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A.P. Indian on the rise
Trainer Arnaud Delacour has transformed A.P. INDIAN into a promising sprinter to follow this summer.
Last Saturday, A.P. Indian earned his third consecutive triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure with a solid score in the $100,000 Donald LeVine Memorial Handicap at Parx. Since returning from a year-plus layoff and switching to the Delacour barn, A.P. Indian has won three of four starts with the lone loss coming by a dirty nose at Keeneland on April 8.
In the LeVine Memorial, A.P. Indian, the even-money favorite in the field of seven, broke sweetly under jockey Daniel Centeno. They battled with three other pace rivals for early supremacy through an opening quarter in 22.89. A.P. Indian and STALLWALKIN' DUDE, the recent runner-up in the Grade 2 True North Stakes at Belmont, separated themselves from their rivals following a half-mile in 45.42. A.P. Indian, on the outside of Stallwalkin' Dude, took command for good at the three-sixteenths pole and went on to complete the seven furlongs in 1:23.40, a time good enough for a 104 Beyer Speed Figure.
A 5-year-old homebred campaigned by Green Lantern Stables, A.P. Indian was foaled in Kentucky on May 6, 2010. His sire, the late Indian Charlie, won the Grade 1 Santa Anita Derby before finishing third in the Run for the Roses. Among Indian Charlie's best progeny are champions Indian Blessing, Fleet Indian and Uncle Mo.
A.P. Indian's dam, Ender's Sister (by A.P. Indy), won three stakes-races at 1 1/16 miles on dirt. She also placed in five graded events and received a 108 Beyer Speed Figure when taking a muddy allowance race by 19 lengths traveling 6 1/2 furlongs on dirt at Keeneland.
Ender's Sister is also the dam of TIZ SHEA D, a Tiznow colt that finished second in the Grade 3 Gotham Stakes earlier this year. Ender's Sister is also a full sister to stakes-winning miler Ender's Shadow. A.P. Indian's third dam, Fit for a Queen, prevailed in five graded stakes races.
A.P. Indian has always shown ability, but his career has been interrupted by nagging injuries. He won his debut by six lengths for trainer Tony Dutrow at Delaware on October 8, 2012, but then went to the sidelines for almost 11 months.
He returned under Rusty Arnold's care and reeled off a solid record of 4-1-3-0 while campaigning in middle-distance events at Churchill Downs at Oaklawn. On November 28, 2013, A.P. Indian finished 5 1/2 lengths clear of the good miler Bradester when second in an 'n2x' optional claimer.
Away from January 20, 2014 to February 27, 2015, A.P. Indian came back under the Delacour banner as a new gelding. He immediately won an 'n2x' optional claimer at Tampa Bay in a time that was .38 seconds off the track record for 6 1/2 furlongs. Stretched out around two turns at Keeneland, A.P. Indian was just outfinished by stakes-winner Transparent.
Heartened by the effort, Delacour entered A.P. Indian in his first stakes event, the $85,000 Decathlon Stakes at Monmouth on May 9. Aided by a speed-favoring track, A.P. Indian outsprinted the swift Favorite Tale to the front and never looked back. The third-place finisher in that race, Saucy Don, has come back to win two stakes races in New Jersey.
"He’s very versatile," Delacour told Monmouth track publicity following the Decathlon. "He can run long or short. I knew he had that kind of speed but the beauty about him is he can rate. But his speed is his best weapon so we wanted to use it."
It's time for A.P. Indian to step up in class. Perhaps we'll see him in the Grade 1 Alfred G. Vanderbilt going six furlongs at Saratoga on August 1.
