12/22/2017 3:41PM

Backyard Heaven one to follow for Brown

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Continuing with the “Horses to Watch” theme, here's one that caught my eye earlier this month.

BACKYARD HEAVEN

 

 

Trained by Chad Brown, this 3-year-old son of Tizway made his career debut in one-mile maiden special weight at Belmont on September 10.

As you can see by utilzing the "Next Race" function in the Formulator chart, it was an extremely live race.

 

Not only did Backyard Heaven return to win with a 97 Beyer Speed Figure (we'll talk about that race in a bit), but three other horses immediately came back to score. The most impressive of those was Todd Pletcher's Copper Town, who returned to win by open lengths with a gaudy 106 Beyer.

Backyard Heaven was a cinch on paper when he returned two months later. He justified his 1 to 5 odds by trouncing the field by five widening lengths. My Formulator trip notes for that effort reads like this "light bump shortly after start, tracked nearest inside while off rail trip under confident ride, angled 4 wide on the turn, ridden out."

A $180,000 yearling purchase, Backyard Heaven is out of a half-sister to graded winners Astrology and Lunarpal, as well as two other stakes winners. It's pretty obvious that some physical issues kept him from the races before his belated debut. If he can overcome those problems, he looks like a stakes horse in the making. 

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Hi Dan,
Glad to see you posting again. I have a question for you on race conditions that maybe you can help me out with?
I see an OC62.5/b-N in this weeks HG PP's and I'm wondering 
what the "b" stands for?
Also Dan, I don't want to use Facebook for my login here. How do I use Yahoo or Google instead?
Larry Sharp
 
It stands for "beaten" claiming, or a race with multiple conditions attached. It's usually more common in straight claiming races. An example would be for "3-year-olds and upward that have never won three races OR 3-year-olds." That means that older horses must meet the 'N3L' requirement while the 3-year-olds could compete despite having three of more victories. 
 
Unfortunately, Facebook is the only way for commenters to post right now.
 

Dan, a question.
I know GP does this every year when they run a 7-1/2 furlong race on the turf, which is one time around the turf course, they sometimes have a run up of 271’ or 97 yards or 88% of a sixteenth of a mile. If I am considering a horse who I think might have a chance at 7-1/2 furlongs only and definitely not at 13 yards less than 8 furlongs, why isn’t that run up information in the Form in the description of the race? If the track knows the temporary rail will be at 96’, then they should know what the run up will be also. If you are studying the night before, it can make a big d
ifference, but we as bettors are in the dark.
Thanks
Penn Gwin

Perhaps the best way to find this information is to go back into Formulator and search for past races with similar run-ups. In the case of Queen Rose (below), she ran two turf races with the rails out at different settings. The run-up is mentioned both times.

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Tuesday is Opening Day at Santa Anita. The traditional feature is the Grade 1 Malibu Stakes and that will be our next HandiGambling challenge.
 
Formulator Past Performances can be accessed at http://www.drf.com/events/race-of-the-day
 
Matt Bernier and I preview the race right here:
 
 
 
Here are the rules:
 
HANDIGAMBLING version 2017:
Let's remember WHY we began the HandiGambling races in the first place.
The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses and why we're betting them the way we are. We are not asking for a novel but SPARE A SENTENCE OR TWO outlining your HANDICAPPING ANGLES and/or THOUGHT PROCESSES about WAGERING.
 
1. Start your post with HG or HANDIGAMBLING to find your entry in a thread.
2. You have a mythical $100 to wager in whatever format you choose that is available for that HG race. Anyone going over the $100 limit will be DISQUALIFIED.
3. Post your WAGER and ANALYSIS to the blog prior to the start of the designated race. SIGN OFF WITH YOUR NAME/OR MONIKER AT THE END OF YOUR POST. Remember that posts may start as 'anonymous' or an 'alternate name'. You MUST SIGN YOURSELF AT THE END (even if it is the same) This enables the scorekeeper to identify who you are.
4. (1) ONE ENTRY per person for the Handigambling contest. If you have multiple email addresses, use just ONE for contest purposes. Multiple entries will be cause for disqualification.
5. Separate your analysis from the wager and use the PROGRAM # in your wager. Just like you would do in a real wager. No horse names.
6. If any of the rules listed above aren't met, the wager is subject to review which can lead to disqualification of your entry.
 
In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. Dan reserves the right to approve or deny any entries.
The winner will receive a "60-Card Quarterly Formulator Past Performance Plan"
 
As an example :
 
HG 2017
The speed in this race are #1 Alpha, #2 Beta, and #8 Ocho. I like the works for layoff horse #5 Cinco who can sit off the pace. Lots of speed in here, so this could set up for a closer like  #6 Six Flags and I like the trainer's stats in these conditions. I’ll put the closer over the speed.
 
HG wager:
$10 EX   6 /   1,2,5, 8  = $40
$5 TRI   6 /   1,2,5,8  /  1,2,5,8  =  $60
Total $100
Thanks Dan!
Harpo
 
A MORE DETAILED ANALYSIS  IS  ALWAYS  APPRECIATED !
REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.
 
ALSO, IF THE WINNER WOULD LIKE TO SELECT THE FOLLOWING WEEK'S RACE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM NO LATER THAN THE FOLLOWING FRIDAY MORNING (A SUNDAY RACE IS MOST IDEAL)
 
Good luck!