05/16/2014 1:37PM

Bernier: Formulator facts for Preakness contenders


Guest handicapper Matt Bernier uses DRF Formulator to take a closer look at the Preakness Stakes.

Dynamic Impact: Mark Casse and Miguel Mena have teamed up for 6 wins in 21 starts (29%) and a whopping $7.44 ROI over the past five years in dirt routes in graded stakes.

General a Rod: Mike Maker and Javier Castellano have teamed up for only 4 wins in 33 starts (12%) and a measly $0.64 ROI over the past five years in dirt routes.

California Chrome: The California Cup Derby came back as a key race, with three next-out winners and two more that finished in the money.

Ring Weekend: The top Beyer Speed Figure in his immediate family was not earned by him, but by his older half-brother, Champ Safi, who earned a figure of 100 sprinting on dirt.

Bayern: The Moss Pace Figure of 81 that Bayern earned at the first call in his last, the Derby Trial, is the highest first-call figure in the field for a route race. Could he be on the lead early?

Ria Antonia: Progeny of sire Rockport Harbor only win 9 percent of dirt routes as 3-year-olds, with zero Standout Foals (a colt that ran a Beyer of 95 or higher or filly that ran one of 88 or higher).

Kid Cruz: 3 for 4 lifetime and never out of the exacta in dirt routes.

Social Inclusion: His morning workouts have gotten notably faster starting with the one on March 26.

Pablo Del Monte: Trainer Wesley Ward is 7 for 24 (29% with a $2.90 ROI) over the past five years with horses moving from synthetic to dirt over a route of ground.

Ride On Curlin: Trainer Billy Gowan has not had a graded stakes winner (0 for 7) in the past five years.

Matt Bernier is a 24-year-old handicapper and cast member of the reality-show “Horseplayers” that airs on the Esquire Network. Matt won the very first handicapping tournament he entered in October 2012 and hasn't looked back since. In 2013, he was one of the youngest qualifiers at the DRF/NTRA National Handicapping Championship in Las Vegas.