Here are the WINNING Beyer Speed Figures from 6/16/15 - 6/22/15:
1. LIAM'S MAP - 106 - OC 100k/C -N - 1 Mile - 19Jun15-6BEL
2. A. P. INDIAN - 104 - Donald LeVine Memorial Handicap - 7 Furlongs - 20Jun15-8PRX
3. PRICELESSCOMMODITY - 103 - Dark Star Stakes - 6 1/2 Furlongs - 21Jun15-9CBY
4. DOC ALMON - 99 - OC 55k/N3X -N - 6 Furlongs - 22Jun15-8DEL
5. SO YOU SAY - 98 - Alw 77000N1X - 6 Furlongs - 17Jun15-5BEL
5. TOWER OF TEXAS - 98 - King Edward Stakes (G2-C) - 1 Mile (Turf) - 21Jun15-8WO
7. CLASSIC SALSA - 97 - Clm 40000 - 6 Furlongs - 18Jun15-3BEL
7. GRASSHOPPIN - 97 - OC 25k/N2X -N - 1 Mile - 16Jun15-8PRX
7. STREET STRATEGY - 97 - OC 80k/N3X -N - 1 1/16 Miles - 20Jun15-8CD
10. CATRON - 96 - OC 80k/C -N - 6 Furlongs - 18Jun15-8BEL
11. DAME DOROTHY - 95 - Bed O'Roses Handicap (G3) - 7 Furlongs - 20Jun15-8BEL
11. DONWORTH - 95 - Stanton Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - 20Jun15-6DEL
11. GOMBEY DANCER - 95 - OC 30k/N2X -N - 6 Furlongs - 21Jun15-9MTH
11. HELOOKSTHEPART - 95 - OC 25k/N3X -N - 5 1/2 Furlongs - 17Jun15-7TDN
11. MR. JORDAN - 95 - Pegasus Stakes (G3) - 1 1/16 Miles - 21Jun15-11MTH
16. BLUES BLASTER - 94 - Oak Tree Handicap - 1 1/16 Miles - 20Jun15-8OTP
16. GLENARD (GB) - 94 - OC 55k/C -N - 1 Mile 70 Yards - 17Jun15-7DEL
18. SOUL DRIVER - 93 - Singletary Stakes - 1 Mile (Turf) - 20Jun15-7SA
18. MR. Z - 93 - Ohio Derby - 1 1/16 Miles - 20Jun15-8TDN
20. CHARMING KITTEN - 92 - OC 100k/C -N - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 20Jun15-3BEL
20. DA BIG HOSS - 92 - Clm c-50000 - 1 Mile (Turf) - 21Jun15-6CD
20. GENTLE AS A BREEZE - 92 - Clm 10000 - 1 Mile - 20Jun15-9CBY
20. QUICK DAGGER - 92 - OC 25k/C -N - 5 Furlongs - 19Jun15-2LAD
24. GOLDEN MOON - 91 - Alw 25000s - 6 1/2 Furlongs - 22Jun15-8PRX
24. REGALLY READY - 91 - Alw 38000C - 1 Mile 70 Yards - 19Jun15-7IND
24. SATAN'S MISTRESS - 91 - OC 55k/C -N - 6 Furlongs - 20Jun15-7DEL
24. SPARK KIT - 91 - Clm 25000N2L - 1 1/16 Miles (Polytrack) - 20Jun15-7AP
24. STELLAR WIND - 91 - Summertime Oaks (G2) - 1 1/16 Miles - 20Jun15-8SA
*LIAM'S MAP's lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of the blog post.
*SIETE DE OROS, second in the GRASSHOPPIN race, was claimed for $25,000 by trainer Blane Servis from Ramon Preciado.
*DA BIG HOSS was claimed for $50,000 by trainer Michael Maker from Wayne Catalano.
With this HG named after Obeah.......maybe you can post the pp's of her daughter.....the great Go For Wand.
Go For Wand was one of my all-time favorites. You can find her lifetime past performances at the bottom of this blog post.
A question Dan
1st race, SA, Sunday, 6-21
Jade With Envy, two races back on May 7th has a Clm v-(25-22.5)
What is the "v" ?
All others who raced in the race have a normal "c" .
The "v" and "c" are right next to each other on the keyboard, but just a typo?
I would think the computer program would automatically fill in most of the common columns.
(Waving hand in the air), I know. I know.
The v means the claim was VOIDED. Not a good thing. Means he was not in good health. It's a new thing they've started in California. I don't quite understand it. The claiming game has always been, "Let the buyer beware". And, if something happened during the race, the horse was still yours no matter what, if you claimed him. Seems to change the whole complexion of the claiming game. It's good for the buyers, but sellers are going to have a hard time culling their stables.
