipeg Sun (AsD): Preservata (C. Willson/T. Nelson) - 71
*Columbine (ArP): Vannacide (K. Gleason/A. Ramos) - 70
*Sierra Starlet (Rui): Wild Alaska (A. Ascencio/C. Madeira) - 67
*Tippett (Cnl): Oceans of Honey (O. Londono Jr./J. Rivera) - 64
*Dowling (Pnl): Meadow Wise (R. Gorham/A. Stanley) - 61
*Rio Grande Senor Futurity (Rui): Train Rider Blues (T. Walker/C. Rivas) - 61
*Doc Pardee and Earl Sande (Yav): Social Lady (D. Hall/W. Dieguez) - 59
*Kevin Goemmer Tah Dah (RD): Noneofyourbeeswax (M. Rone/P. Ouzts) - 58
*Inaugural (Cls): Dazzling Izzy (D. Anderson/A. Dill) - 54
*Silver Cup Futurity (ArP): Blastitary (T. Klenakis/T. Wales) - 50
*Treasured State Derby (GF): Out (D. Johnson/F. Gamez) - 46
*Treasured State Futurity (GF): Crispy Noodle (M. Yelvington/B. Merrill) - 29
Here are the lifetime past performances for the highest and lowest Beyer stakes performers of the week:
Can someone explain the difference to me between California "bred" and California "sired"?
The reason I ask is the Fleet Treat, which is restricted to the same, but in which two horses, one bred in FL, the other in KY, are entered into the race?
From Steve Andersen's column posted on drf.com on July 23:
A rule change enacted earlier this year allowing horses sired by California-based stallions to run in statebred races will have a profound effect on Saturday's $100,000 Fleet Treat Stakes at Del Mar.
Two of the leading contenders in the seven-furlong race for 3-year-old fillies were foaled in other states, but are by stallions that stood in California: Century Park is a Florida-bred by General Meeting, while Dani Reese is a Kentucky-bred by High Demand.
Dani Reese has already taken advantage of the rule change to win an optional claimer for statebred or state-sired fillies at Hollywood Park on July 3. She makes her stakes debut in the Fleet Treat, which has drawn a field of 11.
Anyway, it got me thinking about handicapping books and materials as well as wagering strategy books and information.
I was wondering what you have in your personal handicapping and wagering strategy library, old or new, including books, Cd's, DVDs, etc., perhaps one or two items, which you highly prize, including perhaps any material on the psychology of handicapping, and EXCLUDING any work put out by any current employee's of the Daily Racing Form.
For example, although these are in fact by Daily Racing Form employee authored, I really prize your Trip Handicapping and Crist's Exotic Betting, as essential handicapping tools and materials for everyones handicapping library.
It seems to me that I was reading a while back that when wagering the pick 4, it is better to put more of your money on the first half of the pick four, rather than the back half. I was wondering if you had ever heard of this, and if so, what is the rationale for doing so.
I have a ton of materials in my library, and most have some interesting tidbits that I've incorporated into my handicapping. Here are some of my favorites:
Modern Pace Handicapping - Brohamer
Exploring Pedigree - Helm
Value Handicapping - Cramer
The Handicapper's Condition Book - Quinn
Commonsense Handicapping - Mitchell
Beat the Beam - Takach
With the Pick 4, the Ticketmaker, available on Formulator Web, is probably the way to go. I'm a bit uncomfortable pigeon-holing into one specific strategy when there are so many different race sequences out there. The Pick 4 is sort of a personal journey. There are different strategies for different folks.
Hi Dan -- Could you possibly provide me with Presious Passion's lifetime PP?
Here they are:
Kevin, we all know the Whitney is awesome. Anyone know what race has the highest average Beyer. The Whitney has to be up there.
