June 10th, 2017 − Belmont Park

Belmont Stakes


POST HORSE/SIRE TRACK ODDS WATCHMAKER ODDS BEST BEYER DERBY FINISH, BEYER PREAKNESS FINISH, BEYER JAY PRIVMAN AND MIKE WATCHMAKER COMMENTS
- designates Keeneland Sales grad
1 Twisted Tom 20-1 20-1 78 ** ** JP: Admire the sportsmanship to put up $75,000 supplement but think he's not quite this good yet.
  by Creative Cause           MW: If he weren't a Brown/Castellano production, he'd probably be 3 or 4 times the price he will be.
  Owner: Cobra Farm; Trainer: Chad Brown; Jockey: Javier Castellano
               
2 Tapwrit 6-1 8-1 96 6th, 88 ** JP: Bothered at start in Derby, but was fortunate to split rivals on far turn before rallying up gold rail.
  by Tapit           MW: Gold rail on Oaks Day, but Jay and I disagree about the Derby bias. His Tampa form hasn't held.
  Owner: Bridlewood Farm, Eclipse Thoroughbred & Robert LaPenta; Trainer: Todd Pletcher; Jockey: Jose Ortiz
               
3 Gormley  8-1 10-1 94 9th, 82 ** JP: SA Derby winner certainly capable on his best day, but never quite know what to expect from him.
  by Malibu Moon           MW: At least he did some running in the Derby before tiring, in line for a good trip, intriguing sort.
  Owner: Mr. & Mrs. Jerome Moss; Trainer: John Shirreffs; Jockey: Victor Espinoza
               
4 J Boys Echo  15-1 15-1 102 15th, 71 ** JP: Shuffled back early and lost position, but never picked up feet at any point. Reunited with Albarado.
  by Mineshaft           MW: Hasn't run back to his perfect setup win over Preakness winner Cloud Computing in the Gotham.
  Owner: Albaugh Family Stable, Bobby Flay; Trainer: Dale Romans; Jockey: Robby Albarado
               
5 Hollywood Handsome 30-1 30-1 88 ** ** JP: Beat elders in allowance race last time while earning career-best fig. Not impossible at big number.
  by Tapizar           MW: Jay must see something in him that I don't, but I won't knock him as he'll be a very big price here.
  Owner: Mark & Nancy Stanley; Trainer: Dallas Stewart; Jockey: Florent Geroux
               
6 Lookin At Lee  5-1 5-1 98 2nd, 98 4th, 94 JP: Closer needs contested pace for his best chance. Cashes many checks, winless in last eight tries.
  by Lookin At Lucky           MW: Got a good pace in Preakness but was outfinished; had a dream trip in Derby, looking elsewhere.
  Owner: L and N Racing; Trainer: Steve Asmussen; Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.
               
7 Irish War Cry 7-2 3-1 101 10th, 79 ** JP: Looked like he was going best of all three furlongs out in Derby, but folded while against inside bias.
  by Curlin           MW: Disagree on the bias. Had no excuse in the Derby, but when on his game, he's as good as any 3yo.
  Owner: Isabelle de Tomaso; Trainer: Graham Motion; Jockey: Rajiv Maragh
               
8 Senior Investment  12-1 6-1 95 ** 3rd, 95 JP: Think his long, loping stride will be well suited to Belmont. Definitely has improved in recent starts.
  by Discreetly Mine           MW: His Beyers have improved, but was lucky to win Lexington and just clunked up in the Preakness.
  Owner: Fern Circle Stables; Trainer: Kenny McPeek; Jockey: Channing Hill
               
9 Meantime  15-1 15-1 91 ** ** JP: Think he moves up on off track, which he got last two starts. Should be part of a contested pace.
  by Shackleford           MW: He likes a wet track, but I don't agree he moves up on it. Either way, this is an ambitious spot.
  Owner: Silverton Hill; Trainer: Brian Lynch; Jockey: Mike Smith
               
10 Multiplier  15-1 15-1 94 ** 6th, 94 JP: Thought he had a gorgeous trip in Preakness and simply wasn't good enough against this caliber.
  by The Factor           MW: Not only does he look in deep against even these, he's also sprint-bred top and bottom. Pass.
  Owner: Gary Barber, Adam Wachtel & George Kerr; Trainer: Brendan Walsh; Jockey: Joel Rosario
               
11 Epicharis 4-1 6-1 94 ** ** JP: Made much of the running in UAE Derby before losing narrowly, but question quality of that field.
  by Gold Allure           MW: Didn't deserve to lose in UAE Derby, but that was 11 weeks ago and there's other speed here.
  Owner: U. Carrot Farm; Trainer: Kiyoshi Hagiwara; Jockey: Christophe Lemaire
               
12 Patch 12-1 12-1 89 14th, 74 ** JP: Despite wide Derby post, had fairly clean trip until traffic problems on far turn while being outrun.
  by Union Rags           MW: He figures to absolutely adore the distance. The question is whether he's good or fast enough.
  Owner: Calumet Farm; Trainer: Todd Pletcher; Jockey: John Velazquez