You can follow me on Twitter @DRF_DanIllman.
Remember to check out DRF LIVE's VIDEO handicapping coverage at live.drf.com. Matt Bernier and I will be on at 12:30 ET on Thursday. Lonnie Goldfeder fills in for Matt on Friday for some weekend stakes previews and will be on with me Saturday afternoon at 2pm ET.
Congrats to Paul G. for finishing first in the most recent HandiGambling tournament.
Rick M's official scoresheet is available at the bottom of this blog post.
Let's go with Saturday's Mother Goose at Belmont for this week's exercise.
PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.
SR Vegas and Rick M. have graciously decided to streamline all of the HG rules in order to make them an easier read for everyone...
With so many new people attending Dan's Formblog we thought it would be a good time to update the Handigambling Guidelines and Rules as we go forward in 2014.
Let's remember WHY we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses and why we're betting them the way we are. We are not asking for a novel but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.
Please start your post with HG or HANDIGAMBLING to better recognize and find your entry.
- You have a mythical $100 to wager in whatever format you choose and that is available for that HG race.
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.
- Post your WAGER and ANALYSIS to the blog WITH YOUR NAME/OR MONIKER AT THE END OF THE POST. Remember that posts may start as 'anonymous' or an 'alternate name'. You MUST sign yourself at the end (even if it is the same) This enables the scorekeeper to recognize you .
- (1) ONE ENTRY per person for the Handigambling contest. If you have multiple email addresses, use just ONE for contest purposes. Multiple entries will be cause for disqualification.
- Separate your analysis from the wager and use the horses # in your wager. Just like you would do in a real wager. No horse names.
-In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. Dan reserves the right to approve or deny any entries.
- The winner will receive a "60-Card Quarterly Formulator Past Performance Plan"
As an example :
The speed in this race goes to horses # 1, 4 ,6 ..Ennie , Meenie, and Mo
Since it's a sprint I don't see any closers catching them.. like # 9 Miney.
I think trainer Groucho with the #6 Mo has the best stats in this condition, route to sprint.. just a gut feeling at large odds ML 20-1
50$ Ex box 1-6
A MORE DETAILED ANALYSIS IS ALWAYS APPRECIATED !
REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.
ALSO, IF THE WINNER WOULD LIKE TO SELECT THE FOLLOWING WEEK'S RACE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM NO LATER THAN THE FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY MORNING (A SATURDAY RACE IS MOST IDEAL)
|LIAM'S MAP.pdf||651.22 KB|
|Copy of Formblog Obeah 6-20-15.xls||207.88 KB|
Euros in the US ? My take is, firstly, think Coolmore or Juddmonte et al are interested in the dollars? No way... In Europe the classic distance is a mile and a half. In other words, the Belmont fits the bill from a European standpoint. Why don't the best come? What is there to prove? More prestige back home...and less money...so what..the players behind Coolmore also like a 'flutter'...Acapulco at Royal Ascot was a prime example. What Aiden O'Brien often refers to as 'the boys'...also like a 'gamble'. US will continie breeding for absolute speed, thus compromising stamina. Which is fine...seeing as though your classis distance is a mile 2. But you found a great one in AP...a throwback perhaps, speed plus stamina. Nijinsky was one too..top class at a mile and at a mile and three quarters. EDB & Mooch respectively, nice totals, Ed well done winning last weeks HG. Onto the next exercise/puzzle...whatever...ome winner always seems right to me.
Happy Canada Day Eh! Dominion Day G3 4- Pender Harbour [6-1] was very good in 2nd start when stretching out should get pace to stalk. 7- Patrioticandproud [8-1] is showing best form right now. 5- Red Rifle [7-5] excels at the 10 furlongs the question might be the synth surface. 3- Midnight Aria [5-1] won the Queen's Plate and runs best when up front. http://potchprops.blogspot.com/2015/07/canada-day-stakes-at-woodbine.html
Just as a heads up, I'm selecting Friday's 7th race bet at Laurel. $42,000 allowance, 1 1/16 on the turf with a large field. Also wanted to free everyone for the holiday. Mooch, sorry I spoiled your excellent bet, but glad you cashed real money. My area was hit with a "macroburst" last tuesday and slammed us hard. I have never seen so many uprooted and downed trees. No phones for almost a day and many parts of different towns had no electricity for up to a week. My governor's response? Throw his hat in the ring and go to New Hampshire. My hero!!!!!