I went through the 2009 American Racing Manual, and found these races with a Beyer index of 110 or greater:
Breeders' Cup Classic - 116.53
Whitney - 115.58
Woodward - 114.53
Jockey Club Gold Cup - 114.47
Pimlico Special - 114.47
Santa Anita Handicap - 114.32
Pacific Classic - 114.11
Hollywood Gold Cup - 114.00
Metropolitan - 113.95
Breeders' Cup Sprint - 113.68
Cigar Mile - 113.33
Oaklawn Handicap - 113.28
Donn - 113.00
Vosburgh - 112.89
Forego - 112.84
Alfred G. Vanderbilt - 112.72
Breeders' Cup Turf - 112.47
Frank J. De Francis Memorial Dash - 112.06
Suburban - 112.05
Carter - 111.79
Bing Crosby - 111.63
Strub - 111.41
Tom Fool - 111.41
Phillip H. Iselin - 110.95
Bold Ruler - 110.74
Breeders' Cup Mile - 110.63
Gulfstream Park Handicap - 110.63
Stephen Foster - 110.56
Brooklyn - 110.39
Travers - 110.32
Palos Verdes - 110.12
Preakness - 110.11
On the opposite end of the horse world...I was cleaning up my HTW list, and I realized Dona Chepa hasn't run in a long time. Does anyone know if she was retired? Those would be some fun lifetime PPs to see.
Here are her past performances:
Don't know if the 135-time loser is still in training.
Congrats to Mike for finishing first in last week's HandiGambling exercise. He chooses the third race at Saratoga on Wednesday. Here are the past performances:
Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan." Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified. In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference.
I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.
Did anyone ever offer any information on Dona Chepa? I've heard no information in over a year and am wondering if the horse is still alive. Even if he never won a race he still tried. Gave me some inspiration.
Hey on another note HARMONY FOUND..a previous HandiG113 winner, a 5 yo mare has won again. http://www.drf.com/drfNCWeeklyHorseDisplay.do?track=CBY&country=USA&raceDate=20090730&raceNo=4 I'm thinking about Jason G and hoping that he may be able to enjoy this win. SR Vegas
HG144 *Revised II* $1.60 Super 5/1,2,3,4,6,9/1,2,9/1,2,3,4,6,9=$96.00
HandiSpaGambling: 3rd@SPA: the whole world is lining up against PYRO..watch him JOG off the latoff! If he does, it's without me! $10TriBox(5-6-9)=$60 $1SuperBox(1-5-6-9)=$24 $8Ex.Box(5-9)=$16
Mike A, Thanks for the laugh! Annie
Stephen Taylor, Cayman and I could have given out LS, Shediak, last week, but no one would be thanking us for him. LOL Annie
Handigambling. A quick analysis: Would like SILVER EDITION and BOLD START more if the race were 6F. CASSOULET has really come around this year. 2nd to Kodiak Cowboy, who would be odds on in here. 15-1 morning line seems high. PYRO is the class and has won both starts off layoffs. Downside is that Godolphin/Bin Suroor have been brutal this year. RILEY TUCKER has improved with blinkers and dirt. Can anyone run with him early? Lezcano is an underrated jockey. FINALLYMADEIT has not run in 25 whole days - a lifetime for him. I question whether he can run the fractions necessary to keep him up close here, although the .59 work says maybe he can. Trainer has bene quoted as saying this is a prep for the Whitney (in 11 days - that's more like it) or Forego, so I'll pass. GOLD TRIPPI is outclassed. $10 Ex 5 w. 4/3 $4 Tri 5 w. 4/3 w.4/3 $10 Ex Box 3-4-5. $2 Tri box 3-4-5.
HG 144: I'm going to try something different here and just do a Super box with the four horses with the highest earnings per start. In order of earnings per start they are: #4 Pyro - Highest earnings per start by far. He may indeed be prepping, but I expect they will want a nice strong prep, so although he may not win, he should be in the top four. #6 Finallymadeit - Yes, he has the second highest earnings per start. I love his bullet 59 flat work on 7/13, he has speed (earned a 104 Beyer at 7F sometime in his career) and rain would only help him. #5 Riley Tucker - May regress after 3 triple digit Beyers in a row, but still be in the Super. #2 Bold Start - Throw out the Iowa debacle, and he has been pretty consistent. Handles 7F. Nice J/T stats. $4 Super box: 2,4,5,6 = $96 $4 Win #6 (longest odds) = $4 Good luck all! Annie
Hg144 *Revised* $1 Super 5/1,2,3,4,9/1,2,3,4,6,9/1,2,3,4,6,9 =$100
HG 144 $50 Ex box 2-6 I am throwing out Bold Start's last race as I don't know what happened. Previous races this year says he fits very well with this group. Finallymadeit won't be in the lead today but could be running on late. Could he be prepping for the BC Sprint? Wins this and then drops back next race to 6 Furlongs? To me Riley Tucker has never been able to handle horses as these. Pyro could just be classy enough to win even though I don't think that is the goal here.