Opening day at Los Al looks chalky. I put the over/under on favorites at 5.
Bernard and all, I decided to google "who invented lasix" to have a better understanding of how it started and also which countries may have used it but then outlawed it, and the first result was this DRF article from 2011. It makes for a fascinating reading, with some highlights being (1) reference that they planned to have the breeders cup ban lasix in all their races the following year, (2) opinions by some of the well known trainers on what benefit lasix may or may not have, (3) racetracks situated near polluted areas which impacts the horses breathing as well as other interesting tidbits. Given lasix has been allowed in all states since 95, doubtful it will ever go away. Yes, there are good people in this industry but when the competition all uses it here in the States, it would take someone with very understanding owners who have deep deep pockets to inform their trainers they don't want to run on lasix. Unless we have owners coming here from Europe, its doubtful that will happen given its been around for decades. One last note...a friend of mine...one of his best and most profitable angle is "Eurolasix"....first time shipper coming in adding lasix. I personally don't pay attention but have seen more than enough runners to win with this move....whether it was from lasix or not...no clue...but for some of us...if we do something differently and win, we will continue to do the same (e.g. wearing the same shirt watching a sporting event ; sitting in the same seat, etc.) http://www.drf.com/news/lasix-demystifying-drug-methods-training-without-it KYL Syndicate
Steve T and KYL, Thanks for taking the time and trouble to respond to my plea for views on my suggestion that drugs were a factor in limiting the number of Euro runners in US races, other than the Breeders Cup. I have to say you both paint a depressing picture, though I have no reason to doubt it is correct. Timing is undoubtedly a problem. The English, Irish and French Derbys and Oaks attract the best 3 year olds in June. Whilst the Coral Eclipse and King George are the main targets for 3 year olds and older horses in July (though the 2015 Eclipse has a miserable field). KYL is also correct. Prestige still counts for a lot with some owners. But I go back to my original thought (not to suggest any particular European moral superiority - we have our own share of cheats and chancers), but to make the point that there ARE good people out there in the racing world who know it is not right to use Lasix and are prepared to take a stand. In that respect Steve, don't you think that your statement that Euros "have no problem with the Breeders Cup" is a very unfair generalisation? I can assure you that some do have a problem. I dug out my old BC 2014 papers and if I am correct reading through the grime and the creases, 8 Euro trainers raced a horse without Lasix, despite the obvious disadvantage. Stand up and take a bow gentlemen. Best Regards - Bernard Downes
Breeders’ Cup Classic Winners (1995 to 2014) – Month of Birth 2014 Bayern – May 2013 Mucho Macho Man – June 2012 Fort Larned – April 2011 Drosselmeyer – April 2010 Blame – May 2009 Zenyatta – April 2008 Raven’s Pass – February 2007 Curlin – March 2006 Invasor – August (southern hemisphere) 2005 Saint Liam – April 2004 Ghostzapper – April 2003 Pleasantly Perfect – April 2002 Volponi – April 2001 Tiznow – March 2000 Tiznow – March 1999 Cat Thief – January 1998 Awesome Again – March 1997 Skip Away – April 1996 Alphabet Soup – March 1995 Cigar – April January – 1 (5% - 1.5%) February – 1 (5% - 7.3%) March – 5 (25% - 22.8%) April – 9 (45% - 31.4%) May – 2 (10% - 30.3%) June – 1 (5% - 6.6%) August – 1 (Southern Hemisphere) Looks a lot different than the two and three year olds…
Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Winners (1995 to 2014) – Month of Birth 2014 Texas Red – March 2013 New Year’s Day – April 2012 Shanghai Bobby – February 2011 Hansen – April 2010 Uncle Mo – March 2009 Vale of York – April 2008 Midshipman – March 2007 War Pass – April 2006 Street Sense – February 2005 Stevie Wonderboy – March 2004 Wilko – January 2003 Action This Day – February 2002 Vindication – January 2001 Johannesburg – February 2000 Macho Uno – April 1999 Anees – February 1998 Answer Lively – March 1997 Favorite Trick – April 1996 Boston Harbor – April 1995 Unbridled’s Song – February January – 2 (10% - 1.5%) February – 6 (30% - 7.3%) March – 5 (25% - 22.8%) April – 7 (35% - 31.4%) May – 0 (0% - 30.3%) June – 0 (0% - 6.6%) Next stop is the Breeders Cup Classic to see how those late 3 and up do by birth month.
More in my quest to find out if April, May and June foals are behind the power curve at 2 and 3. Here are the last 20 years worth of Kentucky Derby winners and their birth month. Pretty interesting that February foals statistically are 7.3% of all births but won the derby 45% of the time: Month of Birth - Thoroughbreds January – 1.5% February – 7.3% March – 22.8% April – 31.4% May – 30.3% June – 6.6% July – 0.1% Kentucky Derby Winners (1995 to 2015) – Month of Birth 2015 American Pharoah – February 2014 California Chrome – February 2013 Orb – February 2012 I’ll Have Another – April 2011 Animal Kingdom – March 2010 Super Saver – March 2009 Mine That Bird – May 2008 Big Brown – April 2007 Street Sense – February 2006 Barbaro – April 2005 Giacomo – February 2004 Smarty Jones – February 2003 Funny Cide – April 2002 War Emblem – February 2001 Monarchos – February 2000 Fusaichi Pegasus – April 1999 Charismatic – March 1998 Real Quiet – March 1997 Silver Charm – February 1996 Grindstone – January 1995 Thunder Gulch – May January – 1 (5% - 1.5%) February – 9 (45% - 7.3%) March – 3 (15% - 22.8%) April – 5 (25% - 31.4%) May – 2 (10% - 30.3%) June – 0 (0% - 6.6%) Next stop is the Breeders' Cup Juvenile races.
I was doing some research on the performance differences for thoroughbreds born in different months and came across this interesting paper from Cornell: Hintz, R. L.; Hintz, H. F.; and Van Vleck, L. Dale, "GROWTH RATE OF THOROUGHBREDS. EFFECT OF AGE OF DAM, YEAR AND MONTH OF BIRTH, AND SEX OF FOAL" (1979). Faculty Papers and Publications in Animal Science. Paper 338. Cornell University, Ithaca, NY Weight, height and cannon bone measurements were obtained on 1,992 thoroughbred foals. Colts were heavier than fillies at birth and the differences increased with age. Dams under 7 years of age and older than 11 years had foals of lighter weight at birth than mares 7 to 11 years of age and the differences persisted at 510 days of age. Foals born in April, May and June were heavier than foals born in January, February or March. The year of birth also influenced body weight. The trends for height and cannon circumference were similar to those of body weight. The average mature weight of a thoroughbred stallion is 1,200 lbs (545 Kg), the average weight of a thoroughbred mare is 1,100 lbs (500 Kg). The average weight of a 6 month old thoroughbred is 46% of mature weight (552 lbs / 506 lbs). The average weight of a 12 month old thoroughbred is 67% of mature weight (804 lbs / 737 lbs). The average weight of an 18 month old thoroughbred is 80% of mature weight (960 lbs / 880 lbs). The average weight of a 24 month old thoroughbred is 90% of mature weight (1080 lbs / 990 lbs). The average mature height (at withers) of a thoroughbred stallion is 63.8” (162 cm), the average mature height of a thoroughbred mare is 63.0” (160 cm). For reference, one hand is four inches; the average mature male stands 15.95 hands, the average mature female stands 15.75 hands. The average height of a 6 month old thoroughbred is 83% of mature height (53 in / 52.3 in). The average height of a 12 month old thoroughbred is 90% of mature height (57.4 in / 56.7 in). The average height of an 18 month old thoroughbred is 95% of mature height (60.6 in / 59.9 in). The average height of a 24 month old thoroughbred is 98% of mature height (62.5 in / 61.7 in). Month of Birth - Thoroghbreds January – 1.5% February – 7.3% March – 22.8% April – 31.4% May – 30.3% June – 6.6% July – 0.1%